#市场反弹预测 #微策略持续增持BTC #美国CPI数据即将公布 #比特币价格走势分析 # When the big cake broke through 90,000 last night, the market was still quite panicked. After falling below 90,000 on the disk, it was instantly withdrawn by a pin. The big cake stayed below 90,000 for only two minutes. When the daily K-line closed at 8 o'clock this morning, all the losses were recovered. It is observed that since December, the price area below 92,500 of the big cake has been the lower shadow line on the daily K-line, and the market still has technical bargain hunting.
If there is still an opportunity in the market, pay attention to the opportunity to enter the market below 92,500 in the short term. The market has tested the 90,000 mark last night. If the technical side of the market is to maintain the current shock consolidation, the callback cannot fall below 90,000 again. (If it falls below 90,000 again, the market sentiment will be destroyed, and it will be difficult to recover 90,000)
The long-term trend of Ethereum (from the beginning of March 24 to now) has formed a symmetrical inverted "mountain" head and shoulders bottom in the large cycle, and the right shoulder has been formed. The bottom is the range of 2111 from the bottom of August 24 to the low of 2357 in early November.
The lowest level of 2920 last night has infinitely approached 2820 (the strong support platform formed after the previous resistance platform 2820 broke through), which is symmetrical with the trend from mid-March 24 to the end of July, and the long-term neckline pressure is 4100 (the high of March 24 and the high of December).
To put it another way, 4100 is a long-term secondary pressure, and there is a high probability that it will break upward in the medium and long term.
In terms of fundamentals, although the recent economic data in the United States has improved and the Fed's interest rate cut progress is expected to slow down, the current time period is still in the interest rate cut cycle of the US dollar, corresponding to the big cake bull market cycle. There will be no big bear market during the interest rate cut cycle of the US dollar. After Bitcoin fluctuated and consolidated in the range of 90,000-108,000, it continued to set a new record high.
After Bitcoin set a new record high and rose for a period of time, the rotation of funds in the market is likely to pull Ethereum to effectively stand at 4100 and approach the historical high of 4870.
Before Bitcoin set a new record high, or before Ethereum effectively stood at 4100, there was basically no chance for copycats. Because it is useless to buy copycats, you may not be able to buy the one that is rising; it is useless to buy the copycat that is rising, it is highly likely that you will not buy it with a heavy position; it is also useless to buy it with a heavy position, because it is highly likely that you will not be able to hold it. Stay away from copycats, keep the idea of buying Bitcoin on dips, and choose the opportunity to buy on dips again