区块链沐丰

Afternoon Analysis:
From a technical perspective: In terms of the MACD indicator, the current dual lines are still operating above the zero axis, but the red momentum bars show a contracting trend, reflecting a decline in market buying momentum, indicating a potential technical correction demand. The RSI (Relative Strength Index) is consolidating around the 50 midline, with both sides showing a stalemate, and no obvious one-sided driving signal has formed yet. The moving average system shows that the short-term moving average combination formed by EMA7 and EMA30 has successfully crossed above the long-term moving average EMA120. The medium-term upward channel remains intact, but the current price is close to the sensitive support level of EMA7, which requires close observation of the effectiveness of this moving average.

It is worth noting that the market price has formed a horizontal oscillation pattern near the key integer level of 95000. This area has become an important technical platform for market competition, and subsequent breakout directions may become key signals for trend evolution.

The afternoon trading thought remains unchanged:
Bitcoin: Trade in the range of 94800-95300, target 93500.
Ethereum: Trade in the range of 1800-1820, target 1750.
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The daily level shows a high-level oscillation pattern, and the price has entered a phase of adjustment. However, from the analysis of the four smaller timeframes, the Bollinger Bands are gradually flattening, and the price is fluctuating within the range of 92000 - 96000, forming a relatively clear oscillation range.
From the hourly level, there are signs of a certain degree of pullback, but overall it still maintains a high-level oscillation state. Looking at the technical indicators, the current MACD histogram shows a certain divergence, and the fast and slow lines are gradually approaching, which often indicates a need for adjustment in the short term. The RSI value is already close to the overbought area (currently at 46), but it has not yet fully entered the overbought state, indicating that market sentiment is relatively optimistic, but investors still need to be wary of the risk of pullback.
In summary, it is recommended to focus on rebound strategies in the morning operations.
Bitcoin rebound: range of 95000-95500, target 93500
Ethereum rebound: range of 1800-1820, target 1750
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Early Morning Thoughts:
The current market has fallen as expected, and the rebound strength is relatively weak. Given that the market has oscillated around this position multiple times recently, there is still a certain expectation for a rebound, although the expected range is not large.

From the daily chart perspective, Bitcoin and Ethereum have both broken below the MA7 moving average, at levels of 94000 and 1780 respectively. In the latter half of the night, it is important to observe whether it can push up again and stabilize at this key position. After the daily market peaked and retraced, it has broken below the daily low, showing an overall weakening trend.

From the four-hour and eight-hour perspective, the Bollinger Bands have started to contract significantly, indicating that the market's continuity is not strong. There is still an expectation for a rebound during the early morning period, with key resistance levels to pay attention to at 1800 and 95000. The market is expected to retreat after the rebound. Operations should closely monitor the breakthroughs and pressure situations at these key levels, and manage risks appropriately.

Bitcoin: Range 94300-94800, Target 92500
Ethereum: Range 1780-1800, Target 1730
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Monday Analysis:

The market trend over the weekend was weak, continuing to fluctuate. Fortunately, the overall strategy remains unchanged, and the big pie successfully reached 1400 points, while the auntie gained 50 points.

From the observation of the four-hour K-line structure, the key support level of the big pie at 94200 was effectively broken, leading the price to accelerate down to the intraday low of 93200. Although a long lower shadow line appeared, rebounding to around 93500 and fluctuating, the MACD indicator shows a clear divergence between volume and price. It's worth noting that the current RSI value has entered the oversold zone, and a bottom divergence pattern has appeared on the 30-minute K-line, suggesting that a technical correction may be on the horizon for the short term. However, the EMA60 moving average at the daily level has a significant resistance, and the rebound space is expected to be limited.

Therefore, it is still recommended to focus on high pie in the morning!
Big pie: range of 93300-93800, target 91500
Auntie: range of 1780-1800, target 1700
The market situation changes rapidly, and the above suggestions are for reference only. Specific operations should be based on actual conditions!
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Last night's lottery was also successfully secured, with a big pancake at 1400 points and an aunt at 50 points. Isn't this a solid happiness for those who followed along!
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The weekend market trend is caught in a stalemate, maintaining a range-bound oscillation pattern throughout the day. The price clearly faced resistance and fell back after hitting the upper Bollinger Band channel, indicating that there is strong selling pressure above. Meanwhile, the market is constantly testing the strength of the support below. Overall, it is expected that the market will continue to exhibit a range-bound oscillation in the short term. Therefore, the strategy for the evening remains unchanged, continuing to focus on short positions.

