巨鲸领投

Major Black Swan Events in the Cryptocurrency Space: A Deep Dive into Market Volatility under Risk Surge
1. February 2014 | Mt. Gox Collapse
The world's largest Bitcoin exchange Mt. Gox was hacked, with 850,000 BTC stolen (accounting for 7% of the total at that time). Bitcoin's price plummeted from $800 to $100, a drop of 80%, exposing fatal security vulnerabilities of centralized exchanges and severely damaging the industry's trust foundation.
2. September 4, 2017 | China's ICO Ban
The central bank and seven ministries completely halted token financing, causing Bitcoin to drop 30% in a single day (from $4,100 to $2,817), with over 80% of cryptocurrency market value evaporating. Many projects moved overseas, initiating a painful period of industry compliance.
3. March 12, 2020 | Black Thursday
The COVID-19 pandemic triggered a global financial tsunami, with Bitcoin halving in 24 hours (from $8,000 to $3,800) and Ethereum crashing 70% (from $288 to $88). Over 500,000 people faced liquidation, and market confidence fell to a freezing point.
4. May 19, 2021 | Regulatory Storm
The China Internet Finance Association reiterated the ban on virtual currency businesses, leading to a 30% intraday drop in Bitcoin (from $42,000 to $29,000) followed by a rebound. 600,000 contracts were liquidated, and $7 billion vanished, marking the industry's darkest moment of mutual destruction.
5. May 2022 | Luna's Zero
The Terra ecosystem's Luna coin decoupled from the UST stablecoin, causing Luna's market value to plummet from $40 billion to zero, dragging Bitcoin down from $40,000 to $10,000. This chain reaction led to the bankruptcy of Three Arrows Capital and accelerated the bear market.
6. November 2022 | FTX Collapse
The world's second-largest exchange FTX was exposed for financial fraud, leading to a bank run that triggered a liquidity crisis and bankruptcy. Founder SBF was imprisoned, and Bitcoin dropped to $15,000, causing another collapse of industry trust.
7. February 3, 2025 | Deepseek Shockwave
The AI concept bubble burst combined with Trump's tariff policies, leading to capital flowing back to the dollar. Ethereum plummeted to $2,100, over 710,000 contracts were liquidated, exceeding $10 billion, and altcoins collectively collapsed, shrouding the bear market in gloom.
Risk Warning: Black swan events are frequent in the cryptocurrency space, and historical volatility proves that high returns coexist with high risks. Investors must strictly adhere to stop-loss disciplines, remain vigilant against leverage traps, and maintain rationality amid dual uncertainties in policy and technology.

The fan went from 200,000 U to liquidation at 5,000 U and made a comeback; how did I teach him to use the 'magical rolling warehouse technique' to fight back to six figures!
1. A tragic start: The fan rushed into the HY market with 200,000 U, thinking that with his skills, he could easily make a profit by going long, but reality gave him a harsh slap!
High-frequency trading went overboard: executing dozens of trades in a day, the fees consumed the principal!
Stubbornly holding on, completely wiped out: continuously averaging down in a downturn, repeatedly mumbling 'the bull will return, it will come back quickly', only to end up with a zero balance.
FOMO all-in, tragically harvested: Seeing others flaunting hundred-fold returns on altcoins, he impulsively went all-in on a meme coin, waking up to find only 5,000 U left in the account...
After that, I only let him do these three things!!!
(1) Only trade in certain market conditions, refuse frequent operations
No longer fixating on 1-minute candlesticks to mess around, just waiting for major breakthroughs
Better to miss out than to make mistakes!
(2) Win big, lose small, add positions as precisely as a sniper
The first trade should never exceed 10% (500 U), and only gradually increase the position after making a profit!
For example, if he makes 20%, immediately take profit on half, and set a trailing stop on the remaining to let the profits run.
(3) Stop-loss is a lifeline, never gamble
Every trade must have a stop-loss; cut losses at 5% immediately, never hold the position!
If there are two consecutive stop-losses, stop trading for that day to prevent emotional control
Advice for all brothers who are losing money
'Want to turn things around? First, learn to survive!'—Before losing all the principal, first practice good stop-loss management.
Record every trade; understand your losses clearly and maximize your gains.
Discipline is greater than everything; 99% of people face liquidation because of the lucky mindset of 'just hold on a little longer and I'll break even'.
Now, do you dare to open your trading records and see how you really lost?

