“LAYER 0.63 Life and Death Line! Is the dealer secretly accumulating? 3 times profit-loss ratio bottom-fishing plan exposed, if missed, wait another 3 months!”

【Summary in One Sentence】

Price is declining with low volume below the 2-week value center of 0.648, and contract positions have decreased for 7 days but encountered hidden buying pressure in the spot market. If 0.60 holds, short covering will trigger a V-shaped rebound.

【Key Interval Structure and Volume Distribution】

1. Value Anchor Area: Heavy selling pressure above POC 0.6478 (Down Vol 65%), sparse buying below, forming a “high cup” shape.

2. High Volume Area: 0.6304–0.6347 (HVN) has a trading volume of 330 million over the last 3 days, serving as a short-term buffer zone; 0.599–0.601 (HVN) is the bottom of the 2-week platform, losing this level will accelerate downward.

3. Low Volume Gaps: 0.573–0.585 (LVN) and 0.691–0.694 (LVN) correspond to quick crossing areas for bullish accumulation/short covering.

4. 70% Volume Coverage Area 0.5956–0.7152; current price at 0.6305 is in the lower 1/3 region, slightly oversold.

【Momentum Verification】

• Down Vol in POC area is 65%, shorts still dominate.

• Up Vol in 0.630 HVN area is only 28%, a breakout above 0.6347 is needed to confirm bullish return.

• The lower Bollinger Band outer edge at 0.6327 has been pierced, RSI at 32 indicates short-term overselling.

【Market Cycle】

Mid-term downward channel + short-term oversold rebound window, if 0.60 holds, it is seen as a late bear market oscillation bottoming.

【Trading Strategy】

• Aggressive: Re-test the LVN edge at 0.628–0.630, Up Vol > 60% and enter upon 15m bullish close, stop-loss at 0.623 (below HVN), target at 0.648 (POC)/0.662, profit-loss ratio 3.1:1.

• Moderate: Wait for a breakout above 0.6347, then enter on a re-test of 0.632–0.634, stop-loss at 0.628, target at 0.648–0.654, profit-loss ratio 2.4:1.

• Conservative: If it breaks below 0.623, abandon long, switch to short between 0.620–0.623, stop-loss at 0.628, target at 0.601, profit-loss ratio 2.8:1.

【Risk Warning】

If 0.623 is lost or 4h Up Vol percentage drops below 40%, the strategy will become invalid; macroeconomic bearish news or a BTC plunge will amplify declines.

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