美联储何时降息？

$ETH $BTC
Is the interest rate cut really coming? Will Bitcoin's "Christmas rally" happen early? 🎄

Friends, urgent attention! Have you noticed? The market sentiment has completely changed recently! 🔥 The Federal Reserve, which was previously hesitant, now has an interest rate cut almost reaching a consensus in the market. Just today, the authoritative tool "Federal Reserve Watch" released shocking news: the probability of a 25 basis point cut in December has soared to 82.9%! What does this mean? Simply put, eight out of ten people are betting that there will definitely be a rate cut next month, which is almost a "sure thing"!

Looking back at this month, the speed of this rising expectation is comparable to riding a rocket 🚀: from 30% at the beginning of the month, it surged to 53%, then to 73%, and now exceeds 80%! Market sentiment has been completely ignited.

For us investors, this is undoubtedly a significant positive! 💡 A rate cut means market liquidity will be more abundant, and as "the tide rises, the boats rise", those risk assets sensitive to capital, like the Bitcoin and Ethereum we are familiar with, will naturally gain stronger support. Many analysts believe that under such clear expectations, it will be difficult to see new lows for Bitcoin and Ethereum within this year; the market's bottom structure is becoming increasingly solid.

So, a key question is placed before us: will this wave of expected "carnival" trigger the cryptocurrency "Christmas rally" early? 🎁

What do you think? Do you believe that after the rate cut is implemented, the market will either "fully absorb the positive news" or initiate a new round of increase? Come share your insights in the comments section!

#美联储何时降息？ #加密市场回调 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #ETH走势分析

Eating melons right under the Federal Reserve! Just now, "the Federal Reserve's mouthpiece" Nick Timiraos went online and directly pointed out the core suspense of the next meeting——WWJD (What will Jerome decide?)

Key point: Whether to cut interest rates this time is up to Chairman Powell, and it seems the script has already been written! The brothers have clearly paved the way for the boss, as long as he nods, the rate cut can be arranged.

But don't celebrate too early, the signals are a bit complicated: it can be cut this time, but after the cut, it might just be "sealed up" directly. The meaning is very straightforward: "Just this once, no second time", don't expect further cuts in the short term.

In other words, the Federal Reserve may intend to use a one-time "strategic rate cut" to respond to the current economic situation, while clearly indicating that this is not the beginning of a loosening cycle. This wave of operations aims to stabilize the market while not wanting to release overly dovish expectations.

Once the news breaks, the market nerves will tighten again. Can the one-time "benefit" be withstood? Powell's next move is linked to the pulse of global capital.
#美联储何时降息？ #美联储重启降息步伐

$DOGE $ETH
📉 The Federal Reserve is about to make a big move! Is a rate cut in December a done deal?

"The New Fed Correspondent" Nick Timiraos has just dropped a bombshell 💣, with the headline directly revealing: "Powell's allies are paving the way for a rate cut in December." Three signals, each more explosive than the last: $XRP

🔥 Signal One: Powell has to "bear it alone"
"The final decision rests with Powell"
"Powell must face serious internal divisions"
In plain language: this isn't a collective decision; the chair is ready to push through! This action is extremely rare in the history of the Federal Reserve.

🔥 Signal Two: A life-or-death gamble of two choices
Route A: Rate cut in December
✅ The market breathes a sigh of relief, preserving jobs
❌ Faces fierce internal opposition, possibly creating the most dissenting votes in 30 years

Route B: No change in December
✅ Avoids the blame of "cutting too early"
❌ The market crashes directly in front of you

The article directly compares to the 2019 "cut first, then pause" operation, which suggests it's quite clear, right? 😏

🔥 Signal Three: Two major allies publicly take sides
New York Fed President Williams (the second-in-command at the Federal Reserve) stated: There is still room for rate cuts in the short term!
San Francisco Fed President Daly (a core spokesperson) is even tougher: directly supports the rate cut in December!

The most critical sentence in the article is explosive: "the final call rests with Powell". The meaning is very clear: regardless of how fierce the internal disputes are, Powell is ready to suppress dissenting voices and push for a rate cut in December!

