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althimate
413 Posts

althimate

It's you vs. you. One dream. One decision | Spot & Option Trader
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​✨️ I think we are going to see $BTC hit $50K before $100K👀 ​Macro headwinds and regulatory friction have stacked up heavy pressure on crypto over the last 4 weeks 👇 ​❌ Sept 15: Senate rejects the CLARITY Act (49-50), shelving US crypto market-structure rules until after midterms... ❗️ Sept 16: The Fed hikes rates by 25 bps to 3.75%–4.00%, its first hike since 2023... ❗️ Oct 7: FOMC minutes confirm most officials favor another rate hike before year-end... ❗️ Oct 14(today) : Hot CPI hits 3.7% (vs 3.6% forecast), putting pressure on the upcoming Oct 27–28 Fed meeting... 💸 Flows: US spot Bitcoin ETFs saw roughly $680M in net outflows over the past week. What hits first: $50K or $100K? #CPIWatch #BTC
​✨️ I think we are going to see $BTC hit $50K before $100K👀

​Macro headwinds and regulatory friction have stacked up heavy pressure on crypto over the last 4 weeks 👇

​❌ Sept 15: Senate rejects the CLARITY Act (49-50), shelving US crypto market-structure rules until after midterms...

❗️ Sept 16: The Fed hikes rates by 25 bps to 3.75%–4.00%, its first hike since 2023...

❗️ Oct 7: FOMC minutes confirm most officials favor another rate hike before year-end...

❗️ Oct 14(today) : Hot CPI hits 3.7% (vs 3.6% forecast), putting pressure on the upcoming Oct 27–28 Fed meeting...

💸 Flows: US spot Bitcoin ETFs saw roughly $680M in net outflows over the past week.

What hits first: $50K or $100K? #CPIWatch #BTC
50k
33%
100k
67%
40 votes • Voting closed
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Bullish
🔥 ALTCOINS BEAT BITCOIN TODAY!! 🔥🏌‍♂️ $BTC is flat near $82,100, but some altcoins are surging 👇 🚀 $TIA (Celestia): up 16% to about $0.68, its 2026 high, and up about 59% in four weeks. 🚀 $INJ : +7.7% 🚀 $ZRO : +7.3% 📊 CoinMarketCap's Altcoin Season Index rose to 60 from 50 a day earlier. 🏦 After Warsh gave no rate signal, the odds of an October hike fell to about 15% from 30%, and liquidations cooled to $311M from nearly $1B ⚠️ Caution: The recoveries in BTC, ETH and SOL appear driven by short covering, not new long buying. Also, one report notes TIA's rally came despite declining network data usage. 👇 Is altseason starting, or is this a short squeeze? #altcoins
🔥 ALTCOINS BEAT BITCOIN TODAY!! 🔥🏌‍♂️

$BTC is flat near $82,100, but some altcoins are surging 👇

🚀 $TIA (Celestia): up 16% to about $0.68, its 2026 high, and up about 59% in four weeks.

🚀 $INJ : +7.7%

🚀 $ZRO : +7.3%

📊 CoinMarketCap's Altcoin Season Index rose to 60 from 50 a day earlier.

🏦 After Warsh gave no rate signal, the odds of an October hike fell to about 15% from 30%, and liquidations cooled to $311M from nearly $1B

⚠️ Caution: The recoveries in BTC, ETH and SOL appear driven by short covering, not new long buying. Also, one report notes TIA's rally came despite declining network data usage.

👇 Is altseason starting, or is this a short squeeze?

#altcoins
​🚨 WHY THE FED BLACKOUT MATTERS (OCT 17–29) ​The Fed goes silent tonight ahead of the Oct 27–28 FOMC rate decision. ​🔹 No Fed Guidance: Zero policy speeches for 12 days. 🔹 Raw Data Driver: Markets trade purely on incoming economic prints. 🔹 Volatility Spike: Thinner liquidity means sharper liquidations on leverage. ​💡 Keep stop-losses tight as macro volatility ramps up! ​#Fed $BTC {spot}(BTCUSDT)
​🚨 WHY THE FED BLACKOUT MATTERS (OCT 17–29)

​The Fed goes silent tonight ahead of the Oct 27–28 FOMC rate decision.

​🔹 No Fed Guidance: Zero policy speeches for 12 days.

🔹 Raw Data Driver: Markets trade purely on incoming economic prints.

