📈 $BTC (2025-07-09 08:00) | Long/Short Trend Index: 72 / 100 (Strongly Maintained)

📈 $BTC (2025-07-08 08:20) | Long/Short Trend Index: 53 / 100 (Short-term pullback, Mid-term consolidation)
BTC currently retracing to around 108,200, multi-period indicators are converging, short-term momentum is weakening, price is under pressure from key short-term moving averages, MACD shows signs of flattening, daily trend is not yet broken, need to be cautious of continued oscillation structure.



🔹 Multi-period Candlestick Trend Assessment:
15-minute chart: Short-term rebound is hindered at MA99 (108,999), MACD has just formed a golden cross but momentum is limited, RSI has risen to 54.18, indicating a short-term attempt to recover but pressure remains;
1-hour chart: After oscillating downwards, a low-level consolidation appears, MACD has a death cross and is converging towards balance, RSI rebounds to 46.3, momentum is weak;
4-hour chart: Price is oscillating around MA7/25, MACD histogram turns green, fast and slow lines are flattening, RSI hovers at 48.31, indicating mid-term trend is in consolidation;
Daily chart: High-level consolidation for nearly 5 days, still above MA7/25, MACD red histogram is shrinking but the golden cross structure is not broken, RSI 54.59 is still in a neutral bullish zone;
Weekly chart: Continues slow upward structure, but upper shadow is relatively long, MACD red histogram slightly converging, RSI 62.64 still maintains bullish pattern but has not expanded further.

📊 Technical Indicator Analysis:
MACD: Multi-periods show weakening momentum, 15m just golden crossed, 1H and 4H death cross is easing, daily and weekly red histograms are converging, need to pay attention to potential reversal;
RSI: 15m/1H/4H are all in a neutral position (46~54), short-term momentum has not formed a new trend, daily and weekly still strong but without acceleration;
Moving Average System: BTC is currently operating around MA7/25, short-term is constrained by MA99, if it cannot effectively stay above 109,000, the short-term will maintain a weak oscillation;
Trading Volume: Volume is concentrated in the upward phase last night, currently gradually decreasing, indicating a weakening market willingness to chase higher, waiting for the next momentum signal.

🌐 Macro News Summary (Last 24 hours):
1. [Bloomberg July 7 22:15] Federal Reserve governor states that September rate cut “still awaits data confirmation,” strengthening short-term risk aversion expectations;
2. [CryptoQuant July 8 01:10] Exchange BTC balance increased nearly 4,200 in 24 hours, indicating some active selling pressure;
3. [Bloomberg ETF Daily July 7 19:40] Bitcoin ETF has seen a net outflow of 105 million dollars over the past two days, institutional positions are becoming cautious.