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鲍威尔发言

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鲍威尔今夜的讲话或将成为决定市场情绪走向的关键时刻,是开启新一轮宽松周期的信号,还是进一步加深市场调整的导火索?你认为他会释放鸽派还是鹰派信号?
链上绮禾
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Tonight, the global market focuses on the Federal Reserve's FOMC meeting, a long-awaited storm is about to unfold. This meeting is not only about short-term trends but is also a crucial turning point for market sentiment and liquidity in the second half of the year. Currently, the market has extremely high expectations for a 25 basis point rate cut. The suspense lies not in 'whether to cut rates,' but in the subsequent policy tone and forward guidance. If the meeting releases a 'hawkish rate cut' signal, that is, if a rate cut is implemented but emphasizes inflation uncertainty and hints at a slowdown in easing measures, it may trigger a correction as 'expectations are fulfilled and good news is fully priced in.' The real game lies in Powell's speech wording and the dot plot's implications for the 2026 path. From recent market performance, some funds have already positioned themselves in anticipation of rate cuts and liquidity improvements. Ethereum's rapid surge, large withdrawals, and the accumulation of leverage in Bitcoin futures all indicate a bullish market sentiment, but at the same time, a certain level of fragility has accumulated. If the monetary policy signal turns out to be less dovish than expected, short-term profit-taking and position adjustments may lead to significant volatility. Key price levels remain the focus of technical observation. The strong resistance area above Bitcoin to watch is the 92000-94000 range; only if it holds can we look towards higher spaces. The support reference below is the 91500-92000 watershed; if it falls below, we need to pay attention to the support strength in the 88000-89500 area. Ethereum needs to break through and hold the psychological level of 3400, with short-term support around 3250. Before and after major events, the market often shows emotional fluctuations. Investors are advised to avoid heavy one-way bets and closely monitor the price reaction to key levels. If it can remain steadily above the resistance after news is released, it may be appropriate to take small positions in line with the trend; conversely, if there is a quick retreat forming a 'false breakout,' then we must be cautious about short-term reversal risks. Always remember: the market often rises on expectations and adjusts after fulfillment. In the eye of the storm tonight, staying calm and adhering to risk control is far more important than chasing volatility. I am Qi He from the cryptocurrency circle, give me a follow, + chat room to help you avoid pitfalls, teaching you how to seize this wave of market and catch the big fish! If you don't know how to time it, Qi He will provide real-time analysis in the village, giving you the current best entry point. #鲍威尔发言 #加密市场反弹
Tonight, the global market focuses on the Federal Reserve's FOMC meeting, a long-awaited storm is about to unfold. This meeting is not only about short-term trends but is also a crucial turning point for market sentiment and liquidity in the second half of the year.

Currently, the market has extremely high expectations for a 25 basis point rate cut. The suspense lies not in 'whether to cut rates,' but in the subsequent policy tone and forward guidance. If the meeting releases a 'hawkish rate cut' signal, that is, if a rate cut is implemented but emphasizes inflation uncertainty and hints at a slowdown in easing measures, it may trigger a correction as 'expectations are fulfilled and good news is fully priced in.'

The real game lies in Powell's speech wording and the dot plot's implications for the 2026 path.

From recent market performance, some funds have already positioned themselves in anticipation of rate cuts and liquidity improvements. Ethereum's rapid surge, large withdrawals, and the accumulation of leverage in Bitcoin futures all indicate a bullish market sentiment, but at the same time, a certain level of fragility has accumulated. If the monetary policy signal turns out to be less dovish than expected, short-term profit-taking and position adjustments may lead to significant volatility.

Key price levels remain the focus of technical observation. The strong resistance area above Bitcoin to watch is the 92000-94000 range; only if it holds can we look towards higher spaces. The support reference below is the 91500-92000 watershed; if it falls below, we need to pay attention to the support strength in the 88000-89500 area. Ethereum needs to break through and hold the psychological level of 3400, with short-term support around 3250.

Before and after major events, the market often shows emotional fluctuations. Investors are advised to avoid heavy one-way bets and closely monitor the price reaction to key levels. If it can remain steadily above the resistance after news is released, it may be appropriate to take small positions in line with the trend; conversely, if there is a quick retreat forming a 'false breakout,' then we must be cautious about short-term reversal risks.

Always remember: the market often rises on expectations and adjusts after fulfillment. In the eye of the storm tonight, staying calm and adhering to risk control is far more important than chasing volatility.