Big Coin: 94200-94700 range, target 92500
Auntie: 1800-1820 range, target 1750
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Bitcoin daily chart shows a doji, indicating weak market momentum; on the 4-hour level, price fluctuations are gradually converging, forming a typical range consolidation structure. The on-chain liquidation heatmap conveys important information, with both bulls and bears forming a high-intensity standoff in the 94000-95500 key area, creating the highest risk overlap in recent months.

From a technical analysis perspective, the market displays a triangular convergence pattern, while trading volume continues to decline. This reduction in volume often signals that the market is about to undergo a change, and the window for such a change may be approaching.

Trading Suggestions:
Bitcoin: range between 94700-95200, target 93500
Ethereum: range between 1830-1850, target 1780
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Fidelity Digital Assets, the cryptocurrency division of Fidelity Investment Group, stated on the platform that the supply of Bitcoin on exchanges is declining due to purchases by publicly listed companies—this trend is expected to accelerate in the near future. Here are some current trends: Exchanges hold 2.6 million Bitcoins, the lowest level since November 2018. Since November 2024, over 425,000 Bitcoins have been withdrawn from exchanges. After the U.S. elections, publicly listed companies increased their holdings by nearly 350,000 Bitcoins. From 2025 to now, publicly listed companies have been purchasing more than 30,000 Bitcoins each month.
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The list is stuck, let's take a look
1. Cut Loss
If you find that buying was a serious mistake, especially when buying at the peak of a previous explosive bull run, you must have the determination to take decisive action and cut losses in a timely manner to ensure the safety of your funds. There are many opportunities in the cryptocurrency market; as long as your funds do not suffer major losses, you can always earn back.

2. Swap Coins
If the cryptocurrency you hold is stuck and in a weak position, still having room to fall, and you accurately judge that another cryptocurrency has significant upside potential and a stronger trend, you can decisively swap to the new cryptocurrency to offset the losses from the old one.

3. Short Selling
When it is determined that you are deeply stuck and cannot cut losses, and the market or a certain cryptocurrency has further downside potential, you can adopt a short selling strategy by selling the stuck cryptocurrency first and buying it back at a lower price to effectively reduce costs.

1. Average Down
If the buying price is not high or you are firmly optimistic about the future market, you can choose to use the averaging down technique. However, ordinary investors can usually only withstand averaging down once or twice, so the timing for averaging down is crucial.

2. Lie Flat
When fully invested and deeply stuck, unable to cut losses or add to your position, you can only passively wait. As long as it is your own money and not borrowed or lent, you can have the patience to wait.

One must not act emotionally and recklessly give up, blindly add to positions, or easily cut losses and act chaotically. Being stuck is not scary; sometimes not being stuck means not making money, and being stuck could even lead to significant profits. Therefore, do not simply view being stuck as a disaster; if handled properly, it can completely transform into an opportunity.
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On Friday morning, Bitcoin continued its tug-of-war pattern, with prices oscillating narrowly between key levels. Technical charts indicate further convergence in market volatility, facing a directional choice in the short term.

From the 4-hour cycle observation, the price has formed a symmetrical triangle convergence after retesting the EMA7 moving average. Although the EMA moving average system remains in a bullish arrangement, attention should be paid to two risk signals: 1: The MACD red momentum bars have continuously shrunk, and the distance between the fast and slow lines is narrowing; 2: The price has reached a new high, but the indicators have not synchronized, showing signs of a top divergence. The current RSI indicator is flattening around 60, indicating a strong wait-and-see sentiment in the market.

Watch the resistance zone at 94500-94800 above; if a bearish engulfing pattern forms, shorts can be arranged; below, there is a convergence support in the 91600-92000 range (EMA21/Bollinger Middle Track/previous lows), and if stabilized with increased volume, long positions can be attempted. Be wary of false break risks at the triangle's end; an effective breakthrough of the 95000 integer mark will open up new upward space.