💎 Simply put: this is not a regular operation; it is a gamble on Powell's personal credibility. The market is ready, and the Federal Reserve's rate cut prelude has already sounded! 🚀

#美联储何时降息？ #ETH走势分析

🔥🔥The article by Nick from the New Federal Reserve News Agency has just come out.

It basically confirms that there will be a continued interest rate cut of 25 basis points in December. Although Daly currently does not have voting rights,
📌📌 she has always been a staunch ally of Powell and has never expressed a voice contrary to Powell's position in public,
📌📌this time she not only supports the rate cut in December but also received exclusive coverage from the Federal Reserve's mouthpiece, Nick,
which is essentially equivalent to an official statement. #美联储何时降息？ $BTC
[How should the market be positioned, leave your thoughts in the comments below? $ZEC

Federal Reserve "Interest Rate Cut Trap" Warning! Before the cryptocurrency frenzy, seasoned investors shout three times: Stay steady and don't get carried away!

Interest rate cuts ≠ skyrocketing prices! In 2020, interest rate cuts led to a BTC surge, but this time it's "cut and stop",

Liquidity "opens the floodgates only to close them", be careful of "good news leading to a market crash"! Seasoned investors lament: chasing the rise led to a 15% loss, altcoins "rise quickly and fall even faster",

Don't be a "bag holder"! Key strategy: short-term light positions to test new highs, mid-term focus on CPI data, long-term choose real asset targets, stay away from pure conceptual speculation!

The Federal Reserve "paves the way for allies but locks in the future", interest rate cuts are a "one-time stimulant", no backup after that. Funds will speculate on expectations in advance, but if there's no follow-up after the event, the market could plunge at any time. Smart money is "buying low and lurking" in ETH ecosystem DeFi leaders, BTC spot, rather than chasing high and following the hype of altcoins!

Don't be fooled by "interest rate cuts must rise"! Before policy implementation is the "expectation period", after implementation is the "truth period". Jumping in now is betting on "sugar-coated" promises, waiting until after implementation is watching for "bombshells". Be patient for opportunities, and when acting, be "decisive, precise, and steady"!

Future direction:
At 8 PM tonight, dive deep into the main force's adjustment sectors, be quick! Retail survival rules: low positions, leave a backup, monitor data, choose real targets!

Blindly going solo will never bring opportunities; tap the avatar to follow me, and I'll lead you to discover tenfold potential coins! Top-tier level resources!

#美联储何时降息？

Great news, "The December Rate Cut is Imminent" The Federal Reserve Triggers a Historic Shift

$BTC $BNB $ETH Just now, the Federal Reserve released a significant signal! Powell's three core allies—San Francisco Fed President Daly, Fed Governor Waller, and New York Fed President Williams—simultaneously "dove" to support a rate cut in December. This marks a historic shift in the Federal Reserve's policy focus: protecting jobs has officially replaced fighting inflation!

Daly issued a strong warning: "The labor market is standing on the edge of a cliff!" She stated that managing an abrupt collapse in employment is more urgent than responding to a rebound in inflation, and referred to the December meeting as a "test of judgment."

The market instantly boiled over:

· The probability of a rate cut in December surged from 40% to over 80% within a week
· The two-year Treasury yield plummeted sharply
· The S&P 500 surged 2%, BTC broke through 89228

However, this rate cut is essentially a "blind flight" decision—due to the government shutdown, key employment data for October and November is entirely missing, and the Federal Reserve will make significant choices during this data vacuum.

Despite the strong dovish sentiment, there are still clear internal divisions. Powell will have to reconcile these differences at the December meeting and make a decisive ruling.

