和光同尘-下半年看牛

Yesterday, I used my quantitative system to take a look at the trends of global liquidity and altcoins, and I found something very interesting that made me ponder whether the current market represents a looming altcoin season!!!

From the weekly chart of CRV, it can be clearly seen that the trends of junk coins are almost highly synchronized with the changes in global liquidity. Every significant uptrend occurs during times of improved market liquidity and increased risk appetite. However, once liquidity tightens and risk assets come under pressure, altcoins quickly enter a rapid decline. Why did the trend go in the opposite direction in November? That was because Trump made a call in November, and the influence of a world-class leader is still very significant, but afterwards, it almost coincided again.

Looking at the charts of other altcoin seasons, it’s not difficult to find this pattern; the yellow line has already turned. But does this mean that the altcoin season is about to arrive? Does it indicate that liquidity is easing?

This actually confirms what we have been saying all along: the real driving force behind altcoins is not the fundamentals, but liquidity.
Since 2014, every round of altcoin bull markets has essentially not escaped the underlying logic of "liquidity leading to speculation." Currently, although junk coins like CRV have gradually developed some buy point structures on daily and weekly levels, for a sustained uptrend to form, we still need to see whether there will be a broader release of liquidity.

In other words:
Technically, one can speculate, but there must be an exit mechanism.

A true trend reversal must be accompanied by "the faucet being turned back on." The faucet is simply the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates and injecting liquidity. Yesterday, there was also an interesting piece of news: Federal Reserve Governor Quarles will resign next week, giving Trump the opportunity to appoint a governor to pressure Powell. The probability of a rate cut in September has also increased. Finally, looking at this chart, the answer is already quite clear: #加密市场反弹 $BTC $ETH

Whether you are a cryptocurrency novice or an expert, you must take a look
I have spent over half a month writing this painstakingly, gathering various literature and materials for my brothers, including my personal understanding. I hope everyone can take a good look; cryptocurrency should be a place for us to make money, not just a constant deposit!
I will continuously update my daily strategies in Binance Square, hoping everyone can get rich in the second half of the year!
#区块链 #干货 #交易员 #量化交易 #加密市场回调 $BNB $BTC $ETH

Brothers, see you at eight o'clock tonight.

Binance copy trading in the public domain has come!
Real trading runs the mysterious quantitative, absolutely no fraud, everyone can see what changes happen during the seven days of the National Day, today is the first day of the National Day!#美国政府停摆

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