美联储重启降息步伐

BREAKING BREAKING BREAKING 💡👀
🇺🇸 The US is updating the design of its dollar bills
The most significant transformation in decades: what does this mean for the global financial system?

The US Bureau of Engraving and Printing (BEP) has officially confirmed that the country is launching a complete redesign of its dollar bills. This is the biggest modernization of the American currency in decades, and it will affect not only its appearance but also its security features.
The reason is simple and expected: the quality of counterfeits is increasing, technology is advancing, and global reserve currencies must stay several steps ahead of counterfeiters.

🗓 Schedule for the launch of new banknotes
The update will take almost 10 years and will take place in stages:
2026 — $10
2028 — $50
2030 — $20
2032 — $5
2034 — $100

There hasn't been a breakdown by denomination like this in a long time. The $10 bill, the most commonly used bill in the US, will be the first to go, while the iconic $100 bill will be last, as it is the most popular bill in the world outside the US.

🔐 Design under absolute secrecy
The BEP will not reveal the appearance of the bills until 6–8 months before launch to avoid leaks and give fraudsters no chance to prepare in advance.

The banknotes themselves will undergo extensive technical testing:
ATMs;
sorting machines;
POS terminals;
bank cash register systems in different countries.
In fact, this is a global upgrade of the entire world's cash infrastructure.

ATTENTION SIGNAL ALERT 💡

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#美联储重启降息步伐 #美联储重启降息步伐！The Federal Reserve has announced new interest rate cuts for 2025, aiming to stimulate economic growth and manage inflation. The move is seen as a response to evolving economic conditions, with the Fed projecting a gradual path toward rate reductions, expecting the fed funds rate to fall to 3.9% by the end of 2025. This could make borrowing cheaper for homes, cars, and credit cards, boosting consumer spending. However, experts caution about potential inflationary pressures and the impact on the dollar. With markets pricing in further cuts, the USD has weakened, and sectors like tech and consumer goods might benefit. What’s your take on this move ¹ ²?

$ETH $SOL $SHIB
💧 The "drought" of liquidity ends, and the market's "faucet" is turned back on!
The Federal Reserve's quantitative tightening (QT) officially concluded on December 1. This is not just about "stopping the drawdown"; it may signify the beginning of a policy shift. The market generally expects that a larger move—interest rate cuts—may be on the way.

📈 What does this mean for the market?

In simple terms, cheaper money is coming. This will have an immediate impact on different assets:

· For cryptocurrencies 🌟
Liquidity is seen as the core fuel of the crypto market. Cathie Wood of Ark Invest believes that the return of liquidity will boost the crypto and AI sectors. Some viewpoints suggest that if the Federal Reserve shifts to quantitative easing, Bitcoin could see astonishing gains.
· For commodities and emerging markets 🌍
Historical experience shows that within six months after the last round of balance sheet reduction ended, prices for commodities like crude oil and copper averaged considerable increases. At the same time, an increase in dollar liquidity usually leads capital to flow toward faster-growing emerging markets in search of higher returns.

⚠️ Of course, the market does not have a "direct express train"; there are several key points to be wary of:

1. Balance sheet reduction ≠ large space for rate cuts: The former president of the New York Fed pointed out that stopping the balance sheet reduction is mainly to maintain sufficient reserves in the banking system and cannot directly translate into a large space for significant rate cuts. The tightness or looseness of monetary policy is still primarily determined by interest rate levels.
2. Internal divisions within the Federal Reserve: There are different voices within the Federal Reserve regarding whether to cut rates immediately in December. Chairman Powell has also stated that a rate cut in December is "far from a done deal." There is a game of expectations between market predictions (currently over 80% probability) and official guidance.
3. The stubbornness of inflation: Although inflation has retreated from its highs, the core PCE price index remains above the 2% target. If inflation data continues to fluctuate, it may disrupt the Federal Reserve's rate-cutting rhythm.

