Binance Square
#polymarket

polymarket

3.4M views
6,513 Discussing
CyberFlow Trading
·
--
🚨 $POLYMARKET CEO TEASES REVOLUTIONARY ON-CHAIN ASSET WITH REAL PROGRAMMATIC UTILITY! ⚡ The prediction market giant is dropping serious hints about launching a native token tied directly to its rapid platform growth. 🦈 CEO Shayne Coplan painted a vivid picture of an asset engineered to redefine equity by embedding real utility straight into smart contracts. 💡 With protocol volume shattering records this quarter, smart money is already dissecting how this architecture will capture systemic value. 📊 If executed correctly, this shift could flip the traditional legacy stock model on its head and set a new standard for revenue-generating protocols. 🔍 💬 Will an on-chain asset elevate this ecosystem into an unstoppable financial engine, or are you waiting for official tokenomics before positioning? 👇 ⚠️ Not financial advice. Always manage your risk. 🛡️ 🏷️ #POLYMARKET #Token2049 #OnChain #Web3 💡 🎯
🚨 $POLYMARKET CEO TEASES REVOLUTIONARY ON-CHAIN ASSET WITH REAL PROGRAMMATIC UTILITY! ⚡

The prediction market giant is dropping serious hints about launching a native token tied directly to its rapid platform growth. 🦈 CEO Shayne Coplan painted a vivid picture of an asset engineered to redefine equity by embedding real utility straight into smart contracts. 💡

With protocol volume shattering records this quarter, smart money is already dissecting how this architecture will capture systemic value. 📊 If executed correctly, this shift could flip the traditional legacy stock model on its head and set a new standard for revenue-generating protocols. 🔍

💬 Will an on-chain asset elevate this ecosystem into an unstoppable financial engine, or are you waiting for official tokenomics before positioning? 👇

⚠️ Not financial advice. Always manage your risk. 🛡️

🏷️ #POLYMARKET #Token2049 #OnChain #Web3

💡 🎯
ESPORTS | POLYMARKET ODDS SHIFT G2 Esports’ odds of winning Map 2 against Team Vitality in the VCT Championship Playoffs have taken a sharp hit on Polymarket. The probability attached to G2 dropped from 49.5% to 32.5% in just one hour, a decline of 17 percentage points. Such a rapid shift can reflect changing match conditions, new information or traders repositioning their expectations. However, the exact reason for the move has not been confirmed. Prediction-market odds can change quickly during live competition, so a sharp swing does not guarantee the final result. #Esports #Polymarket #VCT $ESPORTS {alpha}(560xf39e4b21c84e737df08e2c3b32541d856f508e48)
ESPORTS | POLYMARKET ODDS SHIFT

G2 Esports’ odds of winning Map 2 against Team Vitality in the VCT Championship Playoffs have taken a sharp hit on Polymarket.

The probability attached to G2 dropped from 49.5% to 32.5% in just one hour, a decline of 17 percentage points.

Such a rapid shift can reflect changing match conditions, new information or traders repositioning their expectations. However, the exact reason for the move has not been confirmed.

Prediction-market odds can change quickly during live competition, so a sharp swing does not guarantee the final result.

#Esports #Polymarket #VCT $ESPORTS
Article
The CFTC moves to treat prediction markets as swaps while the court fight goes onThe fight over who regulates prediction markets just got a new move from Washington. The CFTC issued one rule and proposed another to pull event contracts under its swaps framework, per CoinDesk. 📌 The news An interim final rule, effective immediately, defines which sports wagering arrangements are not swaps and puts casino-style gambling outside the swap definition. A separate proposal would bring event contracts on sports, politics, culture and weather under swap regulation, with a 30-day comment window. Polymarket, which settles on $POL's Polygon network, and Kalshi are named as platforms that trade these contracts. 🔍 Why it matters • Several states say they have authority over these platforms and have sued operators • Appeals courts have split, with one ruling against the states and two for them • The question has reached the Supreme Court 📊 The numbers • Both actions cleared White House review in under two weeks • The CFTC has one sitting commissioner out of five seats, Chairman Mike Selig • Per Decrypt, 11 more firms filed for exchange licenses this year, and six were approved ⚖️ Bull vs bear case Bull: one federal rulebook would be simpler for platforms than 50 state regimes. Bear: TD Cowen's Jaret Seiberg said the rule looks designed to strengthen the CFTC's court position, but whether it works is another matter. 👀 What to watch next • Comments on the proposal over the next 30 days • Any Supreme Court move that settles federal versus state control • Whether new license applicants, such as Blockchain.com, get faster approvals under the rule ━━━━━━━━━━━━ 💡 My take: In my view this is the CFTC preparing its case, not ending the fight. Prediction market users should expect more uncertainty, not less, until the courts decide. 💬 Should prediction markets be regulated like finance or like gambling? #PredictionMarkets #CFTC #Polymarket

