关税落地
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The cryptocurrency world is a place that never lacks dreams!
A is the turnaround person in the cryptocurrency world. We now call him nine figures+, because he has become a nine-figure millionaire in the cryptocurrency world. He is actually a person with a lot of ups and downs.
He came from a rural family, very poor, with both parents being genuine farmers, and he was the only college student in the family. After entering college, he became addicted to games, which led to consecutive failures, and the school even advised him to drop out. He had no choice but to deliver takeout.
But he always had an ambition, which was to earn a hundred million and bring his parents to Beijing to live a good life. In the summer of 2018, he got into the cryptocurrency scene. He used the thirty thousand he earned from delivering takeout to enter the cryptocurrency market. In just three days, he turned thirty thousand into three million.
He came from a rural family, very poor, with both parents being genuine farmers, and he was the only college student in the family. After entering college, he became addicted to games, which led to consecutive failures, and the school even advised him to drop out. He had no choice but to deliver takeout.
But he always had an ambition, which was to earn a hundred million and bring his parents to Beijing to live a good life. In the summer of 2018, he got into the cryptocurrency scene. He used the thirty thousand he earned from delivering takeout to enter the cryptocurrency market. In just three days, he turned thirty thousand into three million.
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Another happy day
After Trump announced detailed tariff measures, Bitcoin rose and then fell. The baseline tariff takes effect on April 5, and the reciprocal tariff takes effect on April 9.
Bad news has landed
When bad news hasn't landed, it's like a knife hanging over one's head, always worried it might stab you, so everyone is cautious everywhere, including consortiums, institutions, and whales. They dare not make big moves unless they have insider information and act in advance.
Once the bad news lands, many people are no longer afraid, whether the knife is stuck in the ground or in their own body; in short, as long as there is no knife hanging over their heads, they are not afraid. This is the so-called psychological effect of bad news landing being good news.
Is there still hope for retail investors?
Can you imagine if retail investors are now desperate? They are certainly desperate, watching the altcoins hit new lows, very panicked. With such significant bad news released, they all think it will continue to fall, leading to panic selling and stampede-like sell-offs.
Whether bad news will lead to a sustained market decline depends on how strong the continuity of this bad news is. If the bad news is released and is sustained, it may still lead to a decline later on; otherwise, bad news landing is good news.
There is definitely hope; after all, indicators at the macro cycle level do not lie. Various bad news has also landed, most retail investors have been washed out, and those who should have been liquidated have been. It makes no sense to continue in a bear market.
I still see a big bull market ahead, and after the big coin rises, the altcoin season will come.
Some fans said: Luckily, I do spot trading. Following General Tang's advice, I'm sitting on cash and waiting, avoiding a disaster.
Other fans said: The tariffs landed, but there wasn't much volatility; I thought a black swan event would happen.
Another fan said: Following the strategy was right; I entered MKR at 1377, took a wave, and ran.
Another fan said: Last night, I had a long position in Ethereum at 1880; I doubled my margin and ran, didn't dare to hold.
Although I didn't earn much, it's fine as long as I make a profit every day.
#关税落地
After Trump announced detailed tariff measures, Bitcoin rose and then fell. The baseline tariff takes effect on April 5, and the reciprocal tariff takes effect on April 9.
Bad news has landed
When bad news hasn't landed, it's like a knife hanging over one's head, always worried it might stab you, so everyone is cautious everywhere, including consortiums, institutions, and whales. They dare not make big moves unless they have insider information and act in advance.
Once the bad news lands, many people are no longer afraid, whether the knife is stuck in the ground or in their own body; in short, as long as there is no knife hanging over their heads, they are not afraid. This is the so-called psychological effect of bad news landing being good news.
Is there still hope for retail investors?
Can you imagine if retail investors are now desperate? They are certainly desperate, watching the altcoins hit new lows, very panicked. With such significant bad news released, they all think it will continue to fall, leading to panic selling and stampede-like sell-offs.
Whether bad news will lead to a sustained market decline depends on how strong the continuity of this bad news is. If the bad news is released and is sustained, it may still lead to a decline later on; otherwise, bad news landing is good news.