💎 For investors, maintaining a clear mind amid optimism is crucial. The improvement in liquidity is positive, but it is more like "soil"; ultimately, which "plants" (asset classes) can thrive will depend on their fundamentals and the broader economic environment. #美联储重启降息步伐

$ZEC Predict the market for December. Due to excessive inflation pressure, Japan has no choice but to raise interest rates, leading to a plunge in global stock markets/cryptocurrencies and other assets. The Federal Reserve comes out to rescue the market with interest rate cuts and unlimited QE, causing global capital to flow back to the United States, using the existing dollar hegemony to push for a higher AI bubble. Either you lie down first, or you take the risk for me. #美联储重启降息步伐

The Federal Reserve has issued a shocking news! Powell may urgently resign today, and Trump's core camp is pushing for a significant interest rate cut to 3%.

The cryptocurrency market is in a frenzy! Just now, explosive news broke that Powell may convene an emergency meeting, and there is even a possibility that he will resign from the position of Federal Reserve Chairman today, with the successor pointing directly to the Chairman of the White House Economic Council, Hassett!

This should have been good news that made the market cheer, but instead, it has left investors in a cold sweat, leaving us puzzled by this reversal. Let's clarify the core of this news first.

The potential new leader, Hassett, is not an ordinary character, but a core member of Trump's inner circle! He has previously criticized Powell's delayed interest rate cuts multiple times, insisting that rates should be quickly lowered to 3% to be reasonable, showing extreme aggressiveness.

It is important to note that when Powell was in charge of the Federal Reserve, the pace of interest rate cuts was as slow as an ox pulling a cart, keeping the market in suspense; but now, the sudden news of a leadership change suggests that if it really happens, the new chairman will likely directly decide on a significant interest rate cut!

On one hand, there is the uncertainty of a slow pace under Powell's continued tenure, and on the other hand, there is the 'radical' interest rate cut after the Trump faction takes the helm. With such a sudden policy shift, it is akin to riding a roller coaster, no wonder the market is panicking—this is not simply good news, it clearly drags future trends directly into an accelerated track!

Will Powell really resign? Can a 3% significant interest rate cut become a reality? What does this operation mean for the cryptocurrency market and the stock market—is it an opportunity or a risk? #特朗普加密新政 #美联储重启降息步伐 $BTC

White House breaks big news: Trump refuses to discuss the chairperson candidate, but hints at ending the era of slow interest rate hikes

Trump was surrounded by reporters in the White House hallway

The reporters eagerly asked: "Is it Kevin Hassett who is going to take over?!"

Trump laughed broadly: "I already have the right candidate in mind... but I'm not saying it now!"

However, when hearing the name Hassett, the proud smile on Trump's face could not be hidden at all!

The real big news came: Trump directly criticized Powell, saying he is acting too slowly!

It seems that the era of aggressive rate cuts is about to begin, and the new chairperson is likely to implement rapid rate cuts as per Trump's request!

The market is sounding the alarm: Hassett is a staunch supporter of Trump’s economics; he is an advocate of zero interest rates combined with quantitative easing; as a result, expectations of dollar depreciation have risen significantly, and gold and Bitcoin might become the biggest beneficiaries. #加密市场反弹 #美联储重启降息步伐 #美SEC推动加密创新监管

To learn more information, follow me, and I will take you to unlock more intelligence at 聊天室.

December 1st arrives with great significance: Today the Federal Reserve has a new leader! 🔥 The bull market officially begins today.
Former economic advisor to Trump, Kevin Hassett, may become the next Federal Reserve Chair.
Compared to the current Powell, Hassett's policy inclination is 'super dovish.' He is more willing than Powell to provide liquidity to the markets. He supports crypto, advocates for faster interest rate cuts, ends QT, and is even willing to reinitiate QE.
This represents a return of liquidity, revaluation of assets, and a stronger trend for Crypto.

