SureYeah

BTC head and shoulders top appears, how will it go?

**Trump urges interest rate cuts, Federal Reserve: playing deaf, rates unchanged!**🧊

Despite Trump shouting on social media that 'inflation is gone, lower rates quickly!', Powell is completely ignoring him—interest rates? Holding steady!

📍Key point:

On May 7, the Federal Reserve is almost certain to maintain interest rates at 4.3%, unmoved.

The PCE inflation indicator is still above the target, but has started to cool down since March, and a rate cut could have been considered... but!

Last week, Trump threw a big surprise—tariffs across the board, which complicated the inflation outlook again!

👊 Powell and the Federal Reserve officials now just want to observe the situation first; no one dares to act rashly.

Economists frankly say: if it weren't for Trump pushing too hard, the Federal Reserve might have already started cutting rates!

🧠 The logic is quite simple:

No tariffs = can lower rates to stimulate the economy

With tariffs = inflation may come back, must hold high rates

💣 What will be the outcome?

Wall Street speculates: either a rate cut in July or a delay until September, unless tariffs lead to layoffs and a surge in unemployment, then the Federal Reserve might give in early!

$BTC

✅ Today's Market Judgment:
• BTC is currently still in a downtrend
• The strong downward momentum has not yet formed, instead, it increasingly reveals the presence of purchasing demand that is readily available, thus the difficulty of the current rebound is not great, so shorting is not recommended
• Downward targets: 93633, 92633, 91520, 89033

📈 Reference Operating Suggestions:
• Currently, the area with the highest cost-effectiveness for low long positions remains between 89033 to 91520; until it breaks 91333, it is still recommended to focus on spot trading
• Shorting carries a significant possibility of a rebound, with low cost-effectiveness; it is advised to wait as much as possible for spot trading and low long opportunities based on the downward targets above.

Bitcoin is rebounding from the bottom; non-farm payrolls and inflation exceed expectations; the Federal Reserve delays liquidity, and stablecoins continue to set historical records.

Ethereal Airdrop:
https://airdrophunt.xyz/airdrops/defi/78a28e

Beamable Airdrop: https://airdrophunt.xyz/airdrops/depin/f94b4e

DAWN Airdrop: https://airdrophunt.xyz/airdrops/depin/6f5ad8

Depin Airdrop:
https://airdrophunt.xyz/airdrops/depin/

Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway sold some assets again in the first quarter of 2025 in exchange for more cash, bringing the current cash amount to a historic high of $347.7 billion.

The giant whale has begun to raise larger cash reserves, and as a dead bull in dollars, Buffett also mentioned that he can hold other (national) currencies. He expressed his views on the recent volatility in risk markets, stating, "If Berkshire's stock price drops by 50%, I will see opportunities, not fear."

--- This is what I said, it may not be correct ---

The upcoming market is likely to present both opportunities and risks; the economy may not be as good as we imagine, and maintaining high interest rates will inevitably increase the risk of recession.

Since 1945, there have only been two instances where the U.S. federal funds rate exceeded 4.5% without an economic recession, one in 1966 where there was no recession but a clear economic decline, and only in 1984 was it smoothly navigated without economic impact.

Historically, there have been nine instances where interest rates exceeded 4.5%, of which seven resulted in either recession or significant economic downturns, and only once was it navigated smoothly. So, will this time be an exception?

This tweet is sponsored by @ApeXProtocolCN | Dex With ApeX

Another decline? Want to switch?
​All I can say is that the technical analysis has been shared with you
​Whether you understand it or believe it is up to you.

It is said that this is the reason for today's decline