分析师卓

1: The toilet paper philosophy, crypto edition:
Imagine a piece of toilet paper, where only one-tenth is utilized for its core purpose, while the remaining ninety percent is to prevent your hands from touching waste. The crypto world is similar; your massive wealth often stems from that fleeting one-tenth of time. Therefore, the art of not being fully invested lies in dancing with time, patiently waiting for the right moment. Newcomers, do not let the fear of missing out hinder you; learn to leave space, which reflects the wisdom of a sage. (Leave space to wait, outsmart the crypto world)
2: Taking profits and stopping losses, the path of the master:
In trading, buying is easy while selling is hard; true masters know how to hit the brakes in front of greed. Taking profits is the awakening of wisdom, ensuring that the duck you have caught does not fly away; stopping losses is the guardian of funds, not for losing but to ensure every penny finds a more brilliant stage. Remember, knowing when to sell is true skill; do not let a moment of hesitation cause you to miss out on a broader ocean of profits. (Accurate buying and selling, standing tall in the crypto sea)

Many people ask me about buying strategies? There really is one! This is the batch-based 343 accumulation method: Once you have determined the cryptocurrency you want to buy and have prepared your cash, for example, initially allocating 300,000 with 120,000 for BTC.
① 3: This means using 30% of your current funds to build your position, which is 36,000 (12 times 0.3) for the initial accumulation;
② 4: If the price starts to rise after the accumulation, wait for a price adjustment; do not rush to add more. After the price adjusts, add more using 40% of your current funds (any rise has a pullback). If the market is not good and the price starts to fall, each time the BTC price drops by 10%, use 10% of the remaining funds to add more (3,600), until you finish adding. This situation is rare, but even if it occurs, don’t be afraid because you are accumulating in batches, and your price has been averaged out (and you still have 40% of your total funds left to accumulate, referring to the 4 in the 4321 strategy).

In the cryptocurrency world, trading strategies are your 'secret weapon'. The following mnemonics are crystallizations of practical experience, so hurry and bookmark them!

Entry section: Test the waters in the crypto world, prepare in advance; enter steadily, refuse to rush.
Consolidation section: Low-level consolidation creating new lows, heavy positions to buy at the bottom is appropriate; high-level consolidation and then breaking higher, decisively sell without hesitation.
Volatility section: Sell on spikes, enter quickly on drops; observe during consolidation, reduce trading. Consolidation means using horizontal movements instead of declines, hold tight on positions, as a surge may come in the next moment; during rapid surges, be alert for sharp declines, ready to secure profits at any time; slow declines are a good opportunity to gradually add positions.

Let me share an executable plan. If you can follow through, turning 1000 into 100,000 is achievable.
Divided into two phases:
Phase 1: Use 1000 to trade contracts and quickly accumulate to 100k! (It will take about 1 to 3 months) 1000 in the cryptocurrency world is about 140 USD!
Optimal strategy recommendation: Contracts
Use 30 USD each time to bet on trending cryptocurrencies, make sure to set stop-loss and take-profit. 100 turns to 200, 200 to 400, 400 to 800. Remember, only do this at most three times! Because in the cryptocurrency realm, you need a bit of luck; each time you bet like this, it’s easy to win 9 times and lose once! If you pass the three checkpoints with 100, then your capital will reach 1100 USD!

First, imagine 1000U as ten bullets, shooting only one at a time.
① Split the principal into 10 parts, each part 100U; lock leverage within 20 times — beginners are already jittery about 20% fluctuations, higher leverage is pure suicide.
② The remaining 900U is immediately transferred to the financial account, physically isolated. Don't underestimate this step; it is specifically designed to treat the impulsive urge of 'wanting to make up for losses.'
If the first shot misfires and 100U is wiped out, a mandatory ceasefire of 48 hours is enforced. It's not cowardice; it's to cool down emotions. Many people lose three times in a row because they immediately double down after the first loss, resulting in a total loss of principal.

First, dismantle the danger zones: liquidation, inability to hold, random stop-losses; essentially, they all stem from poor position allocation. If you engrave the following four steps in your mind, you can replicate the turnaround script for yourself.
Step 1: Split the principal into five parts
Directly split 5000U into 5 parts, each part 1000U. Always keep two pieces in a cold wallet; unless there is a convergence of 'signal + sentiment + technicals', never go all in. All-in betting is for gamblers; diversifying is for professional players.
Step 2: Put a 'hard hat' on each order
Before entering, first measure the stop-loss space: leave a 2%-4% maneuvering band outside the daily key level. Single-order stop-loss is always locked within 2% of total capital. Even with three consecutive losses? The total loss is still less than 6%, not damaging to the foundation, maintaining a stable mindset, the next shot can be accurate.