🔹 Volatility Spike: Thinner liquidity means sharper liquidations on leverage.

​💡 Keep stop-losses tight as macro volatility ramps up!

​#Fed $BTC
althimate
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​🚨 FED BLACKOUT BEGINS (OCT 17–29)!!!

​The Fed goes silent ahead of the Oct 27–28 rate decision.

​🔹️ No Fed Speeches: Markets trade strictly on raw data.

🔹️ Rate Odds: Low chance of an October rate hike.

🔹️ US10Y Yields: Pulling back toward 5.06%, easing pressure on $BTC

​⚠️ Trader Note: Expect lower liquidity and sharper sudden volatility spikes. #Fed
​🚨 FED BLACKOUT BEGINS (OCT 17–29)!!! ​The Fed goes silent ahead of the Oct 27–28 rate decision. ​🔹️ No Fed Speeches: Markets trade strictly on raw data. 🔹️ Rate Odds: Low chance of an October rate hike. 🔹️ US10Y Yields: Pulling back toward 5.06%, easing pressure on $BTC ​⚠️ Trader Note: Expect lower liquidity and sharper sudden volatility spikes. #Fed
​🚨 FED BLACKOUT BEGINS (OCT 17–29)!!!

​The Fed goes silent ahead of the Oct 27–28 rate decision.

​🔹️ No Fed Speeches: Markets trade strictly on raw data.

🔹️ Rate Odds: Low chance of an October rate hike.

🔹️ US10Y Yields: Pulling back toward 5.06%, easing pressure on $BTC

​⚠️ Trader Note: Expect lower liquidity and sharper sudden volatility spikes. #Fed
$OP JUMPS 20% ON UNICHAIN NEWS OP gained nearly 20% after Uniswap announced Unichain will move its production operations to OP Enterprise. A big app chain choosing the Optimism stack is a strong vote of confidence. But after a 20% pump, I'm waiting for a pullback. Key Levels: Overhead supply at $0.160; downside support holds at $0.138 – $0.140 #OP
$OP JUMPS 20% ON UNICHAIN NEWS
OP gained nearly 20% after Uniswap announced Unichain will move its production operations to OP Enterprise.

A big app chain choosing the Optimism stack is a strong vote of confidence. But after a 20% pump, I'm waiting for a pullback.

Key Levels: Overhead supply at $0.160; downside support holds at $0.138 – $0.140
#OP
🚗 $RIVN BOUNCES OFF $12.56: TECHNICAL RELIEF VS FUNDAMENTAL HEADWINDS! Rivian Automotive ($RIVN) perp contracts reflect short-term relief, holding near $13.10 (+1.39% 24h) after testing local support at $12.56. 📊 Fundamentals & Key Drivers: 🔹 Q3 Deliveries: Reported 19,248 vehicles delivered, reaffirming full-year guidance of 65,000–70,000 units. 🔹 Capital Injection: Secured a $1B 10-year term loan facility from Volkswagen Group at 6.03% interest to support general operations and R2 platform scaling. 🔹 Performance Gap: Stock remains down ~33% YTD, reflecting broader investor caution regarding cash burn and gross margin expansion. 🎯 Technical Structure (4H): 🔹 Support: $12.56 🔹 Overhead Resistance: $13.31 (MA25) and $14.14 (MA99) 🔹 Oscillator Stance: RSI(6) sits neutral at 51.8. 🎯 Key levels: Support: $12.56 Resistance: $13.31, then $14.14
🚗 $RIVN BOUNCES OFF $12.56: TECHNICAL RELIEF VS FUNDAMENTAL HEADWINDS!

Rivian Automotive ($RIVN ) perp contracts reflect short-term relief, holding near $13.10 (+1.39% 24h) after testing local support at $12.56.

📊 Fundamentals & Key Drivers:
🔹 Q3 Deliveries: Reported 19,248 vehicles delivered, reaffirming full-year guidance of 65,000–70,000 units.
🔹 Capital Injection: Secured a $1B 10-year term loan facility from Volkswagen Group at 6.03% interest to support general operations and R2 platform scaling.
🔹 Performance Gap: Stock remains down ~33% YTD, reflecting broader investor caution regarding cash burn and gross margin expansion.

🎯 Technical Structure (4H):
🔹 Support: $12.56
🔹 Overhead Resistance: $13.31 (MA25) and $14.14 (MA99)
🔹 Oscillator Stance: RSI(6) sits neutral at 51.8.

