分析师卓

In the cryptocurrency market, using candlestick charts to determine entry timing is an important technique in technical analysis. Below are some methods for judging entry timing based on candlestick charts:
1. Identify Trends
• Upward Trend: If multiple bullish candles (green) appear consecutively on the candlestick chart, and each bullish candle's closing price is higher than the previous one, it indicates that the market is in an upward trend.
• Downward Trend: If multiple bearish candles (red) appear consecutively, and each bearish candle's closing price is lower than the previous one, it indicates that the market is in a downward trend.
• Trend Reversal Signals: Certain specific candlestick patterns such as hammer, inverted hammer, morning star, engulfing patterns, etc., typically appear during trend reversals and can serve as entry signals.

4 little-known facts about the cryptocurrency world that no one tells you
1. The cost of averaging down is not what you think
Assume you bought $10,000 worth of a coin when it was $10, and then it dropped to $5, so you bought another $10,000. Do you think your average cost is $7.5? Wrong, it's actually $6.67. Why? Because you bought more coins at $5, which lowers the overall average cost. Many people make mistakes in their calculations; don't be fooled by surface numbers.
2. Earning 1% daily can multiply your money tenfold in a year, it's not a dream
If you have $100,000 and only take profits of 1% daily, after 250 trading days in a year, you could reach $1.32 million. If you persist for another year, it could exceed $10 million. Sounds outrageous? You can calculate it yourself; this is the power of compounding. But the real difficulty isn't the calculation, it's the discipline of 'walking away after earning 1%'.

Many friends believe that many new factors have emerged in this cycle, leading to the absence of cycles, or that it is akin to carving a boat to seek a sword, and historical data no longer has reference value. Of course, I think this view is also valid, which is that we enter an eternal bull market, continuously rising, allowing for ongoing purchases and regular investments, with a long-term hold.
The author believes that the possibility of cycles being effective is higher, as the essence of their existence is the Bitcoin halving mechanism, hence my strategy is based on cycles.
I am primarily a spot trader and can only provide analysis from the perspective of spot trading. In this round, the peak of Bitcoin is likely to occur in the fourth quarter; it is uncertain which specific month, and according to the cycle, 2026 is when we should start entering a bear market.

1. Basic Understanding: Grasp the 3 Core Concepts

Blockchain: A globally public 'ledger', data is transparent and immutable, forming the basis of technologies like Bitcoin and Ethereum.
Mainstream Cryptocurrencies:
Bitcoin (BTC): Digital gold, the preferred choice against inflation, with lower long-term holding risks.
Ethereum (ETH): A smart contract platform that supports ecosystems like DeFi and NFTs.
Key Terms:
Gas Fee: On-chain transaction fee, must confirm real-time rates before transferring.
DeFi/NFT: Decentralized finance and digital asset certificates, recommended to start experiencing from staking and exchanges.

The alliance is now vigorously integrating into the cryptocurrency circle, WEB 3.0, and blockchain. This is not just about the fusion of technology; more importantly, it is about the fusion of ideas, requiring us old data trade people to keep up with the development of the times, otherwise being eliminated is inevitable.
As someone who has not been exposed to the cryptocurrency circle, I am undoubtedly a newbie, and I might also become a guinea pig. If you want to continue playing, paying tuition is inevitable, so you must constantly learn new knowledge to avoid paying too much tuition. I hope everyone can grow in this process to prevent falling multiple times! Therefore, I share with you what I have learned and found suitable, hoping you can take fewer detours!

