美联储何时降息？

Powell will give a speech at the Jackson Hole meeting, and investment banks have differing expectations on interest rate cuts.

According to BlockBeats, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will deliver a speech at 10 PM on August 22 (UTC+8) at the Jackson Hole meeting. State Street Global Advisors expects Powell to potentially pave the way for a rate cut in September.

UBS believes Powell may hint at a rate cut in September. Russell Investments states there is a possibility of a rate cut, but the extent would be 25 basis points. Dutch International points out that the concerns of three Federal Reserve officials about the job market may indicate a shift towards a more dovish official stance.

Mitsubishi UFJ expresses that Powell may not clarify the timing of a rate cut in order to evaluate data before the September meeting. Bank of America remains skeptical about a rate cut this year, believing that Powell may be content with low employment growth. #加密市场回调 $BTC #美联储何时降息？

#美联储何时降息？ 【Russell Investments: The Jackson Hole meeting may cool Fed rate cut expectations】August 19 - Aiterman, the global chief investment strategist at Russell Investments, said in a report that the results of the upcoming Jackson Hole meeting may differ from market expectations. Aiterman stated that Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's speech at Jackson Hole may not be as dovish as the market expects. The institution believes that a rate cut by the Fed in September is 'possible' rather than 'certain', and the cut will be 25 basis points, not 50 basis points.

This Week's Focus 🔥🔥🔥

Since the release of weak employment data in July, the statements from Federal Reserve policymakers have become more dovish. However, the upside risks to inflation still exist. The PPI data for July in the U.S. indicates that importers have faced significant price increases, which may be passed on to consumers in the coming months. Meanwhile, the Trump administration has been applying political pressure, urging the Federal Reserve to ease monetary policy.

In the coming week, the Federal Reserve will certainly remain the focus. The Fed will release the minutes from the July meeting early Thursday, but the real key will be the annual meeting of global central bank governors in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, from August 21 to 23, especially the speech by Fed Chairman Powell on Friday. The seminar will run from Thursday to Saturday, and this year's theme is "The Labor Market in Transition: Demographics, Productivity, and Macroeconomic Policy." The Federal Reserve has often used this meeting to signal significant policy shifts in the past.

Following the unexpectedly weak employment report and encouraging CPI data in July, Powell may pave the way for a rate cut in September. The question is whether Powell will commit to a rate cut in September and further cuts for the remainder of the year, or will he stick to a data-dependent approach? Given the uncertainties surrounding the impact of high tariffs on inflation, Powell may not outline a specific rate path.
#美联储何时降息？

Reasons for Ethereum's recent weakness 🔥🔥

Part of it is that the ETH previously bought at the bottom for staking has begun to be gradually sold off, leading to panic selling in the market. [Fans holding contracts must pay attention to their stop-loss and forced liquidation; spot fans shouldn't worry, this is just a small fluctuation, and the overall bullish trend remains unchanged].

Additionally, the ongoing price increase requires liquidating long positions in contracts. Currently, the weekly support is at 4200-4000, and this level can be used to gradually enter the market. [You can also sync with the previously recommended altcoins].

The more panic there is in the market, the more opportunities we have to ambush. The market can reverse quickly; it all depends on whether you can seize the opportunity. Follow Brother Bao's strategy, and let him guide you through the entire bull market!!!
#加密市场回调 #美联储何时降息？

The big one is coming! 🔥🔥🚀🚀

Today, ETH once again took a dive, dropping to 4228 at one point. Panic quickly spread through the market, and many started to believe that a bear market was coming. On the surface, it seemed like the combined impact of "the King's public statement" and the news about "ETH unstaking" caused retail investors to follow suit and flee.

However, when we break down the details, it appears more like a scheme by the main players to manipulate the news【the PPI data released last week was a similar situation】. The short-term disturbances instead present a buying opportunity; what was perceived as bad news is actually a false risk.

The King's recent statement: The content revolved around crypto regulation and did not announce any new information. Institutions had already digested this information【there were no signs of on-chain capital fleeing】; it was more about amplifying retail investor sentiment.

ETH unstaking: This time, only 23,000 coins were unstaked, accounting for just 0.03% of the liquidity, far from causing a market crash. Combined with previous news, after the unlocking, larger holders chose to continue staking rather than selling.

Operational advice:

Currently, the key support level has not been breached, and bulls are starting to enter. This wave of decline perfectly tapped the technical support at $4228, which is also a level where it had stabilized multiple times before. As panic sentiment is rapidly released, buying pressure quickly comes in, and ETH rebounds swiftly to around $4310.

If it stabilizes in the 4200-4300 range, as long as it does not break down, the upward trend for ETH remains intact. This wave of ETH is only one step away from the previous high. Main players often use false bad news to shake off some weak hands before pushing for new highs.

Traders who truly understand the market will not sell off in a panic but will instead use the pullbacks as a buying opportunity.