The CFTC moves to treat prediction markets as swaps while the court fight goes on

The fight over who regulates prediction markets just got a new move from Washington. The CFTC issued one rule and proposed another to pull event contracts under its swaps framework, per CoinDesk.
📌 The news
An interim final rule, effective immediately, defines which sports wagering arrangements are not swaps and puts casino-style gambling outside the swap definition. A separate proposal would bring event contracts on sports, politics, culture and weather under swap regulation, with a 30-day comment window. Polymarket, which settles on $POL 's Polygon network, and Kalshi are named as platforms that trade these contracts.
🔍 Why it matters
• Several states say they have authority over these platforms and have sued operators
• Appeals courts have split, with one ruling against the states and two for them
• The question has reached the Supreme Court
📊 The numbers
• Both actions cleared White House review in under two weeks
• The CFTC has one sitting commissioner out of five seats, Chairman Mike Selig
• Per Decrypt, 11 more firms filed for exchange licenses this year, and six were approved
⚖️ Bull vs bear case
Bull: one federal rulebook would be simpler for platforms than 50 state regimes.
Bear: TD Cowen's Jaret Seiberg said the rule looks designed to strengthen the CFTC's court position, but whether it works is another matter.
👀 What to watch next
• Comments on the proposal over the next 30 days
• Any Supreme Court move that settles federal versus state control
• Whether new license applicants, such as Blockchain.com, get faster approvals under the rule
━━━━━━━━━━━━
💡 My take: In my view this is the CFTC preparing its case, not ending the fight. Prediction market users should expect more uncertainty, not less, until the courts decide.
💬 Should prediction markets be regulated like finance or like gambling?
#PredictionMarkets #CFTC #Polymarket
·
--
Bullish
The next big trading opportunity might not be about crypto prices at all! Polymarket is transforming real-world events into tradable markets, giving users a different way to act on their predictions. From politics and sports to economic decisions and global developments, almost every major event can become a market. Users trade YES or NO shares priced between $0 and $1, reflecting the market's implied probability. Believe an event is more likely than the current price suggests? Buy YES shares. Expect the opposite outcome? Buy NO shares. Correct predictions pay $1 per share at resolution, while incorrect predictions become worthless. Traders can also sell their positions before resolution, depending on market liquidity. Tokens like $GNO , $UMA , $TRU , and REP are associated with prediction markets, oracle infrastructure, and decentralized information systems. But Polymarket's main attraction is its event-based trading experience rather than speculation around a native token. For everyday users, this means turning research and informed opinions into actual market positions. Understanding probabilities, checking market rules, and managing entry prices can make a meaningful difference. However, sudden news, changing probabilities, and limited liquidity can quickly affect positions. Polymarket highlights a growing shift toward markets where information, timing, and real-world outcomes drive trading decisions. Only information not financial advice #Polymarket #PredictionMarkets #CryptoTrading
The next big trading opportunity might not be about crypto prices at all!

Polymarket is transforming real-world events into tradable markets, giving users a different way to act on their predictions.

From politics and sports to economic decisions and global developments, almost every major event can become a market.

Users trade YES or NO shares priced between $0 and $1, reflecting the market's implied probability.

Believe an event is more likely than the current price suggests? Buy YES shares.

Expect the opposite outcome? Buy NO shares.

