鲍威尔发言
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美联储主席鲍威尔警告市场不应指望联储出手救市，并坦言特朗普的政策变化带来巨大不确定性。与此同时，他指出加密货币正逐渐成为主流，稳定币监管也或将迎来放宽。你怎么看鲍威尔最新一系列表态对市场情绪的影响？欢迎评论区讨论。
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The daily line closed bearish yesterday, and influenced by the previous large bearish candlestick, the overall market has once again returned to a downward channel, with the situation still favoring bears. Friends trading on a swing and medium to long-term basis do not need to rush to exit.
On the 4-hour line, a unidirectional downward structure has emerged, with sustained bearish volume causing the price to break below the lower track this morning. MACD has once again formed a death cross, and the downward trend of the KDJ three lines is evident. There is still space below in the short term, and trading volume has decreased at the current price, necessitating caution against a certain degree of rebound.
On the hourly line, after a slight struggle in the morning, the market continues to decline. There are no signs of a turnaround in the downward trend of the middle and lower tracks, and the strong bearish volume in the short term has caused a divergence with the upper track. Other technical indicators are also heading downward. It appears that there will be a consolidation adjustment around 78000; if it fails to stabilize above 7800, then the intraday points could range from 78000 to 72000.
#鲍威尔发言 #加密市场回调 #美国加征关税
In the morning, for short-term large Bitcoin, refer to around 77500, looking at 76000; for Ethereum, refer to around 1550, looking at 1500.
On the 4-hour line, a unidirectional downward structure has emerged, with sustained bearish volume causing the price to break below the lower track this morning. MACD has once again formed a death cross, and the downward trend of the KDJ three lines is evident. There is still space below in the short term, and trading volume has decreased at the current price, necessitating caution against a certain degree of rebound.
On the hourly line, after a slight struggle in the morning, the market continues to decline. There are no signs of a turnaround in the downward trend of the middle and lower tracks, and the strong bearish volume in the short term has caused a divergence with the upper track. Other technical indicators are also heading downward. It appears that there will be a consolidation adjustment around 78000; if it fails to stabilize above 7800, then the intraday points could range from 78000 to 72000.
#鲍威尔发言 #加密市场回调 #美国加征关税
In the morning, for short-term large Bitcoin, refer to around 77500, looking at 76000; for Ethereum, refer to around 1550, looking at 1500.
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This weekend, the market for this pastry is as stagnant as dead water, but luckily, my aunt gave a little boost and made a small profit!
The pastry went from 82869 to 82622, cashing out 247 points in the range, and my aunt went from 1792 to 1774, earning 18 points, totaling a gain of three thousand six hundred dollars! $BTC $ETH $BTC #分散资产 #鲍威尔发言 #加密市场回调 #美国加征关税
The pastry went from 82869 to 82622, cashing out 247 points in the range, and my aunt went from 1792 to 1774, earning 18 points, totaling a gain of three thousand six hundred dollars! $BTC $ETH $BTC #分散资产 #鲍威尔发言 #加密市场回调 #美国加征关税
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Currently, Old Bao adapts to change without changing, following the big boss is always the right choice.
The current K-line chart is running with the dominance of the kongs, with all moving averages continuously extending downward, indicating that the momentum of the kongs is strong at this time. The big pie has fallen below the 82,000 mark,
and the second pie is also linked to the big pie, having continuously dropped nearly a hundred points since yesterday afternoon.
In the early morning, Yumi is still mainly operating based on the kongs. Currently, the short-term support levels are at 80,800/1,700. We will see if the market can reach the support level; if the kongs continue to descend, the 80,000 mark may not hold, and a sharp drop will follow. Conversely, it may trend sideways, or after hitting the bottom, there may be a short-term rebound; watch for resistance levels at 840/1,850.
At this time, we cannot let our guard down. From a long-term perspective, the big pie and the second pie have both been declining since last December's high. There are no clear signals for when they will hit the bottom and rebound. As the future is unclear, it is wise to proceed cautiously and take slow steps when walking in the dark, so that we can go further.
The current K-line chart is running with the dominance of the kongs, with all moving averages continuously extending downward, indicating that the momentum of the kongs is strong at this time. The big pie has fallen below the 82,000 mark,
and the second pie is also linked to the big pie, having continuously dropped nearly a hundred points since yesterday afternoon.