1. Volume: Understanding money means understanding direction.
Trading volume and open interest are the true thermometers in the crypto world. Remember these four phrases:
1. Volume increases without a drop — the bears are exhausted, a rebound can come at any time;
2. Volume increases without price rise — the bulls are losing momentum, prepare to exit;
3. Steady volume increase during price rise is healthy; be cautious of sudden large volume or sudden decrease in volume;
4. Only when the key level breaks with volume is it a real drop; don't rush to catch the falling knife.
Take ETH as an example: if it drops to around 2800 U with a sudden spike in volume but no new low, it means the bulls are supporting it; buying in often has a high success rate.
2. Key levels: Use Fibonacci to draw the 'life and death line'.

One, choose the battlefield: new coin contracts are the ATM.
BTC and ETH fluctuations of 5% count as big days; to multiply by 12, you need to wait half a year. The real accelerator is the new contract coins just launched on Binance and OKX: small market caps, starting volatility of 200%, making three times in a day is not a dream.
Filter completed in 10 minutes:
1. Open the on-chain browser, observe if the top 10 whale wallets increase their holdings and withdrawal volume in 24 hours;
2. Use the 'New Coin Radar' to check 'Listed ≤ 3 days, Volatility > 200%, Whale Holdings > 30%'.
When both conditions are met, it's basically the market makers preparing to ignite the vehicle; just get on and sleep.

—— A 7-trade perfect strategy that even beginners can replicate
1. Let's get straight to the point
Don't be too quick to label it 'mystical'. Eight months ago, I couldn't even distinguish between MACD golden crosses and death crosses, yet I still managed to turn 42 followers from losses to profits using a model based on 'emotional stampede rebounds'. One even grew 4,800 U to 36,000 U. The method is public, just 3 steps.
2. Only trade one pattern: the 'rebound after a downturn'
1. Wait for a large bearish candle with increased volume that breaks previous lows, while people in the group start shouting 'going to zero'.
2. Keep an eye on the 5-minute K chart; when you see a 'volume-contracted doji' or 'small bullish engulfing the previous half of the candlestick', that's a stop-loss signal.

—— Written for you who still rely on gut feelings to place orders
1. Choosing coins: Only follow 'living money'
Take the top 20 from the 24h gain list as a pool, don’t look at obscure coins no matter how attractive they seem—liquidity is the lifeline. The monthly MACD golden cross is the bottom line; do not enter positions without a golden cross. SOL in 2021 and ORDI in 2023 both soared after the golden cross.
2. Trend: The 60-day moving average is the line of life and death
When the coin price pulls back to the 60-day line with volume = strong continuation; if it breaks the 70-day line = trend reversal, immediately stop loss, don’t ask why. ETH halved after losing the 70-day line in 2022; it's a bloody case study.

1. First, reveal the scars.
Entered the market in 2012, just wanted to make quick money, and ended up losing 400,000 in the first year. Pretended everything was fine at work during the day, but stared at the market until I lost hair at night. Later I understood: the market punishes all forms of defiance; losing money is tuition, and not being able to bear it is graduation.
2. What I rely on to turn things around
Methods are not flashy: rolling positions + rhythm tactics.
With a principal of 30,000 U, I rolled it to 7 million U; the core of it all is just three things.
1. When the market moves, act immediately.
All significant profits occur during the window of 'when others hesitate, I have already entered the market'.
Method:
• Draw the structure before the market opens; enter when triggered, do not wait for 'more certainty'.

Written in the middle of the 2025 bull market, the full text is about 1,000 words, please bookmark it
1. Answer the most frequently asked questions first
What is the difference between “1000U opens 10 times” and “2000U opens 5 times”?
Answer: Different margins result in different liquidation prices. The liquidation line of 10x leverage is closer to the current price, and the margin of error is smaller. Therefore, high leverage does not equal high efficiency, it just puts the risk in front of you in advance.

2. Three Position Rules
1. Single opening of a position ≤ 10% of total funds, and a maximum of 20% in extreme market conditions.
2. Stop loss at 4050 points. It is better to be swept than to hold the order.
3. Only use the profits to increase the position of profitable orders, and the pyramid decreases: 10%→7%→5%.

A friend mentioned a short-term expert who entered the market with 10,000 last March, and by the end of the year, the account stood at 13.96 million.
No background, no insider information, relying solely on seven principles that are simple to the extreme.
Today, I broke down his original words into 1,000 characters for those of us still struggling in the market.
——
1. Rapid rises and slow falls are mostly for accumulating goods.
Prices suddenly spike, but the pullback is like an old ox dragging a cart; this is large capital quietly accumulating.
Don't be scared by pullbacks; instead, focus on the second jump, as new highs are often behind.
2. Rapid falls and slow rises, likely to discard tail goods.
The rebound after a waterfall is soft and weak, seemingly building a bottom, but in reality, the main force is retreating while fighting.

