杰克Trader

This time I originally thought the U.S. would only start taking action in two weeks, but unexpectedly the B2 bombers went directly to Guam and launched airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities with a high fuel load. At 10 AM, President Trump also held a national speech. Recently, I have been contemplating why the crypto market has not surged during the war but instead has been consistently plummeting. The reasons boil down to the following two points:

If the war escalates → oil prices surge → global inflation → the Federal Reserve may not cut interest rates → risk assets plummet → the crypto market will also suffer.

If the war situation eases → the market breathes a sigh of relief → risk appetite assets rebound → the crypto market will also bounce back.

In summary: Adjust the frequency and proportion of earning U based on the situation, that is, do not look at the news to trade, but the trading rhythm must always pay attention to the development of news and the situation.

#比特币跌破十万美元 Tonight at 8:55 PM, the Iranian parliament announced the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. The market began to crash, directly dropping below 100,000 USD. This round of decline saw buying opportunities around the 94,000-97,800 range for spot trading and low-leverage (5-6 times) currency-based contracts for long positions.

大饼97800-98000附近抄底现货
以太坊2140-2150！！

The news at 20:55 directly caused the plunge
Close the Hormuz Strait!!

From the exchange liquidation map, there isn’t much liquidation below Ethereum, while there is a lot of liquidation intensity above. If the counterparty doesn’t take it, then a rebound is on the way!

Ethereum's recent market performance has basically followed the script, starting to short around 2537 and continuing to short as it rallied to the resistance zone near 2450 last night. A new wave of decline has begun, and I have taken profits on short positions in batches. Below 2250, I will consider going long again. Currently, there are no counterparties for the large number of liquidation orders. Today, in terms of trading direction, one can consider quick in-and-out trades or buying on dips to catch a rebound.