BTC走势分析
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全球股市恐慌性暴跌，美国经济陷衰退隐忧等多重因素，比特币市场面临短时触及4.9万美元，比特币走势将会如何？
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BTC/USDT Technical Analysis – 1 August 2025
---
📉
Price: $115,841.47 (-2.21%) – Sharp correction testing critical support
---
🔍 Key Indicators & Market Overview
📊 EMA(7): $117,117.84 → Price below – short-term bearish
📊 EMA(25): $116,142.24 → Price slightly below – neutral
📈 EMA(99): $107,778.22 → Price above – long-term bullish
💎 RSI(6): 31.95 → Oversold – strongest reversal signal in months
🔻 Stochastic RSI: 0.49 / MA: 0.16 → Extremely oversold
🔇 Volume (24h): 20,211 BTC
📉 Current Vol: 5,331 BTC → 60% below average – seller exhaustion
---
🧭 Support & Resistance Levels
🔻 Critical Support: $114,313 → $114,448 → $109,610
🔼 Resistance: $116,142 (EMA25) → $117,117 (EMA7) → $118,922
---
📈 Trend Summary
✅ Bullish Signs:
Holding above EMA(99) = uptrend intact
RSI + Stoch RSI at historic lows = bounce likely
Low volume on dip = no panic selling
⚠️ Bearish Risks:
Possible Death Cross (EMA7 < EMA25)
Breakdown below $114,313 = sell-off risk
---
🔮 BTC Price Prediction
Short-Term (1–3 Days):
🔼 Bounce to $116,142 → $117,117 likely
🔻 If $114,313 breaks, drop to $109,610
Medium-Term (1 Week):
🔼 Above $114,313 → potential run to $118,922–$123,218
🔻 Below $114,313 → likely test of $109,610 → $107,778
---
📊 Trade Plan
🟢 Aggressive Long (Buy Oversold)
Entry: Now ($115,841) or dip to $115,000–$115,500
Stop Loss: $114,200
Targets: $116,142 → $117,117 → $118,000
Risk/Reward: 1:4+ ✅
💡 Ideal for fast bounce traders
---
🟡 Conservative Long (Confirmation Entry)
Entry: After RSI(6) breaks 35 with volume > 12K BTC
Targets: $116,142 → $117,117
Stop Loss: $114,500
🔴 Bearish Hedge (Breakdown Short)
Trigger: Close below $114,313
Target: $109,610
Stop Loss: $115,000
---
⚠️ Key Notes
🚨 Oversold Signal Rarity: RSI 31.95 + Stoch RSI 0.49 = top bounce odds in dataset
🧭 EMA(25) at $116,142 is trend decision point
🔋 Bounce needs strong volume (above 13,405 BTC)
📅 Watch US CPI, ETF flows, Fed talks for volatility catalysts
---
✅ Summary & Action
💰 Buy BTC Now at $115,841 (SL: $114,200) → Target $116,142 → $118,000
📉 Only short if $114,313 fails – then target $109,610
🔥 High-probability bounce setup – trade with precision and size wisely!
---
📌 Not financial advice. Use proper risk management.
🔔 Follow for real-time updates |
TRADE FROM HERE 👉 $BTC
#BTC☀ #BTC走势分析 #bitcoin #BTCUSDT
📉
Price: $115,841.47 (-2.21%) – Sharp correction testing critical support
---
🔍 Key Indicators & Market Overview
📊 EMA(7): $117,117.84 → Price below – short-term bearish
📊 EMA(25): $116,142.24 → Price slightly below – neutral
📈 EMA(99): $107,778.22 → Price above – long-term bullish
💎 RSI(6): 31.95 → Oversold – strongest reversal signal in months
🔻 Stochastic RSI: 0.49 / MA: 0.16 → Extremely oversold
🔇 Volume (24h): 20,211 BTC
📉 Current Vol: 5,331 BTC → 60% below average – seller exhaustion
---
🧭 Support & Resistance Levels
🔻 Critical Support: $114,313 → $114,448 → $109,610
🔼 Resistance: $116,142 (EMA25) → $117,117 (EMA7) → $118,922
---
📈 Trend Summary
✅ Bullish Signs:
Holding above EMA(99) = uptrend intact
RSI + Stoch RSI at historic lows = bounce likely
Low volume on dip = no panic selling
⚠️ Bearish Risks:
Possible Death Cross (EMA7 < EMA25)
Breakdown below $114,313 = sell-off risk
---
🔮 BTC Price Prediction
Short-Term (1–3 Days):
🔼 Bounce to $116,142 → $117,117 likely
🔻 If $114,313 breaks, drop to $109,610
Medium-Term (1 Week):
🔼 Above $114,313 → potential run to $118,922–$123,218
🔻 Below $114,313 → likely test of $109,610 → $107,778
---
📊 Trade Plan
🟢 Aggressive Long (Buy Oversold)
Entry: Now ($115,841) or dip to $115,000–$115,500
Stop Loss: $114,200
Targets: $116,142 → $117,117 → $118,000
Risk/Reward: 1:4+ ✅
💡 Ideal for fast bounce traders
---
🟡 Conservative Long (Confirmation Entry)
Entry: After RSI(6) breaks 35 with volume > 12K BTC
Targets: $116,142 → $117,117
Stop Loss: $114,500
🔴 Bearish Hedge (Breakdown Short)
Trigger: Close below $114,313
Target: $109,610
Stop Loss: $115,000
---
⚠️ Key Notes
🚨 Oversold Signal Rarity: RSI 31.95 + Stoch RSI 0.49 = top bounce odds in dataset
🧭 EMA(25) at $116,142 is trend decision point
🔋 Bounce needs strong volume (above 13,405 BTC)
📅 Watch US CPI, ETF flows, Fed talks for volatility catalysts
---
✅ Summary & Action
💰 Buy BTC Now at $115,841 (SL: $114,200) → Target $116,142 → $118,000
📉 Only short if $114,313 fails – then target $109,610
🔥 High-probability bounce setup – trade with precision and size wisely!
---
📌 Not financial advice. Use proper risk management.