2025.4.9 Latest Updates in the Crypto World
First, BlackRock transferred over 3,000 Bitcoins to Binance, worth 260 million USD. [Smile]
Second, the EU imposes a 25% tariff on the US, valued at 21 billion euros, but it can be canceled at any time [Facepalm][Facepalm][Facepalm]
Third, Ethereum worth 519 million USD was transferred from the exchange to a cold wallet. [Smile]
Fourth, Ethereum developer VG was released by the Americans. [Lightbulb]
Fifth, the Federal Reserve announced that it is impossible to cut interest rates during the tariff war.

Introduction to Ada Coin

Ada Coin (ADA) is part of the Cardano project. It was born in 2015 and has a deep academic and cultural background.

Technically, it utilizes the Ouroboros consensus algorithm, a proof-of-stake mechanism that is energy-efficient and effective, where the probability of nodes being selected as block producers is related to their stake. At the same time, the layered ecosystem provides good scalability.

In terms of issuance, the total supply is 45 billion coins, with corresponding presale and subsequent distribution rules.

Its application scenarios are quite broad; it can assist in cross-border remittances in the financial payment sector, play a significant role in identity verification and data management, and also participate in social governance and public welfare. Additionally, Ada Coin features compatibility and interoperability, aiming to become an important medium of exchange in the digital currency world, with promising development potential. However, its value fluctuations are also influenced by various market factors.

Introduction to Litecoin
Litecoin was created in 2011 and is a well-known cryptocurrency. It was developed by Charlie Lee and shares many technical similarities with Bitcoin while also possessing its own unique highlights.

Litecoin uses the Scrypt encryption algorithm, which lowers the professional mining threshold compared to Bitcoin's SHA-256 algorithm, allowing more ordinary users to participate in the mining process, thereby promoting the decentralization of the network. In terms of transaction confirmation speed, Litecoin performs exceptionally well, completing a transaction confirmation on average every 2.5 minutes, far surpassing Bitcoin's confirmation time of around 10 minutes. This gives it an advantage in scenarios where high transaction efficiency is required. Its total coin supply is set at approximately 84 million coins, which is relatively more lenient compared to Bitcoin's cap of around 21 million coins.

According to the 8-K form submitted by Strategy to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on April 7, if the price of Bitcoin continues to decline, Strategy may be forced to sell its Bitcoin holdings to meet debt obligations, breaking Michael Saylor's promise of 'never selling Bitcoin'.

In the 8-K form, Strategy mentioned that since Bitcoin constitutes the vast majority of our assets on the balance sheet, if we are unable to obtain equity or debt financing in a timely manner (or at all) on favorable terms, we may be forced to sell Bitcoin to fulfill financial obligations and may have to sell at prices below cost or other unfavorable prices.

Since Trump won the election in November 2024, Strategy has purchased 275,965 BTC at an average price of $93,228 (totaling $25.73 billion), and this portion has incurred an unrealized loss of $4.6 billion. According to StrategyTracker data, Strategy currently holds 528,185 BTC, with an average cost of $67,458, valued at $40.12 billion.

Friends who enjoy investing in cryptocurrencies, the recent market is not optimistic, especially for those meme coins, their ultimate value may go to zero. So don't think about making a big profit in the crypto world; investment carries risks, and you could lose your wealth at any time. With the global economy in a downturn, it is crucial to protect your finances.

Are you looking forward to altcoin season?🛒💊
The altcoin market is like a big casino, with extremely high risks. While altcoin prices may skyrocket during altcoin season, the quality of projects varies greatly. Just like some altcoins we've seen before, which lack actual technical support or application scenarios and rely purely on speculation. Many investors are attracted by the so-called high returns and invest blindly, ultimately losing everything. Moreover, the arrival of altcoin season is difficult to predict; it could be at the end of a bull market or could appear at any time. It's like groping in the dark, not knowing when you might fall into a trap. Instead of taking risks during altcoin season, it's better to

Documents from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) show that Strategy Company spent approximately $584 million to acquire 6,911 bitcoins between March 17 and March 23, with an average purchase price reaching $84,529 per coin.

Following this increase, the company's total holdings officially surpassed 500,000 coins, reaching 506,137 coins, with a total investment of approximately $33.7 billion and an average purchase cost of $66,608 per coin (including related fees and expenses).

Just before this acquisition, Strategy announced on March 21 the completion of a new round of preferred stock issuance, priced at $85 per share, with a coupon rate of 10%. This round of financing is expected to bring approximately $711 million in revenue to the company, with the funds to be settled on March 25, 2025, providing ample ammunition for the company's subsequent strategic deployment (including further coin purchases).