从大亏到大赚，总结出10条铁律，给所有散户一个忠告！如果你想在币圈长期玩下去，就请认真看完本篇文章的肺腑之言！新手们务必牢记于心，才能在市场中游刃有余。币圈是一个充满机遇与风险的世界，尤其是对于新手来说，如何在波动剧烈的市场中生存并获利，是一门需要不断学习和实践的学问。
1. 牛市里的热门币，跌得最快
那些被炒得火热的币，尤其是控盘严重的项目，往往泡沫破得也快。越是吸引大量散户追涨的币，风险越大。就像吹气球一样，吹得越大，破得越快。牛市中的热门币往往是短期投机者的最爱，但也是最容易让人血本无归的陷阱。
建议：不要盲目追涨，尤其是那些短时间内涨幅巨大的币种，保持冷静，避免成为“接盘侠”。
2. 山寨币的套路都差不多 山寨币的玩法通常是先猛砸盘，制造恐慌，再慢慢拉高，吸引散户入场，最后换个方式继续收割。这种套路屡试不爽，新手很容易被割韭菜。建议：对于山寨币，一定要有心理准备，不要被短期的涨幅迷惑，更不要轻易重仓。
3. 市场长期趋势向上 虽然币圈短期波动剧烈，但如果拉长时间线来看，整体趋势是向上的。比特币和以太坊等主流币种的历史走势已经证明了这一点。建议：如果你是长期投资者，不要被短期的涨跌吓到，耐心持有优质资产，时间会给你回报。
4. 有潜力的币没人炒作 真正有潜力的币，往往在底部默默无闻，少有人提及。而那些被疯狂炒作的币，往往是庄家用来收割的工具。低调的币种可能会在某个时刻悄然爆发。建议：多关注那些技术扎实、团队靠谱但尚未被市场热炒的项目，它们可能是未来的黑马。
5. 新上线的币要小心 交易所新上线的币种，尤其是那些暴涨暴跌的币，往往是庄家设计的圈套。这类币种通常没有实际价值支撑，纯粹是为了割韭菜.建议：对于新币，尤其是上线初期波动巨大的币种，保持警惕，不要轻易入场。
6. 涨跌都是常事 买了就跌，卖了就涨，这在币圈是再正常不过的事情。市场的波动性极高，短期的涨跌并不能完全反映一个项目的价值。建议：保持良好心态，不要因为短期的波动而慌乱。制定好自己的投资策略，严格执行。
7.最猛的反弹不代表潜力反弹最凶的币，往往不是真正有潜力的，而是被炒起来的投机盘。这类币种的是涨通常缺乏基本面支撑，涨得快，跌得也快。建议不要被短期暴涨迷惑，真正有潜力的币种通常波动较为平稳，长期趋势向上。
8. 突然回调小心被割 如果你买的币涨了一波后突然回调，这可能是庄家开始出货的信号。庄家通常会通过拉高价格吸引散户入场，然后在高位抛售建议：遇到突然回调时，及时止盈或止损 ，避免成为庄家的“接盘侠”。
9. 下半场爆发的币 在牛市中，前期表现一般的币种，可能会在下半场爆发几倍甚至更多的涨幅。这类币种就像马拉松选手，前期蓄力，后程发力。建议：不要忽视那些前期表现平平但基本面扎实的币种，它们可能是牛市后期的黑马。
10. 横盘数月的币可能爆发 在牛市中，有些币种经历几倍涨幅后，可能会横盘数月。这种横盘通常是庄家在蓄力，等待下一波爆发的机会。建议：对于横盘已久的币种，保持关注，它们可能是下一轮行情的主角。

你可以根据这些数据分析市场的多空情绪。其次币圈不像股票，需要了解很多上市公司的经营情
况，了解他们行业发展周期等。币圈做合约只需要尊重的就是趋势，你不是长期拿现货完全不用考
虑这个币的基本面。

1. The ultimate destiny of any asset in the financial market is to serve trading value, rather than to serve ordinary people by giving them the opportunity to invest in good enterprises and make money (that’s just a byproduct). Bitcoin, driven by narrative value and technical value, has fostered market consensus, and after decades, it has become a giant, ranking among the top ten global assets. Those who still expect Bitcoin to eventually go to zero need to wake up; it possesses extreme anti-fragility compared to any company in the market, and with just a small fraction of people's recognition, it has reached its current market value. In the coming years, it is expected to develop with an annualized return of 15-30%.

1. If you haven't learned the logic and cognition of trading coins, try not to trade coins. Buying altcoins and playing contracts won't make you money in the crypto space. Engaging in arbitrage with an information advantage, like shorting small coins, can earn you tens of thousands each month. Participating in new projects or small-cost investments can also work; with good luck, you might earn a few thousand. In fact, this is all a mining mindset.
I have observed the crypto space for a long time. Those who become big players and make guaranteed profits do it through mining and issuing coins. Making a lot of money by trading coins is mostly based on hearsay and what others show; logically, it cannot be verified. The final conclusion boils down to timing and luck, and luck tends to concentrate in the hands of a few, likely not you or me.