Looking forward to the performance of $BNB , this round is expected to reach an absolute new high of 3000.
Additionally, BSC is the liquidity center for this round of market activity, closely monitor the primary market of BSC, as a market with many golden dogs may emerge.

$恶俗企鹅 $币安人生 , which has already gained traction on Alpha, is expected to perform well in the future.

Furthermore, the current memerush leaderboard's kurumi shows great potential, currently valued at 2.2m, offering high cost-effectiveness. Its characteristics include a solid community foundation, with many neiro old ogs building here; there is wealth, connections, and resources. The narrative IP is also a unique international IP on BSC, highly recognized by foreigners.

It is advised to ambush kurumi and wait for an Alpha. A big market in BSC is coming, and soaring to hundreds of millions is very easy.

#美联储重启降息步伐 #加密市场反弹 #ETH走势分析

$ETH $BNB $ASTER
🔥【Early Morning Heavyweight】Is the Federal Reserve's December rate cut stable? The probability has soared to 87%! But the market still dares not 提前开香槟？

📉 The current cryptocurrency market is still in the "stabilizing but not reversing" stage, with two main culprits behind it:
1️⃣ "10.11" leveraged liquidation triggered a series of forced liquidations, liquidity crisis + design flaws amplified;
2️⃣ Macroeconomic headwinds: cooling rate cut expectations, sticky inflation, weakening employment… risk assets are collectively under pressure.

💡 VC Perspective: The market bottom has not yet been confirmed! It hinges on the macro path + the new chair selection of the Federal Reserve. For Bitcoin to truly reverse, it needs to stabilize in the $100,000-$110,000 range, with continuous ETF inflows + healthy leverage.

🌍 Not just the United States, the Bank of Japan is also hinting at rate hikes! Global liquidity is quietly shifting…

⚠️ Note: In this round of adjustment, high-quality tokens with actual income have seen valuations return to 2024 levels, while on-chain fundamentals are even stronger.
Is the market experiencing "opportunities emerging from declines" or is the "risk not yet cleared"?
Let's see in the comments section!
#加密市场观察 #美联储重启降息步伐

#美联储重启降息步伐 Is the cryptocurrency market going to be exciting? The probability is as high as 87.4%! 🚀

The latest data from CME FedWatch is overwhelming.
The possibility of a 25 basis point rate cut in December has soared to 87.4%, while the chance of maintaining the interest rate has dropped to only 12.6%.

The cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut next January is 67.5%, and there is a 23.2% chance of a direct cut of 50 basis points.

Powell's attitude has turned dovish, with big names like New York Fed President Williams supporting easy policies; a rate cut is basically a done deal!

Liquidity in the crypto market is about to explode, how to seize this opportunity?

Once the rate cut is implemented, money in the market will increase, and the easing cycle is good for risk assets. Historical experience tells us that easing cycles always lead to a surge in risk assets. Right now, money for Bitcoin ETFs is continuously flowing in, leverage has been mostly cleaned up, Bitcoin is leading the rise, and both funds and sentiment are in place; the crypto market is about to welcome a new round of major gains!

What everyone is concerned about now is not whether there will be a rate cut, but by how much and how quickly. The Fed's policy easing has become an inevitable trend, and there's no turning back! #加密市场观察 #特朗普加密新政 $BTC $ETH

The market changes every day, so don't get too anxious. If you always feel like you're a step behind and are afraid of being disturbed by market noise, feel free to chat at 聊天室.

#美联储重启降息步伐 12 Moon Nuclear Bomb Schedule Finalized: Epic Volatility in the Crypto Circle Has Already Sounded the Alarm!

Is this a financial calendar? It is clearly the “Death Schedule” of the crypto roller coaster! Three explosive points densely bombarded in the middle of the month, with long and short squeezes becoming the norm ——

- 12.11 Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision: Powell's “Words Determine Life and Death”** The probability of interest rate cuts is already hanging at a high level. If rate cuts materialize, a liquidity flood may push Bitcoin and Ethereum to new heights; if expectations fall short, high-risk assets will be the first to suffer, and a sharp decline may come at any moment. It’s worth noting that a hawkish statement from Powell previously triggered a 5% plunge in Bitcoin and the liquidation of 260,000 positions. This time, “personally firing the cannon” leaves no room for carelessness.