What do you think of this historic turning point?
👉 Supporters: Urgent job crisis, rate cut cannot be delayed?
👉 Opponents: Incomplete data, too risky? #美联储何时降息？ #加密市场回调

The latest NABE survey has been released! It is expected that the US economy will grow moderately in 2026, with a median GDP growth rate of 2% and inflation slightly retreating to 2.6%. However, job growth remains weak, with an average monthly increase in non-farm employment of only 64,000 people, and the unemployment rate remains at 4.5%. As for the Federal Reserve, it is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December, and another cut of around 50 basis points in 2026. #加密市场回调

For friends in the cryptocurrency space, this means a slightly looser macro environment, but economic resilience is limited, and the market may experience fluctuations. In the short term, Bitcoin and altcoins may be boosted by the decrease in interest rates, but do not forget that employment and inflation data may still affect market sentiment. It is prudent to maintain a steady approach and pay attention to position management. #美联储何时降息？

Last night, the Federal Reserve made a bold move! Three core officials—San Francisco President Daly, Governor Waller, and New York President Williams—almost simultaneously signaled a rate cut, and the market immediately erupted. Everyone is saying that employment can't hold up any longer, and a rate cut must happen soon. #美联储何时降息？

The market reaction can be described as frenzied: the probability of a rate cut in December skyrocketed overnight from 40% to over 80%. #BTC broke through $89,000, heading straight for the $90,000 mark, and #ETH is also approaching $3,000, showing strong momentum. The US stock and bond markets also joined in the excitement, all betting on the arrival of rate cuts.

My view is that this shift by the Federal Reserve is more aggressive than I expected. They are clearly sending a signal: controlling inflation is no longer the only priority; preserving employment is the top priority. For the cryptocurrency market, this is undoubtedly a significant positive message, with a large potential for a short-term rebound.

However, the only uncertainty is—given that key economic data has not yet been released, will the Federal Reserve dare to "blindly cut"? From Daly's statements, they seem more concerned about the risks of not cutting rates and appear to be ready to take action. Overall, the short-term market is very stimulating, and crypto friends should seize the opportunity, but remember to manage your positions well, as volatility still exists.

$ETH $BTC
【🔥Is the Federal Reserve's December rate cut guaranteed? Signals of economic slowdown flash, Wall Street has already taken action!】

Recently, Wall Street has been hotly discussing: Is the Federal Reserve really going to cut rates this time! ⏰

Federal Reserve Governor Waller pointed out directly: "The labor market is my biggest concern." San Francisco Fed President Daly also clearly supports a December rate cut, believing that "the labor market is too weak." 😥

Coupled with the predictions of Goldman Sachs' chief economist, the market now generally believes: A December rate cut is basically certain!

📉 Why the sudden shift?

Federal Reserve officials are no longer hiding—preventing economic decline is more urgent than controlling inflation. Monetary policy is shifting from "anti-inflation" to "growth protection." 📊

Goldman Sachs warns: "The slowdown in the U.S. economy may exceed expectations, requiring more rate cuts." Deutsche Bank also predicts that global economic growth will slow in 2026. Multiple risks are intertwined, and the labor market has become a potential trigger point. 💣

💡 The market has already begun to act

The bond market reacted first, and U.S. stock futures quietly rose. Traders are not only betting on a December rate cut but also expect further easing in 2025. Historical experience shows that rate cut cycles often lead to a major reshuffling of asset prices. 📈

#加密市场回调 #美联储何时降息？ #加密市场观察

💥Dovish Assault! San Francisco Fed President Daly Calls for Rate Cuts in December, Bearish on Job Market!

The Wall Street Journal reports that San Francisco Fed President and key figure within the Federal Reserve, Mary Daly, has publicly stated that she supports a rate cut next month (December)!

【Core Analysis and Logical Turnaround】

Rare Voice Challenging Powell: Daly is a moderate within the Federal Reserve and rarely publicly opposes Powell. Her public statement is the strongest outbreak of dovish sentiment within the Federal Reserve.

Focus Shifts to Employment: Daly believes that the possibility of a sudden deterioration in the job market (non-linear changes) is greater and harder to control than a sharp surge.

Daly's Exact Words: "The labor market is already fragile enough, and risks are undergoing invisible changes."

Inflation Risk Decreases: She believes that due to the sharply increased costs driven by tariffs, the inflation risk has decreased.

