TREE Flash Crash in 24 Hours! Deeply Oversold + Main Force Buying, $0.38 Might Become the 'Golden Pit'?
Summary: The price has fallen below the lower edge of the 70% trading volume concentration area, but positions are quietly flowing back, and there may be a 'fake drop, real pull' in the short term.
Key Ranges
• POC: 0.49785 (Maximum Trading, Value Anchor)
• Upper HVN: 0.446~0.504 (Selling Pressure Buffer Zone)
• Lower HVN: 0.407 (First Support)
• LVN: 0.375~0.388 (Low Volume Vacuum, Easy to Break Through Quickly)
• 70% Trading Volume Area: 0.304~1.040, current price at 0.380 is at the lower edge, RSI 34, near Oversold
Momentum Validation
• 0.375~0.388 Range Up Volume Accounts for 78%, Dominated by Buying, Short-Term Rebound Demand
• 0.407 HVN Down Volume Accounts for 55%, If Lost, Will Accelerate Downward
Auxiliary Indicators
• MA200: 0.481, Deviation -21%, Historical Extreme Zone
• Bollinger Bands: Close to Lower Band, Deviation 7%
• Contract Positions: Slight Decrease of -0.95% in the last day, but 4-hour level has increased by 6.2%, Suspected Low-Level Accumulation
Order Book Anomalies
• Far-End Sell Wall at 1.4/0.999, Totaling 566,000 USDT, Needs to be Digested Before Pulling Up
• 2.2 Million USDT Buy Orders at 0.11, 'Cushion' During Extreme Drops
Market Cycle
Bear Market Main Decline Nearing End, in a 'Panic—Bottoming' Transition; If No Black Swan, Watch for Oversold Rebound in the Short Term.
Trading Strategy (15m~1h Level)
Aggressive: Buy in Batches in the 0.375~0.380 Range, Stop Loss at 0.370 (Below HVN), Target 0.407/0.446, Risk-Reward Ratio ≈ 2.8
Conservative: Wait for a Volume Break Above 0.388 LVN at 5m Level to Enter Long, Stop Loss at 0.383, Target 0.407, Risk-Reward Ratio ≈ 3.1
Cautious: If Breaks Below 0.370 and Fails to Rebound Above 0.375, Go Short, Stop Loss at 0.380, Target 0.360, Risk-Reward Ratio ≈ 2.0
Risk Warning
If 1h Closing Price is Below 0.360 and Positions Continue to Increase Downward, Strategy Becomes Invalid.
LP Market Making Suggestion
Place Dual-Sided Liquidity in the 0.360~0.410 Range, Covering Lower HVN and LVN, High Volatility and Active Trading, Fee Income > Funding Rate Cost.
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