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PCE data is coming, will the market bulls suffer again?

1. News
1. Market News
From the market news perspective: tonight at 20:30 there will be core PCE data measuring inflation, which will determine part of the demand for the September interest rate cut, and the final outcome of the Sino-US trade negotiations today. Additionally, today is also the last day for the implementation of US tariffs. From this news, it seems that the market's digestion of data will continue to erupt before the US stock market opens tonight. Regardless of how the tariff negotiations go, it is a negative data point. Currently, based on the predictions for PCE, the market still holds an optimistic view on current inflation. From Powell's speech this morning, the rise in inflation indicates a reduction in market interest rate cut expectations. If tonight's PCE data is favorable, then the market's expectations for interest rate cuts will rise, and vice versa. Therefore, we should pay more attention to the PCE data tonight.
2. Institutional Holdings
From the perspective of institutional holdings: the market's purchasing volume this week is continuing to cool down, with a weakening market for Bitcoin and Ethereum. Is there some negative news that we are unaware of, causing institutions to treat it cautiously or continue to reduce their positions? There is a lot of mixed news, and everyone should focus on short-term operations and hold onto their chips.
3. Market Sentiment
From the perspective of market sentiment: the market sentiment is somewhat sluggish, with a continuous decline and a large number of profit-taking or locking in profits. The market may experience a broad retreat. #币安HODLer空投TREE $SOL

Auntie’s 10th Anniversary Celebration: Has the Good News Run Out, and Is the Plummet Starting?

1. News Perspective
1. Market News
From the market news: Today, at the current Auntie’s 10th anniversary celebration, at 8:15 PM, there is the ADP non-farm payroll data coming in. From the existing data, the ADP non-farm payroll is positive for the dollar and the US stock market, but negative for interest rate cuts and the Auntie data. Therefore, if tonight's data is greater than or equal to the forecast value, everyone can go long and then short. If it is below the forecast value but higher than the previous value, it is still negative for interest rate cuts. The market volatility may not be too large, but still prepare for high short operations.
2. Institutional Positions
From the institutional positions: With the market's positions in large contracts continuously weakening and Auntie’s positions also showing a significant decline, when the market's bullish sentiment has run out, the price has shown a pullback, which may be a signal of a cyclical top in the market. Therefore, the recent trading advice is: short-term low buys are acceptable, but try to make high shorts to avoid extreme market conditions. Those holding long positions can consider reducing their positions to leave a small amount, while those in cash can consider entering short positions.
3. Market Sentiment
From the recent market sentiment: the recent market sentiment has shown a significant decrease in volatility, with most prices in consolidation. Therefore, the market trend may reflect the same situation as the sentiment value. We should make adjustments to our positions and adapt to the market's rhythm and trading style, preparing for possible risks. #币安HODLer空投TREE $SOL

Can the Yitai lead the village to stand on a historical high point again?

1. News
1. Market News
Summary of market news: From Monday to Wednesday, China-US trade negotiations; on Wednesday, small non-farm payroll data and Yitai's 10th anniversary celebration. On Thursday, interest rate decision (issue of rate cuts or hikes) and core PCE data, followed by Powell's speech after the interest rate decision announcement. On Friday, the U.S. will implement new reciprocal tariffs on trading partners, and large non-farm payroll and unemployment rate data will be released.
2. Market Sentiment
From the perspective of market sentiment: the market is crowded with bulls and prices are rapidly rising, with Yitai approaching the 4000 mark, while Bitcoin's sideways trend remains relatively stable. It is expected that Yitai will reach the 4000 mark before Wednesday, followed by a potential price pullback. $SOL #

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The popularity of Yitai pledges is heating up; when will the 4000 mark be broken?

1. News Summary
1. Institutional Data for the Week
From the institutional data, it can be seen that institutions have been continuously buying Yitai this week, leading to a rapid rise in the Yitai market, approaching 3800. With supportive market news, the main purchasing institution is BlackRock. Whether the market can continue to rise depends on whether this institution can sustain its purchases of Yitai and Bitcoin.
2. Market News
From the market news, after BlackRock submitted the ETF application for pledging Yitai, the market began to accumulate Yitai in large quantities, and the price of Yitai also rose rapidly. As prices increased, institutions made large purchases, with the primary driving force and positions still coming from market institutions, boosting positive news and market increases. There are basically no significant news impacts next week; focus on Powell's speech on Tuesday night. Yitai is likely to continue rising in the near term, with recent resistance around 3740 and upper resistance around 3850.
3. Market Sentiment
From the perspective of market sentiment, the rise of Yitai has not driven an increase in market sentiment; instead, there has been a decline in market sentiment. Will there be a significant rebound in market sentiment in the last week of July? #以太坊突破3700 $ETH

It's easy for me to get out of trouble if you take a closer look.

Doomsday battlefield, has it become the market's barometer?