Morning operation suggestions:
Bitcoin: range from 94000 to 94500, target 92000
Ethereum: range from 1780 to 1800, target 1720
The market changes rapidly; the above suggestions are for reference only, and specific operations should depend on actual circumstances!
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The value of the order continues to rise! Keep 📉 keep holding!
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The insights from the market again confirm that the current trend has already seen thousands of points of fluctuation, and those who are keeping up are enjoying stable happiness!
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Looking back at yesterday's market, Bitcoin once again failed to break through the 95,000 mark and began to come under pressure, dropping to around 92,000. As mentioned yesterday, if the crucial resistance level at 95,000 cannot be broken, it is prudent to be cautious. Although the strategy provided experienced some ups and downs, it ultimately reached the take profit target. Today, the daily chart shows a shift from five consecutive bullish candles to bearish, and the speed of the three lines has noticeably slowed down. There is still upward pressure, so today's strategy will mainly focus on short positions!

Bitcoin: 93,500-94,000 range, target 92,000
Ethereum: 1,800-1,820 range, target 1,750
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Want to turn a small investment into a fortune in the crypto world? Transforming 3,000 into a million? Is it possible? The answer is: absolutely possible! Here’s how to do it:
First, with 3,000, which is about 400 USDT, how do you achieve profit? The best solution is: contract trading.
Step 1: Gradually increase the principal
Each time use 100 USDT to speculate on trending coins.
Set good take profit and stop loss; 100 to 200, 200 to 400, 400 to 800...
Remember: no more than three times! At this stage, luck is also very important. You might earn continuously for 9 times, but you could also lose everything in one go. So control the pace well.
Step 2: Advanced Triple Strategy
If you pass the previous levels and reach a principal of 1,100 USDT, start using the triple strategy to operate:
Ultra-short trades
Use 100 USDT for ultra-short trades at the 15-minute level.
Advantages: quick returns
Disadvantages: high risk
Only trade major coins or top-tier coins.
Strategy trades
Use a small position (like 15 USDT) for contracts at the 4-hour level.
Invest regularly in major coins weekly for long-term accumulation.
Trend trades
Medium to long-term operations, enter directly after identifying a trend.
Advantages: high profits
Disadvantages: requires strong market judgment.
Set appropriate risk-reward ratios and plan ahead.
Making big profits from small investments in crypto contracts isn’t just about taking random bets; it requires systematic operating methods, reasonable position management, and rigorous take profit and stop loss strategies. Earning a million from 3,000 is completely achievable, but the prerequisite is that you must master these strategies, execute each trade well, and proceed steadily.

After a month and a half, Bitcoin once again stands at $90,000. In the past 24 hours, Bitcoin peaked at $94,142 and is currently priced at $93,570, up 7.06%. The last time Bitcoin saw $90,000 was on March 7.

This year, Bitcoin's market has been tumultuous, experiencing a rollercoaster ride. On January 20, it reached an all-time high of $110,000. However, it subsequently fell sharply, dropping to a low of $74,457 on April 7, with a maximum decline of over 32.3%. Just when the bears were preparing to pop champagne, Bitcoin bounced back, having risen 25.5% since the low on April 7.

Bitcoin's return to dominance has ignited the entire crypto universe. Ethereum (ETH) has taken up the 'second brother' banner, soaring 11.5%, while the 'internet celebrity brothers' SOL and Dogecoin recorded increases of 9.34% and 12.3%, respectively. The most impressive performance comes from the emerging force SUI coin, which skyrocketed by 22.4%, leaving holders exclaiming, 'Witness the miracle.' Even the traffic-attracting Trump coin (TRUMP) jumped on the bandwagon with an 11.6% surge.

Bitcoin-related stocks are also putting on a celebratory show: Coinbase's stock price rose by 8.57%, Canaan Creative increased by 8.33%, and mining giants like Bitfarms and Riot Platforms saw their stocks collectively rise, with increases exceeding 5%. Two heavyweight Bitcoin ETFs — ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF and Ishares Bitcoin Trust — also surged, indicating a clear influx of institutional funds.