In the early morning, Yumi is still mainly operating based on the kongs. Currently, the short-term support levels are at 80,800/1,700. We will see if the market can reach the support level; if the kongs continue to descend, the 80,000 mark may not hold, and a sharp drop will follow. Conversely, it may trend sideways, or after hitting the bottom, there may be a short-term rebound; watch for resistance levels at 840/1,850.
At this time, we cannot let our guard down. From a long-term perspective, the big pie and the second pie have both been declining since last December's high. There are no clear signals for when they will hit the bottom and rebound. As the future is unclear, it is wise to proceed cautiously and take slow steps when walking in the dark, so that we can go further.
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Analyze the four-hour K-line chart, the current market is under contraction control, trading volume is declining, showing obvious shrinkage. The current price of Yitai is 1780.
It is recommended to set up short-term short positions, targeting a drop to 1700. The support at 1770 is strong and likely to serve as a bottom. When the price of Yitai reaches 1770, consider going long, with the first target at 1800 and the second target at 1850. #鲍威尔发言
It is recommended to set up short-term short positions, targeting a drop to 1700. The support at 1770 is strong and likely to serve as a bottom. When the price of Yitai reaches 1770, consider going long, with the first target at 1800 and the second target at 1850. #鲍威尔发言
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The bloody moments have continued since last week. Is this a competition to see who can make the harshest remarks? What is Trump really up to?
On the evening of the 4th, the non-farm payrolls exceeded expectations, but the market reaction was not intense. Compared to the massive fluctuations caused by Trump's tariffs, the non-farm data is becoming less significant.
With tariffs in place, the expectation for a Federal Reserve rate cut has risen, shifting from three cuts to a 50% probability of a fourth cut.
Whether deflation and inflation can offset each other during the financial crisis, no one knows what Trump is really planning.
U.S. stocks have surged, what passive effects will this have on the crypto market?
The whole market is in a bizarre atmosphere. Bitcoin has stopped falling after dropping from 4.3 to around 812. Youmi mentioned that 810 is a support point. Currently, the movements over the past few days show that the market is stuck in the 850-810 range, oscillating back and forth, unable to break above or below.
On April 5th, Old Powell's speech was quite impressive: "Even if the sky falls, we must stabilize the economy!" This strong reassurance indicates that the situation is quite tricky and becoming increasingly difficult.
The bearish sentiment in the market has indeed been surprisingly consistent. Mainly because there are no reasons to be bullish, but the probability of the market going haywire seems low.
Remember, the crypto circle is counterintuitive; whichever side has a louder voice, that’s the opposite of what will happen. Currently, stuck in limbo, you can just guess.
Max and Trump, who once walked hand in hand, are now drifting apart. "I’m the one leading the charge, and now you want to take my stronghold? Then I must publicly declare—support zero tariffs and sing against you," Ma has lost the patience to play with these politicians; his own company is in turmoil.
Currently, Youmi believes we are back to a choppy dog-walking scenario. Let's see the results of the tariffs on April 9th. The current downward oscillation seems acceptable, but this week remains precarious. The 80K position is hanging by a thread! However, we also need to stay alert for any major moves from the big players to avoid being caught off guard.
#分散资产 #鲍威尔发言 #加密市场回调 #美国加征关税 #巨鲸动向
On the evening of the 4th, the non-farm payrolls exceeded expectations, but the market reaction was not intense. Compared to the massive fluctuations caused by Trump's tariffs, the non-farm data is becoming less significant.
With tariffs in place, the expectation for a Federal Reserve rate cut has risen, shifting from three cuts to a 50% probability of a fourth cut.
Whether deflation and inflation can offset each other during the financial crisis, no one knows what Trump is really planning.
U.S. stocks have surged, what passive effects will this have on the crypto market?
The whole market is in a bizarre atmosphere. Bitcoin has stopped falling after dropping from 4.3 to around 812. Youmi mentioned that 810 is a support point. Currently, the movements over the past few days show that the market is stuck in the 850-810 range, oscillating back and forth, unable to break above or below.
On April 5th, Old Powell's speech was quite impressive: "Even if the sky falls, we must stabilize the economy!" This strong reassurance indicates that the situation is quite tricky and becoming increasingly difficult.
The bearish sentiment in the market has indeed been surprisingly consistent. Mainly because there are no reasons to be bullish, but the probability of the market going haywire seems low.