Correct predictions pay $1 per share at resolution, while incorrect predictions become worthless.

Traders can also sell their positions before resolution, depending on market liquidity.

Tokens like $GNO , $UMA , $TRU , and REP are associated with prediction markets, oracle infrastructure, and decentralized information systems.

But Polymarket's main attraction is its event-based trading experience rather than speculation around a native token.

For everyday users, this means turning research and informed opinions into actual market positions.

Understanding probabilities, checking market rules, and managing entry prices can make a meaningful difference.

However, sudden news, changing probabilities, and limited liquidity can quickly affect positions.

Polymarket highlights a growing shift toward markets where information, timing, and real-world outcomes drive trading decisions.

Only information not financial advice

#Polymarket #PredictionMarkets #CryptoTrading
JÖN_SÊNS:
The option to sell your position early adds great flexibility for traders.
·
--
📰 Polymarket’s $32M Nobel Market Didn’t Anticipate the Peace Prize Winner Traders put more than $32 million into Polymarket’s 2026 Nobel Peace Prize market and sent Yulia Navalnaya to favorite overnight—but the winner, Navi Pillay, was not among the market’s named candidates. Kalshi’s market did not list her either. Nobody Priced the Eventual Winner The Norwegian Nobel Committee awarded the 2026 Peace Prize to Navi […] Source : Bitcoin News Time : 2026-10-09 19:50:54 Credit : luci kelemen #polymarket #kalshi #prediction_markets #igaming
📰 Polymarket’s $32M Nobel Market Didn’t Anticipate the Peace Prize Winner
Traders put more than $32 million into Polymarket’s 2026 Nobel Peace Prize market and sent Yulia Navalnaya to favorite overnight—but the winner, Navi Pillay, was not among the market’s named candidates. Kalshi’s market did not list her either. Nobody Priced the Eventual Winner The Norwegian Nobel Committee awarded the 2026 Peace Prize to Navi […]
Source : Bitcoin News
Time : 2026-10-09 19:50:54
Credit : luci kelemen
#polymarket #kalshi #prediction_markets #igaming
The next big opportunity in Web3 might be hiding in prediction markets. And @polymarket is showing why. → Trade real-world events, not just crypto prices. → Watch probabilities shift with breaking news. → Use live order books and limit orders. → Turn research and market insights into trading decisions. One headline can change the odds in seconds. Polymarket isn't just about predicting what happens next. It's about understanding what the market believes before everyone else catches on. #Polymarket #BTC走势分析
The next big opportunity in Web3 might be hiding in prediction markets.

And @Polymarket is showing why.

→ Trade real-world events, not just crypto prices.
→ Watch probabilities shift with breaking news.
→ Use live order books and limit orders.
→ Turn research and market insights into trading decisions.

One headline can change the odds in seconds.

Polymarket isn't just about predicting what happens next. It's about understanding what the market believes before everyone else catches on.

#Polymarket
#BTC走势分析
Anaya Khan ㅤㅤㅤㅤㅤ:
Polymarket makes following global events feel different when every headline can shift probabilities instantly
·
--
Bullish
Partly True
Polymarket LoL Odds Spike 🚀 Polymarket submarket for League of Legends Disguised vs Fuego LCS playoff qualifier saw Yes probability jump from 50% to 90.5% within one hour driven by sudden news event affecting betting market dynamics significantly. $MAGIC $GWEI $CAP #Polymarket
Polymarket LoL Odds Spike 🚀
Polymarket submarket for League of Legends Disguised vs Fuego LCS playoff qualifier saw Yes probability jump from 50% to 90.5% within one hour driven by sudden news event affecting betting market dynamics significantly.
$MAGIC $GWEI $CAP
#Polymarket
Stop reading the news. Start reading the odds. 👀 Most people react to the news after the opportunity has passed. @polymarket is changing how people engage with real-world events — by letting them trade on what they believe will happen next. 📊 Prediction markets are scaling fast. In July 2026, Polymarket and Kalshi recorded approximately $53B in combined monthly trading volume. But the real opportunity isn't just in the numbers. It's in understanding what those numbers mean. Here's the edge 👇 → The news tells you what happened. → The crowd tells you what it expects. → The market price tells you what expectations are already priced in. The gap between probability and perception is where things get interesting. Meanwhile, crypto culture continues to blur the lines between communities, brands, and digital assets, with names like $PENGU and $DOOD in the conversation. And $POLY? The speculation continues, but a potential token launch remains unconfirmed. One principle matters more than all the hype: Being right isn't enough. You need to recognize when the market is wrong. Research the event. Understand the probability. Manage the downside. Because the biggest mistake isn't missing the news. It's paying a price that already assumes you know something the market doesn't. Are you following the headlines — or looking for what the market has mispriced? #PolyMarket #PredictionMarkets #Bilverse #Web3 #CryptoTrading {spot}(PENGUUSDT) {future}(DOODUSDT)
Stop reading the news. Start reading the odds. 👀

