#CryptoMarket4T CFX surged 40% in one day, the price is close to the upper Bollinger band at 0.146, RSI 83.7 is severely overbought; short-term funds are still buying, but positions have surged by 74% and the long-short ratio is rapidly declining, a long squeeze may occur at any time. Conservative traders should wait for a pullback to 0.103-0.105 (POC+HVN) to re-enter, aggressive traders can place a breakout order at 0.149 to chase liquidity, with a unified stop loss of 0.100 and a risk-reward ratio of 2.4:1. Note the large sell orders lurking in the 0.25-0.43 area; if there is a volume dump, the pullback space could reach 25%.
Key interval structure
• Value anchoring area (POC): 0.1027-0.1032, maximum trading in 2 weeks 323 million, concentrated bullish cost.
• High volume area (HVN):
– 0.0751 (227M, bullish defense)
– 0.0989-0.1051 (250-305M, rebound buffer)
– 0.1418-0.1494 (233M, current upper pressure)
• Low volume gap (LVN):
– 0.0703-0.0713 (empty window, if it breaks below 0.10 will quickly test lower)
– 0.1170-0.1180 (Intraday pullback to fill gaps is a short-term buying point)
• 70% Volume coverage area: 0.0732-0.1523, current price 0.146 is at the upper edge, clearly overbought.
Momentum verification
• Up Vol above POC accounts for 56%, still leaning bullish, but in the range of 0.1418-0.1494, Up Vol is only 43%, sellers are beginning to dominate.
• Order book: 0.5% deep buy wall 153,000 vs sell wall 53,000, leaning bullish in the short term; at the far end, there are 2 million USDT sell orders lurking in the range of 0.25-0.43, which will create a liquidity vacuum once triggered.
Market cycle
In the accelerated phase of the second wave of a bull market, contract positions surged by 78.88% in 8 hours, the long-short ratio fell from 3.16 to 1.47, which is a typical 'rise-distribution' phase. If positions no longer increase, the price will pull back to POC to complete value return.
Trading Strategy
1. Aggressive breakout: 0.149 place a buy order (above LVN), stop loss 0.144 (recent HVN lower edge), target 0.162 (2×ATR), risk-reward ratio 2.4:1.
2. Conservative pullback: 0.103-0.105 (POC+HVN overlap) buy in batches, stop loss 0.100 (outside LVN), target 0.120 / 0.135, risk-reward ratio 3.2:1.
3. Counter-trend quick strike: if it spikes to 0.155 after RSI divergence and volume decreases, can short to 0.135, stop loss 0.158, risk-reward ratio 2:1.
Risk Warning
• Contract positions are too high; if bulls close positions or whales place large sell orders at 0.25-0.43, the price could retract 20-25% within 1-2 hours.
• Strategy invalidation: falls below 0.100 (POC+HVN lost) or 15m Up Vol <40%.
• Position ≤ 1% of account, avoid high funding periods, exit immediately if stop loss is triggered, do not add positions.
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