🎯 Key levels:
Support: $12.56
Resistance: $13.31, then $14.14
⚡ SOLANA ALPENGLOW UPGRADE CONFIRMED FOR OCT 21 👀 Solana developers (Anza) have finalized the mainnet-beta activation of Alpenglow at epoch 1064 (~14:50 - 15:00 UTC, Oct 21)...!! 📊 Key Architecture Changes: 🔹 Consensus Mechanism: Replaces TowerBFT with Votor to streamline validator communication. 🔹 Finality Drop: Execution finality drops ~99% from 12.8 seconds down to ~150 milliseconds. 🔹 Transaction Metric Shift: Voting transactions move off-chain, causing reported daily transaction counts and aggregate TPS to drop sharply. ⚠️ Note on Data: The drop in reported TPS reflects structural vote removal from blocks, not a decrease in user activity or ecosystem throughput. #sol $SOL
⚡ SOLANA ALPENGLOW UPGRADE CONFIRMED FOR OCT 21 👀

Solana developers (Anza) have finalized the mainnet-beta activation of Alpenglow at epoch 1064 (~14:50 - 15:00 UTC, Oct 21)...!!

📊 Key Architecture Changes:

🔹 Consensus Mechanism: Replaces TowerBFT with Votor to streamline validator communication.
🔹 Finality Drop: Execution finality drops ~99% from 12.8 seconds down to ~150 milliseconds.
🔹 Transaction Metric Shift: Voting transactions move off-chain, causing reported daily transaction counts and aggregate TPS to drop sharply.

⚠️ Note on Data: The drop in reported TPS reflects structural vote removal from blocks, not a decrease in user activity or ecosystem throughput. #sol $SOL
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Bullish
🟢 RELIEF: ASIA REBOUNDS AFTER THURSDAY'S ROUT🏌‍♂️ Asian equity benchmarks recovered strongly overnight, led by gains across the Kospi and Nikkei.!!! 🔹 US 10-Year Treasury Yield: Pulls back to 5.06% handle. 🔹 Fed Rate Probabilities: October hike odds ease back toward 25%. 🔹 Macro Driver: Easing bond yields providing breathing room for high-beta risk assets and crypto. ⚠️ Warsh offered no explicit forward guidance during his Bangkok address, keeping the macro narrative entirely data-dependent ahead of Saturday's media blackout. Expect sudden shifts in volatility. $BTC $ETH #Fed
🟢 RELIEF: ASIA REBOUNDS AFTER THURSDAY'S ROUT🏌‍♂️

Asian equity benchmarks recovered strongly overnight, led by gains across the Kospi and Nikkei.!!!

🔹 US 10-Year Treasury Yield: Pulls back to 5.06% handle.
🔹 Fed Rate Probabilities: October hike odds ease back toward 25%.
🔹 Macro Driver: Easing bond yields providing breathing room for high-beta risk assets and crypto.

⚠️ Warsh offered no explicit forward guidance during his Bangkok address, keeping the macro narrative entirely data-dependent ahead of Saturday's media blackout. Expect sudden shifts in volatility. $BTC $ETH #Fed
WARSH SPEAKS: NO CLEAR HIKE SIGNAL Fed chair at the IMF!!! "Remaining meetings this year will bring greater clarity" on policy. He didn't confirm or rule out a hike on Oct 27-28. No clear signal means more volatility and price follows data. Fed media blackout starts Saturday. #Warsh #Fed $ETH
WARSH SPEAKS: NO CLEAR HIKE SIGNAL
Fed chair at the IMF!!!

"Remaining meetings this year will bring greater clarity" on policy.

He didn't confirm or rule out a hike on Oct 27-28. No clear signal means more volatility and price follows data.

Fed media blackout starts Saturday.

#Warsh #Fed $ETH
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Bullish
🚀 $TSLA Jumps After Tesla Unveils "Flying" Roadster!!!! Tesla showed a Roadster that Elon Musk said will be able to fly, with a claimed 0-60 mph in under 0.59 seconds👀 Cars are learning to fly🫠🚗💨 #TSLA
🚀 $TSLA Jumps After Tesla Unveils "Flying" Roadster!!!!

