Trump will deliver an important speech on economic policy tonight, and the market is on high alert
Latest news, U.S. President Trump will be interviewed live on CNBC's "Squawk Box" tonight at 8 PM, where he is expected to express his views on current U.S. economic conditions, the job market, Federal Reserve monetary policy, and tariff policies among other hot topics.
This interview comes at a time when key economic data is being released and global trade tensions are high, with the market generally expecting Trump's remarks to potentially trigger fluctuations in financial markets, and investors need to remain highly vigilant.
According to reports, there are several key points to watch in this interview:
Regarding the job market, Trump recently fired the head of the Labor Statistics Bureau due to dissatisfaction with the weak July non-farm payroll data, and he may continue to question the reliability of the Labor Department's official data.
Just a day before the interview, Trump also threatened to significantly raise tariffs on India in retaliation for its purchase of Russian oil, and he is expected to further elaborate on his trade policy stance during this interview.
Additionally, as expectations for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September increase, Trump is likely to take the opportunity to pressure the Fed to accelerate its rate-cutting pace.
Moreover, the market also anticipates that Trump will respond to Goldman Sachs' prediction that tariffs will drag U.S. fourth-quarter GDP growth down to 1.1%.
Overall, from a market impact perspective, Trump's speech may bring multiple shocks. If he sends more signals of trade protectionism, the dollar may strengthen in the short term, while emerging market currencies will face pressure; if he emphasizes rate cut expectations, it may continue to boost U.S. stocks.
It is worth noting that the recent price movements of Bitcoin have shown a strong correlation with U.S. stocks, which means that the policy uncertainty brought by Trump's speech may also trigger volatility in the cryptocurrency market. Investors need to be prepared for potential market fluctuations, especially in risk assets such as foreign exchange, stock markets, and cryptocurrencies.
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