1. Many people lose money in the crypto world primarily because they have unrealistic expectations, like wanting 10x or 100x returns in a year, which inherently carries enormous risk. However, people often forget about the risks due to emotional tides, investing everything, and ultimately getting cut off, leading to repeated losses that reduce their capital time and again. To recover losses, they play contracts or engage in risky PVP trading, eventually losing even more.
You might see others making money through contracts and PVP, but their approach is different. They might start with little money—like 1,000 or 500 yuan—and grow it significantly, while you are using a larger asset to play, which can lead to a crumbling mindset. Building a healthy mindset takes one to two years, but it can be destroyed in just five minutes with a market crash.

The past crypto market had a four-year cycle, transitioning from bear market to bull market, 48 months, but the real time when you could make big money during a surge was only 2 months, which accounts for only 4% of the entire cycle. Most of the time is spent waiting in boredom.
Many people think the crypto world is like this: I go in and watch the market day and night, spending time collecting various information, sometimes going long and sometimes short, analyzing and toiling hard just to make money.
If making big money were that easy, just look at the hard-working people in the world, working day and night, putting in the most effort yet earning the least. You’ll understand.

1. Speculating on cryptocurrencies:
The thrilling game of speculating on cryptocurrencies is the most common way to make money in the crypto world, with the core idea being to buy low and sell high, profiting from price fluctuations. It's exciting, but the risks are high.
1. Short-term trading: Quick in and out. Short-term trading involves closely monitoring candlestick charts to capture short-term fluctuations. For example, buy Bitcoin at $60,000 and sell at $65,000, making a few thousand in profit. You need to understand technical indicators (like RSI, MACD) and market sentiment. A friend of mine chased high prices in 2021, only to see the price crash and suffered huge losses. Short-term trading requires discipline; set stop-loss orders and avoid greed.
2. Long-term holding: Zen-like HODL. Long-term means buying coins and holding them for a few years until they double in value. Choose mainstream coins like Bitcoin or Ethereum, or potential projects like Solana or Polkadot. In 2018, when Bitcoin was at $3,000, a friend bought 5 coins; by 2021, they rose to $60,000, making a 30x profit. For long-term holding, research the project's white paper, team, and community; avoid buying 'worthless tokens.'

How do I make money in the crypto space? It can actually be summarized in six words: information asymmetry + execution ability.
Many people think making money in the crypto space relies on 'insider information' or 'high-frequency trading', but in reality, the vast majority of profitable individuals rely on stable methodologies and an understanding of market rhythm. Below, I will briefly break down my path:
First, survive before talking about making money.
When I first entered the crypto space, like many newcomers, I chased trends, heavily invested in altcoins, and frequently changed coins, resulting in significant losses. Later, I realized that risk control is more important than profit. The most basic principle is:

Tip 1: Trading requires 'honesty'
You might think trading has nothing to do with 'honesty', but many people flaunt their profits when they make money, while hiding their losses — this actually shows a lack of understanding: losses are also part of trading and equally important. Be honest about each trade, accept profits, but also face losses to truly learn from trading.
Tip 2: Trading requires 'following the rules'
'No rules, no boundaries' is perfectly applicable in trading. Trading has its own rules, and violating them may come at a cost. For example, you can't place orders based on mood, and you can't act impulsively to chase trends; you need to be clear about your limits — when to take action and when to hold back, that is the rule.

In this article, I will share in detail several core ways I make money in the crypto space, including:
1. Spot investment: How to select coins, accumulate coins, and earn long-term profits.
2. Contract trading: High-risk strategies behind high returns.
3. NFTs and Meme coins: How to seize short-term wealth opportunities.
Finally, I will also summarize my loss lessons to help everyone avoid pitfalls.
1. Spot investment: Long-term accumulation of coins to earn trend bonuses.
1. Why is spot trading the safest way for ordinary people to make money?
• Low risk: As long as the right assets are chosen, in the long run, mainstream coins like Bitcoin and Ethereum will definitely rise.

Every day you can hear about someone getting rich in the crypto world, someone else is rushing to buy the latest meme coin again. It seems like everyone has their own method for success. Naturally, successful people can talk about it freely, but these methods may not necessarily be shared with you. However, it is worth reflecting on the question: Are these methods suitable for us? Does being advanced mean it is correct? Are there any simple methods that can withstand the test of time? This article aims to provide ordinary investors with several relatively low-threshold and actionable ways to make money through systematic sorting.