Most people react to the news after the opportunity has passed.

@Polymarket is changing how people engage with real-world events — by letting them trade on what they believe will happen next.

📊 Prediction markets are scaling fast.

In July 2026, Polymarket and Kalshi recorded approximately $53B in combined monthly trading volume.

But the real opportunity isn't just in the numbers. It's in understanding what those numbers mean.

Here's the edge 👇

→ The news tells you what happened.
→ The crowd tells you what it expects.
→ The market price tells you what expectations are already priced in.

The gap between probability and perception is where things get interesting.

Meanwhile, crypto culture continues to blur the lines between communities, brands, and digital assets, with names like $PENGU and $DOOD in the conversation.

And $POLY? The speculation continues, but a potential token launch remains unconfirmed.

One principle matters more than all the hype:

Being right isn't enough. You need to recognize when the market is wrong.

Research the event. Understand the probability. Manage the downside.

Because the biggest mistake isn't missing the news.

It's paying a price that already assumes you know something the market doesn't.

Are you following the headlines — or looking for what the market has mispriced?

#PolyMarket #PredictionMarkets #Bilverse #Web3 #CryptoTrading
NFL CHALLENGES PREDICTION MARKETS AT SUPREME COURT AMID $1.8B LIQUIDITY SURGE $POLYMARKET 🚨 🦈 The legal battle over sports event contracts is escalating as institutional sports entities push state-level gambling oversight onto federal prediction platforms. 📊 With over $1.8B in volume tied to game outcomes on opening week alone, regulatory friction between state gaming boards and CFTC oversight is reaching a critical inflection point. 🔍 As circuit courts split on swap definitions under the Commodity Exchange Act, market structure faces potential fragmentation across state lines. ⚡ Institutional order flow into event-driven markets could see structural recalibration depending on how the Supreme Court responds to these jurisdictional challenges. 🤔 Will state-level oversight choke off prediction market liquidity, or will federal domain prevail? ⚠️ Not financial advice. Always manage your risk. 🛡️ 🏷️ #Polymarket #PredictionMarkets #Crypto #Regulation #CFTC ⚖️ 🦈
NFL CHALLENGES PREDICTION MARKETS AT SUPREME COURT AMID $1.8B LIQUIDITY SURGE $POLYMARKET 🚨 🦈

The legal battle over sports event contracts is escalating as institutional sports entities push state-level gambling oversight onto federal prediction platforms. 📊 With over $1.8B in volume tied to game outcomes on opening week alone, regulatory friction between state gaming boards and CFTC oversight is reaching a critical inflection point. 🔍

As circuit courts split on swap definitions under the Commodity Exchange Act, market structure faces potential fragmentation across state lines. ⚡ Institutional order flow into event-driven markets could see structural recalibration depending on how the Supreme Court responds to these jurisdictional challenges. 🤔 Will state-level oversight choke off prediction market liquidity, or will federal domain prevail?