Here are some altcoins I recommend:

ENA: Leading the stablecoin sector, favored by whales and institutions for driving prices up.

UNI: Leading decentralized exchange token【as long as you hold it for $50-100, you shouldn't have any issues】.

AAVE: Leading DeFi lending platform, currently with a TVL soaring to $38.9 billion, close to doubling since the beginning of the year, commanding a quarter of the entire market, firmly positioned as the lending leader.

LINK: Leading oracle, recently enjoying positive news that has been driving the coin price up.

In the evening, I personally expect a small pullback in U.S. stocks. I recommend entering the above-mentioned altcoins in batches at 4180-4150. I will notify my fans of the specific entry points; those who want to follow can pay attention to me!!!!
#加密市场回调 #美联储何时降息？ $ETH $AAVE $ENA

Is a rebound imminent after ETH's sharp decline? Easing geopolitics + Fed rate cut, can it break through?!

Today, Ethereum fell to $4192, but the market hides signs of a rebound. With geopolitical risks easing and expectations of a Fed rate cut in September intertwining, will ETH break through amid volatility?

News: Geopolitical cooling, focus shifts to the Fed
1. New developments in the Russia-Ukraine negotiations
Zelensky refuses to ceasefire but agrees to a trilateral summit with Putin. Trump directly intervenes to mediate, temporarily easing geopolitical tensions, with some funds shifting to gold, but the crypto market's focus has turned to the Fed's interest rate decision on September 17.

2. Rising expectations for a Fed rate cut
The market bets that the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in September has reached 85%, but inflation data is a mixed bag, and Powell may remain cautious. If the rate cut materializes, risk assets like ETH may rebound; if the policy falls short of expectations, be wary of a short-term pullback.

Technical analysis: $4261 becomes crucial, is a rebound imminent?
1. Price trend: Oversold signals emerge
Daily level: ETH's recent 4-hour candlestick has closed positively, with selling pressure nearing its end.
Key indicators: MACD: Histogram remains positive, bullish strength prevails.
KDJ: Golden cross formed, oversold region brewing a rebound.

2. On-chain data: Institutions 'stockpiling' + ecosystem explosion
BlackRock's ETH trust holdings have reached 832,000 coins, with Fidelity's weekly net inflow at $470 million. Arbitrum's daily trading volume has exceeded 120 million transactions, and ETH's burn rate continues to exceed its issuance, reinforcing deflationary logic.

Monthly outlook: Short-term volatility, bullish in the medium to long term
1. Operational advice
Light positions: Entering at a pullback to $4261, stop-loss set at $4236. Follow up on breakthroughs: if it breaks through $4566, increase positions to target $4868.
2. Long-term logic
Technical upgrades: Proto-danksharding is in testing, and performance leaps will attract more applications.

ETH is at a key period of 'geopolitical easing + policy window', with $4261 possibly becoming a dividing line for bulls and bears. Short-term volatility is inevitable, but technical upgrades and institutional capital provide a solid foundation.

If you want to delve deeper into the crypto space but can't find your way, and wish to quickly get started and understand the information gap, click on my profile to follow me for first-hand information and in-depth analysis! #美联储何时降息？

Is Ethereum's bottom completed at $ETH ???

Ethereum 4200-4000 is the weekly support, and there is relatively strong capital buying at the bottom, with obvious signs of stabilization on the hourly chart. Therefore, Bao Ge advised fans to enter a small position at this level, and to wait for my notification for further increases.

Target: Short-term target is 4320, long-term target is new highs 😁😁😁

Don’t know how to operate in this market? Follow me, I’ll provide the strategy, execution is up to you! The positions are limited, the quick get in and the slow miss out!
#美联储何时降息？ #加密市场回调
$SOL $BNB

Diverging expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, perspectives from various parties ahead of the Jackson Hole meeting #美联储会议 #美联储何时降息？

Is there still a altcoin season in the crypto world? Why are altcoins not moving even though ETH has surpassed 4000?

Recently, many friends have asked: "ETH has broken through 4000, BTC has surged to 120,000 USD, why aren’t altcoins rising much? Has the altcoin season ended?"

Actually, this is quite normal, and there are three main reasons:

1️⃣ Funds are concentrated in mainstream assets

In the current market, large funds prefer to allocate to BTC and ETH. On one hand, institutional funds like ETFs are continuously flowing in, and on the other hand, these two assets have the highest certainty. The main players first boost market sentiment and trends, and altcoins naturally lag behind.

2️⃣ Altcoins are generally in a "chip turnover period"

Many projects have seen excessive early-stage gains, leading to heavy losses, and the main players need time to clear out weak hands. Altcoins that haven't experienced turnover find it hard to surge immediately. The current sideways movements and downtrends are essentially a washout.

3️⃣ The market style switch hasn’t reached altcoins yet

Every bull market has its rhythm: first, BTC breaks through → ETH follows and accelerates → platform coins and leading public chains strengthen → finally, funds spread to secondary and tertiary altcoins.

