Hedera Hashgraph’s native token, HBAR, has confirmed a decisive bullish breakout, signaling the end of a multi-week downtrend. The asset surged past key resistance at $0.264, reaching an intraday high of $0.271, driven by a significant uptick in volume and strengthening technical momentum. The breakout positions HBAR for a potential retest of the next major resistance at $0.288, as investor interest appears to be reawakening.
🔍 Key Developments
Breakout Confirmed: Price exits descending wedge and breaks above July 19 trendline
Volume Surge: Bullish breakout accompanied by notable increase in trading volume
Support Established: $0.250 now serves as a strong base following successful retest
Short-Term Target: $0.28836
Technical Indicators: RSI > 60, bullish divergence and upward crossover on the stochastic oscillator
📈 Technical Analysis
1. Breakout From Descending Channel
On the HBAR/USDT pair (Binance), the token has completed a breakout from a well-defined descending wedge pattern. The price reclaimed the $0.264 level, pushing to a session high of $0.27104. This marks the conclusion of a bearish structure originating in mid-July, which followed a typical five-wave Elliott pattern culminating in a sharp retracement.
Breakout Confirmation Factors:
Successful retest of former wedge resistance—now acting as support near $0.250
Strong bullish candlestick with minimal upper wick, reflecting firm buyer conviction
Noticeable rise in volume, lending credence to the breakout’s sustainability
2. Momentum Indicators Support Bullish Continuation
On the 1-hour timeframe, momentum indicators are firmly aligned with bullish continuation:
Stochastic Oscillator: Has turned upward from oversold territory, indicating growing momentum
Relative Strength Index (RSI): Surged past 60, showing a bullish divergence and suggesting sustained strength
200 EMA: Price has closed above the 200-period exponential moving average, indicating a potential trend reversal
These signals collectively suggest increased market confidence and continued upward momentum in the near term.
🧭 Volume Profile and Key Levels
A review of the volume profile reveals a previously congested trading range between $0.245 and $0.264, which has now been decisively cleared. With price now moving into a region of historically lighter volume, the path toward higher levels may face reduced resistance.
Key Price Levels to Monitor:
Immediate Resistance: $0.271 (recent intraday high)
Next Major Resistance: $0.28836 (prior swing high and key horizontal level)
Immediate Support: $0.250 (recent breakout confirmation zone)
Holding above $0.271 could trigger a renewed push toward $0.288, especially if volume remains elevated.
📊 Market Sentiment and Structure
Lower timeframe price action remains structurally bullish, characterized by strong candle closes and minimal upper shadows—suggesting decisive buyer control. The breakout above critical moving averages, paired with rising volume, further reinforces positive sentiment.
Should the price fall below $0.250, this bullish setup could be invalidated, potentially leading to a period of consolidation. However, at present, bulls maintain control, and the technical structure favors continued upside.
📌 Outlook: A Larger Reversal in Motion?
HBAR's recent price behavior mirrors a textbook bullish breakout: clearing a descending wedge, supported by volume expansion, positive momentum signals, and the reclaiming of key moving averages. The formation of higher lows and the breach of the wedge's upper boundary suggest the potential for a more substantial trend reversal.
Continuation Above $0.271: May open the door for a challenge of the $0.288 resistance zone
Break Below $0.250: Could prompt a short-term pullback or consolidation phase
If buying pressure persists and broader market sentiment remains favorable, HBAR is well-positioned to retest the $0.288 level in the near term—potentially setting the stage for an extended bullish phase into Q3 2025.
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