⚠️ Not financial advice. Always manage your risk. 🛡️

🏷️ #Polymarket #PredictionMarkets #Crypto #Regulation #CFTC

⚖️ 🦈
Verified
Most people react to news after the opportunity has passed. @polymarket let people take positions on real-world events based on what they think will happen. The market’s reported scale is notable: • 250K to 500K monthly active traders • $18B projected trading volume for 2025 • 17M+ monthly website visits Tokens like $PENGU and $DOOD reflect the link between crypto, digital culture, and brands. Meanwhile, expectations around a potential POLY token remain part of the wider market narrative. But numbers and hype don’t guarantee success. Research, probability, and risk management still matter. The real question is not what everyone expects, but whether the market has already priced it in. #Polymarket
Most people react to news after the opportunity has passed. @Polymarket let people take positions on real-world events based on what they think will happen.

The market’s reported scale is notable:

• 250K to 500K monthly active traders
• $18B projected trading volume for 2025
• 17M+ monthly website visits

Tokens like $PENGU and $DOOD reflect the link between crypto, digital culture, and brands. Meanwhile, expectations around a potential POLY token remain part of the wider market narrative.

But numbers and hype don’t guarantee success. Research, probability, and risk management still matter.

The real question is not what everyone expects, but whether the market has already priced it in.

#Polymarket
AlexiaX:
couldn't agree more 💯
·
--
Bullish
Polymarket is turning real-world information into powerful trading opportunities. Crypto trading is moving beyond charts. Polymarket allows traders to predict outcomes across crypto, AI, sports, economics, and global events. ◆ YES = An event will happen. ◆ NO = An event will not happen. Market prices reflect implied probabilities. Winning shares receive a fixed payout after resolution. ✓ Buy when you believe an outcome is undervalued. ✓ Sell when market expectations shift in your favor. Wrong predictions can lead to a total loss. Polymarket is attracting growing attention through active traders, strong trading activity, and increasing interest in prediction markets. $BTC represents Bitcoin, while $ETH represents Ether, the native asset of Ethereum. Unlike trading these assets based on price movements, Polymarket focuses on real-world outcomes, research, and probability. Research creates perspective. Timing creates opportunities. ▪ Risk management protects capital. The next trading edge may belong to those who understand events before the market fully prices them in. Let's go 🤝 NFA + DYOR #Polymarket #PredictionMarkets
Polymarket is turning real-world information into powerful trading opportunities.

Crypto trading is moving beyond charts. Polymarket allows traders to predict outcomes across crypto, AI, sports, economics, and global events.

◆ YES = An event will happen.

◆ NO = An event will not happen.

Market prices reflect implied probabilities.

Winning shares receive a fixed payout after resolution.

✓ Buy when you believe an outcome is undervalued.

✓ Sell when market expectations shift in your favor.

Wrong predictions can lead to a total loss.

Polymarket is attracting growing attention through active traders, strong trading activity, and increasing interest in prediction markets.

$BTC represents Bitcoin, while $ETH represents Ether, the native asset of Ethereum.

Unlike trading these assets based on price movements, Polymarket focuses on real-world outcomes, research, and probability.

Research creates perspective.

Timing creates opportunities.

▪ Risk management protects capital.

The next trading edge may belong to those who understand events before the market fully prices them in.

Let's go 🤝

NFA + DYOR

#Polymarket #PredictionMarkets
Elon Jamess:
Prediction markets make trading more about information and less about guessing
Prediction markets are becoming an interesting way to watch market sentiment change in real time. Platforms like Polymarket show how quickly traders react when fresh information hits the market. You can track sentiment around assets like $ETH $XRP $AVAX and $LINK while also watching macro events and major developments. The interesting part is the speed: New information → traders react → probabilities shift. As more crypto assets commodities and broader markets move on chain prediction markets could become another useful layer of real time market intelligence. The bigger question is: How much of global market information could eventually move on chain? Not financial advice. Always DYOR. #Polymarket
Prediction markets are becoming an interesting way to watch market sentiment change in real time.

Platforms like Polymarket show how quickly traders react when fresh information hits the market.

You can track sentiment around assets like $ETH $XRP $AVAX and $LINK while also watching macro events and major developments.

The interesting part is the speed:

New information → traders react → probabilities shift.

As more crypto assets commodities and broader markets move on chain prediction markets could become another useful layer of real time market intelligence.

The bigger question is:

How much of global market information could eventually move on chain?

