【BMT Flash Crash Edge or Gold Dip Buy? 0.0743 Key Node Ultimate Bull-Bear Showdown】
Summary in one sentence: BMT is stuck at the end of the "bear market spring" — the price is consolidating close to the lower Bollinger Band with reduced volume, the upper POC heavy pressure remains unbroken, and the lower LVN vacuum is about to trigger, potentially leading to a violent washout of "first sell then pull up" in the short term.
Key Interval Structure
1. Value Anchor: POC = 0.0863 (220 million Vol), the largest trading pile in the last two weeks, with obvious selling pressure above.
2. HVN Buffer: 0.0848–0.0868 continuous 6 high volume areas, totaling over 1 billion Vol; if the price rebounds to this level, it may face resistance.
3. LVN Gap: 0.0721–0.0725 only 6.2 million Vol; if the bears increase volume, it can drop directly; above 0.0942 is also a gap, and the bulls will accelerate space after breaking through.
4. 70% Coverage Area: 0.0842–0.0921, the current price of 0.0743 has deviated from the lower edge by -12%, short-term oversold.
5. Momentum: Down Vol in the POC area accounts for 58%, still slightly bearish; however, Up Vol near 0.074 has risen to 52%, testing buying interest.
Auxiliary Signals
• MA200 = 0.0764, price deviation -2.8%, slightly oversold.
• 1h lower Bollinger Band 0.0727, mid-band 0.0741, convergence indicates a potential trend change.
• Contract positions down slightly by -0.65% in the last 24 hours, funding rate +0.005%, bears slightly dominate but no extreme.
Cycle Judgment: End of mid-term downward channel oscillation, short-term in the transitional phase of "panic tail - value return".
Trading Strategy (Short-term Quick Play)
Aggressive: When the current price is in the 0.0743–0.0745 range and the LVN 0.0728 is not broken, go long with a light position; stop loss at 0.0721 (outside LVN -0.5ATR≈0.0007), target 0.0815 (first HVN), risk/reward ratio ≈10.3.
Stable: Wait for volume to return to 0.0760 (MA200) and Up Vol > 60% before chasing long, stop loss at 0.0748, target 0.0863 (POC), risk/reward ratio ≈7.6.
Conservative: If volume breaks below 0.0721, go short, stop loss at 0.0730, target 0.0686 prior low, risk/reward ratio ≈4.9.
Risk Warning: If it drops below 0.072 or POC area Down Vol > 65%, the bullish structure fails; be wary of sudden macro sentiment changes and contract liquidation chain reactions.
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