Co-founder Michael Saylor has also hinted on multiple occasions that the company will continue to seek high-quality buying opportunities during market adjustments.

88500 is just the highest point, those who have short positions can take profits now.

btc 4-6 hour resistance level 88500-89000 range can consider short position

El Salvador has increased its holdings by 8 bitcoins in the last 7 days, bringing the total holdings to 6,123.18 bitcoins. According to data from the El Salvador Ministry of Finance website, El Salvador has added a total of 8 bitcoins in the past 7 days, currently holding 6,123.18 bitcoins, with a total value of 516 million US dollars.

In Progress! The LayerEdge Testnet Phase Two Update for the Wang Zha Icon Project, Recently Gaining Popularity
The command line interface for LayerEdge Testnet Phase Two went live on March 19, aiming to bring enhanced data settlement and verification functions for PoS-based chains and aggregators.

1. Overview of the LayerEdge Project
LayerEdge is an innovative verification layer, centered around a platform for aggregating and verifying zk proofs.

2. Composition of the LayerEdge Team
Team members come from Samsung's icon R&D department, including Ayush Gupta and Rishabh Anand.

3. Financing Situation of the LayerEdge Project
LayerEdge completed its Pre-seed round financing on May 24, 2024, but the amount was not disclosed.

4. Advantages of the LayerEdge Project
Achieves efficient zk aggregation, lightweight verification mechanisms, applicability to various Web3 scenarios, and a robust economic model through direct reliance on BTC's PoW.

Is it possible that the altcoin season has already come and gone, but many people just didn't catch it? Look at the following coins: SOL has risen 37 times from its bottom, ADA has risen 6 times, LINK has risen 6.5 times, XRP has risen 12 times, INJ has risen 50 times, and many older coins have also risen over 5 times, but I won't list them all. In terms of new coins, WLD has risen 10 times from its lowest point, TIA has risen 10 times since its launch, and ORDI has risen 33 times from its bottom. Not to mention coins like OM RIO that have risen hundreds of times. It's just that many people missed out, or they bought junk coins and missed this bull market, and then they keep deceiving themselves into believing that the altcoin season hasn't come yet. In fact, it has likely already come and gone, and many people just haven't realized it yet.

Gold is the old god, Bitcoin is the new king!
The gold enthusiasts are still self-hypnotizing with 'buying gold in chaotic times', but in the digital age's chaos, hackers are faster than armies, and keyboards are more ruthless than guns. The code rules, censorship resistance, and global liquidity of Bitcoin are the ultimate answers for the next generation of hard currency icons.

Remember: In 2023, Bitcoin's market value soared to 1 trillion US dollars, using only 1/10 of gold's market value! In the next 10 years, will you bet on gold tripling, or Bitcoin surpassing 10 times? See you in the comments! 🐵

Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates in June 2025, determining the fate of the United States icon🇺🇸 and cryptocurrency?

In early 2025, the U.S. financial market icon experienced a dramatic shift. The “Trump trade” boom triggered by Trump's victory last November quickly faded, replaced by the shadow of “Trump recession.” The Nasdaq icon index suffered a heavy blow, technology stocks and bank stocks plummeted, and consumer spending willingness sharply shrank.

After taking office, Trump resumed the tariff stick, imposing high tariffs on multiple countries in an attempt to reverse trade imbalances while massively cutting federal employees. These measures caused corporate costs to soar, price pressures to increase, and consumer confidence to falter. The Atlanta icon Fed predicted a slowdown in first-quarter GDP growth, and historical patterns also show that the risk window after the Federal Reserve's high interest rates has already opened.

Currently, U.S. federal debt has reached $36 trillion, and interest payments have become a heavy burden. Trump may attempt to create a recession to force the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in order to alleviate debt pressure. He threatened to replace the Federal Reserve chair, while Musk icon criticized monetary policy, and the Treasury Secretary stated that the economy needs to be “detoxified.”

Trump's economic advisors also proposed the idea of reshaping the dollar system, aiming to achieve dollar devaluation and the return of manufacturing through the “Mar-a-Lago Agreement,” but this may come at the cost of economic “detoxification” and actively popping bubbles.

Now, concerns about a U.S. economic recession are growing day by day, with firms like Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan icon raising recession probabilities. Harvard icon economist Lawrence Summers icon warned that the probability of recession is nearly 50%, and inflation may return to high levels; British icon analyst Dario Perkins pointed out that a recession could leave lasting scars. Whether the Federal Reserve can cut interest rates in June and September as predicted by Barclays has become a key variable in this economic crisis, and the outcome remains full of uncertainty.