Not financial advice. Always DYOR.

#Polymarket
WawKasem:
eth is at 2,481 rn, +0.1% on the day
NFL Challenges Prediction Markets as Supreme Court Battle Takes Shape The NFL has joined the legal fight over federal oversight of prediction markets, urging the U.S. Supreme Court to weigh in. The case involving platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket could influence the future regulatory framework for prediction markets in the U.S. #CryptonewswithJack #PredictionMarkets #NFLXUSDT #Kalshi #Polymarket
NFL Challenges Prediction Markets as Supreme Court Battle Takes Shape

The NFL has joined the legal fight over federal oversight of prediction markets, urging the U.S. Supreme Court to weigh in. The case involving platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket could influence the future regulatory framework for prediction markets in the U.S.
#CryptonewswithJack #PredictionMarkets #NFLXUSDT #Kalshi #Polymarket
NFL Champion 2027

NFL Champion 2027

Los Angeles Rams12%Buffalo Bills10%San Francisco 49er...9%
Volume $168,991.13
One thing that makes #Polymarket different is that the rules matter as much as the probability. Before taking a position, you can check exactly what source will determine the outcome, when the market ends, and how edge cases are handled. The title may look simple, but the resolution rules define what actually counts. And once the event is resolved, the winning shares settle at $1 while losing shares become worthless. Resolution is handled through UMA’s Optimistic Oracle. So the real research isn’t just: “What do I think will happen?” It’s also: “What exactly am I trading, and how will it be resolved?” That’s an important part of understanding prediction markets. Not financial advice. @polymarket #btc
One thing that makes #Polymarket different is that the rules matter as much as the probability.

Before taking a position, you can check exactly what source will determine the outcome, when the market ends, and how edge cases are handled. The title may look simple, but the resolution rules define what actually counts.

And once the event is resolved, the winning shares settle at $1 while losing shares become worthless. Resolution is handled through UMA’s Optimistic Oracle.

So the real research isn’t just:

“What do I think will happen?”

It’s also:

“What exactly am I trading, and how will it be resolved?”

That’s an important part of understanding prediction markets.

Not financial advice.

@Polymarket

#btc
EthanRoy:
Understanding the resolution rules is just as important as predicting the outcome in any prediction market.
Polymarket airdrop hunters, this one's for you: no token was launched at TOKEN2049. The build-up was loud. On Oct 4, CEO Shayne Coplan compared Polymarket's revenue to Hyperliquid's and teased that he "may have a little something to say" at TOKEN2049. A well-known crypto media founder then posted "POLY is coming". Timelines filled with airdrop farming guides. What actually happened on stage on Oct 7: - Coplan said Polymarket is exploring an onchain asset with "programmable utility", tied to the Polymarket economy. - He called it "the way stocks should be". - No name, no structure, no timeline, no airdrop details. The official FAQ still says Polymarket hasn't announced any airdrop or token generation event. Earlier comments from its CMO about a POLY token and airdrop were made on a podcast, and the company has also said its priority is finishing the US relaunch. So where does that leave farmers? - Activity on Polymarket might matter later, or it might not. Nothing official says either way. - "Exploring an asset" is not a token announcement. Plenty of teams tease for months. - Any site or account offering a POLY claim right now is a scam until Polymarket says otherwise. The fair read for bulls: a company comparing its revenue to Hyperliquid's and talking about "the way stocks should be" is clearly thinking about value accrual, not just a governance token. Are you still farming Polymarket for a possible airdrop, or done chasing teasers? Like and follow for airdrop news that separates teasers from facts. #Polymarket #Airdrop
Polymarket airdrop hunters, this one's for you: no token was launched at TOKEN2049.

The build-up was loud. On Oct 4, CEO Shayne Coplan compared Polymarket's revenue to Hyperliquid's and teased that he "may have a little something to say" at TOKEN2049. A well-known crypto media founder then posted "POLY is coming". Timelines filled with airdrop farming guides.

What actually happened on stage on Oct 7:
- Coplan said Polymarket is exploring an onchain asset with "programmable utility", tied to the Polymarket economy.
- He called it "the way stocks should be".
- No name, no structure, no timeline, no airdrop details.