Currently, ETH has just stabilized at 4000, and the mainstream market is only entering the acceleration phase, so the altcoin season naturally has to wait a bit longer.

The altcoin season will not be absent; it’s just that the time isn't right.

Once ETH truly breaks through the previous high of 4730 and establishes an independent trend, market funds will have more confidence to speculate on altcoins. At that point, sector rotation will fully unfold.

So, don’t be discouraged just because there hasn’t been a short-term rise; bull markets have always been “first mainstream, then altcoins,” it’s just a matter of timing. Keep an eye on quality altcoins, be patient, and once the altcoin season begins, it often comes more aggressively than expected.
#美联储何时降息？ #加密市场回调 $ETH $SOL $BNB

8.19 Morning Bitcoin Analysis

Good morning, today's big pie continues its strong trend. From a technical perspective, the MACD indicator is currently operating above the zero line and is continuing to rise, with the histogram also expanding, indicating that bullish momentum is continuously strengthening, and the market overall remains in an upward trend. Meanwhile, although the KDJ indicator has entered the overbought zone, in a strong market, this overbought state can often be maintained for a period of time, and there is still momentum for prices to continue pushing to higher levels in the short term. However, it is important to note that after overbought conditions, there may be periodic corrections at any time, so caution should be maintained during operations.

Combining the current trend, the short-term outlook remains bullish. It is recommended to look for opportunities to place long orders in the range of 115200 to 114600, with the initial target set at around 118500. During the operation, it is important to pay attention to risk control; although the market is strong, there are still fluctuations, so always set stop-loss orders to avoid unnecessary losses from sudden pullbacks.

Overall, the big pie continues to maintain a strong structure, so follow the trend without going against it. Being able to seize opportunities is important, but ensuring position safety is even more crucial, as this will allow you to go further.
#加密市场回调 #美联储何时降息？ $ETH $SOL $BNB

Slight adjustment in interest rate cut probability
However, overall manageable and controllable

#美联储何时降息？
#BTC走势分析
$BTC $ETH

Is it safe to hold stablecoins long-term?

UTR is a cryptocurrency payment platform. Buyers can pay with cryptocurrency and enjoy comprehensive payment protections and third-party intermediaries to reduce fraud risks. Sellers enjoy low fees and real-time payment, while avoiding malicious chargebacks, credit card fraud, and other issues.

Tokens like these are typically heavily controlled by market makers, with a large amount of locked-in shares. The market capitalization is only around 150 million, including UTK. The floating market is also small, and the chips are basically controlled by the project team, making it easy to manipulate the market.

We can see a continuous influx of funds into UTK on the chain. During this wave, it is advisable to follow the market makers to lock in profits and wait for new trading opportunities without waiting for market fluctuations.

I don't recommend long-term holding of this currency. If you're already invested, you can cash in now and choose other strong currencies to invest in.
#加密市场回调 #美联储何时降息？ $ETH $SOL $BNB

The market has stabilized, boldly buy the dip and get in🔥🔥

I wonder if any fans have followed along with this wave of real-time orders at the plaza; it’s still true that fumbling around alone is not as good as following the right people😘😘

As long as you're on the right path, doubling your assets can be very easy; small positions have their own strategies, and large positions have their own plans

Whether you are in a large position or a small position, Brother Bao will have detailed plans to guide you in execution; all you need to do is trust and lie back to collect money, that’s it😁😁
#美联储何时降息？ #加密市场回调
$ETH $SOL $BNB

$LINK Oracle leader, although the recent market has experienced a significant pullback, it remains strong. At the current position of LINK, can we enter the market now??

Reasons for the recent strength of LINK:

①: Chainlink recently launched a brand new reserve mechanism, which automatically converts service fees paid by enterprises and DApps into LINK and deposits them into an on-chain savings pool. Currently, it has accumulated LINK worth 1 million USD, and future income will continue to flow in, meaning that market selling pressure will decrease. The official statement also indicates that the reserves will not be withdrawn for several years [this also gives all retail investors a reassurance that the project team is genuinely working to develop the ecosystem rather than simply hyping the coin price to sell off]. This can be seen as a deflationary benefit for LINK.

②: Currently, the LINK network's oracles are securing over 93 billion USD in DeFi value, setting a new historical high, including over 83% of Ethereum’s on-chain assets, and nearly 100% asset security for new chains like Base.

③: Recently, LINK has reached a cooperation with the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange, ICE, to seamlessly bring its foreign exchange and precious metals data on-chain. As the oracle services become deeply integrated into DeFi and RWA narratives, LINK has a higher probability of continuing to rise.

At the current position, we can still enter the market in batches. Brother Bao also mentioned this morning that this pullback is the best opportunity for us to get in. As long as you follow Brother Bao's recommendations for these altcoins, the gains by the end of the year will be beyond your imagination. 😁😁
#山寨季何时到来？ #美联储何时降息？
$ETH $SOL