🔥Huge Impact on the Market and Federal Reserve Decisions:

Macroeconomic Winds Returning: The signal is the current market's most needed catalyst for "risk appetite to return." It hedges against the geopolitical risks and uncertainties brought by internal disagreements within the Federal Reserve that we analyzed on Monday.

Breakthrough in Decision-Making Stalemate: Daly's strong influence plays a key role in the serious reduction of the current FOMC's internal debate on whether to "pause rate hikes" or "cut rates," significantly increasing the likelihood of a rate cut at the December meeting, which clearly indicates a dovish possibility.

Conclusion: Daly's statement is the first major crack in the hawkish high wall! This is an instantly constructive positive for risk assets ($BTC / $ETH and altcoins), and it may change the narrative of macro headwinds in the market in the short term!
#美联储何时降息？

On November 25, the Polymarket website showed that the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December had reached 81%; the CME 'FedWatch' tool's data also indicated that this probability rose to 76.7%. Just a month ago, this rate cut probability was around 90%, having previously dropped to 32.7% due to internal disagreements, but now, driven by dovish statements from several core officials, expectations have sharply increased again. At the same time, institutions like Goldman Sachs have also clearly predicted that the Federal Reserve will implement its third consecutive rate cut in December. #美联储何时降息？

$BTC $ETH $SOL
Economic resilience exceeds expectations, the crypto market welcomes a good opportunity for layout! A must-read strategy guide for retail investors.

Recent macroeconomic data shows that the National Association for Business Economics (NABE) survey indicates that the U.S. economic growth forecast for 2026 has been raised to 2%, with inflation expected to slightly decline to 2.6%, but employment growth remains weak.

At the same time, the Federal Reserve is expected to lower interest rates by 25 basis points in December, with only another 50 basis points cut in 2026, gradually approaching a neutral policy rate. This series of dynamics has significant implications for the crypto market.

From a macro perspective, the upward revision of economic growth expectations has enhanced market risk appetite, potentially driving capital into high-beta assets, including cryptocurrencies. Although inflation has slightly declined, it remains above the Federal Reserve's target, supporting the narrative of Bitcoin and other digital assets as inflation hedges.

The Federal Reserve's slowing pace of interest rate cuts suggests a gradual normalization of the interest rate environment, which may bring short-term market volatility but is beneficial for the crypto market to develop under a more stable framework in the medium to long term. Weak employment data may reinforce expectations for accommodative policies, providing potential support for risk assets.

For retail investors, the following strategies are recommended:

First, pay attention to macroeconomic indicators and the Federal Reserve's policy path, dynamically adjusting positions to respond to interest rate changes;

Second, optimize the investment portfolio, appropriately allocate crypto assets for diversification, focusing on fundamentally strong mainstream tokens;

Third, maintain a long-term perspective, avoid frequent trading due to short-term noise, and use dollar-cost averaging strategies to smooth market fluctuations.

The current economic backdrop has created new opportunity windows for the crypto market, and rational analysis and prudent operations are key. Pay attention to MIG, participate in every attack of MIG villagers! MIG will announce the specific entry time and real-time news in the village every day! #加密市场回调 #美联储何时降息？

美联储：12月降息25基点概率升至82.9%

$BTC
$ETH
$XRP
#美联储何时降息？
【11月25日CME“美联储观察”显示美联储利率调整概率有变化】11月25日，CME“美联储观察”透露，美联储12月降息25个基点的概率为82.9%，较昨日的69.4%有所上升，维持利率不变的概率为17.1%。此外，美联储到明年1月累计降息25个基点的概率为65.4%，维持利率不变的概率为12.5%，累计降息50个基点的概率为22%。

Encrypted maid Coser Yin Ziping! ✖️ Plum blossom divination
Predicting the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut in December!
Has the bull market ended?
Like this post and follow
Free test of your recent financial luck tonight at 9 PM!
#币安广场直播 #美联储何时降息？ #比特币

🔥 Brothers, the amount of information in this chart is explosive! The FOMC's December 'official sentiment report' has clearly told us: the market will be led by central bank sentiment going forward.

