Recently, the market has been swinging up and down, making many people anxious: Is a bear market coming? Should we run?
My opinion is very straightforward: The probability of entering a major bear market in the crypto world is extremely low. Why do I dare to say this? The core logic hasn't changed: funds are continuously flowing in (think of those giant whales and institutions), the big narratives (like the traditional funding access brought by Bitcoin ETFs) are still advancing, and technological applications (even if some are just hype) are still being developed. This momentum doesn't look like it's going to cool down completely.
But! Note this 'but'! The risk of significant short-term corrections is real. Don't misunderstand, this correction is not a sign that a bear market is coming; it's more like a 'drama'—the market makers are about to accumulate stocks.
The market is a remedy for all kinds of 'I think'.
Have you noticed an annoying pattern? The market always loves to go against retail investors' 'feelings':
When you feel like 'It's over, it's going to crash!', trembling in fear and wanting to cut your losses: hey, it often doesn't drop, and even gives you a rebound. Why? Because the panic sell-off (like yours) is exactly what the big players and market makers waiting to scoop up at a low price are happy to buy.
When you feel like "The bulls are coming! Charge!", your blood is boiling with FOMO: it can instead give you a 'hard blow', causing a drop. Why? Because the market makers are raising prices to unload their stocks, and when retail investors rush in, they just hand over the goods at a high price.
So, do you see? There's really no need to panic over short-term corrections. For those with sharp eyes and ammunition, this is actually a great opportunity to buy at the bottom; it's the market 'on sale'. The key is understanding the essence of this drama.
To thrive in the crypto world, you must learn to dance with the market makers.
Making money in the crypto world is complex and simple at the same time. The most crucial point is: see through the essence and keep up with the rhythm—especially the rhythm of the market makers (large funds).
Don't let the minute-to-minute fluctuations in the K-line lead you by the nose, getting startled every time.
Don't be fooled by various 'explosive rise and fall' rumors in the groups.
Look at the bigger picture. This point has been emphasized because, looking at the entire investment market, the crypto world is still one of the places with the greatest dividends and the most opportunities.
Projects with certain value: No matter how many air coins are out there now, there are indeed good projects that are doing real work and have application prospects; they have the foundation for long-term growth.
Huge price space: The volatility in the crypto world is frightening, but it also means that once you bet in the right direction, the profit potential is many times that of traditional stocks and real estate. The imagination space is vast enough.
Be wary: those voices urging you to 'buy and sell quickly'.
There is a type of person who is particularly active right now—various 'signal teachers' and 'call gods'. They passionately tell you in groups and channels every day: "There's a short-term opportunity here! Get on board quickly!" "That coin is about to explode/rise, hurry to go long/short!"
Why are they so 'enthusiastic'? Are they really looking out for you? Forget it! The core logic is simple: the more frequently you trade, the more commissions they can earn from the exchanges. Your profits and losses might not matter to them as much as that commission.
Especially for friends who love to trade contracts, calm down and ask yourself with a clear conscience:
If you frequently follow these 'teachers' in trading, has your account balance increased or decreased?
Have you been nervously staring at the market every day, staying up late and exhausting yourself, only to end up making a decent profit? Or did you make a few small gains, only to lose it all in one big drop?
Conclusion: Stay calm and observe the big trends.
Short-term correction ≠ bear market: Understand it as a necessary 'washout' or 'shakeout' of the market, a method for market makers to accumulate stocks. Don't scare yourself.
Counter-emotional trading: When the market is in panic (like the community being silent, everyone shouting to run), stay alert, it might be an opportunity; when the market is in frenzy (everyone flaunting profits, shouting to go all-in), be cautious instead.
Focus on value, think long-term: Don't be disturbed by short-term noise. Deeply research the projects you believe in, hold onto valuable chips, and ignore short-term fluctuations. The biggest gains in the crypto world often belong to those who can hold on.
Stay away from 'trading machines': Be wary of 'teachers' who urge you to trade every day. Trading is not about being more diligent; less movement and acting when you're sure is often more effective.
Investing with spare money is the bottom line: Play with money that you can afford to lose without affecting your life, only then can you maintain a stable mindset, withstand fluctuations, and have the qualifications to wait for big market trends.
Remember: The money in the crypto world is never earned by 'diligently' buying and selling frequently. Understanding the big trends, following the right rhythms (especially those of large funds), controlling your hands, and waiting patiently is the way to go. Don't be frightened by short-term 'fake drops' and miss out on the real feast that follows.
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