Key macro events and major forecasts and interpretations for the crypto market this week.

CoinAnk data shows:

June 9: #特朗普 : Meetings will be held in London with Chinese representatives;

The U.S. Senate may vote as early as June 9 #GENIUS稳定币法 ;

The U.S. SEC will hold a roundtable on cryptocurrency themes;

June 10: The U.S. House of Representatives plans to review the crypto market structure bill #Clarity Act;

June 11: The U.S. will release May #cpi data at 20:30.

We believe that the current macro situation presents characteristics of a dual game of policy and data:

Intensified geopolitical and policy overlap: Trump plans to hold high-level meetings between China and the U.S. in London, coinciding with the acceleration of U.S. Congress in advancing crypto asset legislation (GENIUS Stablecoin Bill Senate vote, CLARITY Bill House review), reflecting the strategic intent of coordinated advancement of digital financial regulation and trade policy. The SEC's simultaneous holding of a roundtable on cryptocurrency themes highlights the proactive involvement of regulatory agencies in emerging financial forms.

Inflation data as a market watershed: The May CPI forecast shows an overall inflation year-on-year slight increase to 2.4%, with core inflation remaining at 2.8%, suggesting a potential stagnation of the deflation process. The Cleveland Fed model indicates that core goods inflation may peak this autumn, but the "suspension of reciprocal tariffs" has revised down and delayed peak forecasts compared to earlier. This data will directly test the market's optimistic expectations for interest rate cuts; if actual data exceeds expectations, it may trigger a reassessment of monetary policy paths.

Market sentiment is structurally differentiated: Although U.S. stocks hit a three-month high (led by tech stocks), equity funds have seen three consecutive weeks of outflows, reflecting investors locking in profits amid policy uncertainty. Gold has experienced increased volatility but closed higher, with central banks increasing their holdings (such as China increasing holdings for seven consecutive months) and geopolitical risks still providing support. Trump's renewed pressure on the Federal Reserve to cut rates by 100 basis points highlights the tension between political forces and monetary authorities.

This week's core variable lies in the interaction between CPI actual data and legislative progress: if inflation rises above expectations, it may strengthen the #美联储 wait-and-see stance and exacerbate asset volatility; meanwhile, progress on crypto legislation relates to the global competitiveness reshaping of the U.S. dollar stablecoin.