🔔 Follow for real-time updates |
TRADE FROM HERE 👉 $BTC
#BTC☀ #BTC走势分析 #bitcoin #BTCUSDT
Selim Ton:
exelent
See original
August Curse Awakens: BTC Plummets with a 67% Probability, Whales Transfer $9.4 Billion in BTC Overnight!
The cryptocurrency market is filled with opportunities and risks; staying vigilant and timing is key. A short-term project with huge potential for a surge has also been discovered in the chain circle! Want to keep up? Follow the chain circle for free sharing! Follow the Divine Dragon Trend
#美国加征关税 #BTC走势分析
The cryptocurrency market is filled with opportunities and risks; staying vigilant and timing is key. A short-term project with huge potential for a surge has also been discovered in the chain circle! Want to keep up? Follow the chain circle for free sharing! Follow the Divine Dragon Trend
#美国加征关税 #BTC走势分析
$BTC So, far so good, the dip seems to be over. next we might visit 130k, the bullish setup is there on 1D, with no major negative news. keep an eye on 114k, if we breakdown the setup will be invalidated else we are good to go.
#MarketPullback #BTC走势分析 #uponly
#MarketPullback #BTC走势分析 #uponly
Nick_Cripto:
The correction hasn't even started. 85k right there
See original
August Curse Awakens: With a 67% Probability of Crash, Whales Transfer $9.4 Billion in BTC Overnight!
1. Market Sentiment Turns Cautious
"August Curse" Strengthens Bearish Expectations
In the past 12 years, Bitcoin has a 67% probability of falling in August-September, with a median average drop of -7.49%, only decreasing in the face of a half-year upward trend. The current market has reacted:
Fear and Greed Index has dropped 6 points to 75 over 6 days, anxiety is spreading;
Bearish options premiums have surpassed bullish ones, large capital is hedging against downside risks at high prices.
Leverage Risk Heightens
On the first day of August, $400 million in liquidations occurred, with $115,000–$116,000 being a key liquidation line, falling below could trigger programmatic sell-offs.
2. Macroeconomic Negative Resonance
Fed Delays Rate Cuts Suppressing Speculative Sentiment
The hawkish decision by the July FOMC led to a capital shift towards government bonds, weakening the short-term appeal of cryptocurrencies.
New Tariffs Raise Costs
The 25%-50% tariffs on mining material effective from August 1 may lead to a surge in mining costs, with U.S. officials estimating inflation to rise another 2.1–3% in the short term.
3. Major Capital Movement Warning
Selling Pressure from Miners and Long-term Holders
Miners transferred 15,000 BTC to exchanges in July;
Long-term holders' on-chain net positions turned negative, similar actions previously triggered a crash in February 2024.
Ancient Whales Awakening
An address dormant for 10 years transferred 80,000 BTC, historical patterns indicate such movements are often accompanied by significant pullbacks.
4. Institutional Demand Cooling
U.S. Buying Weakens
Coinbase's premiums turned negative, domestic demand weakened;
CME Bitcoin futures positions decreased sharply by 13%.
ETF Fund Inflows Slow
In July, net inflows were $6 billion, but the 30-day average inflow dropped from $62.4 billion to $59.3 billion, supporting momentum is waning.
5. Practical Strategies
Short-term: Keep a close eye on the support levels of $112,000–$106,000, beware of the September Fed meeting and changes in the U.S. election;
Medium to Long-term: After volatility compresses to 34%, a trend market may emerge, with a 46% probability of reaching $150,000 by year-end, breaking $120,000 will trigger a short squeeze.
Conclusion: Seasonal patterns combined with macroeconomic negatives create significant pullback pressure in August, but the logic of a medium to long-term bull market remains unchanged. Rational investors should keep their powder dry and wait for opportunities after the panic has subsided.
Opportunities and risks coexist in the crypto circle, remain vigilant, and timing is key. The blockchain circle has also discovered a short-term skyrocketing project with huge doubling potential! To keep up, follow the blockchain circle for free sharing! Focus on Shenlong Trend
#加密市场回调 #BTC走势分析
1. Market Sentiment Turns Cautious
"August Curse" Strengthens Bearish Expectations
In the past 12 years, Bitcoin has a 67% probability of falling in August-September, with a median average drop of -7.49%, only decreasing in the face of a half-year upward trend. The current market has reacted:
Fear and Greed Index has dropped 6 points to 75 over 6 days, anxiety is spreading;
Bearish options premiums have surpassed bullish ones, large capital is hedging against downside risks at high prices.
Leverage Risk Heightens
On the first day of August, $400 million in liquidations occurred, with $115,000–$116,000 being a key liquidation line, falling below could trigger programmatic sell-offs.
2. Macroeconomic Negative Resonance
Fed Delays Rate Cuts Suppressing Speculative Sentiment
The hawkish decision by the July FOMC led to a capital shift towards government bonds, weakening the short-term appeal of cryptocurrencies.
New Tariffs Raise Costs
The 25%-50% tariffs on mining material effective from August 1 may lead to a surge in mining costs, with U.S. officials estimating inflation to rise another 2.1–3% in the short term.
3. Major Capital Movement Warning
Selling Pressure from Miners and Long-term Holders
Miners transferred 15,000 BTC to exchanges in July;
Long-term holders' on-chain net positions turned negative, similar actions previously triggered a crash in February 2024.
Ancient Whales Awakening
An address dormant for 10 years transferred 80,000 BTC, historical patterns indicate such movements are often accompanied by significant pullbacks.
4. Institutional Demand Cooling
U.S. Buying Weakens
Coinbase's premiums turned negative, domestic demand weakened;
CME Bitcoin futures positions decreased sharply by 13%.
ETF Fund Inflows Slow
In July, net inflows were $6 billion, but the 30-day average inflow dropped from $62.4 billion to $59.3 billion, supporting momentum is waning.
5. Practical Strategies
Short-term: Keep a close eye on the support levels of $112,000–$106,000, beware of the September Fed meeting and changes in the U.S. election;
Medium to Long-term: After volatility compresses to 34%, a trend market may emerge, with a 46% probability of reaching $150,000 by year-end, breaking $120,000 will trigger a short squeeze.
Conclusion: Seasonal patterns combined with macroeconomic negatives create significant pullback pressure in August, but the logic of a medium to long-term bull market remains unchanged. Rational investors should keep their powder dry and wait for opportunities after the panic has subsided.
