“OM surged 17% before retracing to a key area! Seize the 0.33 value anchor, 3x risk-reward ratio for short-term long positions?”
【Summary】
Current price of OM is 0.3078, located at the lower edge of the 0.30-0.31 high transaction dense area. If it can hold above 0.302 LVN in the short term, a rebound to 0.336 POC can be anticipated; stop loss at 0.298, risk-reward ratio ≈ 3:1. Risk: Contract positions have decreased for 24 hours by 2.6%. If it falls below LVN, it may quickly retrace to 0.28.
【Key Area Structure and Volume Distribution】
1. Value Anchoring Area
• POC 0.336 (370 million transaction volume, Up/Down 58%:42%), balanced between buyers and sellers, short-term target.
2. High Transaction Volume Area (HVN)
• 0.302-0.310: Nearly 350 million transactions, Up Volume accounts for 79%, strong support/retracement zone.
• 0.334-0.338: Secondary resistance, if broken with volume, will open up upward space.
3. Low Transaction Volume Gap (LVN)
• 0.247-0.256: Only 32.5 million transactions, price can easily traverse quickly, retracement target.
4. 70% Transaction Volume Coverage Area
• 0.227-0.368, current price is at the upper end of the range, not overbought.
Momentum Validation
• Up Volume 79% in the 0.302-0.310 range, buyers dominate; if it falls below, Down Volume will increase.
Auxiliary Judgment
• MA200 0.261, deviating by 17.8%, still in a bullish trend; 1h Bollinger Band middle track 0.309 has not yet been reclaimed.
• Contract positions have decreased by 2.6% in 24 hours, long-short ratio has dropped from 1.97 to 1.94, be cautious of long liquidation.
【Market Cycle】
Medium-term: After rebounding from 0.19 to 0.416, it has entered a consolidation phase. Currently in a “high position adjustment-retracement confirmation” period. If it holds above 0.30-0.31, it still belongs to a bullish continuation.
【Trading Strategy】
Short-term Long Position
• Entry: 0.302-0.304 (Upper edge of LVN + Lower band of Bollinger)
• Stop Loss: 0.298 (Recent HVN 0.302 lower edge - 0.5×ATR ≈ 0.004)
• Target: 0.336 POC, Secondary level 0.344 HVN
• Risk-Reward Ratio: R≈0.006, T≈0.034, risk-reward ratio ≈ 5.7:1 (Conservatively execute at 3:1)
Risk Control
• Position: Single trade risk ≤ 1% of the account
• Failure: Close below 0.298 at 1h or Up Volume ratio < 50%, immediately stop loss
• Avoid: High volatility during US stock market opening, sudden changes in contract funding rates
Risk Warning
Continuous outflow of contract positions, spot has net outflow for 3 consecutive days; if macro sentiment turns bearish or BTC falls below 65k, OM may quickly retrace.
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