Remember, the crypto circle is counterintuitive; whichever side has a louder voice, that’s the opposite of what will happen. Currently, stuck in limbo, you can just guess.
Max and Trump, who once walked hand in hand, are now drifting apart. "I’m the one leading the charge, and now you want to take my stronghold? Then I must publicly declare—support zero tariffs and sing against you," Ma has lost the patience to play with these politicians; his own company is in turmoil.
Currently, Youmi believes we are back to a choppy dog-walking scenario. Let's see the results of the tariffs on April 9th. The current downward oscillation seems acceptable, but this week remains precarious. The 80K position is hanging by a thread! However, we also need to stay alert for any major moves from the big players to avoid being caught off guard.
#分散资产 #鲍威尔发言 #加密市场回调 #美国加征关税 #巨鲸动向
In the afternoon, Youmi mentioned a horizontal adjustment, and as a result, the big pie was oscillating around 830 all afternoon. Aunty started to follow the painting door route in the evening, and the fluctuations of Hangqin in the afternoon were not too significant.
Currently, from the hourly chart, it seems that the decline cannot go much lower. The support below is gradually rising, and the duo is gradually recovering to an upward oscillation track.
In the evening, first look for a retracement of the duo to see if Hangqin can bounce back to around 850/1850. If the duo puts in effort, we can look upwards to 875/1920; otherwise, we will firmly hold the strong support level at 810/1750. If it touches the bottom without breaking, it will be the timing to enter the market at the low point of the retracement.
Currently, from the hourly chart, it seems that the decline cannot go much lower. The support below is gradually rising, and the duo is gradually recovering to an upward oscillation track.
In the evening, first look for a retracement of the duo to see if Hangqin can bounce back to around 850/1850. If the duo puts in effort, we can look upwards to 875/1920; otherwise, we will firmly hold the strong support level at 810/1750. If it touches the bottom without breaking, it will be the timing to enter the market at the low point of the retracement.
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According to CME's "FedWatch" data, the probability of a rate cut of 25 basis points in May is only 33.3%, while the likelihood of maintaining interest rates is as high as 66.7%.
What does this mean? Simply put, the market's fantasy of a rate cut in May is quickly cooling.
Of course, the market trades on expectations, and when expectations cool, it inherently affects sentiment. The next few weeks are a key phase for repricing interest rate expectations, which could very well be the ignition point or turning point for the next round of market movements.
#分散资产 #鲍威尔发言 #加密市场回调 #美国加征关税 #巨鲸动向
What does this mean? Simply put, the market's fantasy of a rate cut in May is quickly cooling.
Of course, the market trades on expectations, and when expectations cool, it inherently affects sentiment. The next few weeks are a key phase for repricing interest rate expectations, which could very well be the ignition point or turning point for the next round of market movements.
#分散资产 #鲍威尔发言 #加密市场回调 #美国加征关税 #巨鲸动向
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Bitcoin touched around 80,000 today and then rebounded to the 87,000 mark,
The volatility is astonishing; a drop is a good thing!
Releasing a large amount of liquidity, replenishing altcoins!
Altcoins have also seen significant declines,
Based on past market trends,
A 5% drop in Bitcoin,
Altcoins typically plummet by at least 10% or more!
Bitcoin's market share continues to decline,
This may be beneficial for altcoins!
Bringing better upward momentum to the crypto space in the future.
The volatility is astonishing; a drop is a good thing!
Releasing a large amount of liquidity, replenishing altcoins!
Altcoins have also seen significant declines,
Based on past market trends,
A 5% drop in Bitcoin,
Altcoins typically plummet by at least 10% or more!
Bitcoin's market share continues to decline,
This may be beneficial for altcoins!
Bringing better upward momentum to the crypto space in the future.
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#鲍威尔发言
Powell's Latest Statement: Even if Mars Collides with Earth, the Economy Must Stay Strong!
On April 5, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell dropped a bombshell! Don't be fooled by the old man's slow speech; every word is packed with intensity, and the financial markets immediately perked up to listen.
The strongest statement was: "Even if the sky falls, we must stabilize the economy!" This is not just idle chatter from the old man; it's clearly a preemptive warning to the global markets!
Powell's Latest Statement: Even if Mars Collides with Earth, the Economy Must Stay Strong!
On April 5, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell dropped a bombshell! Don't be fooled by the old man's slow speech; every word is packed with intensity, and the financial markets immediately perked up to listen.