Opportunities and risks coexist in the crypto circle, remain vigilant, and timing is key. The blockchain circle has also discovered a short-term skyrocketing project with huge doubling potential! To keep up, follow the blockchain circle for free sharing! Focus on Shenlong Trend
#加密市场回调 #BTC走势分析
Tamie Shindo vDtb:
什么项目
See original
Trump is secretly orchestrating! RWA has become a national strategy, and early planners are reaping the rewards
1. Policy 180° Turn
The SEC ends the 'Iron Fist Enforcement' model, actively touring the U.S. to attract grassroots entrepreneurs, acknowledging that old regulations have become ineffective. In 2025, a new framework will be intensively launched:
End the 'all tokens = securities' logic, shift to classified management
Attract overseas companies to return with 'innovation exemptions'
2. Major Restructuring in the Crypto World
Spring for MEME coins: Dogecoin-like projects may be exempt from registration
Doomsday for air coins: pseudo-decentralized projects face mandatory disclosure, with 90% likely to go to zero
Exchange bloodbath: Coinbase and others receive 'universal licenses', while small to medium platforms are on the verge of death
RWA explosion: BlackRock and Fidelity enter real estate tokenization, Ondo-like assets will ignite
3. Dragon's Prediction of Wealth Opportunities
Policy barometer: If the roundtable discusses DeFi, ambush UNI, AAVE; if custodial easing is proposed, buy up Coinbase
SEC's internal list: keep an eye on the quirky L1/L2 technologies and RWA protocols among the startups attending
Last arbitrage window: The SEC may greenlight staking/airdrops, with Lido and Uniswap making short-term surges
4. Survival Rules
Short-term: All in on RWA + Bitcoin ecosystem, stay away from vague new coins
Mid-term: Bet on compliant infrastructure like Chainlink oracles
Long-term: $14 trillion in traditional funds flowing in, reevaluation of BTC and ETH value
Core Idea: The policy bottom has emerged! Junk coins will go to zero, wealth belongs to 'rooted assets', such as on-chain government bonds and Bitcoin Layer 2
Opportunities and risks coexist in the crypto world; staying vigilant and timing are key. The dragon has also discovered a short-term surging project with huge doubling potential! Want to keep up? Follow the dragon for free sharing! Pay attention to dragon trends
#美国加征关税 #BTC走势分析
1. Policy 180° Turn
The SEC ends the 'Iron Fist Enforcement' model, actively touring the U.S. to attract grassroots entrepreneurs, acknowledging that old regulations have become ineffective. In 2025, a new framework will be intensively launched:
End the 'all tokens = securities' logic, shift to classified management
Attract overseas companies to return with 'innovation exemptions'
2. Major Restructuring in the Crypto World
Spring for MEME coins: Dogecoin-like projects may be exempt from registration
Doomsday for air coins: pseudo-decentralized projects face mandatory disclosure, with 90% likely to go to zero
Exchange bloodbath: Coinbase and others receive 'universal licenses', while small to medium platforms are on the verge of death
RWA explosion: BlackRock and Fidelity enter real estate tokenization, Ondo-like assets will ignite
3. Dragon's Prediction of Wealth Opportunities
Policy barometer: If the roundtable discusses DeFi, ambush UNI, AAVE; if custodial easing is proposed, buy up Coinbase
SEC's internal list: keep an eye on the quirky L1/L2 technologies and RWA protocols among the startups attending
Last arbitrage window: The SEC may greenlight staking/airdrops, with Lido and Uniswap making short-term surges
4. Survival Rules
Short-term: All in on RWA + Bitcoin ecosystem, stay away from vague new coins
Mid-term: Bet on compliant infrastructure like Chainlink oracles
Long-term: $14 trillion in traditional funds flowing in, reevaluation of BTC and ETH value
Core Idea: The policy bottom has emerged! Junk coins will go to zero, wealth belongs to 'rooted assets', such as on-chain government bonds and Bitcoin Layer 2
Opportunities and risks coexist in the crypto world; staying vigilant and timing are key. The dragon has also discovered a short-term surging project with huge doubling potential! Want to keep up? Follow the dragon for free sharing! Pay attention to dragon trends
#美国加征关税 #BTC走势分析
Feed-Creator-a5fb92755:
pol这种币还有机会翻身吗
See original
97% of holders are lying down to earn $1.4 trillion! Beware of the largest profit-taking massacre in history
1. Policy Dynamics: Expectation Gap Leads to Short-term Volatility
Details on Bitcoin reserves absent: The White House report on July 30 confirmed that the U.S. holds 198,000 BTC, but did not disclose the accumulation path, leading to profit-taking and a brief drop in BTC to $115,000. Long-term policies still support compliance, which is favorable for institutional entry.
Stablecoin Legislation Shuffle: The GENIUS Act requires 100% reserves for stablecoins + Federal Reserve supervision. If passed:
Favorable for USDT/USDC and BSC/Tron chains;
Unfavorable for tech giants like Meta/Google issuing coins, strengthening the position of the crypto camp.
2. Market Data: Whale Sell Pressure vs. Institutional Support
$9.6 billion in sell-off did not break support: At the end of July, whales sold 80,000 BTC OTC, with prices quickly stabilizing at $119,000, showing strong buying support. Currently, 97% of circulating BTC is profitable, with unrealized profits of $1.4 trillion, requiring new funds for hedging.
Institutions buying at a hundred times the support: Corporate bond purchases exceed 100:1, with the spot ETF seeing a net inflow of $641 million over two weeks, as large funds position themselves on dips.
3. Technical Signals: Key Price Point Showdown
Triangle Convergence Awaiting Breakout: BTC has fluctuated between $115,000-$121,000 for 18 days:
Bullish Defense Line: RSI 24.6 is oversold + long-term moving averages are bullishly aligned;
Bearish Attack: Falling below $115,000 could trigger a liquidation wave at $111,000-$112,500.
New investors only account for 30%, the market is not overheated but needs to guard against leveraged cascading explosions.
4. Shenlong Operational Strategy: Focus on Breakouts and Policies
Short-term: Closely monitor the $115,000 support and $121,000 resistance. If August's Fed rate cut expectations strengthen, it may push BTC to challenge the previous high of $122,000.
