大饼的交易日常

#BTC走势分析 #ETH走势分析
Bitcoin's morning low of 112500 rebounded to 114000 but faced resistance; overall market rebound is relatively weak. Here, it has dropped 10000 from the high. The 112000 position is also a weekly level of support. Although the market is weak, we shouldn't be too bearish at these low levels. Let's see if Ethereum can show a stronger performance.

Ethereum's morning low of 4060 rebounded to the current high of 4240; the rebound is still stronger than Bitcoin. After all, it has dropped 740 points from the high of 4800, which is quite a significant adjustment. That's why I suggested everyone start accumulating at 4200, buying in batches every 50-point drop. This is because during this round of Ethereum rising to a historical high, Bitcoin was just in a range. Large funds are being injected into Ethereum, so the volatility is high and there are many opportunities. Accumulating in batches at low points during a significant drop is very reliable, and the probability of making a profit is quite high. Even if the market ends, there will still be a good rebound. Moreover, the market may not necessarily be over, right? So when trading, when you have a certain understanding of the market, the operation should focus on position control. Grasping these two core points will naturally stabilize your mindset.

Sol looks very strong at 175 and isn't dropping, but it hasn't independently surged either; its movement is almost linked to Ethereum. Just pay attention to Ethereum and choose your moves accordingly.

#BTC走势分析 #ETH走势分析

The high point of the pancake rebound is 117000 under pressure, the low point is 114300, and the rebound performance is relatively weak. Here, the low long position should maintain low leverage trading and not be overly aggressive with large positions. We need to see if it can hold above 112000; if it cannot hold, we must immediately clear positions to prevent violent liquidation of the bulls. The market is this cruel and will not show any mercy. When it's time to run, you must be decisive.

The high point of Ethereum's rebound is 4380 under pressure, the low point is 4200, which has broken and recovered. The current price is 4236, in consolidation. The low long strategy still maintains a buyback at a drop of 50 USD. Once it stabilizes, we will continue to add positions. After all, a drop below 4800 is unlikely not to see a rebound; it just hasn't hit the limit down yet, so we have to endure a bit. The extreme support is around 4000. Even if it breaks, recovering is not a problem. Position management must be controlled well. Many times, when trading is difficult, we should maintain low leverage for trial and error, set light stop losses, and not keep increasing leverage at the wrong times. Always pay attention to market changes.

#BTC走势分析 #ETH走势分析

The big pancake came down from a high position to hit 117000 and started to rebound; it couldn't break through 119000. Over the weekend, a weak consolidation formed for 2 days. The previous article mentioned that everyone was trading conservatively because breaking through the position of 124500 poses a danger sign of a double top, luring buyers to sell off without rebounding. Now at the position of 115000, there is currently no limit down, and we can see if the bottom at 112000 can stabilize.

Ethereum rebounded to 4570 and is now down to 4270, with significant volatility. Why do I keep suggesting high shorts and low longs? This way, your trading won't be passive because many people see above 5000 and create their own worries, enduring losses while adding positions as it falls. If the position is too large, it can lead to significant losses. By trading conservatively at high levels with high shorts and low longs, and using light stop losses, one can maintain a good mindset, and when it completely falls, one can still benefit from a big rebound.

#BTC走势分析
#ETH
US PPI data far exceeds expectations
The U.S. Department of Labor announced that the Producer Price Index (PPI) for July surged 3.3% year-on-year, far exceeding the market expectation of 2.5%, marking the largest increase in three years. What is even more concerning is that this increase is not driven by a single category, but rather a comprehensive surge in the costs of goods and services. Ole Hansen, the Head of Commodity Strategy at Saxo Bank, sharply pointed out that this unexpectedly high PPI data is likely to indicate that the upcoming July Core PCE inflation data will also rise.
The unexpected rise in inflation data directly undermined market confidence. Previously, some traders had bet that the Federal Reserve might implement a massive 50 basis point rate cut in September, and the release of this news immediately dampened that expectation.

In fact, the market has reached a position that requires adjustment. Yesterday's article highlighted the risks of a downturn; the release of the data merely accelerated the pace of adjustment and volatility. For long-term traders, the risks are becoming more apparent. High positions will not hedge against risk; the money you make is only temporarily in your possession and does not truly belong to you.

Bitcoin surged to the position of 124500 yesterday but closed down sharply without rebounding, stabilizing only around 117000 last night. Here, pay attention to whether the rebound strength at 120000 can effectively break through, and act accordingly with conservative trading.

Ethereum's high is close to 4800, with a pullback low at 4450, which is quite a strong performance. Coming down, it is also a preferred currency for buying; resistance is at 4700-4760, and support is at 4550-4480. I believe Ethereum will enter a consolidation phase, allowing for high selling and low buying in trading.

This decline came suddenly, has everyone successfully avoided risks...