1. News front
1. Market news
From the market news perspective: There is retail data tonight starting at 20:30. Other news includes large accounts and institutions taking profits at high positions, with the selling volume exceeding the buying volume. A key or strong profit-taking position above Bitcoin is in the range of 12.5-12w, while below it is at the 10w position. Therefore, in the recent market, a significant portion of long positions in this area can be appropriately exited, while the remaining can continue to bet on possible upward space. The upcoming trend for Bitcoin may exhibit a fluctuating downward or pullback movement.
2. Institutional positions
From the perspective of institutional positions in the market: Recently, the institutional holding volume of Ether has surpassed that of Bitcoin, indicating that the market's enthusiasm for buying Ether continues to exceed that for Bitcoin. Thus, the market's upward momentum will likely be stronger for Ether, while Bitcoin may remain more focused on fluctuation or consolidation.
3. Market sentiment
Market sentiment: The decline is relatively slow, indicating that the long-term profit-taking segment of the market is starting to exit. The market is slowly digesting that portion of selling volume at high levels, so the upcoming trend for Bitcoin may not see significant gains, and it should still primarily focus on high-level fluctuations. $ETH #币安HODLer空投ERA

Market Divergence Begins to Intensify, Is the Bearish Force Coming Back?

1. News Aspect
1. Market News
From the market news perspective: Starting next Tuesday and continuing through Thursday, there will be a series of official data releases, including CPI, PPI, and other critical data. We are particularly focused on the CPI data on Tuesday. However, based on the current market predictions, this data is expected to be bearish, so it is highly likely that next week's market may not follow the same trend as it has recently; instead, it may initiate a decline or a correction.
2. Institutional Holdings
From the perspective of institutional holdings: Last week, the overall market saw continued strong buying, especially with a large amount of buying at the end of the day on Thursday and Friday, with a buying volume close to 20,000 coins, amounting to 2 billion dollars. Institutions have heavily bought in, so will there be any new positive news in the market next week? We will continue to monitor this.
3. Market Sentiment
From the market's perspective: After reaching a peak, market sentiment has declined, and during the price consolidation phase, the drop in sentiment may indicate that part of the market is taking profits. Moving forward, if sentiment can continue to create new highs, then market prices may continue to rise. #迷因币情绪 $SOL

The big non-farm payroll data is coming, will Bitcoin reach 120,000?

1. News

1. Market News
From the news perspective: Tonight we only focus on the big non-farm payroll data. If it is no lower than 110,000 and does not disappoint, then the market's upward momentum will weaken, and the long positions in the market will reverse, while the short positions that are stuck will still profit. If the data is below 110,000, the market will continue to rise; if the data disappoints and falls below 80,000, the market may break the historical high of Bitcoin. Therefore, tonight everyone with short positions should pay more attention to the impact of news.
2. Institutional Positions
From the perspective of institutional positions: The big non-farm payroll data tonight should be somewhat positive, but not very good. I estimate that tonight's big non-farm payroll could be in the range of 90,000 to 100,000.
3. Market Sentiment
From the perspective of market sentiment: The market's high enthusiasm proves that the bullish reversal has injected new vitality into the market, and the rising market has brought many onlookers into the market. #大而美法案 $SOL

The smoke of the market has cleared, and the overall market is about to set sail again

1. News

1. Market News
From the market news: According to Powell's speech last night, the market's expectation for interest rate cuts, especially for July, is relatively low. At the same time, the Federal Reserve is not preparing for an interest rate cut in July. The possibility of a rate cut in September is the highest, with a basis point of 25. While cutting rates, more attention should be paid to inflation data. The possibility of advancing or delaying is there, and the expectation for rate cuts this year is likely to be only two times, which may all start in the fourth quarter. The earliest time for a rate cut is in September.

2. Institutional Holdings
From the institutional data: The upcoming market trend may show a reversal or change. Market makers have been continuously buying in the past month to strengthen confidence in the market's rise or prevent declines. If there is continuous net outflow, the market's support and buying power at the bottom will weaken, and selling pressure at the top will increase, leading to further price declines.

3. Market Sentiment
From the changes in market sentiment: There have been some subtle changes in market signals that hint at potential danger signals in the market. A market reversal is imminent, and significant fluctuations may occur in the near future. #Solana质押型ETF $SOL

Just go in and die now, whatever $SOL

The situation in the Middle East continues to escalate, and Bitcoin has fallen below the 100,000 mark. Is this a trap for short-sellers or a bottom-fishing opportunity?

1. News

1. Market News
From market news: The ongoing situation may continue to escalate, making it difficult for prices to show significant upward trends. The market may experience some fluctuations or continue to decline in the recent price trends. The key for Bitcoin is whether it can hold below 100,000 and maintain a bearish outlook. A bullish sentiment can only be established if it holds above 105,000. Recently, rebounds can be used for short positions as the main strategy.

2. Market Sentiment

From market sentiment: The market has entered a bearish zone. If there aren't any supportive positive data soon, the price may continue to decline, and rebounds should mainly focus on short positions. #币安Alpha上新 $SOL

The central line large pancake ether space single has begun to eat meat, are there still opportunities for layout next?

