“NOT not breaking 0.0021, retail investors wailing! One chart to understand the major players' well-laid 'long-short trap', is tonight the time to buy the dip or cut losses?”
【Quick Overview】
NOT has repeatedly touched around 0.0021, with 2 billion chips accumulating at the 'value anchor' of 0.002088, yet facing a net outflow of 240 million in spot transactions— the market is pushing retail investors towards the LVN gap, waiting for the last kill before a quick recovery.
【Key Interval Structure】
1. Value Anchoring Zone (POC): 0.002088
Transaction volume of 8.83 billion, UpVol 58.6%, the main force is still secretly accumulating.
2. High Transaction Volume Zone (HVN)
• 0.001995–0.002003: Upper first buffer, has blocked rebounds three times, accumulating 2.5 billion.
• 0.002072–0.002081: Lower first support, accumulating 1.7 billion, if broken, will accelerate.
3. Low Transaction Volume Gap (LVN)
• 0.001833–0.001860: Lower vacuum zone, once breaking through 0.001987 HVN, can slide to this point instantly.
• 0.002350–0.002397: Upper thin zone, can directly test after breaking through 0.00218 on volume.
4. 70% Transaction Volume Coverage Zone: 0.001972–0.002181
Current price 0.002124 is at the upper edge of 17%, short-term has slightly overbought, but not extreme.
【Momentum Verification】
• POC area UpVol 58.6%, buying pressure slightly prevails;
• 1h-Bollinger lower band 0.002106 just pierced, RSI 48.8 neutral;
• Contract positions down 6.59% in 24h, long-short ratio rises to 2.59, bulls adding positions = passive absorption.
【Market Cycle】
Mid-term still in the later stage of a bear market with consolidation; short-term entering 'induce short - recover' sub-cycle.
【Trading Strategy】
• Steady pullback long: 0.002106–0.002110 (LVN upper edge + Bollinger lower band), stop loss 0.002095 (below HVN), first target 0.002180 (70% interval upper edge), risk-reward ratio 5.7:1.
• Aggressive breakout short: if 1h closes below 0.002095, chase short to 0.001860 LVN, stop loss 0.002110, risk-reward ratio 2.3:1.
• Conservative wait and see: wait for volume to return above 0.002181 and stabilize, then consider following the trend to go long.
【Risk Warning】
If large USDT inflows or macro negative news occur at night, losing the 0.00195 platform, the strategy becomes immediately invalid.
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