#BTC走势分析
#ETH
Bitcoin 124500, Ethereum 4794, BNB 867, OKB 142, the closer the risk of a decline when hitting new highs, everyone should pay attention to retracements, don't just look at how much has increased, a bull market is coming, avoiding high-risk trades can lead to longevity, I believe everyone knows that the current bull market is only for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and platform coins, even Solana only rose to 210 before quickly dropping to 202, this illustrates an issue: passive increases are driven by retail investor sentiment, it's fine to accumulate weak coins in batches at low prices, being aggressive at high prices can lead to losses, because foreign funds only buy Ethereum, Bitcoin is consolidating at high levels, those who missed this wave of increase should patiently wait for a pullback before getting in, the market is not lacking opportunities, preserving capital is very important, Buffett's three iron rules: First rule, preserve capital, Second rule, preserve capital, Third rule: remember the first and second rules.

#BTC走势分析
#ETH突破4600
Ethereum is on a heavenly rhythm, the current high price is 4682, this round of pullback has risen from a low point of over 3300 by 1300 dollars. I opened a short at 4350 and it dropped to 4200 but couldn't go down further, so I closed the short position. Then at 4320 I shorted again, and when it broke 4370 I stopped out. One profitable trade and two losing trades, I haven't gained any advantage. The good thing is that I always have stop losses set while sleeping, which is a habit that must be cultivated over years of trading on this path. Shorting at highs is originally a left-side top touch. Accept the loss but do not doubt if there’s a problem with your trading. Acceptable losses are the norm in trading. Ethereum should consolidate at a high level here, support at 4500-4550, short-term traders can pay attention. The larger scale has already reached near historical highs below 4800. Take profit on long positions without doubt, and don’t act rashly on short positions unless they are low leverage. A short position on a high surge is okay, just set a stop loss.
Many people here are ambushing and asking if Bitcoin will catch up? Currently still consolidating above 119000. If Ethereum doesn’t move and Bitcoin breaks 120000 on volume, you can chase one lot. However, after Ethereum rises and needs to adjust, if Bitcoin hasn’t gone up, make sure to run quickly, because foreign funds are fully attacking Ethereum.
Solana has strengthened in the short term, with highs approaching 200, and any pullback is a good opportunity to get in.

#BTC走势分析
#ETH
The big coin broke through the highest point of 120,000 to reach 122,000, and at this stage, it has dropped to 118,300 with no rebound. Doge.SOL is almost equally weak, moving in tandem with the big coin. Regarding the daily pattern of the big coin, the increase in volume and the formation of a doji candlestick present a dangerous signal of a double top. Here, Ethereum is strong, but if others do not even have a rebound, Ethereum's potential for further upward movement will also be limited. Last night in the live broadcast, it was mentioned to have a small stop loss and take a short position to see how it goes, without worrying about whether it will go down to 5000 or further before deciding. Remember to pay attention to CPI at 8:30 tonight.

#ETH突破4000

Here is a wave of hints for Ethereum. Yesterday's post indicated that Ethereum would fluctuate below 4000. Currently, the technical analysis has failed, and it is forcefully rising. If you short, you need to have a defensive position and don’t force a short without a stop loss. This morning, if it tests 4000 and doesn't break, it presents a short-term long opportunity. However, at this stage, any long positions in Ethereum should be primarily short-term oriented. For short positions, we should wait for a high-level consolidation before making a decision. Today is Saturday; let’s see where the weekly candle closes on Monday. Last night, the U.S. stock market rose again to previous highs. Trump has various strategies in place, showing effects. Bitcoin is clearly fluctuating without excessive analysis. The range of fluctuation is narrowing, offering limited operational space. All major funds are focused on Ethereum, and we only need to pay attention to Ethereum for direction. The high point at noon was 4220, and the low point was 4140. The range to choose from is between 4200-4050.

This Super Mario is coming so fast...

#BTC走势分析 #ETH
The recent peak for the pancake is around 117600, which has been fluctuating upwards. Compared to Ethereum, it has passively increased. Even though Trump made significant moves last night, it only reached this position. Here, we should view the market trend as fluctuating, with the high points at 117500-118000, low points at 116500-116000-115000, and the direction's strength being driven primarily by Ethereum.

Today, Ethereum's high point reached 3968 but is currently under pressure, hovering around 3888. If it cannot stabilize above 4000, we will continue to observe fluctuations. After some grinding, a decline is expected, with the short-term support levels at 3850 and 3800. The market is forming a structure of high short and low long positions, with the larger weekly fluctuations expected to run between 3500-3900.

This #memefi 8-11 will be taken down, just pull the contract hard, pay attention to Super Mario...

#BTC走势分析 #ETH

The Bitcoin and Ethereum long positions have all taken profit. Going forward, we will focus on short-term trading. Currently, if Ethereum's rebound ends, the market will mainly be characterized by fluctuations. It is possible for Bitcoin to weakly retrace to 112,000. We will wait and see how it develops.

#BTC走势分析 #ETH

After oscillating between 120000 and 115000, Bitcoin has been continuously declining in recent days due to the uncertainty of Powell's interest rate cut statements in September and the tariffs imposed by the Trump administration. Currently, it is around 112000, which is the breakout starting position. If it can test and stabilize here, it will provide assurance for subsequent increases. Everyone can refer to the arrow in Chart 1 indicating the current position. Each significant rise has followed a V-shaped recovery after a decline. Can this time be different? For now, just hold on, and there's no need to worry too much. The defense position can be placed around 110000 for observation.

