“SUI plummeted 7%, is a golden opportunity emerging? The ultimate showdown between bulls and bears in the value zone of 3.6-3.8, should we bottom fish or chase shorts?”

【Quick Overview】

In the past 24 hours, SUI has seen nearly 60% of contract volume evaporate, and the price has returned to the lower edge of the 70% trading density zone—this is both the last line of defense for bulls and a sniper point for bears, with the outcome to be revealed within 48 hours.

【Key Ranges】

1. Value Anchor: POC 3.75, trading volume 219 million, the core turnover hub of August;

2. High Trading Buffer: 3.50-3.52 (HVN) and 3.72-3.79 (Double HVN), once breached, will become resistance for retracement;

3. Low Trading Gap: 3.26-3.36 (LVN), a vacuum below, breaching will accelerate; above, 4.09-4.15 is also LVN, breaking through will open up space to 4.4;

4. 70% Trading Zone: 3.42-4.24, current price of 3.76 is located in the lower 1/3 of the range, slightly oversold edge.

【Momentum Validation】

Down Vol near POC accounts for 57%, slightly bearish; HVN Up Vol in the range of 3.72-3.75 has rebounded to 45%, indicating bulls are trying to hold. The lower Bollinger Band at 3.62 and MA200 at 3.82 resonate, with short-term divergence beginning to appear.

【Cycle Judgment】

In the medium term, it is still in the bull market correction phase, long-term bulls have not fully retreated; in the short term, transitioning from “panic end” to “consolidation bottoming,” if it holds above 3.60-3.65, it can confirm the stage bottom.

【Trading Strategy】

Aggressive: 3.65-3.67 LVN pullback + 15m engulfing bullish candle, stop loss at 3.62 (lower HVN), target 3.75/3.82, risk-reward ratio 2.8.

Conservative: Wait to regain above POC 3.75 and Up Vol > 55% before chasing long, stop loss at 3.70, target 4.00, risk-reward ratio 2.5.

Cautious: If it falls below 3.60, go short, stop loss at 3.66, target 3.36, risk-reward ratio 2.4.

Risk Warning: If 3.60 is breached with volume, the strategy will be invalid; macro black swan events or BTC breaking levels will amplify declines.

【LP Market Making】

It is recommended to place dual-sided LP in the range of 3.68-3.82: the range covers POC and the upper and lower HVN, with volatility contraction + dense trading, high fee income; if the price breaks out of the range, it can be smoothly migrated to the next HVN band.

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Thanks to “Silicon-based Liquidity” for providing the foundational large model!

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$SUI #美国7月PPI年率高于预期