Mid-term: The urgent drop range of $111,000-$115,000 can be staged for building positions, primarily targeting policy-benefiting sectors:
Regulatory stablecoins, BTC spot ETF-related stocks;
If the GENIUS Act is approved, focus on BSC/Tron ecological RWA projects.
Core Conflict: Policy Vacuum vs. Institutional Support.
Spot positions remain unchanged, leverage strictly adheres to stop-losses, waiting for the Fed to shift or reserve plans to materialize.
Opportunities and risks coexist in the crypto space; stay alert and finding the right timing is key. Shenlong has also discovered a project with huge short-term surge potential! Want to keep up? Click on the profile picture to follow Shenlong and receive free shares! Follow Shenlong for trends
#美国加征关税 #BTC走势分析
1. Policy Dynamics: Expectation Gap Leads to Short-term Volatility
Details on Bitcoin reserves absent: The White House report on July 30 confirmed that the U.S. holds 198,000 BTC, but did not disclose the accumulation path, leading to profit-taking and a brief drop in BTC to $115,000. Long-term policies still support compliance, which is favorable for institutional entry.
Stablecoin Legislation Shuffle: The GENIUS Act requires 100% reserves for stablecoins + Federal Reserve supervision. If passed:
Favorable for USDT/USDC and BSC/Tron chains;
Unfavorable for tech giants like Meta/Google issuing coins, strengthening the position of the crypto camp.
2. Market Data: Whale Sell Pressure vs. Institutional Support
$9.6 billion in sell-off did not break support: At the end of July, whales sold 80,000 BTC OTC, with prices quickly stabilizing at $119,000, showing strong buying support. Currently, 97% of circulating BTC is profitable, with unrealized profits of $1.4 trillion, requiring new funds for hedging.
Institutions buying at a hundred times the support: Corporate bond purchases exceed 100:1, with the spot ETF seeing a net inflow of $641 million over two weeks, as large funds position themselves on dips.
3. Technical Signals: Key Price Point Showdown
Triangle Convergence Awaiting Breakout: BTC has fluctuated between $115,000-$121,000 for 18 days:
Bullish Defense Line: RSI 24.6 is oversold + long-term moving averages are bullishly aligned;
Bearish Attack: Falling below $115,000 could trigger a liquidation wave at $111,000-$112,500.
New investors only account for 30%, the market is not overheated but needs to guard against leveraged cascading explosions.
4. Shenlong Operational Strategy: Focus on Breakouts and Policies
Short-term: Closely monitor the $115,000 support and $121,000 resistance. If August's Fed rate cut expectations strengthen, it may push BTC to challenge the previous high of $122,000.
Mid-term: The urgent drop range of $111,000-$115,000 can be staged for building positions, primarily targeting policy-benefiting sectors:
Regulatory stablecoins, BTC spot ETF-related stocks;
If the GENIUS Act is approved, focus on BSC/Tron ecological RWA projects.
Core Conflict: Policy Vacuum vs. Institutional Support.
Spot positions remain unchanged, leverage strictly adheres to stop-losses, waiting for the Fed to shift or reserve plans to materialize.
Opportunities and risks coexist in the crypto space; stay alert and finding the right timing is key. Shenlong has also discovered a project with huge short-term surge potential! Want to keep up? Click on the profile picture to follow Shenlong and receive free shares! Follow Shenlong for trends
#美国加征关税 #BTC走势分析
See original
🚨 Quick Analysis – BTC/USDT 🚨
BTC remains consolidated in a possible bullish flag pattern after a strong impulse up to the $123,218 region.
This pattern may indicate a continuation of the trend, with a projected target above $125,000.
However, support at $114,000 needs to hold to validate the scenario.
⚠️ Attention: Graphical analysis is probabilistic and does not guarantee results. There are risks of market manipulation, as well as geopolitical and tariff factors that can impact the price suddenly.
❗ This publication is not a recommendation to buy or sell.
Follow me for more quick and objective analyses!
#BTC走势分析 #MarketPullback $BTC
BTC remains consolidated in a possible bullish flag pattern after a strong impulse up to the $123,218 region.
This pattern may indicate a continuation of the trend, with a projected target above $125,000.
However, support at $114,000 needs to hold to validate the scenario.
⚠️ Attention: Graphical analysis is probabilistic and does not guarantee results. There are risks of market manipulation, as well as geopolitical and tariff factors that can impact the price suddenly.
❗ This publication is not a recommendation to buy or sell.
Follow me for more quick and objective analyses!
#BTC走势分析 #MarketPullback $BTC
USDT/BRL
Lobotomia:
Os conflitos políticos estão como um termometro temperatura alta,imposição de taxas Governos alguns falando retaliação.Esse desequilíbrio pede atenção, melhor senario lógico risco
See original
Crypto Circle Early Explosion: Trump's Tariff Moves, SEC On-Chain Plans, BTC Whale Sell-offs... 19 Key Insights Analyzed!
Today's crypto news is overflowing, from international policies to on-chain dynamics, from giant moves to market fluctuations. Each piece could impact your positions! Keep up with this rhythm to seize profit signals ahead of others —
- Trump announces new policy: Signs an executive order to adjust tariffs for multiple countries, potentially changing global trade flows. The interconnections with the crypto market are worth paying attention to.
- Arkham's latest monitoring: $125 million ETH and SOL from FTX/Alameda have been staked. Does the action of this quiet giant indicate a shift in market direction?
- SEC Chairman releases heavyweight signal: A new framework is being developed to allow crypto securities to trade alongside traditional securities, accelerating the compliance process!
- Trump announces new policy: Signs an executive order to adjust tariffs for multiple countries, potentially changing global trade flows. The interconnections with the crypto market are worth paying attention to.
- Arkham's latest monitoring: $125 million ETH and SOL from FTX/Alameda have been staked. Does the action of this quiet giant indicate a shift in market direction?
- SEC Chairman releases heavyweight signal: A new framework is being developed to allow crypto securities to trade alongside traditional securities, accelerating the compliance process!