Tesla showed a Roadster that Elon Musk said will be able to fly, with a claimed 0-60 mph in under 0.59 seconds👀

Cars are learning to fly🫠🚗💨

#TSLA
⏰ WARSH SPEAKS IN LESS THAN 1 HOUR (03:30 UTC) The most important Fed event after CPI and PPI 👇 🇺🇸 Why it matters: 🔹️CPI: 3.7% (hotter than expected) 🔹️PPI: 6.3% YoY (much hotter than expected) 🔹️UBS expects two more Fed rate hikes ahead. 🔹️🛢️ Brent crude is above $105 on Middle East tensions, adding to inflation fears. #Fed $BTC
⏰ WARSH SPEAKS IN LESS THAN 1 HOUR (03:30 UTC)

The most important Fed event after CPI and PPI 👇

🇺🇸 Why it matters:
🔹️CPI: 3.7% (hotter than expected)
🔹️PPI: 6.3% YoY (much hotter than expected)
🔹️UBS expects two more Fed rate hikes ahead.
🔹️🛢️ Brent crude is above $105 on Middle East tensions, adding to inflation fears.

#Fed $BTC
​🛢️ RARE OIL DIVERGENCE: 🔹 WTI ( $CL ): $96.57 ($1.06B Vol) 📈 🔹 Brent ( $BZ ): $103.27 ($536M Vol) 📉 US domestic tightness is driving outperformance on $CLUSDT today, breaking the usual correlation between the two benchmarks. #oil
​🛢️ RARE OIL DIVERGENCE:

🔹 WTI ( $CL ): $96.57 ($1.06B Vol) 📈
🔹 Brent ( $BZ ): $103.27 ($536M Vol) 📉

US domestic tightness is driving outperformance on $CLUSDT today, breaking the usual correlation between the two benchmarks.
#oil
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Bullish
V-SHAPE BOUNCE: $BTC RECLAIMS $82K & $ETH SNAPS BACK ABOVE $2.4K! 📈🔥🏌‍♂️ ​The dip-buyers stepped in hard after the liquidity sweep🫠 🔹 $BTC: Reclaimed $82,400+. 🔹 $ETH: Reclaimed the MA(99) in a single impulse candle, bouncing from $2,318 → $2,437 (15m chart) Looks good🤞🏻 #PPI
V-SHAPE BOUNCE: $BTC RECLAIMS $82K & $ETH SNAPS BACK ABOVE $2.4K! 📈🔥🏌‍♂️

​The dip-buyers stepped in hard after the liquidity sweep🫠

🔹 $BTC: Reclaimed $82,400+.

🔹 $ETH: Reclaimed the MA(99) in a single impulse candle, bouncing from $2,318 → $2,437 (15m chart)

Looks good🤞🏻 #PPI
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Bullish
​🚨 ANOTHER INFLATION TRIGGER TOMORROW + FED CHAIR SPEAKS!📊🔥 ​The macro roller coaster continues! After hot CPI and PPI prints, markets face tomorrow's final catalysts: ​🔹 U.S. Import/Export Data: Checking for imported inflation pressure.... 🔹 Fed Chair IMF Speech: Watching for rate clues after hot prints.... #Fed #CPIWatch #PPI $BTC
​🚨 ANOTHER INFLATION TRIGGER TOMORROW + FED CHAIR SPEAKS!📊🔥

​The macro roller coaster continues! After hot CPI and PPI prints, markets face tomorrow's final catalysts:

​🔹 U.S. Import/Export Data: Checking for imported inflation pressure....

🔹 Fed Chair IMF Speech: Watching for rate clues after hot prints....

#Fed #CPIWatch #PPI $BTC
​🚨 HOT PPI ALERT: INFLATION SURPRISE SHAKES THE MARKET! 📈🔥 ​Fresh U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) data just dropped, coming in hotter than expected! ​📊 The September Numbers: 🔹 Headline PPI: +0.6% MoM (vs +0.4% expected) 🔹 Year-over-Year: 6.3% YoY (vs 5.3% consensus) #PPI $XAUT
​🚨 HOT PPI ALERT: INFLATION SURPRISE SHAKES THE MARKET! 📈🔥

​Fresh U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) data just dropped, coming in hotter than expected!