The official FAQ still says Polymarket hasn't announced any airdrop or token generation event. Earlier comments from its CMO about a POLY token and airdrop were made on a podcast, and the company has also said its priority is finishing the US relaunch.

So where does that leave farmers?
- Activity on Polymarket might matter later, or it might not. Nothing official says either way.
- "Exploring an asset" is not a token announcement. Plenty of teams tease for months.
- Any site or account offering a POLY claim right now is a scam until Polymarket says otherwise.

The fair read for bulls: a company comparing its revenue to Hyperliquid's and talking about "the way stocks should be" is clearly thinking about value accrual, not just a governance token.

Are you still farming Polymarket for a possible airdrop, or done chasing teasers?

Like and follow for airdrop news that separates teasers from facts.

#Polymarket #Airdrop
Prediction markets are now raising money like major exchanges. Per The Block, Polymarket is seeking $1 billion at a $21 billion post-money valuation, with 1789 Capital contributing around $300 million, while it rolls out its V2 protocol. It also hired Travis VanderZanden as chief growth officer. That is a huge number for an app built on Polygon, yet $POL trades near $0.103, down about 5.3% in 24 hours, per CoinGecko. In my view, the value of the app layer and the value of the chain token are drifting apart, and that gap is worth watching. 💬 Should successful apps share more value with the chains they run on? #Polymarket #Polygon
Prediction markets are now raising money like major exchanges.

Per The Block, Polymarket is seeking $1 billion at a $21 billion post-money valuation, with 1789 Capital contributing around $300 million, while it rolls out its V2 protocol. It also hired Travis VanderZanden as chief growth officer.

That is a huge number for an app built on Polygon, yet $POL trades near $0.103, down about 5.3% in 24 hours, per CoinGecko. In my view, the value of the app layer and the value of the chain token are drifting apart, and that gap is worth watching.

💬 Should successful apps share more value with the chains they run on?

#Polymarket #Polygon
Polymarket is replacing the engine it has run on since 2019. Here is what changes. 🧠 In plain words Per The Block, Polymarket's Protocol V2 swaps its old Gnosis-based token framework for a single ERC-1155 positions contract, uses pUSD as collateral and merges its exchange contracts. It also adds an oracle aggregator that can pull from UMA, Chainlink and other sources. Think of a store moving from several separate tills to one central register: same products, cleaner bookkeeping. ✅ What it means for you • Canary markets run through October 30, and new markets tentatively move to V2 on November 2. • Six audit firms reviewed the code, and a bug bounty pays up to $5 million. • Polymarket is one of the best-known apps on Polygon, the network behind $POL. Takeaway: the upgrade is plumbing, but plumbing is what fails first at scale. #Polymarket #PredictionMarkets
Polymarket is replacing the engine it has run on since 2019. Here is what changes.

🧠 In plain words
Per The Block, Polymarket's Protocol V2 swaps its old Gnosis-based token framework for a single ERC-1155 positions contract, uses pUSD as collateral and merges its exchange contracts. It also adds an oracle aggregator that can pull from UMA, Chainlink and other sources. Think of a store moving from several separate tills to one central register: same products, cleaner bookkeeping.

✅ What it means for you
• Canary markets run through October 30, and new markets tentatively move to V2 on November 2.
• Six audit firms reviewed the code, and a bug bounty pays up to $5 million.
• Polymarket is one of the best-known apps on Polygon, the network behind $POL .

Takeaway: the upgrade is plumbing, but plumbing is what fails first at scale.