Feed-Creator-98767ef19:
今晚公布吗
See original
Last chance to get on board! If the US stock market holds steady at 12500 points, it's countdown to a crypto bull run!
The non-farm payroll data is out, and the market hasn't moved? That means the bad news was already priced in!
Brothers, the fall already happened! The shorts have run out of ammunition, and the panic selling is officially over.
Who dictates the next direction? The US stock market!
Keep a close eye on the two key support levels: S&P 500 (4050 points) and Nasdaq (12500 points)! As long as the US stock market holds steady, the crypto rally horn will sound immediately!
Scared by the crash a few days ago? Now you understand, that was a classic "shake off" operation by the big players! Intentionally shaking out weak hands to get people off the bus, with ruthless, precise, and stable control!
Non-farm payroll is in the past, and bad news has turned into good news!
Data? Expired! Panic? Gone! Remember: If the US stock market is stable, the direction is clear!
Don't let the noise distract you, and don't fall behind at the turning point! The real opportunity always arises after despair!
Impact on the crypto world: The golden opportunity has appeared!
1. Linked rebound: If the US stock market is stable, the crypto world is stable! Bitcoin and Ethereum will definitely lead the charge, the leaders rush, and the followers follow!
2. Sentiment reversal: The biggest uncertainty has been resolved, market panic subsides, and funds will enter boldly!
3. Buy-the-dip opportunity: The "dip" created by the crash is a window for smart money to pick up cheap chips!
God Dragon's Operation:
Stick to US stocks: S&P 4050, Nasdaq 12500 hold? If it holds, it's a signal to charge!
Hold on to the leaders: BTC and ETH are the bellwethers of the rebound, if they are stable, the whole army is stable!
Accumulate in batches: Reject all-in! Layout in steps when it's low to reduce risk and stabilize your mindset!
Stop-loss to save your life: Don't be reckless even if the market recovers! Strictly stop-loss to protect your capital!
Before the market starts, the worst thing is getting off the bus early! Follow God Dragon closely to eat up the rebound dividends!
Opportunities and risks coexist in the crypto world, staying alert and finding the right timing is key. God Dragon also discovered a short-term exploding project with huge doubling potential! If you want to keep up, click on the avatar to follow God Dragon for free sharing! Follow God Dragon's trend
#美股休市 #BTC走势分析
The non-farm payroll data is out, and the market hasn't moved? That means the bad news was already priced in!
Brothers, the fall already happened! The shorts have run out of ammunition, and the panic selling is officially over.
Who dictates the next direction? The US stock market!
Keep a close eye on the two key support levels: S&P 500 (4050 points) and Nasdaq (12500 points)! As long as the US stock market holds steady, the crypto rally horn will sound immediately!
Scared by the crash a few days ago? Now you understand, that was a classic "shake off" operation by the big players! Intentionally shaking out weak hands to get people off the bus, with ruthless, precise, and stable control!
Non-farm payroll is in the past, and bad news has turned into good news!
Data? Expired! Panic? Gone! Remember: If the US stock market is stable, the direction is clear!
Don't let the noise distract you, and don't fall behind at the turning point! The real opportunity always arises after despair!
Impact on the crypto world: The golden opportunity has appeared!
1. Linked rebound: If the US stock market is stable, the crypto world is stable! Bitcoin and Ethereum will definitely lead the charge, the leaders rush, and the followers follow!
2. Sentiment reversal: The biggest uncertainty has been resolved, market panic subsides, and funds will enter boldly!
3. Buy-the-dip opportunity: The "dip" created by the crash is a window for smart money to pick up cheap chips!
God Dragon's Operation:
Stick to US stocks: S&P 4050, Nasdaq 12500 hold? If it holds, it's a signal to charge!
Hold on to the leaders: BTC and ETH are the bellwethers of the rebound, if they are stable, the whole army is stable!
Accumulate in batches: Reject all-in! Layout in steps when it's low to reduce risk and stabilize your mindset!
Stop-loss to save your life: Don't be reckless even if the market recovers! Strictly stop-loss to protect your capital!
Before the market starts, the worst thing is getting off the bus early! Follow God Dragon closely to eat up the rebound dividends!
Opportunities and risks coexist in the crypto world, staying alert and finding the right timing is key. God Dragon also discovered a short-term exploding project with huge doubling potential! If you want to keep up, click on the avatar to follow God Dragon for free sharing! Follow God Dragon's trend
#美股休市 #BTC走势分析
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BTC is a bit dangerous now; this is the lower bound of the 200ma overlay on the 4h chart, and there is currently no significant buying volume. Victory or defeat hinges on this move! If it breaks down, it will expand into a daily level correction.
#BTC走势分析
#BTC走势分析
我是真霸霸:
I'm going to pull the price up now to help you out.
BITCOIN at 1 Aug
📉 Bitcoin Price Update
Current Price: $115,841.47
24h Change: -2.21% – Market is correcting sharply and testing key support levels.
