As the price fell from 1.07 to 0.92, ADA's 'value anchor' of 0.795 is being heavily traded, with bulls using double-sized orders to turn 0.9 into an 'emotional floor', but contract funds saw a net outflow of 105 million in a single day—this is a typical scene of 'chip relocation'.

【Key Range Structure】
1. Value Anchoring (POC): 0.795, maximum trading volume in 2 weeks 514 million, balanced long-short turnover (Up 48.8% vs Down 51.2%).
2. High Volume Area (HVN): 0.782–0.800, 0.905–0.925, the former is a 'moat' for bulls, the latter is a 'ceiling' for bears.
3. Low Volume Gaps (LVN): 0.685–0.706, 0.853–0.866, 1.013–1.017, prices entering will quickly traverse.
4. 70% Volume Coverage: 0.719–0.997, current price 0.917 is close to the upper edge, entering 'overbought territory' in the short term.

【Momentum Validation】
• 0.795 POC Area: Up Volume 48.8%, no dominant momentum → oscillation.
• 0.905–0.925 HVN: Up Volume 58%, bulls slightly dominate, but trading volume decreased by 12% month-on-month, beware of false breakouts.
• 0.853–0.866 LVN: Up Volume 63%, once the volume increases, it can be seen as a bullish launchpad.

【Auxiliary Signal】
• Price is above MA200 by 11.7%, with a significant divergence; the lower Bollinger Band at 0.862 is the upper edge of the LVN, with a high probability of a pullback.
• Contract OI 24h +5.6%, but net capital outflow of 105 million, long-short ratio from 2.93 to 3.51, short-term bulls are crowded, easy to trigger long liquidations.

【Market Cycle】
The mid-term bull market structure remains unchanged (pullback after a new high on the weekly chart), currently in the 'high-level oscillation washing' stage, expected to see a direction choice in 1–3 days.

【Trading Strategy】
Plan A (Pullback to Go Long · Conservative):
Entry: 0.860–0.867 LVN pullback, appearance of ≥1.5 times the average volume bullish candle and Up Volume >60%
Stop Loss: 0.849 (below HVN outer side)
Target: 0.905 / 0.925 (upper HVN)
Risk-Reward Ratio: (0.925–0.863)/(0.863–0.849)=4.4:1

Plan B (High Short in Range · Aggressive):
Entry: 0.990–0.998 (upper edge of the range + LVN), appearance of a high-volume bearish candle Down Volume >55%
Stop Loss: 1.008 (above liquidity)
Target: 0.925 / 0.905
Risk-Reward Ratio: (0.990–0.925)/(1.008–0.990)=3.6:1

Risk Control: If the daily candle closes below 0.849 or breaks above 1.01, the strategy is invalid, exit immediately.

【LP Market Making Suggestions】
Place a dual-sided grid in the range of 0.850–0.925, with a spacing of 0.005, with 20% of capital weight tilted towards buy orders, utilizing high turnover at HVN to earn trading fees, while preventing stop loss cascades below 0.849.

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$ADA #美国7月PPI年率高于预期