1. News Situation

1. Market News
From the market news: The war between Iran and Israel has continued to escalate, and the market is continuously conducting risk-averse selling or offloading chips due to this news. If the escalation continues, it will be very difficult for prices to rise, especially after the market opens on Monday, the possibility of continued decline is very high. Now we just have to see how the negotiations between Iran and Russia proceed.

2. Institutional Situation

From the data perspective: Looking at next week’s situation, institutions and market makers may not have a positive outlook on the trend, so they didn’t buy much at the end of the day, but instead started to sell.

3. Market Sentiment

From the market sentiment perspective: The market sentiment next week may continue to spread, with very little possibility of short-term price increases, and the likelihood of continued declines increasing.

Is the rebound a trap from the bottom or the top?

1. News

1. Market news
From the market news: the price trend of the market, after falling back to around 103,000, it will consolidate and break through again to around 107,000. The market may form a right shoulder structure on the daily line. Next, we need to observe the trend of the right shoulder. From the market news, the market entry funds have fallen relatively quickly recently, and the price consolidation time is relatively long. If there is no more continuous entry of funds in the next market, it will be difficult for the market to continue to rise.

2. Market sentiment
From the market sentiment: the market price and market sentiment are relatively sluggish in the next stage, the market trend is not strong enough, and it is mostly consolidation. After the next trend is consolidated, if there is a breakthrough, the market will have a new trend and the market sentiment will be mobilized. #美联储FOMC会议 $SOL

Risk aversion sentiment

Will US stocks experience turbulence tonight? How does Bitcoin see it?

1. News

1. Market News
From the market's perspective, the recent weekend news mainly concerns the turmoil in the beautiful country. Tonight's US stocks may begin to digest the impact of this news. This week, there are CPI and PPI data, which are indicators of inflation. Pay close attention to the data starting Wednesday. The expectation for interest rate cuts in June is basically zero, and the market generally believes that the rate cut will begin in September. Therefore, July and August might be months without bullish sentiment, and the market could potentially hit a bottom. The high price consolidation in June may take a longer time to move downwards.

2. Market Sentiment
From the market perspective: Recently, there have been more bad news than good news, but these are all short-term issues that cannot be resolved. In the long term, there is no particularly significant news to support the current market trend for further increases or upward movements.
#加密市场反弹 $SOL

The world is bustling. Everyone is seeking profit, the world is thriving, all for gain.

1. News Front

1. Market News
From the market perspective: Most of the current market news revolves around the intense conflicts between Musk and Trump, with complaints dominating the narrative. After the decline last night, market prices have approached the 100k mark. Whether the market can continue to rise or reach new highs depends on whether the upcoming major non-farm payrolls will bring new developments. However, it seems that Trump’s crypto team is preparing to short the market in advance. The market news will be fully realized tonight, so everyone should be prepared.

2. Institutional Holdings
From the perspective of institutional holdings: In light of yesterday's market decline, institutions collectively fled the market, suggesting that tonight's data is unlikely to be very positive. The market may further retreat tonight, but we need to continue monitoring the specific situation.

3. Market Sentiment
From the perspective of market sentiment: The market sentiment is sluggish, bullish sentiment continues to weaken, and bearish sentiment continues to strengthen. It is difficult for market prices to have further upward movement in the short term. We should pay attention to data to see if there’s a possibility of reversal.
#美国初请失业金人数 $SOL

The Trump and Old Horse Incident is becoming increasingly intense, is the market really in a precarious situation?

1. News

1. Market News
From the market situation: The market's news on Wednesday regarding the small non-farm payroll data showed a significant decline, leading to some concerns about the large non-farm payroll data on Friday. There is a belief that the market may experience a major reversal in either direction, especially if the downward momentum follows the trend of the small non-farm data. On Friday, there is a high probability of unfavorable data, which would be negative for the US dollar and US stocks, while being positive for interest rate cuts, leading to a cyclical trend of short-term declines and long-term gains. Therefore, prices may rise due to favorable data in June, approaching the 120,000 mark. Conversely, if the data is favorable, prices will likely fall below the 100,000 mark. Thus, tomorrow's news will be our final showdown in the market, and a new direction will emerge.

2. Institutional Situation
From the institutional data: The market's trend has weakened in the lead-up to the data release, with buying pressure reducing as many institutions and traders prefer to wait or primarily take profits. According to BlackRock's data, buying activity has also weakened in the past two days as the market awaits the non-farm payroll data on Friday. Therefore, the institutional data released tonight is crucial for analyzing tomorrow's market trends, and we will wait for tomorrow's data to observe the large non-farm situation tonight.

3. Market Sentiment
From the perspective of market sentiment: the market sentiment value has significantly dropped from 76 to 55, indicating a noticeable decline in price as well. The key question is whether the market sentiment value will reach a bottom or continue to decline, which will depend on tomorrow's data trends. Therefore, it is important to pay close attention to the large non-farm data situation. #美国加征关税 $SOL