Cryptocurrency Faces a Major Test: Can It Stabilize by 2025?
First, the global trade war is raging, and countries are reacting strongly to the U.S. imposing tariffs. The current situation is quite tense.
Furthermore, global tariffs are on the rise, Trump is restricting immigration, and coupled with the massive expansion of U.S. finances, inflation is about to surge again.
Once inflation escalates, the Federal Reserve will likely have to start raising interest rates again. A chief economist named Torsten Slok mentioned that strong economic performance, potential tax cuts, increased tariffs, and restricted immigration all increase the risk of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates in 2025. He believes there is a 40% probability of an interest rate hike!
Additionally, the political landscape in several major countries is also unstable. Japan's domestic politics in 2025 will be like walking on a tightrope, very shaky. Over in South Korea, Yoon Suk-yeol declared a state of emergency in December, resulting in him getting caught up in an impeachment process, and they might have to elect a new president earlier in 2025.
Moreover, conflicts around the world continue unabated. The Middle East remains chaotic, and the Russia-Ukraine conflict is nearing four years of fighting. Ukraine now seems more inclined to resolve issues through diplomatic means, but who knows what the future holds.
I think that while cryptocurrency seems quite promising, these risks cannot be underestimated. We need to be rational, pay more attention to market changes, and prepare in advance to navigate the investment path more steadily.
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