“DOGE plummeted 24% at midnight, RSI at ice point + value anchor 0.2233! Should we buy the dip or short the trend? Understand the bull-bear life-and-death line with one chart”

【Summary in One Sentence】

The price crashed back to the heart position of POC overnight, with a large amount of chips forming a “vacuum zone” at 0.22-0.23. The bears seem to be crushing, but there is a hidden “low-volume gap” reversal script.

【Key Interval Structure and Volume Distribution】

• Value Anchoring Area: POC 0.2233 with a transaction of 5.1 billion, a “heartbeat line” that both bulls and bears must compete for.

• High Volume Area: HVN 0.2215-0.2224, 0.2251-0.2260, a double buffer zone. Falling below 0.2215 will face the low-volume abyss of 0.19-0.20; stabilizing above 0.2260 is expected to retest 0.236 HVN.

• Low Volume Gap: LVN 0.188-0.193, 0.249-0.252. Once the price enters, it will accelerate.

• 70% Volume Coverage Area: 0.2027-0.2448, the current price is at the lower edge, slightly oversold, close to the bottom of the range.

【Momentum Verification】

• POC area Up/Down Volume 39.6%/60.4%, sellers still dominate; however, 0.2215 HVN Up Volume increased to 42%, short-term buying pressure has appeared.

• The lower Bollinger Band at 0.2117 is shrinking, indicating the selling momentum is weakening.

• Contract positions decreased by 7% in 24 hours, funding rate at -0.007%, short positions are overly crowded, ready to trigger short covering at any time.

【Market Cycle】

Mid-term oscillating downward channel, short-term is at the “end of panic” stage, conditions for a rebound from overselling are present.

【Trading Strategy】

• Aggressive: Current price 0.2235±0.0005, light long position, stop loss at 0.2200 (0.5 ATR below HVN), target 0.2360 (upper HVN), risk-reward ratio ≈ 4.3:1.

• Moderate: Wait for a pullback to LVN 0.2200-0.2210 to see a 15m increasing volume bullish engulfing with Up Volume > 55% before entering long, stop loss same as aggressive position.

• Conservative: If there is a volume drop below 0.2200, reverse to short until 0.2117 Bollinger lower band, stop loss at 0.2235.

【Risk Warning】

If the 1-hour close falls below 0.2200 and positions continue to decrease > 1%, the bullish strategy is invalid; macro bearishness or a BTC flash crash will amplify the decline.

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Thanks to “Silicon-based Flow” for providing the foundational large model!

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$DOGE #美国7月PPI年率高于预期