Bitcoin's current 3-week Stochastic RSI structure closely mirrors the 2015–2017 cycle, suggesting the cycle has not yet reached its peak.
The RSI model indicates Bitcoin completed Phase 3, aligning with past cycles where the final top arrived months after the first ATH.
Altcoin strength is rising alongside Bitcoin, reflecting broader capital rotation and signaling deepening participation typical of late-stage bull markets.
Bitcoin’s current cycle progression points toward the final phase of the Stochastic RSI structure, with historical trends showing consistency in price behavior.
Cycle Structure Remains Intact Amid Rising Momentum
Bitcoin continues to follow a pattern reminiscent of the 2015–2017 market cycle, according to a recent post by analyst CryptoCon. The Stochastic RSI on the 3-week chart confirms that the asset has completed Phase 3—the period associated with the first euphoric push to new all-time highs. This structural development now signals the market is transitioning toward Phase 4, often known as the Cycle Top.
CryptoCon noted that the current setup strongly mirrors the timing and rhythm of the previous cycle. In 2017, the final phase followed a similar pattern, arriving after the early-year peak. The current cycle’s January 2025 high mirrors March 2017’s early euphoric breakout. However, data shows that the true market top historically arrives after a pronounced final rally, which has yet to occur.
Stochastic RSI Points to Maturing, Not Completion
The Stochastic RSI cycle model traditionally features four distinct peaks within each full Bitcoin cycle. So far, the 2021–2025 cycle has followed this structure. The red-marked Phase 4, still pending, typically brings exponential price moves and broader market excitement. CryptoCon emphasized that current RSI levels and price action do not reflect the typical behavior seen at a cycle top.
This model suggests the market is not cooling off, but rather preparing for its final growth stage. The ongoing RSI movements show momentum building without entering the overextended zones associated with terminal highs. Observations of earlier premature cycle-end calls have proven to be misaligned with the underlying RSI framework.
Altcoin Market Follows Bitcoin’s Renewed Strength
Alongside Bitcoin’s resilience, altcoins are now beginning to show strength. According to CryptoCon, broader capital rotation has started, which aligns with past market cycle patterns near their final phases. This shift indicates expanding investor participation, often seen in late-stage bull markets.
The convergence of Bitcoin’s rise and altcoin recovery supports the notion that the cycle’s momentum is not exhausted. Historical models, particularly the Stochastic RSI phases, continue to guide market expectations. Unless the final Phase 4 peak completes, the market may still have upward room.
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