This time I originally thought the U.S. would only start taking action in two weeks, but unexpectedly the B2 bombers went directly to Guam and launched airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities with a high fuel load. At 10 AM, President Trump also held a national speech. Recently, I have been contemplating why the crypto market has not surged during the war but instead has been consistently plummeting. The reasons boil down to the following two points:

If the war escalates → oil prices surge → global inflation → the Federal Reserve may not cut interest rates → risk assets plummet → the crypto market will also suffer.

If the war situation eases → the market breathes a sigh of relief → risk appetite assets rebound → the crypto market will also bounce back.

In summary: Adjust the frequency and proportion of earning U based on the situation, that is, do not look at the news to trade, but the trading rhythm must always pay attention to the development of news and the situation.