🔍 Market Overview & Indicators
7-day EMA: $117,117.84 → Price is below = short-term bearish
25-day EMA: $116,142.24 → Price is slightly below = trend still neutral
99-day EMA: $107,778.22 → Price is above = long-term trend still bullish
Momentum Indicators:
RSI (6): 31.95 → Oversold = Strong bounce potential
Stochastic RSI: 0.49 / MA: 0.16 → Also extremely oversold
Volume:
24h Volume: 20,211 BTCCurrent Hour Volume: 5,331 BTC → 60% below average = Sellers may be getting tired
🧭 Key Levels to Watch
🔻 Support:
$114,313 (main level)
$114,448 (minor)
$109,610 (major if breakdown happens)
🔼 Resistance:
$116,142 (EMA25)
$117,117 (EMA7)
$118,922 (next upside target)
📈 What the Trend Tells Us
✅ Bullish Signs:
Price is still above long-term EMA(99) → Uptrend not broken
RSI + Stoch RSI oversold → Bounce is likely
Low volume on dip → Not panic-driven selling
⚠️ Bearish Warnings:
Possible Death Cross: EMA(7) may drop below EMA(25)Break below $114,313 = could trigger bigger drop
🔮 BTC Price Prediction
Short-Term (1–3 Days)
If bounce: → Up to $116,142 or $117,117
If break below $114,313: → Drop to $109,610
Mid-Term (1 Week):
Hold above $114,313: → Possible run to $118,922 – $123,218Drop below $114,313: → Retest support around $109,610 or $107,778
🛠️ Trade Setups
🟢 Aggressive Long (High Risk – High Reward)
Buy Now: $115,841 or dip to $115,000–$115,500
Stop-Loss: $114,200
Targets: $116,142 → $117,117 → $118,000
Risk/Reward: 1:4+ ✅
🟡 Conervative Long (Safer Entry)
Entry: After RSI(6) goes above 35 AND volume is over 12K BTC
Targets: $116,142 → $117,117
Stop-Loss: $114,500
🔴 Bearish Trade (Short if Breakdown Happens)
Trigger: Price closes below $114,313
Target: $109,610
Stop-Loss: $115,000
⚠️ Important Notes
Oversold Alerts: RSI 31.95 + Stoch RSI 0.49 = rare combo → high bounce chances
EMA(25) at $116,142 = key trend line to watch
Strong bounce needs volume above 13,405 BTCWatch out for news events like US CPI, Fed talks, and ETF updates
✅ Final Summary
High-probability bounce setup – perfect for skilled traders
🟢 Buy Now: $115,841 (SL: $114,200) → Target $116,142–$118,000🔴 Only Short if price breaks $114,313 → Target $109,610
🧠 Use proper risk management, size trades wisely, and don’t chase!
Not financial advice. Always trade responsibly.
🔔 Follow for more real-time BTC updates
$BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#BTC走势分析 #btc70k #BTC
Current Price: $115,841.47
24h Change: -2.21% – Market is correcting sharply and testing key support levels.
🔍 Market Overview & Indicators
7-day EMA: $117,117.84 → Price is below = short-term bearish
25-day EMA: $116,142.24 → Price is slightly below = trend still neutral
99-day EMA: $107,778.22 → Price is above = long-term trend still bullish
Momentum Indicators:
RSI (6): 31.95 → Oversold = Strong bounce potential
Stochastic RSI: 0.49 / MA: 0.16 → Also extremely oversold
Volume:
24h Volume: 20,211 BTCCurrent Hour Volume: 5,331 BTC → 60% below average = Sellers may be getting tired
🧭 Key Levels to Watch
🔻 Support:
$114,313 (main level)
$114,448 (minor)
$109,610 (major if breakdown happens)
🔼 Resistance:
$116,142 (EMA25)
$117,117 (EMA7)
$118,922 (next upside target)
📈 What the Trend Tells Us
✅ Bullish Signs:
Price is still above long-term EMA(99) → Uptrend not broken
RSI + Stoch RSI oversold → Bounce is likely
Low volume on dip → Not panic-driven selling
⚠️ Bearish Warnings:
Possible Death Cross: EMA(7) may drop below EMA(25)Break below $114,313 = could trigger bigger drop
🔮 BTC Price Prediction
Short-Term (1–3 Days)
If bounce: → Up to $116,142 or $117,117
If break below $114,313: → Drop to $109,610
Mid-Term (1 Week):
Hold above $114,313: → Possible run to $118,922 – $123,218Drop below $114,313: → Retest support around $109,610 or $107,778
🛠️ Trade Setups
🟢 Aggressive Long (High Risk – High Reward)
Buy Now: $115,841 or dip to $115,000–$115,500
Stop-Loss: $114,200
Targets: $116,142 → $117,117 → $118,000
Risk/Reward: 1:4+ ✅
🟡 Conervative Long (Safer Entry)
Entry: After RSI(6) goes above 35 AND volume is over 12K BTC
Targets: $116,142 → $117,117
Stop-Loss: $114,500
🔴 Bearish Trade (Short if Breakdown Happens)
Trigger: Price closes below $114,313
Target: $109,610
Stop-Loss: $115,000
⚠️ Important Notes
Oversold Alerts: RSI 31.95 + Stoch RSI 0.49 = rare combo → high bounce chances
EMA(25) at $116,142 = key trend line to watch
Strong bounce needs volume above 13,405 BTCWatch out for news events like US CPI, Fed talks, and ETF updates
✅ Final Summary
High-probability bounce setup – perfect for skilled traders
🟢 Buy Now: $115,841 (SL: $114,200) → Target $116,142–$118,000🔴 Only Short if price breaks $114,313 → Target $109,610
🧠 Use proper risk management, size trades wisely, and don’t chase!
Not financial advice. Always trade responsibly.
🔔 Follow for more real-time BTC updates
$BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#BTC走势分析 #btc70k #BTC
See original
“Powell's nuclear bomb blasts through 116,000! The US crazily hoards 200,000 BTC to buy the dip——Countdown to 65% vertical surge in August!”
The cause of the crash
Powell ignites "tariff inflation": hawkish warning "rate cuts are a delusion", BTC liquidated $400 million in 24 hours!
Trump's tariff nuclear explosion chain:
25% tariff countdown on China!
25% surprise tariff on India!
35% strong hit tariff on Canada!
BTC becomes a victim of the trade war!
Top-secret favorable news
The US crazily hoards 198,000 BTC to create a "digital arsenal"!
Institutions swallow 68,000 BTC: BlackRock ETF raised $1.18 billion in a single day!
"This is a national-level scramble under the collapse of dollar hegemony!"
August nuclear explosion warning
Life-and-death line 116,000: If stable, it will surge to $172,000, but if lost, it may drop to $100,000!
After halving, it must explode:
August 2017: +65%
August 2025: "Vertical rise" starts!
Retail investors' buying signal
A sudden drop sends money: Institutions lock in 68.44% of circulation, whales swallowed 218,570 BTC in six months!
Explosion radar:
September rate cut expectations
GENIUS Act ignites $250 billion ammunition
White House suddenly raids storage loopholes!
"Cutting losses? The US is gladly accepting bloody chips!"
Ultimate remarks from Shenlong
"Tariff war scorches US stocks, BTC is the ark of the apocalypse! 116,000 is a trap for raising funds——August nuclear bomb is loaded, waiting for Powell to bow down!"
Strategy: Buy the dip in steps after a 5% drop, be cautious with leverage!