There is definitely hope; after all, indicators at the macro cycle level do not lie. Various bad news has also landed, most retail investors have been washed out, and those who should have been liquidated have been. It makes no sense to continue in a bear market.
I still see a big bull market ahead, and after the big coin rises, the altcoin season will come.
Some fans said: Luckily, I do spot trading. Following General Tang's advice, I'm sitting on cash and waiting, avoiding a disaster.
Other fans said: The tariffs landed, but there wasn't much volatility; I thought a black swan event would happen.
Another fan said: Following the strategy was right; I entered MKR at 1377, took a wave, and ran.
Another fan said: Last night, I had a long position in Ethereum at 1880; I doubled my margin and ran, didn't dare to hold.
Although I didn't earn much, it's fine as long as I make a profit every day.
#关税落地
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Thank you, Master. Ethereum bottomed out and started rising in less than 3 minutes. Although I exited early, I earned enough: $ETH #关税落地 .
$ETH Market Alert: Ethereum Long Position Layout (Opening Analysis Below)
Go long around 1440
Stop loss at 1368 (5%)
Position: 20x leverage, 10 positions, maximum loss 10%
Opening Analysis: There are three reasons. Actually, we haven't been bottom-fishing all along, and we took profit on yesterday's short position. The first reason for bottom-fishing this time is that the current bearish sentiment is quite strong, and most long positions have been cleared. A recent negative news led to a market decline, which I interpret from the candlestick chart as a trap for shorts. The second reason is from the news perspective, there is a high probability of stimulating news to support the Nasdaq from dropping further. The third reason, from the position analysis, is that this position is still not optimal. Even if the stop loss is triggered, it would only be a partial withdrawal of yesterday's profit from our short on Ethereum. We simply take the direction with the least resistance.
Go long around 1440
Stop loss at 1368 (5%)
Position: 20x leverage, 10 positions, maximum loss 10%
Opening Analysis: There are three reasons. Actually, we haven't been bottom-fishing all along, and we took profit on yesterday's short position. The first reason for bottom-fishing this time is that the current bearish sentiment is quite strong, and most long positions have been cleared. A recent negative news led to a market decline, which I interpret from the candlestick chart as a trap for shorts. The second reason is from the news perspective, there is a high probability of stimulating news to support the Nasdaq from dropping further. The third reason, from the position analysis, is that this position is still not optimal. Even if the stop loss is triggered, it would only be a partial withdrawal of yesterday's profit from our short on Ethereum. We simply take the direction with the least resistance.
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Federal Reserve Violent Rate Hike Warning! Under the Tariff War, Should You Hold Bitcoin or Gold? Data Provides the Answer
Based on the latest tariff policies as of April 2025 and dynamics in the crypto market, the impact analysis revised with multi-dimensional data is as follows:
One, Short-term Shock: Liquidity Contraction and Price Volatility
Market Corrective Sell-off
After the U.S. raised tariffs on China to 54% (in addition to previous tariffs), Bitcoin fell from $83,500 to $74,500 (a drop of 10.8%), and Ethereum also dropped by 17% ($1,800 to $1,480). The total market cap of altcoins shrank by 42%, and the daily liquidation volume in the derivatives market reached $1.38 billion, with the fear index rising.
Changes in Liquidity Indicators
Monthly capital inflow into Bitcoin has dropped from a peak of $100 billion to $6 billion, while Ethereum has turned into a net outflow of $6 billion, marking the lowest level since 2022. The core support level in the market has moved down to the $65,000-$71,000 range, and if it falls below, it may trigger programmatic sell-offs.
One, Short-term Shock: Liquidity Contraction and Price Volatility
Market Corrective Sell-off
After the U.S. raised tariffs on China to 54% (in addition to previous tariffs), Bitcoin fell from $83,500 to $74,500 (a drop of 10.8%), and Ethereum also dropped by 17% ($1,800 to $1,480). The total market cap of altcoins shrank by 42%, and the daily liquidation volume in the derivatives market reached $1.38 billion, with the fear index rising.
