I. Comprehensive Analysis of Multi-Period Technical Patterns
1. Moving Average Patterns and Price Position
4-hour chart: Moving Averages in Bullish Arrangement: MA20 (0.17576) > MA40 (0.16684), price (0.18053) holding above MA20, indicating a medium-term bullish trend.
Alligator Indicator: Lips line (MA5), Teeth line (MA8), Jaw line (MA13) diverging upwards, indicating the alligator is opening.
1-hour chart: Moving Averages Convergence: MA20 (0.17893) and MA40 (0.17762) are densely clustered in the 0.178-0.180 range, price (0.18045) has broken through MA20, indicating a strengthening of short-term momentum.
15-minute chart: Moving Averages Entangled: MA20 (0.18059) ≈ MA40 (0.18071), price (0.18041) oscillating around the moving averages, direction awaiting a breakout.
2-hour chart: Price Deviation from Moving Average: MA20 (0.15484) is far below the current price, indicating long-term support is effective, but short-term overbought risk is rising.
2. Support and Resistance and Volatility
Key Resistance: 4-hour chart: Previous high 0.18053 and the upper band of the Bollinger Bands (0.18481).
1-hour chart: Fibonacci 78.6% retracement level 0.18061.
Key Support: 4-hour chart: MA20 (0.17576) and Alligator Jaw line (0.16821).
15-minute chart: MA40 (0.18071) and the middle band of the Bollinger Bands (0.17654).
Volatility Indicator: ATR (14): 4-hour ATR 0.0038, 1-hour ATR 0.0017, volatility is in the early stage of expansion.
3. Candlestick Combinations and Reversal Signals
4-hour chart: Three Soldiers Advance: Consecutive bullish candlesticks break through MA20, OBV indicator reaches a new high (335.628M), with continuous fund inflow.
1-hour chart: Bullish Engulfing: The latest bullish candlestick covers the previous bearish candlestick, and the MACD histogram has decreased in volume and turned positive (+0.15).
15-minute chart: Doji Candlestick Pattern: Balance of buying and selling power, need to be wary of reversal signals.
4. Buying and Selling Power and Fund Flow
Order Flow Analysis: The 4-hour chart shows sell orders accumulating in the 0.18053-0.18481 range (order volume accounts for 62%), which can trigger short stop-loss orders after a breakout.
1-hour trading volume increased to 10.74M (USDT), with obvious intervention from main funds.
Long-Short Ratio: Perpetual Contract Funding Rate +0.01%, the derivative market is dominated by longs.
II. Trading Instructions
Trading Direction: Breakout Long
Opening Price Range: 0.18053-0.18061 (breakout confirmation range)
Execution Reason: Trend Resonance: 4-hour moving averages in a bullish arrangement + 1-hour bullish engulfing, with multi-period momentum synchronously strengthening.
Order flow verification: There is a dense area of short stop-loss orders above 0.18061, which is likely to accelerate upward after a breakout.
Risk-Reward Ratio: Stop loss at 0.17576 (4-hour MA20), take profit at 0.18600 (previous high + Fibonacci extension), profit-loss ratio 1:3.5 (stop loss 0.0048, take profit 0.0168).
Confidence Level: 8 (requires continuous volume support).
Stop Loss Price: 0.17576 (4-hour MA20 + Alligator Jaw line).
Take Profit Price: 0.18600 (Upper band of the Bollinger Bands + liquidity pool resistance).
Trailing Stop Loss Percentage: 0.0008 (activated after a breakout at 0.18061, triggering at a 0.8% retracement).
III. Additional Strategy Logic
Key Verification Point: False Breakout Defense: If the price breaks through 0.18061 and then closes below it within 1 hour, close the position immediately.
Acceleration Signal: 4-hour RSI (14) breaks 60 and MACD shows a golden cross above zero, can add 20% to the position.
Market Environment: Beta Coefficient: The 4-hour price correlation between DOGE and BTC reaches 0.89, needing to monitor whether BTC can hold above $62,000.
On-chain data: The number of active addresses on the DOGE chain increased by 15% weekly, payment scenario applications have increased, and ecological support is solid.
IV. Operational Execution Plan
Initial Position: Enter at the moment of breakthrough at 0.18053 (50% position), stop loss at 0.17576.
Add Position: After confirming a breakout at 0.18061, add 30%, move stop loss to 0.17893.
Take Profit Stages: First target 0.18481 (Upper band of the Bollinger Bands), close 30%.
Second target 0.18600, close 50%.
The remaining position will use trailing stop loss to capture trend continuation.
Conclusion: Currently, DOGE/USDT is at a multi-period breakout critical point, suggesting a breakout long entry in the range of 0.18053-0.18061, with a strict stop loss at 0.17576, target 0.18600, capturing the main upward wave in conjunction with order flow and volatility management.