The cause of the crash
Powell ignites "tariff inflation": hawkish warning "rate cuts are a delusion", BTC liquidated $400 million in 24 hours!
Trump's tariff nuclear explosion chain:
25% tariff countdown on China!
25% surprise tariff on India!
35% strong hit tariff on Canada!
BTC becomes a victim of the trade war!
Top-secret favorable news
The US crazily hoards 198,000 BTC to create a "digital arsenal"!
Institutions swallow 68,000 BTC: BlackRock ETF raised $1.18 billion in a single day!
"This is a national-level scramble under the collapse of dollar hegemony!"
August nuclear explosion warning
Life-and-death line 116,000: If stable, it will surge to $172,000, but if lost, it may drop to $100,000!
After halving, it must explode:
August 2017: +65%
August 2025: "Vertical rise" starts!
Retail investors' buying signal
A sudden drop sends money: Institutions lock in 68.44% of circulation, whales swallowed 218,570 BTC in six months!
Explosion radar:
September rate cut expectations
GENIUS Act ignites $250 billion ammunition
White House suddenly raids storage loopholes!
"Cutting losses? The US is gladly accepting bloody chips!"
Ultimate remarks from Shenlong
"Tariff war scorches US stocks, BTC is the ark of the apocalypse! 116,000 is a trap for raising funds——August nuclear bomb is loaded, waiting for Powell to bow down!"
Strategy: Buy the dip in steps after a 5% drop, be cautious with leverage!
See original
In-depth analysis and trading strategy for BTC on August 1st!
Dividing line positioning
116000 is the 'bull-bear dividing line' on the 1-hour chart, directly determining the effectiveness of the rebound:
- Stabilizing above → Rebound starts, trend leans towards upward;
- Not stabilizing above → Weak rebound, trend continues to decline.
2. Below the dividing line (downtrend)
If it does not stabilize above 116000, the downtrend will continue, with the support point below serving as a potential reference for the end of the short-term decline:
- Key support levels: 114260, 113300, 112300, consider initiating long positions near these levels on dips.
3. Above the dividing line (rebound trend)
If it stabilizes above 116000, the rebound trend is confirmed, with the pressure point above serving as a potential reference for the end of the short-term rise:
116000 is the 'bull-bear dividing line' on the 1-hour chart, directly determining the effectiveness of the rebound:
- Stabilizing above → Rebound starts, trend leans towards upward;
- Not stabilizing above → Weak rebound, trend continues to decline.
2. Below the dividing line (downtrend)
If it does not stabilize above 116000, the downtrend will continue, with the support point below serving as a potential reference for the end of the short-term decline:
- Key support levels: 114260, 113300, 112300, consider initiating long positions near these levels on dips.
3. Above the dividing line (rebound trend)
If it stabilizes above 116000, the rebound trend is confirmed, with the pressure point above serving as a potential reference for the end of the short-term rise:
See original
2025.8.1 Bitcoin/Ethereum/BNB/SOL Intraday Market Trend Analysis
Good afternoon, brothers! A new month has begun. The first half of last month was a continuous rise, while the second half started to consolidate at the top on the weekly level. I have been reminding everyone to pay attention to the pullback on the monthly level. This morning at 8 o'clock, it dropped again, broke the new low, and then started to rebound. Through the reminders from Lao Zhang these past few days, I believe everyone is mentally prepared for the drop, and no one is crying out in pain anymore!
Bitcoin broke through the third support level of 400u and rebounded above 1300u. Ethereum, being weak, directly dropped to my fifth support level. Last night, I gave four support levels in a screenshot. Even the third support level at 3670 has rebounded by 50U now. BNB is the most resilient; it quickly rebounds after slightly breaking the first support level. There probably aren’t many people hanging orders at the first support level. After SOL broke the second support level, it rebounded by 2u. Has everyone noticed that as long as you hang the second or third support level at night and control your position well, there’s profit to be made? The entry points are given, just copy the homework!
Bitcoin broke through the third support level of 400u and rebounded above 1300u. Ethereum, being weak, directly dropped to my fifth support level. Last night, I gave four support levels in a screenshot. Even the third support level at 3670 has rebounded by 50U now. BNB is the most resilient; it quickly rebounds after slightly breaking the first support level. There probably aren’t many people hanging orders at the first support level. After SOL broke the second support level, it rebounded by 2u. Has everyone noticed that as long as you hang the second or third support level at night and control your position well, there’s profit to be made? The entry points are given, just copy the homework!
一日一倍:
会到3500
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Affected by U.S. trade tariffs, Bitcoin's outlook is mixed after filling the gap in the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME).
How does Bitcoin fill the CME $114,000 futures gap?
Bitcoin's recent price movement has filled the $114,000 gap in the CME Bitcoin futures market, a common occurrence where price gaps over the weekend are filled within days or weeks. On the Bitstamp platform, BTC/USD briefly dropped to $114,322 before rebounding, confirming the gap filling since July. This technical event typically indicates a potential price reversal or consolidation.
What do traders think about the next move for BTC?
Market sentiment remains mixed. Cryptocurrency investor Ted Pillows expects an upward rebound after the gap is filled, indicating the market is entering a recovery phase. Conversely, trader Cipher X warns that if BTC fails to reclaim $116,000, it may drop to $104,000. Crypto Candy emphasizes that the closing price must break above $115,000-$116,700 to avoid further declines, and highlights that $111,800 may serve as a support level before reaching a historical high.
Bitcoin's recent price movement has filled the $114,000 gap in the CME Bitcoin futures market, a common occurrence where price gaps over the weekend are filled within days or weeks. On the Bitstamp platform, BTC/USD briefly dropped to $114,322 before rebounding, confirming the gap filling since July. This technical event typically indicates a potential price reversal or consolidation.
What do traders think about the next move for BTC?
Market sentiment remains mixed. Cryptocurrency investor Ted Pillows expects an upward rebound after the gap is filled, indicating the market is entering a recovery phase. Conversely, trader Cipher X warns that if BTC fails to reclaim $116,000, it may drop to $104,000. Crypto Candy emphasizes that the closing price must break above $115,000-$116,700 to avoid further declines, and highlights that $111,800 may serve as a support level before reaching a historical high.
See original
Recently, many fans have been asking: Will BTC drop in the short term?