A very foolish method for trading cryptocurrencies. The safest way to play contracts in the crypto world! Tips for making money with perpetual contracts!
After years in the cryptocurrency market, I believe I have outperformed 90% of contract traders. I have experienced funding schemes, contracts, and arbitrage, and I have also been ruthlessly harvested by market makers. I have gone through all the pitfalls one faces in the crypto world. One can potentially gain 50 to 100 times overnight, but also risk losing everything in an instant.
Trading contracts in the crypto world is like playing with your heartbeat; it’s thrilling and more exciting than riding a roller coaster.
Have you experienced continuous losses and frequent liquidations?
Then you feel frustrated and regret your decisions?

Altcoin season index rebounds, with clear signs of market rotation.
According to the latest data from Coinmarketcap, the Altcoin Season Index has rebounded significantly from 15 on June 22 to 36, indicating that among the top 100 altcoins by market capitalization, 36 coins have outperformed Bitcoin in the past 90 days. This data reflects that capital is flowing from Bitcoin to Ethereum and other altcoins, making the trend of market rotation increasingly evident.
Meanwhile, Bitcoin's dominance has decreased by 1.85%, further confirming the trend of capital diversification. Analysts generally believe this may signal that the market is entering a broader altcoin bull market phase, and investors should pay close attention to changes in capital flows.

Just as Bitcoin had just refreshed its historical record, surpassing the $122,600 mark, and the entire market was still immersed in collective revelry, a sudden wave of large sell-offs unexpectedly ignited the market, catching the bulls off guard.
Within just 24 hours, market selling pressure surged, with a total of about $3.5 billion in Bitcoin profit chips being dumped, causing the Bitcoin price to plummet from its high to around $116,000, a drop of over 4%. What’s even more shocking is that the main force behind this sell-off turned out to be a group of long-silent old miners and early holders!
Old players led the sell-off: a historic reduction action was initiated. According to on-chain data from Glassnode, among the $3.5 billion in selling pressure, long-term holders accounted for as much as 56%, approximately $1.96 billion, while short-term speculators accounted for 44%. These 'veterans' who had held firm during the bear market for years, took the opportunity to cash out when market sentiment was high and prices peaked historically.

Recently, the cryptocurrency market has started to "get lively" again, and Ethereum, this dark horse, has been racing wildly on the crypto track, with its price skyrocketing as if it were on a rocket, keeping investors' hearts in a tight grip.
In this crazy surge, the most intuitive feeling is the wild fluctuation of numbers. In just a few days, Ethereum jumped from around $2500 to break through the $3000 mark, with a seven-day increase of 16.2%. It's like a student who was average in class suddenly ranking at the top in the final exam, leaving classmates in shock. With this strong rise, Ethereum's market value has also soared to $361.68 billion, climbing to 35th place in global asset market capitalization, leaving many traditional financial giants behind; it can be said that beneath the "king of cryptocurrencies" Bitcoin, Ethereum is above all others.

Record your thoughts for easy verification of your understanding in the future.
Ethereum (ETH) completed its transition from a proof-of-work (PoW) mechanism to a proof-of-stake (PoS) mechanism on September 15, 2022. This has a significant impact, along with the development of Layer 2 (L2). The performance of ETH's Layer 2 has also been disappointing. The weakness of ETH in this bull market indicates a fundamental change; otherwise, it is hard to explain why, with the successful approval of ETFs in 2023 and 2024 and BTC soaring, ETH is unable to reach new highs, not even touching the edge of a new high.
Looking back at ETH's trends, it is not hard to notice the obvious traces of manipulation by big players. Whether it's the single-day drop of 40% on February 3, 2025, or the rapid 100% increase in just a few days on May 8, it all reflects the powerful and brutal manipulation capabilities of ETH's big players. One could say that the big players of ETH are the most knowledgeable and capable group in the world when it comes to manipulating the price of ETH. Strong manipulation by big players is not a bad thing; only those altcoins with strong manipulation can have a future in this bull market. Coins without strong manipulation or those abandoned by big players, such as FIL, ICP, AEVO, W, and many others, fall like a lump of mud, going down all the way.