- 12.16 Non-Farm Payroll Data: The “Ultimate Judgment” of Rate Cut Logic** As the core reference for Federal Reserve policy, non-farm payroll data directly rewrites rate cut expectations. If employment data is stronger than expected, the fantasy of easing will be instantly shattered; if the data is weak, the crypto market may preemptively exhaust positive news. Don't forget, the fluctuations in the November ADP data caused Bitcoin's intraday volatility to exceed 3%, and the power of non-farm data will only be more intense.

- 12.20 Triple Witching Day: The Largest Options Settlement in History “Bloodbath”** Options, futures, and index futures are settled together. Under the largest settlement scale in history, traders can completely take advantage of liquidity chaos to “create doors” — first blowing up the long positions and then smashing through the short positions, leading to a dual kill that fills their pockets. In the past, the intraday volatility of Bitcoin on Triple Witching Day generally exceeded 8%, and this time will only be more stimulating.

- Trump Confirms Federal Reserve Chairman Candidate: On December 1, Trump has confirmed the next Federal Reserve Chairman candidate. Although this news will not immediately affect current monetary policy, the policy inclination of the new chairman candidate (hawkish or dovish) will influence the market's long-term expectations for Federal Reserve policy, thereby altering the long-term layout strategies of U.S. stock institutions and triggering early adjustments of related funds.

I took a look at the latest CME data, and it's quite interesting—The probability of a rate cut in December has surged to 87.4%, and the market is starting to price in another cut of 25-50 basis points for January next year. If the liquidity valve really loosens, the impact on on-chain liquidity could be quicker than expected.

This week, key data is piling up:
On Tuesday, Powell will give a speech
On Wednesday, ADP employment data will be released
On Thursday, initial jobless claims
On Friday, there’s also the PCE price index and Michigan consumer sentiment index.
The pace is intense, and each data point could sway market expectations. By the way, don't believe those rumors online about Powell "resigning"; Trump's Fed nominee hasn't been officially announced yet.

More notably, there are movements on the institutional side: Sony Bank just announced it will issue stablecoins in the US in 2026, which is significant—Their gaming and entertainment ecosystem is substantial, and once payment scenarios are unlocked, it will provide a real increase in the circulation of on-chain stablecoins. There are also responses on-chain: USDC Treasury destroyed 60 million tokens this morning. Additionally, the statements from Bank of Japan Governor Ueda are quite nuanced, mentioning that rate hikes are "loosening the gas" rather than hitting the brakes, which makes the policy intent behind such wording intriguing.

From a sector perspective, the combination of rate cut expectations and the expansion of stablecoins could indeed benefit DeFi and RWA. The technical side is also working on practical pathways, such as zero-knowledge proof tools achieving validation speeds at the millisecond level on mobile, and the balance between KYC and privacy issues is being addressed.

Which direction do you think this macro shift is more likely to catalyze? Where will the liquidity flow back to first? $BTC #美联储重启降息步伐

In December, keep a close eye on these things in the market! Let Cheng Ge explain it clearly to you:
First, the most critical point is "interest rate cuts"! This has the biggest impact on the market. Last week, the probability of an interest rate cut rose from less than 45% to 80%, and the price of Ethereum followed from 2800 to nearly 3100. As a result, this morning, there were rumors that Powell might announce his resignation today — because Trump has already decided on the next Federal Reserve Chairman, and the market panicked again.
Second, last month Trump said he would issue "tariff bonuses", but nothing has materialized yet. If this can be finalized in December, it would mean a significant influx of money into the market (what everyone refers to as "liquidity"), which many people are currently waiting for.
Third, Trump is likely to nominate a new Federal Reserve Chairman before Christmas, and the most popular candidate right now is Hassett. Trump originally wanted to expedite the interest rate cuts, and Hassett's ideas align with his. If Hassett really takes office, the pace of interest rate cuts might accelerate — many in the market believe that interest rate cuts are good for the crypto market, but this is just a rumor.

