Market Analysis
Bitcoin (BTC)
Price and Market Sentiment: As of May 6, 2025, Bitcoin price oscillates between $94,000 and $95,000, with a daily fluctuation of about 2%. Current market sentiment is in a 'greed' state, with the fear and greed index rising to 59, indicating optimistic investor sentiment. However, caution should be taken regarding macroeconomic uncertainties and the impact of Federal Reserve meeting expectations on short-term prices.
Technical Indicators:
MACD: The histogram remains negative but is gradually shortening, indicating increased bullish strength, but the trend remains unclear.
KDJ: No golden or death cross, KDJ value at 11, in the oversold area, indicating potential short-term rebound demand.
Support and Resistance Levels: Key support levels at $92,500 and $89,000, resistance level at $97,384.
Market Dynamics:
Institutional Increase: The U.S.-listed spot Bitcoin ETF purchased about 18,644 bitcoins in the past week, with a net inflow of about $1.8 billion, indicating ongoing institutional entry.
Whale Movements: 3,422 bitcoins that have not been used since 2012 were transferred, valued at $324 million, indicating that long-term holders are beginning to cash out partially.
Regulatory Dynamics: The U.S. SEC plans to hold a crypto roundtable on May 12, with executives from BlackRock, Fidelity, etc., attending to discuss the regulatory framework for tokenized assets.
Ethereum (ETH)
Price and Market Sentiment: Ethereum price fluctuates between $1,830 and $1,850, with a daily drop of about 0.5%. Market sentiment is neutral, but attention should be paid to smart contract projects and the dynamics of the DeFi ecosystem.
Technical Indicators:
MACD: The histogram remains negative but is gradually shortening, indicating increased bullish strength, but the trend remains unclear.
KDJ: KDJ golden cross, KDJ value at 19, in the oversold area, indicating potential short-term rebound demand.
Support and Resistance Levels: Key support level at $1,794, resistance level at $1,864.
Market Dynamics:
Layer 2 Upgrade: Ethereum Pectra upgrades proposals like EIP-3074 and EIP-7251 are progressing, which may reduce gas fees and improve network performance.
Whale Movements: A certain whale liquidated 35,754 ETH at an average price of $1,793, selling about $89.03 million over two days, showing some long-term holders beginning to cash out.
Ecosystem Development: The Aave community enhances protocol efficiency and accessibility by proposing the deployment of Aave V3 on the Aptos mainnet, benefiting the Ethereum ecosystem.
Operation Strategy
1. Bitcoin (BTC) Operation Strategy
Long Strategy:
Buy Point One: $93,770 (short-term support level)
Buy Point Two: $93,523 (secondary support level)
Stop Loss Point: $93,301 (to avoid excessive losses)
Sell Point One: $97,330 (resistance level)
Sell Point Two: $97,384 (secondary resistance level)
Short Strategy:
Sell Point: If the price breaks through the $97,384 resistance level and MACD shows a death cross, consider shorting.
Stop Loss Point: $97,816 (to avoid losses from price reversals)
Buy Point: Close positions when the price falls below $95,000 and KDJ enters the overbought area.
Ethereum (ETH) Operation Strategy
Long Strategy:
Buy Point One: $1,741 (short-term support level)
Buy Point Two: $1,775 (secondary support level)
Stop Loss Point: $1,755 (to avoid excessive losses)
Sell Point One: $1,864 (resistance level)
Sell Point Two: $1,860 (secondary resistance level)
Short Strategy:
Sell Point: If the price breaks through the $1,864 resistance level and MACD shows a death cross, consider shorting.
Stop Loss Point: $1,862 (to avoid losses from price reversals)
Buy Point: Close positions when the price falls below $1,800 and KDJ enters the overbought area.
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