I am Qi He from the cryptocurrency circle, give me a follow, + chat room to help you avoid pitfalls, teaching you how to seize this wave of market and catch the big fish! If you don't know how to time it, Qi He will provide real-time analysis in the village, giving you the current best entry point.
#鲍威尔发言 #加密市场反弹
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Last night at eleven o'clock, I was about to go to sleep when a friend from an investment bank suddenly sent me a message: 'Pay attention, there are rumors that Powell may be leaving, and there will be news tomorrow at 7 PM.' I was completely awake at that moment... If this is true, the global market is likely to explode tonight. In simple terms, Powell is not an ordinary official; he is basically equivalent to the 'conductor' of global capital flows. With one sentence from him, hundreds of billions of dollars could change direction. Now suddenly hearing that he might leave? The market immediately became tense, with the dollar, interest rates, liquidity... all potentially being repriced. I can summarize the impact on the crypto market in three points: ① Policy uncertainty skyrockets → funds will pull back first, and the wait-and-see sentiment will be heavy. No one knows what the next person will think, so the market is even more reluctant to move. Some funds might withdraw first and then look for direction again. Crypto may be treated as a safe haven, or it could be hit first, depending on sentiment. ② Volatility is definitely coming, and it might be quite fierce. When a figure of this level has any slight change, emotions will inevitably be ignited. Panic selling, liquidations... the crypto market is particularly sensitive to emotions, so everyone should be mentally prepared. ③ If the new chairman is dovish → it’s a long-term positive for crypto. If the next person is more inclined to cut interest rates and increase liquidity, it means the dollar weakens and liquidity increases. When there is a lot of money, high-risk assets often rise—Bitcoin and Ethereum are likely to become one of the choices for capital. In the end, I still say: Don't gamble big money on news; the market will always change, but staying alive is the most important. Regardless of whether Powell ultimately leaves or not, managing positions, enhancing understanding, and controlling risk is the real skill. I am Jia Ge, good at short to medium-term contracts and medium to long-term spot layouts, regularly sharing investment tips and detailed strategy teachings. Friends who don't understand can always reach out to me for communication! #鲍威尔发言
Last night at eleven o'clock, I was about to go to sleep when a friend from an investment bank suddenly sent me a message:
'Pay attention, there are rumors that Powell may be leaving, and there will be news tomorrow at 7 PM.'
I was completely awake at that moment... If this is true, the global market is likely to explode tonight.
In simple terms, Powell is not an ordinary official; he is basically equivalent to the 'conductor' of global capital flows.
With one sentence from him, hundreds of billions of dollars could change direction.
Now suddenly hearing that he might leave? The market immediately became tense, with the dollar, interest rates, liquidity... all potentially being repriced.
I can summarize the impact on the crypto market in three points:
① Policy uncertainty skyrockets → funds will pull back first, and the wait-and-see sentiment will be heavy.
No one knows what the next person will think, so the market is even more reluctant to move. Some funds might withdraw first and then look for direction again. Crypto may be treated as a safe haven, or it could be hit first, depending on sentiment.
② Volatility is definitely coming, and it might be quite fierce.
When a figure of this level has any slight change, emotions will inevitably be ignited.
Panic selling, liquidations... the crypto market is particularly sensitive to emotions, so everyone should be mentally prepared.
③ If the new chairman is dovish → it’s a long-term positive for crypto.
If the next person is more inclined to cut interest rates and increase liquidity, it means the dollar weakens and liquidity increases.
When there is a lot of money, high-risk assets often rise—Bitcoin and Ethereum are likely to become one of the choices for capital.
In the end, I still say:
Don't gamble big money on news; the market will always change, but staying alive is the most important.
Regardless of whether Powell ultimately leaves or not, managing positions, enhancing understanding, and controlling risk is the real skill.
I am Jia Ge, good at short to medium-term contracts and medium to long-term spot layouts, regularly sharing investment tips and detailed strategy teachings. Friends who don't understand can always reach out to me for communication! #鲍威尔发言
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🔥 Binance private chat function is officially launched! Say goodbye to message flooding, precise connection without getting lost ~ 1. Enter 【chat room】 in the search bar to access 2. Click the “➕” in the upper right corner to initiate adding 3. Enter my Binance ID: 1183129131 4. One-click search to lock in the communication channel! Quickly add @墨羽论 for real-time ETH trends, Powell's speech interpretation, and contract trading opportunities, direct messages at the first time ~ Precise layout without delay, walking side by side on the trading path! #ETH走势分析 #鲍威尔发言 #币安新功能
🔥 Binance private chat function is officially launched! Say goodbye to message flooding, precise connection without getting lost ~