The strongest statement was: "Even if the sky falls, we must stabilize the economy!" This is not just idle chatter from the old man; it's clearly a preemptive warning to the global markets!
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#鲍威尔发言
Powell's latest statement: Even if Mars collides with Earth, the economy must stay steady!
On April 5th, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell dropped a bombshell! Don't be fooled by the old man's slow speech; every word is loaded with meaning, and the financial markets immediately perked up to listen.
The most striking statement was: "Even if the sky falls, we must stabilize the economy!" This isn't just idle chatter from the old man; it's clearly a preemptive warning to global markets!
Let's break it down:
1. Walking a Tightrope
The job market is currently sizzling, the domestic economy looks robust, but export data is like a frost-bitten eggplant. The international situation appears calm on the surface, but there are hidden reefs beneath. The Federal Reserve is now like a tightrope walker in the air; if they're not careful, they could take a tumble.
Powell's latest statement: Even if Mars collides with Earth, the economy must stay steady!
On April 5th, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell dropped a bombshell! Don't be fooled by the old man's slow speech; every word is loaded with meaning, and the financial markets immediately perked up to listen.
The most striking statement was: "Even if the sky falls, we must stabilize the economy!" This isn't just idle chatter from the old man; it's clearly a preemptive warning to global markets!
Let's break it down:
1. Walking a Tightrope
The job market is currently sizzling, the domestic economy looks robust, but export data is like a frost-bitten eggplant. The international situation appears calm on the surface, but there are hidden reefs beneath. The Federal Reserve is now like a tightrope walker in the air; if they're not careful, they could take a tumble.
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This person, Old Powell, is actually a "master of expectation management." He sees that recent inflation expectations have risen again due to increased tariffs, and his professional background does not allow him to play dumb. Also, don't forget an important background: he is actually quite unhappy with Trump's style of casually intervening in the Fed and casually raising tariffs. He is now guarding not just the policy line, but also his position in history. After all, anyone doing this job wants to leave behind some evaluation of "how stable I was back in the day."
In last night's discussion, there were two particularly interesting details:
1. Old Powell said that the Fed cannot prevent a recession, it can only step in after a recession has arrived. But didn't he cut rates by 100 basis points in advance last year? Isn't that just slapping himself in the face?
2. Even funnier is that last night was not even an interest rate meeting; it was just his speech, and Trump couldn't help but urge for a rate cut on social media. The question is, if you don't hold a meeting first, who are you cutting rates for? The outcome of the game between the president and the Fed is already written — Trump will win because he is the president. Old Powell understands this too, but he just wants to hold on a bit longer, at least to leave himself a chance to exit with dignity.
In last night's discussion, there were two particularly interesting details:
1. Old Powell said that the Fed cannot prevent a recession, it can only step in after a recession has arrived. But didn't he cut rates by 100 basis points in advance last year? Isn't that just slapping himself in the face?
2. Even funnier is that last night was not even an interest rate meeting; it was just his speech, and Trump couldn't help but urge for a rate cut on social media. The question is, if you don't hold a meeting first, who are you cutting rates for? The outcome of the game between the president and the Fed is already written — Trump will win because he is the president. Old Powell understands this too, but he just wants to hold on a bit longer, at least to leave himself a chance to exit with dignity.
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Classic Trading Volume Mnemonics
Buy slowly when the market is flat, sell quickly when the crowd is loud
A steady rise can last long, let go when the rocket peaks
Don't panic during a sharp drop with no volume, run fast during a prolonged decline with volume
Pulling onions from dry ground, don't spend money digging deep pits
Follow Brother Hao's steps
Ten thousand US dollars is not a dream
Keep up the speed
$BTC $ETH
#分散资产 #鲍威尔发言 #加密市场回调 #美国加征关税 #Alpha2.0爆款冲击
Buy slowly when the market is flat, sell quickly when the crowd is loud
A steady rise can last long, let go when the rocket peaks
Don't panic during a sharp drop with no volume, run fast during a prolonged decline with volume
Pulling onions from dry ground, don't spend money digging deep pits
Follow Brother Hao's steps
Ten thousand US dollars is not a dream
Keep up the speed
$BTC $ETH
#分散资产 #鲍威尔发言 #加密市场回调 #美国加征关税 #Alpha2.0爆款冲击
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