#Polymarket #PredictionMarkets
$50K market, and this guy’s backing the underdogs Trading volume in Polymarket’s League of Legends championship-winner market is nearing $500,000. Chinese trader Anjun has made 2,011 trades in the LOL market, with a 46% win rate and $74,000 in profit. By another count, he has 537 trades, a 42% win rate, and $264,900 in profit. He’s now holding positions on Gen.G, HLE, and G2 to win the title, plus a position on “T1 not to win.” He’s making money despite a win rate below 50% by picking long shots with just a 5.3% probability, putting in 1.65 to 2.82 times the median stake—one win can make up for ten losses. G2 is priced at just 5%, while T1 has been bid up to 17%; he’s using positions in the opposite direction to hedge against the emotional premium. Gen.G leads at 32.5%, with BLG at 19%. He hasn’t taken large positions in the two most expensive tiers of the market. The biggest opportunity in this market is on the “T1 not to win” side. The final will settle it on November 14. Would you dare to follow this guy and bet against T1? $POL $ETH $ARB #Polymarket #PredictionMarket
$50K market, and this guy’s backing the underdogs

Trading volume in Polymarket’s League of Legends championship-winner market is nearing $500,000. Chinese trader Anjun has made 2,011 trades in the LOL market, with a 46% win rate and $74,000 in profit. By another count, he has 537 trades, a 42% win rate, and $264,900 in profit. He’s now holding positions on Gen.G, HLE, and G2 to win the title, plus a position on “T1 not to win.”

He’s making money despite a win rate below 50% by picking long shots with just a 5.3% probability, putting in 1.65 to 2.82 times the median stake—one win can make up for ten losses. G2 is priced at just 5%, while T1 has been bid up to 17%; he’s using positions in the opposite direction to hedge against the emotional premium. Gen.G leads at 32.5%, with BLG at 19%. He hasn’t taken large positions in the two most expensive tiers of the market.

The biggest opportunity in this market is on the “T1 not to win” side. The final will settle it on November 14. Would you dare to follow this guy and bet against T1?

$POL $ETH $ARB

#Polymarket #PredictionMarket
Before coming to TOKEN2049, I thought everyone would be talking about technology and the future of the industry. But once I got there, I realized the question people around me were asking most was: Is Polymarket actually going to launch a token? Will there be an airdrop? Is it still worth farming trading volume now? The official launch timing and specific rules haven’t been made clear, but the market has already whipped up expectations. There’s no sign of the rules yet, but people are already calculating how much they might get. I’m not going to chase the farming with my 500U. If they do launch a token, I’ll check the rules, valuation, and liquidity then. Missing out on a little is no big deal; rushing in and getting burned would be much worse. And a quick shout-out: the BNB Meet UP venue looks amazing~~ #TOKEN2049 #Polymarket
Before coming to TOKEN2049, I thought everyone would be talking about technology and the future of the industry.

But once I got there, I realized the question people around me were asking most was:

Is Polymarket actually going to launch a token? Will there be an airdrop? Is it still worth farming trading volume now?

The official launch timing and specific rules haven’t been made clear, but the market has already whipped up expectations.
There’s no sign of the rules yet, but people are already calculating how much they might get.

I’m not going to chase the farming with my 500U. If they do launch a token, I’ll check the rules, valuation, and liquidity then. Missing out on a little is no big deal; rushing in and getting burned would be much worse.

And a quick shout-out: the BNB Meet UP venue looks amazing~~

#TOKEN2049 #Polymarket
Hardly anyone had heard of Katie Zacharia, yet someone had already bet on her becoming Trump's new White House press secretary. Kalshi launched an overnight probe into possible insider trading 👃. Sound familiar? Same playbook as the French whale on Polymarket during the election. Prediction markets are lightning-fast at getting ahead of the news, but if the other side has inside information, what edge do you have? Even if the odds look great, first think about who's betting against you. #Kalshi #Polymarket #predictionmarket
Hardly anyone had heard of Katie Zacharia, yet someone had already bet on her becoming Trump's new White House press secretary. Kalshi launched an overnight probe into possible insider trading 👃. Sound familiar? Same playbook as the French whale on Polymarket during the election. Prediction markets are lightning-fast at getting ahead of the news, but if the other side has inside information, what edge do you have? Even if the odds look great, first think about who's betting against you.

#Kalshi #Polymarket #predictionmarket
Log in to explore more content
Join global crypto users on Binance Square
⚡️ Get latest and useful information about crypto.
💬 Trusted by the world’s largest crypto exchange.
👍 Discover real insights from verified creators.
Email / Phone number