1. Enter 【chat room】 in the search bar to access
2. Click the “➕” in the upper right corner to initiate adding
3. Enter my Binance ID: 1183129131
4. One-click search to lock in the communication channel! Quickly add @墨羽论 for real-time ETH trends, Powell's speech interpretation, and contract trading opportunities, direct messages at the first time ~ Precise layout without delay, walking side by side on the trading path!
#ETH走势分析 #鲍威尔发言 #币安新功能
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《Large Bitcoin Withdrawals, Abraxas Strikes Again, Is This a Bottom Buying or Cashing Out?》 Today, another address associated with Abraxas Capital has taken action— withdrawing 1,107 BTC from the exchange at once, with a market value of approximately $93.47 million. Recently, this address has been continuously withdrawing coins, as if someone is silently adding to their position for a larger strategy, or are they cashing out at a high point, preparing to close the curtains? Is the frequent activity of these whale wallets truly coincidental, or do they know more than we can see? What do you think this wave represents: positioning, market manipulation, or is there something else going on? Share your thoughts in the comments. #鲍威尔发言 #Metaplanet增持比特币 #BTC #ETH #巨鲸动向 $BTC $XRP $SOL
《Large Bitcoin Withdrawals, Abraxas Strikes Again, Is This a Bottom Buying or Cashing Out?》
Today, another address associated with Abraxas Capital has taken action— withdrawing 1,107 BTC from the exchange at once, with a market value of approximately $93.47 million.
Recently, this address has been continuously withdrawing coins, as if someone is silently adding to their position for a larger strategy, or are they cashing out at a high point, preparing to close the curtains?
Is the frequent activity of these whale wallets truly coincidental, or do they know more than we can see?
What do you think this wave represents: positioning, market manipulation, or is there something else going on? Share your thoughts in the comments.
#鲍威尔发言 #Metaplanet增持比特币 #BTC #ETH #巨鲸动向 $BTC $XRP $SOL
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The afternoon flight of the harp continues to rise, with Youmi's big pancake and Dandan collecting 643 points of honey. Last night, Aunty Tai's harp sank to a low position, and Youmi seized the opportunity to rebound, entering the market. Dandan and the big pancake unified to exit and collected 24 points of honey in the evening. Small efforts achieve big dreams. Don't use "too late" to dismiss yourself, and don't easily give up because of "impossible". #特朗普施压鲍威尔 #鲍威尔发言 #Metaplanet增持比特币
The afternoon flight of the harp continues to rise, with Youmi's big pancake and Dandan collecting 643 points of honey. Last night, Aunty Tai's harp sank to a low position, and Youmi seized the opportunity to rebound, entering the market. Dandan and the big pancake unified to exit and collected 24 points of honey in the evening.
Small efforts achieve big dreams. Don't use "too late" to dismiss yourself, and don't easily give up because of "impossible".
#特朗普施压鲍威尔 #鲍威尔发言 #Metaplanet增持比特币
youmiETH000
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In the morning, the piano of navigation is running upwards, the pancake briefly breaks through 850, and the aunt links break through 1600, forming a small ascending channel. Yumi's short-term operations on the pancake collect honey at 600.

Currently, from an hourly perspective, the Bollinger Bands show an upward opening trend, although short-term is biased towards the head. However, the K-line has tested support and resistance multiple times around 850, indicating certain consolidation characteristics.

The MACD lines are approaching on the four-hour chart, and the histogram is shrinking, indicating weakening momentum. Moreover, the RSI does not show significant overbought or oversold conditions. If the navigation piano can reach 860 in the future, there is hope for a breakout from the recent fluctuations. Conversely, it may continue to maintain a sideways oscillation state.