First, the core — interest rate cut expectations are recovering, but the officials' disagreements are unprecedentedly large!
In the chart, we can see that several hawkish officials still emphasize that inflation is 'sticky' and 'cannot be loosened too early', especially key voters like Bostic and Daly, who maintain a firm tone; on the other hand, some officials are beginning to acknowledge the slowing economic growth and tightening financial conditions, expressing concern about the risks of excessive tightening.

What does this disagreement signify?
👉 A typical 'end of the rate hike cycle characteristic'!
When sharp divisions emerge among decision-makers, it often indicates that the turning point in monetary policy is approaching, and market volatility will react in advance.

Now, let's look at the data at the bottom of the chart:
📉 The market's interest rate expectations curve for 2025 is rebounding after a decline, indicating that traders are re-betting on interest rate cuts.
📊 The dot plot estimates also show that 'the last rate hike is in the past' is almost a consensus, the key is the pace of rate cuts!

Even more stimulating is the statistical pie chart on the right:
🟢 The proportion of doves is rising, although hawkish voices still occupy a high position, the direction is softening.
What does this mean for risk assets?
👉 As soon as one or two important officials ease their stance, the market will immediately ignite risk appetite.

Considering the current sentiment in the crypto circle:
⚡ BTC's correlation with the broader market is strengthening
⚡ Crypto liquidity is clearly warming up
⚡ Fed's pivot expectations = the strongest catalyst

In summary:
📌 Policy divergence = market opportunity.
📌 The December interest rate meeting is not just a rate decision, it is the last emotional trigger point of the year.

What about the market in the second half of the month?
Brothers, **the script has already been written, it just depends on who blinks first at the Federal Reserve!** 🔥$ZEC $TNSR $ETH #美联储何时降息？ #ETH巨鲸增持

#美联储何时降息？
📈Market expectations have shifted dramatically! CME data shows over 80% probability of a rate cut in December, indicating signs of easing in the macro environment.

According to the latest data from CME's "FedWatch," the market's expectation for the December interest rate decision has risen to 82.9%.

Significant shift in expectations: The high probability of 82.9% reflects a substantial change in market expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. This indicates that after the dovish voices within the Fed have strengthened (such as Daly), traders are generally starting to price in a more accommodative monetary environment.

Easing macro pressures: This change in expectations helps alleviate concerns in the UAE market about high interest rates persisting for a long time. Although a rate cut is not 100% certain, the macro headwinds faced by risk assets (such as cryptocurrencies) are marginally improving.

Potential support for liquidity: Easing interest rate expectations are conducive to increasing market risk appetite, providing potential liquidity support for assets like BTC/ETH.

⚠️Fei Ge's advice: Although the market pricing has highly tilted towards rate cuts, the final decision still needs to wait for the December FOMC meeting. We should view this as a significant reduction in macro risks, rather than a guarantee that a bull market is imminent. Strategically, maintain a strategic allocation to fundamentally strong assets (L2, RWA, etc.) while continuing to monitor the stability of the market's technical aspects.

【重磅】🔥Interest rate cut stabilized? The market is betting wildly on December!

🔥CME data shows: The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in December has soared to 82.7%! The Fed's usual style – mixing up the market and confusing everyone😂😂

💥This expectation reversal is too exciting:
A week ago, the probability was less than 40%
Now it has directly doubled to over 80%
The market is voting with real money: a rate cut has become a consensus!

Recalling the dovish statements from Fed officials last week
Combined with support from major banks like Goldman Sachs
This wave of rate cuts really can't be stopped

🐳The liquidity floodgate is about to open, are you bullish or bearish?
Let's see in the comments! 👇

$BTC $ETH $BNB

#美联储何时降息？

(Market has risks, investment requires caution)

🔥Federal Reserve Governor Waller: I am focused on the labor market, and I advocate for a rate cut in December.

#美联储何时降息？
$DOGE

$ETH
$BNB