The Federal Reserve officially maintains the interest rate stable at 4.25%-4.50%, keeping the rate unchanged, which is in line with general market expectations. Although this meeting kept the interest rate unchanged, the labor market is on a moderate cooling track, which provides some support for the Federal Reserve to cut rates. The main constraining factor is the re-inflation risk brought about by tariffs; however, under moderate re-inflation pressure, the window for rate cuts in the second half of the year has not completely closed. Considering factors such as the cooling labor market, the inventory cycle entering an active destocking phase, and high expectations for market rate cuts, the Federal Reserve is expected to cut rates 1 to 2 times in the second half of the year.

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