Fourth, Ethereum is set to undergo a "hard fork upgrade" the day after tomorrow. However, be aware that the positive expectations around this matter may have already been priced in; sometimes, "good news coming through can turn into bad news," so stay alert and don’t follow the crowd blindly.
As for Powell's speech, there will certainly be short-term impacts, but the Federal Reserve has already had countermeasures in place. Whether Powell resigns or not, it doesn't have a significant impact on the overall direction. The market itself is quite sluggish now; compared to when Ethereum was just over a thousand, the liquidity is still much lower — I'm not saying this to encourage you to enter the market, but to remind you that in such a volatile market with strong uncertainties, it’s easy to incur losses.
#ETH走势分析 #加密市场回调 #美联储重启降息步伐 #ETH巨鲸增持 #美SEC推动加密创新监管

Confirmed! The Federal Reserve is about to cut interest rates, is Bitcoin going to take off?
Goldman's latest report has put the nail in the coffin: The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut in December is basically set. If you ask me, this report comes at just the right time—it provides a reassuring pill for the confused market.
Do you remember early 2024? When the expectation of interest rate cuts began to ferment, Bitcoin rose strongly from around $40,000... Many friends who positioned themselves early reaped significant profits. History does not simply repeat itself, but key points often have traces to follow.
Why is the interest rate cut so important for the crypto space?
In simple terms, an interest rate cut means more money in the market. As cryptocurrencies are typical risk assets, they are often one of the first directions for hot money to flow into. From on-chain data, smart money has actually been quietly moving, and large Bitcoin transfers have recently become noticeably active.
My advice is very practical:
Maintain a position of around 60%, leaving enough funds to cope with volatility
Focus on Bitcoin and Ethereum, don’t rush to chase niche altcoins
If it breaks the previous high, you can increase your position appropriately, but be sure to set a stop loss
Through long-term observation, I have found that the market at the initial turn of policy is the most valuable to grasp. Just like the wave at the beginning of the year, those who act earliest often get to enjoy the biggest slice.
What the market needs most right now is patience and discipline. Keep an eye on the follow-up updates from Fuchi Village, and I will work with everyone to seize this policy window period. Remember, opportunities are always reserved for those who are prepared. What retail investors need to do is "patiently wait for opportunities, act decisively and steadily". Join the village to receive daily real-time strategy sharing + cutting loss guidelines! #美联储重启降息步伐

Federal Reserve's "25 basis points" rate cut scam? The return of 1 billion in funds to the crypto market may become the "last carnival"!

The comments from Federal Reserve officials regarding rate cuts have indeed boosted market sentiment, but two points need to be clarified: the current U.S. inflation rate is still above the 2% target, and the Federal Reserve may only take preventive rate cuts rather than large-scale easing. If the rate cut is not as expected, funds may quickly withdraw. Global economic growth is slowing, and geopolitical conflicts may offset the positive effects of rate cuts. Historical data shows that the correlation between crypto assets and risky assets is as high as 0.8; if the stock market corrects, the crypto market is unlikely to remain unscathed.

The flow of funds in European and Asian markets is sluggish, leading to an excessive concentration of global crypto asset pricing power in the U.S. The daily trading volume of XRP is less than 1/10th that of Bitcoin; large inflows may push prices up, but withdrawals may also trigger "liquidity exhaustion."

The return of funds to this digital asset ETP is essentially a short-term phenomenon driven by rate cut expectations and institutional fund replenishment after Thanksgiving, rather than a fundamental improvement in the industry. The current market still faces risks such as policy uncertainty, regional differentiation, and excessive leverage, and investors need to remain cautious to avoid blindly chasing highs due to FOMO sentiment. The institutionalization of crypto assets is a long and difficult road; only by balancing innovation and risk can sustainable growth be achieved.