In this crypto feast, not everyone is celebrating. According to Coinglass data, as Bitcoin broke a seven-week high, over 165,000 leveraged traders suffered 'double kills' in the past 24 hours, with a total liquidation amount reaching $625 million, of which $550 million was short liquidations. This serves as a reminder to the market: when crypto assets dance on the 'tip of the knife', greed and fear often lie just a hair's breadth apart.
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The grand feast of this market cycle has come to an end. Currently, Bitcoin is showing a very strong trend, soaring along the upper Bollinger Band with almost no apparent pullbacks along the way, advancing triumphantly. Previously, the pressure levels above were, in the face of this rapid rise, like paper fortresses, being breached one by one. However, when the price charged towards the 95,000 mark, it encountered strong resistance. The pullback at the 94,000 line undoubtedly indicates that there is strong selling pressure at this price level. Before the 95,000 mark is conquered, chasing prices is certainly not a wise move. Although the trend presented on the chart suggests that Bitcoin still has the potential for further upward movement, blindly chasing prices at this high level poses risks that far outweigh the potential gains, leading to a serious imbalance between risk and reward. Based on the above analysis, the morning's operational strategy suggests focusing on short positions. Bitcoin: range of 93,000-93,500, target 92,000. Ethereum: range of 1,770-1,790, target 1,700. Market conditions change rapidly; the above suggestions are for reference only, and specific operations should be based on actual circumstances!

Evening Strategy

Continuing the day's strategy, maintain the high-level strategy in the evening.

Bitcoin range 88500-89000, target 87500.
Ethereum range 1640-1660, target 1580.

Market conditions change rapidly, the above suggestions are for reference only, specific operations should be based on actual circumstances!
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How to unlock BTC hedging position?
Step 1 of unlocking: Analyze remaining positions
Operational thoughts
First, set the limit order price to your high short position price, maximize the position percentage, and see how much more position you can control.
For example: If you can still control 0.160 BTC after maximizing, then you need to clarify a core idea at this time—each bet can only use one-quarter of the position, which is 0.04 BTC.
Why operate this way?
Because you cannot simply rely on lowering the average price to lock the position space, but rather rely on accurate directional judgment, precise entry points, take-profit points, and stop-loss points, gradually recovering the floating loss.
The core purpose of doing this is:
1. Maintain fund flexibility, avoiding being passive by filling the position all at once.
2. Improve the tolerance rate of trading, leaving yourself room for adjustment and correction.
3. Make full use of trend fluctuations to optimize positions at suitable price points, gradually unlocking positions and even making a profit.
Unlocking is not about holding on stubbornly, but rather through refined trading strategies, gradually turning the situation around.
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From the current market perspective, the daily level still maintains a wide range of oscillation pattern. After the larger cycle fell from the previous high, the coin price has always been operating in a low-level large box range, with insufficient continuation. In the four-hour chart, four consecutive K-lines all have long lower shadows, which clearly indicates that the support strength below is very strong. However, the key resistance level of 88500 has not been effectively broken.
At the hourly level, the Bollinger Bands are narrowing and the trend is tending to flatten, while the MA moving averages still maintain a bullish arrangement. However, the MACD volume is continuously shrinking, indicating that there is pressure for a pullback in the short-term market.
Currently, the market shows two significant characteristics. One is that after continuous rises, the support level is gradually moving up, compressing the oscillation space. The second is that from a technical perspective, the bears seem to have a certain advantage, but the dense support zone below limits the extent of the pullback. The game between the bulls and bears at the high level will continue.

Morning operation suggestions continue to adopt a high short strategy.
Bitcoin: Range of 88500-89000, target 87500
Ethereum: Range of 1600-1620, target 1560
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$ETH

On April 19, globally renowned cryptocurrency asset management firm 21Shares released a report stating that Bitcoin may reach $138,555 by the end of 2025, representing a potential increase of 64% from the current price. This prediction is not unfounded, but is based on two core logics:

1. Historical Cycle Replication: The current market is highly similar to the 2021 bull market, where Bitcoin entered a consolidation phase after breaking $100,000. However, on-chain data shows that the proportion of long-term holders (LTH) continues to rise, with an average holding period exceeding 155 days, indicating that investors are more inclined to 'HODL' rather than sell in the short term.

2. On-chain Momentum Accumulation: Bitcoin network hashrate is expected to grow 35% year-on-year in Q1 2025, miner revenues have reached an all-time high, while exchange balances have fallen to a 5-year low, creating a tight supply-demand balance that lays the groundwork for price breakthroughs.

21Shares specifically points out that Bitcoin has transformed from a 'speculative tool' into a 'mature asset'—even when faced with macro shocks similar to the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank, the market no longer panics and sells off, but instead views it as a 'hedge proof' against risks in the traditional financial system.