Changes in Liquidity Indicators
Monthly capital inflow into Bitcoin has dropped from a peak of $100 billion to $6 billion, while Ethereum has turned into a net outflow of $6 billion, marking the lowest level since 2022. The core support level in the market has moved down to the $65,000-$71,000 range, and if it falls below, it may trigger programmatic sell-offs.
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US Stocks and BTC After Tariff Implementation
Due to the implementation of the tariff policy, the target range of -12.5% to -16.5% per share from the last analysis has been reached.
The impact of tariffs, I believe, is two-fold.
One part is the substantial implementation of policies, which has already occurred. The data provided by Trump represents the biggest negative impact of the current tariff policy. Countries' countermeasures are led by China, which has the strongest stance, followed by the EU 'proposing countermeasures against US steel tariffs', Canada 'will take countermeasures, responding with a 25% tariff on car tariffs', France 'calls for a pause on investments in the US', and other countries making mild statements. The pulling and firmness of various countries are basically within market expectations, so the negative impact is limited.
The impact of tariffs, I believe, is two-fold.
One part is the substantial implementation of policies, which has already occurred. The data provided by Trump represents the biggest negative impact of the current tariff policy. Countries' countermeasures are led by China, which has the strongest stance, followed by the EU 'proposing countermeasures against US steel tariffs', Canada 'will take countermeasures, responding with a 25% tariff on car tariffs', France 'calls for a pause on investments in the US', and other countries making mild statements. The pulling and firmness of various countries are basically within market expectations, so the negative impact is limited.
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On April 10th, around 5 AM, the news reported that the Federal Reserve is more inclined not to intervene in the market, the threshold for interest rate cuts remains very high, and the shadow of the trade war has not dissipated (Jin Ten Data)
How can the market allow this old American man to call the shots? It seems that he alone has the final say in the entire circle. Fortunately, the Federal Reserve has relative independence from certain perspectives, otherwise this old man might do even crazier things, without any logic or government credibility, changing orders from morning to evening, more casually than a child playing house. Only a purely self-serving businessman could engage in such dirty dealings, and this businessman holds a high position. He does not resemble a national president; he more resembles a spokesperson for his family's interests.
#美国加征关税 #贸易战 #特朗普被枪击 #关税+衰退+FOMC #关税落地
How can the market allow this old American man to call the shots? It seems that he alone has the final say in the entire circle. Fortunately, the Federal Reserve has relative independence from certain perspectives, otherwise this old man might do even crazier things, without any logic or government credibility, changing orders from morning to evening, more casually than a child playing house. Only a purely self-serving businessman could engage in such dirty dealings, and this businessman holds a high position. He does not resemble a national president; he more resembles a spokesperson for his family's interests.
#美国加征关税 #贸易战 #特朗普被枪击 #关税+衰退+FOMC #关税落地
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$BTC 4 April 9 Tariff Day Trading Ideas
Technical Analysis: The daily double top pattern and 4-hour bearish flag have not yet reached the bearish target, the general direction remains bullish, looking long-term down to 69000～72000. Currently, there is a double bottom test, expecting a small rise followed by a large drop.
News: Conventional thinking on tariffs: daytime rebound, evening pullback! Focus on "whether tariffs are delayed" and the Federal Reserve's "emergency rate cut or not"; otherwise, maintain a bearish outlook.
Today's trading ideas are as follows:
Afternoon: Buy at 76200, stop loss at 75800, take profit at 77800
Evening: Sell at 77800, stop loss at 78300, take profit at 75000
Follow Yan Sheng for the latest market analysis.
#关税落地
Technical Analysis: The daily double top pattern and 4-hour bearish flag have not yet reached the bearish target, the general direction remains bullish, looking long-term down to 69000～72000. Currently, there is a double bottom test, expecting a small rise followed by a large drop.
News: Conventional thinking on tariffs: daytime rebound, evening pullback! Focus on "whether tariffs are delayed" and the Federal Reserve's "emergency rate cut or not"; otherwise, maintain a bearish outlook.
Today's trading ideas are as follows:
Afternoon: Buy at 76200, stop loss at 75800, take profit at 77800
Evening: Sell at 77800, stop loss at 78300, take profit at 75000
Follow Yan Sheng for the latest market analysis.
#关税落地
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