If you want to quickly get started and understand the information gap, click on the avatar to follow me and gain firsthand information and in-depth analysis.
#美联储重启降息步伐

As of now, I believe that the few members voting at the Federal Reserve are still undecided about whether to cut interest rates. #美联储重启降息步伐
If you look at the 2-year Treasury yield, it was originally supposed to drop by 50bp to 3.4, but instead, it has risen back to 3.6.
This is equivalent to not cutting interest rates at all, and under this model, it is impossible to activate the interest rate cut button again.
As a result, the cost of borrowing for the U.S. government and enterprises has not decreased, which is unacceptable. At this time, Trump and the Federal Reserve have rarely aligned their positions.
They are targeting the U.S. stock market, casually harvesting the cryptocurrency sector with large intraday fluctuations, dropping three points to reap the leverage from the stock market. Meanwhile, a gradual decline has begun.
This has created a scenario of liquidity shortage, which happens every year.
Then the 2-year Treasury yield began to fall, indicating that some funds have absorbed the Treasury bonds. It is evident where this funding comes from.
Similarly, the U.S. dollar index has also fallen. These two indicators suggest that as interest rates return to where they should be, expectations for a rate cut in December have risen again.
My judgment indicators are relatively simple and I think they are very core,
which is whether the 2-year Treasury yield can return to 3.4 normally. If it cannot, the Federal Reserve may not be willing to continue cutting interest rates, and the stock market will also drop, but currently the trend seems to be approaching.

#特郎普提名 Trump wants to let 'his people' control the Federal Reserve? Hassett says: Nominate me and I'm in!

The gossip in Washington these days is more exciting than Wall Street's candlestick chart—yesterday, that economic steward of the White House, Hassett, directly stated: 'If Trump nominates me as the chairman of the Federal Reserve, I will take it immediately!' As soon as those words hit the ground, US stock futures jumped, and the yield on 10-year US Treasury bonds dropped below 4% overnight, even cryptocurrencies trembled three times in response.

This is not a sudden stroke of 'good luck.' In September, Trump had already included him on the list of candidates for the Federal Reserve chair, and now his chances of being elected have skyrocketed to 52% in the prediction market—why does Trump favor him so much?

These two have been 'old partners': Trump's tax reduction plan in 2017 was led by Hassett; during the pandemic, he urged the White House to lift restrictions; now, as the director of the National Economic Council, he readily states 'raising tariffs can reduce prices' and 'government shutdowns mean cutting federal employees,' aligning perfectly with Trump's temperament.

The key point is that he, like Trump, is fed up with the Federal Reserve's 'slow and hesitant' approach to interest rate cuts. A few days ago, he directly fired back: 'If I were in charge of the Federal Reserve, I would cut rates now!' This statement hit Trump's sore spot—current chairman Powell only cuts by 25 basis points each time, and Trump has already called him a 'loser.'

However, this issue is more controversial than beneficial: Wall Street hopes he will come to 'inject liquidity,' while academia directly shouts 'this will destroy the independence of the Federal Reserve'—after all, Hassett is in the same boat as Trump; if he really takes office, will the Federal Reserve become the White House's 'money printer'?

Nevertheless, some bet he will 'turn against' them, saying that Bernanke also came from the White House and later remained tough. But Hassett has long had 'radical interest rate cuts' written all over his face—if he truly takes office, will the committee members of the Federal Reserve listen to him?

Now we just have to wait for Trump to make a decision before Christmas, but everyone knows that Trump is a person who changes his mind easily—do you think Hassett can really become the chairman of the Federal Reserve? If he does, will the stock market continue to soar or will it crash directly? Come to the comments section and take a bet! #特朗普加密新政 #美联储重启降息步伐