ratecutexpectations

Bitcoin has shown a solid recovery after testing and holding the $86,000–$88,000 major support zone, an area that previously acted as a strong demand region across multiple months. This bounce allowed BTC to stabilize above the 0.236 Fibonacci level at $91,426, signaling early signs of renewed buyer interest.

However, BTC is now approaching a critical resistance cluster, where multiple technical barriers are converging:

0.236 Fib at $91,426 (retest zone)

50 EMA near $96,813

100 EMA near $98,070

200 EMA around $103,708

0.5 Fib at $103,439

These EMAs remain positioned above the current price and are sloping downward, indicating that the broader trend still carries bearish momentum.

For BTC to confirm a stronger bullish continuation, the price must break and close above the $95,000–$103,500 zone, where the 50 EMA, 100 EMA, 200 EMA, and the 0.5 Fibonacci all converge — forming one of the strongest resistance zones on the chart.
A successful breakout above this cluster would open the path toward higher upside targets:

$108,809 (0.618 Fib)

$116,454 (0.786 Fib)

$126,193 (1.0 Fib – previous high)

On the downside, as long as BTC continues to hold above the $86,000–$88,000 demand block, the current recovery structure remains intact. A breakdown below this zone would expose BTC to deeper support around the $80,686 Fib level, and potentially restart a broader bearish cycle.

RSI is currently around 48–50, reflecting neutral momentum, with a possible bullish shift if RSI breaks above the 55 threshold.

📊 Key Levels

Resistance

$91,426 (0.236 Fib)

$95,000 (psychological resistance)

$96,813 (50 EMA)

$98,070 (100 EMA)

$103,439 (0.5 Fib)

$103,708 (200 EMA)

$108,809 (0.618 Fib)

$116,454 (0.786 Fib)

Support

$86,000–$88,000 major demand zone

$80,686 (Fib 0 level)

Local consolidation support

📈 RSI

48.51 → Neutral momentum; a break above 55 would strengthen the bullish case.

📌 Summary

BTC has rebounded strongly from its key support zone, but remains below several major EMAs and Fibonacci resistances.
A confirmed breakout above $95,000–$103,500 is essential for a trend reversal and renewed bullish continuation.
Until then, BTC is in a recovery phase inside a broader corrective structure — supported, but not yet fully bullish.

$BTC
#RateCutExpectations