Yang has organized some thoughts and is open to discussing today——
Currently, BTC is fluctuating between 116,000 and 120,000, the Bollinger Bands are narrowing, and the KDJ is stuck around 50, with a temporary balance between bulls and bears, but this equilibrium often hides a "big change," so we need to keep a close watch.
Looking at the technical aspects in more detail: the 4-hour MACD green bars are still extending, and the short-term bears indeed have the upper hand; the daily green bars are shortening, the bulls want to counterattack, but they haven't formed a trend yet.
More critically, the trading volume has dropped significantly, and the market seems to be asleep, with no one daring to take real action, so the rebound naturally lacks strength. Additionally, recently, large whale addresses have seen a net outflow of 240,000 BTC in a week, and old players are slowly selling off, making it difficult to rise.
Therefore, in the short term, we need to focus on the risk of a pullback.
In terms of operation, Yang suggested a direction: consider short positions around 118,600-119,100, with the initial target at 117,400-116,500. But remember, don't rush in; wait for a comfortable moment to take action.
#BTC走势分析
Yang has organized some thoughts and is open to discussing today——
Currently, BTC is fluctuating between 116,000 and 120,000, the Bollinger Bands are narrowing, and the KDJ is stuck around 50, with a temporary balance between bulls and bears, but this equilibrium often hides a "big change," so we need to keep a close watch.
Looking at the technical aspects in more detail: the 4-hour MACD green bars are still extending, and the short-term bears indeed have the upper hand; the daily green bars are shortening, the bulls want to counterattack, but they haven't formed a trend yet.
More critically, the trading volume has dropped significantly, and the market seems to be asleep, with no one daring to take real action, so the rebound naturally lacks strength. Additionally, recently, large whale addresses have seen a net outflow of 240,000 BTC in a week, and old players are slowly selling off, making it difficult to rise.
Therefore, in the short term, we need to focus on the risk of a pullback.
In terms of operation, Yang suggested a direction: consider short positions around 118,600-119,100, with the initial target at 117,400-116,500. But remember, don't rush in; wait for a comfortable moment to take action.
#BTC走势分析
See original
Evening Bitcoin - Ethereum - BNB - SOL Market Analysis
Good evening, brothers. The first day of this month has been a full day of decline. Just after the non-farm data was released, there was another wave of decline. Don't panic about such a large rise only dropping so little. Old Zhang has always said to pay attention to the monthly line pullback. I feel like we have just inserted the throat tube, and haven't reached the stomach yet. Recently, those who like to go long should be a bit cautious; if you can take it, then take it. For those who like to go short, don't continue when you reach the major support level. First, observe the strength of the rebound before deciding whether to trade!
Evening market analysis:
Pay attention to this position 115070 for Bitcoin tonight. If the 1-hour level rebound does not stand above this position, it indicates that the rebound lacks strength. Continue to wait for long positions near 114050-113300-112300.
Evening market analysis:
Pay attention to this position 115070 for Bitcoin tonight. If the 1-hour level rebound does not stand above this position, it indicates that the rebound lacks strength. Continue to wait for long positions near 114050-113300-112300.
Ricardo_M_Lu:
就是看之前涨到哪里停涨，跌到哪里停跌了，支撑压力位不是很准的
Bitcoin's price surge has stalled due to the Federal Reserve's decision to maintain interest rates at 4.25-4.5%, contrary to expectations of a rate cut. This move has led to a decrease in the probability of a rate cut in September from 90% to 41% and increased the likelihood of no rate cuts throughout 2025 to 25%. As a result, Bitcoin is trading sideways below the $120,000 resistance level, with some analysts predicting a potential downturn.
Key Factors Influencing Bitcoin's Price:
- Interest Rate Decision: The Fed's decision to hold rates steady has reduced expectations for easing monetary policy in Q4.
- Long-term Holders (LTHs) Reducing Holdings: On-chain data shows LTHs distributing approximately 207,000 BTC in the last 30 days, indicating a strategic adjustment.
- Record High Unrealized Profits: The total unrealized profit has reached $1.4 trillion, reflecting potential pressure from supply soon to be realized.
- Declining Market Confidence: The Greed & Fear Index is gradually declining, indicating cooling risk sentiment.
Market Outlook:
- Short-term Breakout Prospects Challenged: Bitcoin's price prospects are being challenged due to the lack of new catalysts and diminishing expectations for easing monetary policy.
- Potential Price Movement: Without new catalysts, Bitcoin may get stuck below the resistance level of $120,000, with increased profit-taking pressure and weakened confidence potentially narrowing the uptrend in Q4.
Investor Insights:
- Cardone Capital's Recent Acquisition: Cardone Capital acquired 100 Bitcoin amid the market dip, adding to its existing holdings of 1,000 BTC worth approximately $115 million. The firm plans to acquire up to 3,000 more Bitcoin by 2025.
#BNBATH #BTC #BTC走势分析 $BTC
Key Factors Influencing Bitcoin's Price:
- Interest Rate Decision: The Fed's decision to hold rates steady has reduced expectations for easing monetary policy in Q4.
- Long-term Holders (LTHs) Reducing Holdings: On-chain data shows LTHs distributing approximately 207,000 BTC in the last 30 days, indicating a strategic adjustment.
- Record High Unrealized Profits: The total unrealized profit has reached $1.4 trillion, reflecting potential pressure from supply soon to be realized.
- Declining Market Confidence: The Greed & Fear Index is gradually declining, indicating cooling risk sentiment.
Market Outlook:
- Short-term Breakout Prospects Challenged: Bitcoin's price prospects are being challenged due to the lack of new catalysts and diminishing expectations for easing monetary policy.
- Potential Price Movement: Without new catalysts, Bitcoin may get stuck below the resistance level of $120,000, with increased profit-taking pressure and weakened confidence potentially narrowing the uptrend in Q4.
Investor Insights:
- Cardone Capital's Recent Acquisition: Cardone Capital acquired 100 Bitcoin amid the market dip, adding to its existing holdings of 1,000 BTC worth approximately $115 million. The firm plans to acquire up to 3,000 more Bitcoin by 2025.
#BNBATH #BTC #BTC走势分析 $BTC
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