Ethereum has also declined by nearly 600 dollars from its high of over 3900, with a morning low of 3353 and a current price of 3450. As shown in Chart 2, an increase of 90% from over 2100 to the peak is significant. A drop of 600 dollars from over 1800 is quite normal. Above 3300, you can continue to buy. Even if Ethereum at over 3900 is indeed a top, it will still rebound. You can then choose based on strength and weakness.

#BTC #ETH
At 2 AM tonight, the Federal Reserve will announce the interest rate, which is expected to remain unchanged. The key is the speech by Powell after 2:30. Pay attention to what he says, everyone stay tuned.

#BTC走势分析 #ETH #SOL

On Friday, I rushed out and sent a message telling everyone that if it breaks below 116,000, they should close their long positions without further explanation. I mainly sent this because that day I shared the trading ideas for Bitcoin in the Agan live stream, entering long at 117,000 and adding to positions above 115,000. I was worried that many partners didn't know how to operate, so I urgently sent a message without doing a live stream to explain too much. From the current perspective, the market is still moving as expected. After a false breakout below 115,000, it has returned to the current price of 118,200, clearing high leverage. Those who can understand should have added back their positions when it dipped below 115,000 twice and then recovered.

Ethereum hit a high of 3860 and I said it would drop for a washout, with the lowest point reaching 3500 and currently recovering around 3800. From the daily chart perspective, it is still very strong. Partners who opened long positions at this low should reduce their positions when it rises to avoid profit retracement during fluctuations, as the higher levels can easily reverse in a large-scale market.

Sol is much weaker than Ethereum based on the daily chart. It previously broke through to 206, but from the current situation, it can be judged as weak and just catching up. Don't have too high expectations unless there is a new altcoin that can boost its highs, as most of the time it is weakly correlated with Bitcoin.

Don't buy BTC like this for now, wait for stabilization before buying

#BTC走势分析 #ETH #SOL
Bitcoin is currently in a fluctuating trend, with highs suppressed below 120,000 and support at 116,000. The current price is 118,400. Once the consolidation ends, I still expect a bullish trend. There should be no doubt about the upward direction; once it breaks 120,000 and stabilizes, it will continue to rise, and the highs are far from being reached.

Ethereum's previous outlook remains unchanged; below 4,000, it will form a short-term top and go through consolidation. The highest point yesterday was over 3,800. From Ethereum's performance today, it aligns well with my expectations; profit-taking has led to a shift in funds, which has weakened immediately. Once the adjustment is fully completed, it can be entered again.

Solana has strengthened from 180 to around 200, with the current price at 198, which also meets expectations. Many people think that once it breaks 200, it will surge, but this is not necessarily the case. Ethereum's weakness will also affect the market. If it is spot trading, there is no need to worry.

Subjective: Once the other assets are stable, Bitcoin will start its performance again.

#BTC走势分析 #ETH
The pancake has been oscillating at a high point of just over 120,000 this weekend, facing resistance and has not been able to break through. Meanwhile, it has not fallen below 116,000, currently hovering around 117,900. Here, the trend feels a bit weak, possibly due to the renewed conflicts between Israel and Palestine yesterday. We will see if it can stand above 120,000 before the weekly close tomorrow morning at 8 AM. If it can oscillate upwards, just continue to hold the long positions. The entry point for going long at 117,500 has a stop loss around 116,000, so watch the market for entry and exit decisions.

The Ethereum trend is much stronger, having just hit a high of 3,695 an hour ago. There is potential for a short-term surge here, especially since the weekly and monthly gains have been too large, and there will be a lot of profit-taking pressure at high levels. For the bulls, it’s important to be aware of the risk of a pullback. If there is a dip and then stabilization, that would be an opportunity to enter. The trading opportunities should be judged based on the market's trend, so don’t be too anxious; be a bit more patient.

#BTC走势分析 #ETH #SOL
Bitcoin started to rise after breaking below 1,000,000 USD. The trend is very strong, with a peak at 123,300 and a lowest dip at 115,600, followed by a consolidation upwards. It is currently hovering around 120,000. From a technical perspective, Bitcoin still has potential for higher points. The main strategy remains to buy low. Additionally, everyone needs to pay attention to how Trump's daily comments significantly impact market trends. When trading, it's important to manage positions well to cope with market uncertainties.

Ethereum has also seen significant growth this month, with a low of 2,400 and a current high of 3,600, approaching 50%. Although the peak hasn't been reached, the weekly and monthly gains are substantial. Those without positions should avoid aggressive and blind chasing of highs; instead, patiently wait for a pullback to find support before entering.

All major cryptocurrencies such as DOGE, XRP, and SOL have rebounded, and the upward trend continues. Everyone should seize the opportunity. The strategy of buying low remains effective.