I. Let's get the bad news out of the way first.
With a 2,800 U account, I faced liquidation 7 times last year. Each liquidation was not due to a wrong direction but because of too heavy a position, too wide a stop loss, and too wild emotions. After the last liquidation, I put the word 'position' on my wall, stared at it for three days, and that's how the story of 18 times profit began.
II. Three Iron Rules, written on a sticky note.
1. Single trade risk ≤ 20% of total capital.
2. Never average down on losing positions; if you're wrong, cut it.
3. Only add to winning positions, and pyramid down: first add 10%, second add 7%, third add 5%.

In the crypto world, those who buy are apprentices, those who sell are masters.
If you want to safely withdraw 100,000, 500,000, or 1,000,000 to a bank card, please remember the five sentences below.
1️⃣ First comply, then talk about speed.
• The exchange, the link (ERC/TRC), and the receiving account must have consistent information.
• Any shortcut to 'skip KYC' is a minefield.
2️⃣ Large amounts divided into small, multiple channels, multiple accounts.
• Break down 100,000 into 5-10 transactions, 10,000-20,000 each.
• Use different bank cards, different platforms (Binance/OKX), and cross-use different links to dilute risk control.
3️⃣ Give the bank a 'reasonable identity'.

“First convert on-chain assets into clean fiat currency in overseas banks, then return to the mainland in batches, small amounts, and in compliance.”
Here’s a practical 'three steps and nine tips' plan, with unchanged meaning, more straightforward wording.
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Step 1: Convert U to USD / HKD in Overseas Banks
1. Choose an Exchange: Transfer U to licensed exchanges like Kraken or Coinbase; avoid small exchanges and OTC groups.
2. Currency Exchange: Directly list USDT/USD or USDT/HKD on the exchange, use TWAP for large amounts to minimize slippage.

On July 22, Ethereum's spot ETF saw a net inflow of $533.87 million, marking the third-largest single-day inflow since its inception. This surge brought the cumulative inflow to $8.32 billion, reflecting strong interest from institutional investors in Ethereum. The BlackRock-affiliated ETHA fund led the market with a net inflow of $426.22 million, managing over $10 billion in assets; followed by funds from Grayscale and Fidelity, which saw inflows of $72.64 million and $35.01 million respectively. The total trading volume of these ETFs reached $1.97 billion, highlighting active market participation. In contrast, Bitcoin's spot ETF experienced a net outflow of $67.93 million, underscoring Ethereum's growing appeal among institutional investors.

One, Keen Eye for Opportunities: Finding the Traces of Small Bulls
1. Recent Strong Performance
First, focus on those cryptocurrencies that have increased by more than 100% in the last two months. These 'small bulls' often indicate stronger potential, as they have already shown high recognition and popularity in the market. Remember, the logic of the strong getting stronger also applies in the cryptocurrency market.
2. Innovation Peaks and Maturity
Further filter those projects whose prices have reached historical highs and have been launched for over six months. Historical highs are a direct reflection of market confidence, while long operational duration indicates a certain level of maturity and stability of the project. Don't miss the opportunity due to fear of 'getting too high', as every major bull's rise starts from doubling.

Three Essential Elements for Entering the Crypto Circle
Three Principles of Risk Control:
1. Beginners should not engage in contracts, as the final result is liquidation; beginners should avoid it!!
2. Invest with spare money, avoid borrowing (credit cards/online loans). Do not let investments affect your normal career and related income. Investing is merely a potential shortcut to success; remember that your ability to make money outside the market is far more important than making money within it.
3. Mentality Building (Ethereum founder Vitalik Buterin says: Don't invest money you can't afford to lose!) Use a long-term dollar-cost averaging method to reduce risk during large fluctuations; although it may seem slow, it can be profitable. If you are still frequently checking prices and losing sleep over it, you are likely not investing but gambling. This is not a good approach and will not yield ideal results.

1. Coin Stocking Method: Suitable for bull and bear markets.
The coin stocking method is the simplest yet most difficult strategy. It is simple in that after buying one or several coins, you hold them for half a year or even more without moving. Usually, the minimum return can reach ten times. However, beginners often rush to switch coins or exit when they see high returns or experience halved coin prices; very few can persist for a month without moving, let alone a year. Therefore, this is also a very difficult method to stick to.
2. Bull Market Dip Chase Method: Only suitable for bull markets.
Use part of your spare money, preferably no more than one-fifth of your total funds. This strategy is suitable for coins with a market value between 20 and 100, as it won't be stuck for too long. For example, if you buy the first altcoin and it rises by 50% or more, you can switch to the next coin that has plummeted, and cycle through this process. If the first altcoin gets stuck, just continue to wait; it will surely be released during a bull market. The premise is that the coin cannot be too poor; this strategy is actually difficult to control, so beginners should be cautious.