黄河路路宝总1991

Yua Mikami is going to release MEMEs? And clearly refuses to sell to Japanese users.

Japanese people don't scam other Japanese people, but Chinese people scam like crazy.

Anyway, I'm not buying it. What's the point? If you want to talk about empowerment, buying it means you can meet Mikami, which is somewhat useful, but I'd rather buy $Trump; I'd prefer to watch Trump instead.

Will everyone buy Yua Mikami's MEMEs? #MEME

The recent rise of the pancake has a bit of a sudden surge feel, strong sideways consolidation, one can observe, one can buy on dips, and try not to short, a big market movement may occur during the May 1st holiday.

Frequent positive news, strong purchasing power of enterprises, Bitcoin spot ETF had a net inflow of $3.06 billion last week, setting the second-highest in history.

This round is given up, we will come again next round
It’s a bit of a pity to miss this wave
The plan to enter at 75000 gold
Was bombed off three times by terrible speculation
One can only say that no one is perfect, after all, the market is unpredictable

Market data:
Greed index: 65
Current fee rate of Bitcoin: -0.0056%
Long-short position ratio: 0.61
Long-short crowding degree: -24.48% (slightly crowded short)
The plan for Auntie to complete the mainnet deployment by the end of April 2025 has now been postponed to activate on May 7, 2025.

#比特币市值排名 #TRUMP晚宴 #加密货币总市值重回3万亿

This morning's rise in Bitcoin is technical. Bitcoin has been consolidating for a week, wearing down market patience, and this morning it broke through a week-long resistance line, triggering some short stop-losses and algorithmic trading, driving the price of Bitcoin up.

This week-long consolidation has a support line at 83,000 and a slightly downward-sloping resistance line above. From a technical perspective, today's upward break of the resistance line indicates that, technically speaking, the support line below, being short-term (formed within a week), is normally subject to break as well; it's just a matter of time.

Through the head and out the foot

US Dollar Credit 98, Gold Soars

The trend hasn't come yet, don't rush and don't be impatient

While Bitcoin is nicknamed digital gold, it is more like a tech stock; if the East really rises and the West falls, then tech stocks are truly useless.

Tonight, all eyes will be on Federal Reserve Chairman Powell. He will attend an event at the Chicago Economic Club and deliver a speech at 1:30 AM Beijing time on April 17.

Three possible attitudes from Powell and their impacts:

1. Dovish hints at interest rate cuts (such as emphasizing economic risks, controllable inflation, or the necessity of rate cuts): Gold and Bitcoin surge.
2. Hawkish stance remains unchanged (such as downplaying rate cuts, emphasizing sticky inflation): Continued decline.
3. Ambiguous: Sideways movement.

Powell comes to the rescue: (1) The trade war has spiraled out of control, and Trump will not win 100%. China is completely unlikely to yield to pressure; both bulls and Trump have fallen into a trap. (2) At 1:15 AM tonight, Powell may bring some hope of a market rebound, which could be a dead cat bounce, followed by new historical lows.

If Powell acknowledges the impact of tariffs on the economy, it could indirectly strengthen the logic for rate cuts, benefiting gold. If tariffs cause a sharp decline in U.S. stocks, it may indirectly suppress Bitcoin prices through liquidity tightening. Based on Powell's past statements, the probability of him being dovish is slightly lower. #比特币与美国关税政策

The time filtering impurities market will eventually return to its original actual price. Seize the next opportunity to take a position; there should be a chance. I didn't expect it to rise like that on the night when the old Trump exempted the 90-day tariff.

Gold is still very strong; this time I got in at over six hundred, and institutions predict it will reach at least nine hundred.

Big pancake 100,000, at least 3 months later, if there is another 78,000, it will definitely be filled up, it should be available, within a week or two.

4-hour K-line chart, the 288 parameter moving average still has certain pressure, there should be one more pullback, provided that it does not break the new low, it should be able to pull back to 78,000--77,000

The insane tariff war launched by Trump has led to a decline in stock markets and commodity prices, a drop in U.S. bond prices, soaring yields, a significant drop followed by a surge in gold prices, and continuous outflows from U.S. stock large-cap ETFs. Risk assets like Bitcoin are still performing poorly in the short term, and there is a lot of uncertainty in the market. It is recommended to reduce position risks during this downturn, hold less leverage, and wait until this period passes before making further decisions.

Can't go down anymore
Dare to do it boldly

A fish does not necessarily have to be eaten completely; the short position has exited.

Tonight's CPI data is lower than expected, which is beneficial for interest rate cuts, but in reality, unemployment has increased. It is obviously just the U.S. stabilizing public sentiment; the overall environment is very poor.

The China-U.S. trade war continues to escalate. Last night, the U.S. announced a 90-day suspension of tariffs excluding China, which consumed the positive buying momentum (including speculative buying). The short-term market outlook is likely to be volatile.

The short-term trading range is 83600---74500; #CPI数据来袭

Yesterday, the large cookie rebounded from 74,500 to 83,500, mainly driven by Trump's suspension of the 90-day tariff increase on China. However, on-chain data shows that this rebound was driven by short-term speculative funds, with positions held for less than 155 days ("mouse warehouse") accounting for 38%. After the price rose to 83,000 (corresponding to the cost line), it triggered sell-offs to take profits, which will definitely put pressure on the market, and the market will correct back to the NASDAQ and the large cookie mouse warehouse entry position of 78,800, with strong support in the range of 75,000-78,000 below 80,000.

【Information to continue to pay attention to】

Bitcoin ETF: A net outflow of $238 million over three consecutive days, and institutional capital inflow will take time to verify.

Federal Reserve meeting minutes: If a rate cut signal is released on April 15, it may trigger a Bitcoin rebound to $85,000, but the risk of "buying the expectation and selling the fact" needs to be guarded against.

China-U.S. tariff negotiation window (April 20 - May 1). The rebound of Bitcoin and NASDAQ lacks fundamental support, driven more by liquidity repair. #特朗普暂停新关税

The more chaotic the trade war, the more it falls. Even if a statement is issued, it will still fall. Anyway, it is like this; currently, it is just high selling and low buying in a volatile market.

The whole world is falling now

The long-term support line of the two-year upward trend is located near 68,000. It depends on how low the liquidity crisis can go in the next couple of days.

Now China is determined to drag the United States down, to fight it to the end, to challenge the status of the dollar. China’s success or failure hinges on this round.

Anyway, if we lose, we are still the second; if we win, we are the top. From the perspective of this economic chain, we cannot lose. The national-level war won't stop anytime soon, holding 60% cash and 25% gold, #加密市场回调 #分散资产 #BTC走势分析

This ETH needle has supported on Sunday, and it is a support for three weeks. During the day, it may be better to wait for a rebound and short BTC.

Be cautious when bottom fishing. Currently, there are no plans to close the BTC short, because the old man is still making moves $BTC $ETH #分散资产 #鲍威尔发言 #加密市场回调