Yumi continues to operate with high sell and low buy strategies, expecting the navigation piano to operate in the 835-855 range in the afternoon. #Metaplanet增持比特币 #鲍威尔发言 #特朗普施压鲍威尔
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Bullish
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The evening volatility continues to rise, and the Bollinger Bands on the hourly chart are continuously expanding upwards, indicating that the momentum is still strong and the MACD lines are moving up continuously. Currently, we are watching whether the volatility can maintain momentum above 860. If it continues to rise, we will look towards the 880 resistance level. If there is still selling pressure above in the future, and the oscillating market continues, we will first watch for a rebound at the 863 level and look down towards around 838. In the evening, we expect a short-term pullback first. For Bitcoin, we are looking at around 868. For Ethereum, we are looking at around 1650, with further attention to #特朗普施压鲍威尔 #鲍威尔发言 #Metaplanet增持比特币 .
The evening volatility continues to rise, and the Bollinger Bands on the hourly chart are continuously expanding upwards, indicating that the momentum is still strong and the MACD lines are moving up continuously.
Currently, we are watching whether the volatility can maintain momentum above 860. If it continues to rise, we will look towards the 880 resistance level. If there is still selling pressure above in the future, and the oscillating market continues, we will first watch for a rebound at the 863 level and look down towards around 838.
In the evening, we expect a short-term pullback first.
For Bitcoin, we are looking at around 868.
For Ethereum, we are looking at around 1650, with further attention to #特朗普施压鲍威尔 #鲍威尔发言 #Metaplanet增持比特币 .
youmiETH000
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The afternoon flight of the harp continues to rise, with Youmi's big pancake and Dandan collecting 643 points of honey. Last night, Aunty Tai's harp sank to a low position, and Youmi seized the opportunity to rebound, entering the market. Dandan and the big pancake unified to exit and collected 24 points of honey in the evening.
Small efforts achieve big dreams. Don't use "too late" to dismiss yourself, and don't easily give up because of "impossible".
#特朗普施压鲍威尔 #鲍威尔发言 #Metaplanet增持比特币
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#鲍威尔发言 Powell Congressional Hearing: Reaffirming Commitment to Curb Inflation Federal Reserve Chairman Powell emphasized at the July congressional hearing that, despite the June CPI falling to 3.4%, there remains a gap to the 2% target. He particularly noted that core services inflation remains high at 4.1%, with housing costs rising 5.6% year-on-year, which is a major obstacle to reducing inflation. Powell made it clear: "It is necessary to maintain a restrictive policy stance until there is confidence that inflation is sustainably declining." This hawkish statement led to an increase in market expectations for a rate hike in September from 30% to 55%, and the yield on 2-year U.S. Treasuries rose by 15 basis points to 4.8%.
#鲍威尔发言 Powell Congressional Hearing: Reaffirming Commitment to Curb Inflation
Federal Reserve Chairman Powell emphasized at the July congressional hearing that, despite the June CPI falling to 3.4%, there remains a gap to the 2% target. He particularly noted that core services inflation remains high at 4.1%, with housing costs rising 5.6% year-on-year, which is a major obstacle to reducing inflation. Powell made it clear: "It is necessary to maintain a restrictive policy stance until there is confidence that inflation is sustainably declining." This hawkish statement led to an increase in market expectations for a rate hike in September from 30% to 55%, and the yield on 2-year U.S. Treasuries rose by 15 basis points to 4.8%.
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Bullish
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The Federal Reserve continues to maintain interest rates, in line with market expectations As expected, no change. Everyone could guess this, and the market didn't have much fluctuation. The Federal Reserve's dot plot indicates that they expect to cut rates twice in 2025. Can you provide specific timings for these cuts? A rough estimate would be fine; being ambiguous makes people hopeful yet disappointed. Old Powell's speech is just a bunch of nonsense, all empty talk. Without any news stimuli, the upcoming market will still fluctuate up and down, and we can only focus on the short term. The current market either requires trading in waves or exploring new opportunities to lay out a chance. Otherwise, you'll just be left hanging by the market like this! What do you think? #鲍威尔发言 #美联储FOMC会议
The Federal Reserve continues to maintain interest rates, in line with market expectations

As expected, no change. Everyone could guess this, and the market didn't have much fluctuation.

The Federal Reserve's dot plot indicates that they expect to cut rates twice in 2025. Can you provide specific timings for these cuts? A rough estimate would be fine; being ambiguous makes people hopeful yet disappointed.

Old Powell's speech is just a bunch of nonsense, all empty talk.

Without any news stimuli, the upcoming market will still fluctuate up and down, and we can only focus on the short term.

The current market either requires trading in waves or exploring new opportunities to lay out a chance.

Otherwise, you'll just be left hanging by the market like this!

What do you think?

#鲍威尔发言 #美联储FOMC会议
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