​📊 The September Numbers:

🔹 Headline PPI: +0.6% MoM (vs +0.4% expected)

🔹 Year-over-Year: 6.3% YoY (vs 5.3% consensus)

#PPI $XAUT
​🚨 $BLUR Shorts Are Getting Squeezed Hard🩸🔥 ​Everyone rushed to short $BLUR after the web interface deprecation news and now late shorts are paying for it💀 ​📉 Funding Rate: -1.43% (Shorts are paying Longs BIG fees every 4h!)🔥🔥 📈 Price Reaction: +15.7% bounce up to $0.0121 #BLUR
​🚨 $BLUR Shorts Are Getting Squeezed Hard🩸🔥

​Everyone rushed to short $BLUR after the web interface deprecation news and now late shorts are paying for it💀

​📉 Funding Rate: -1.43% (Shorts are paying Longs BIG fees every 4h!)🔥🔥

📈 Price Reaction: +15.7% bounce up to $0.0121

#BLUR
⚠️ STAY AWAY FROM $SIREN FOR NOW! LIQUIDATION TRAP IN PROGRESS!!! Looking at the 4h chart for $SIREN/USDT, there are extreme, violent upper and lower wicks. It looks like a classic liquidation squeeze hitting both longs and shorts 🫠 📊 Chart: Price: $0.02376, up 6.3% in 24h 24h range: $0.02033 - $0.02634 a swing of about 30% ⚠️ Risk check: SIREN crashed 97% earlier this year amid pump-and-dump allegations, after on-chain data showed a wallet sold 95% of the supply. It's now more than 99% below its March all-time high of about $3.6. This is a very high-risk token. A bounce is not a recovery!!!! #siren
⚠️ STAY AWAY FROM $SIREN FOR NOW! LIQUIDATION TRAP IN PROGRESS!!!

Looking at the 4h chart for $SIREN/USDT, there are extreme, violent upper and lower wicks. It looks like a classic liquidation squeeze hitting both longs and shorts 🫠

📊 Chart:
Price: $0.02376, up 6.3% in 24h
24h range: $0.02033 - $0.02634 a swing of about 30%

⚠️ Risk check:
SIREN crashed 97% earlier this year amid pump-and-dump allegations, after on-chain data showed a wallet sold 95% of the supply.

It's now more than 99% below its March all-time high of about $3.6.

This is a very high-risk token. A bounce is not a recovery!!!!

#siren
⚠️ PPI + RETAIL SALES IN 25 MINUTES. Volatility Alert❗️❗️ After yesterday's hot CPI, today's data could move the whole market again 👇 🕕 8:30 AM ET 📊 What's expected: PPI (producer prices): +0.6% MoM (August was +0.4%) Core PPI: +0.3% MoM Retail sales: +0.3% MoM (August was +1.2%) 🎯 Scenarios: 🔴 Hot PPI + strong sales: higher yields and dollar, more pressure on crypto 🟢 Cooler data: relief for risk assets 🏦 Markets price about a 75% chance the Fed holds on Oct 28. A hot print could change that. (business-standard) 📅 Tomorrow: Fed Chair Warsh speaks at the IMF✅️ #PPI $BTC
⚠️ PPI + RETAIL SALES IN 25 MINUTES. Volatility Alert❗️❗️

After yesterday's hot CPI, today's data could move the whole market again 👇
🕕 8:30 AM ET

📊 What's expected:

PPI (producer prices): +0.6% MoM (August was +0.4%)

Core PPI: +0.3% MoM

Retail sales: +0.3% MoM (August was +1.2%)

🎯 Scenarios:
🔴 Hot PPI + strong sales: higher yields and dollar, more pressure on crypto

🟢 Cooler data: relief for risk assets

🏦 Markets price about a 75% chance the Fed holds on Oct 28. A hot print could change that. (business-standard)

📅 Tomorrow: Fed Chair Warsh speaks at the IMF✅️

#PPI $BTC
🚨 $1 BILLION IN LONG LIQUIDATIONS: THE LEVERAGE FLUSH IS HERE 🩸🏌‍♂️ ​🔹 Over $970M wiped out in 24 hours as longs were caught off guard by the macro drop 🔹 Binance saw $515M+ in liquidations clearing out over leveraged long positions❗️ 🔹 Open Interest is resetting rapidly. #CPIWatch $BTC $ETH
🚨 $1 BILLION IN LONG LIQUIDATIONS: THE LEVERAGE FLUSH IS HERE 🩸🏌‍♂️

​🔹 Over $970M wiped out in 24 hours as longs were caught off guard by the macro drop

🔹 Binance saw $515M+ in liquidations clearing out over leveraged long positions❗️

🔹 Open Interest is resetting rapidly.
#CPIWatch $BTC $ETH
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