姓赵不宣

🚨4-Year Cycle Simulation Highlights (Not Investment Advice)🚨
⚡️Short-Term Volatility
▫️Q3-Q4 may retest strong support at $68K-$73K (Miner Cost + CME Gap)
▫️Weekly TD9 Sequence is about to be reached
🚀Main Uptrend Logic
✅Dual Cycle Resonance: Halving Effect (May 2024) + Federal Reserve Liquidity (Q4 2024)
✅Whale Cost Anchor: Institutions building positions at $65K-$70K / Mining Machine Iteration Cost at $58K
✅Policy Catalyst: U.S. Crypto Legislation may accelerate
🎯Target Trajectory
▫️Conservative Target for H1 2025 at $114K (1.618 Fibonacci Level)
▫️Trump Cycle Exceeding Expectations Scenario $160K+ (Benchmarking Gold 5% Market Value)
⚠️Risk Warning
▫️Monthly RSI > 90 will trigger epic overbought conditions
▫️Whale Position Concentration has reached levels seen on the eve of the 2021 Bull Market
▫️Black Swan Monitoring: U.S. Treasury Liquidity / Middle East Situation

$BTC You listen to my live broadcast and have a thorough understanding of the market. Would you still believe these?

Would you still lose money? $ETH

Isn't it clear who profits from the cryptocurrency market?

Trading Strategy: Focus on Liquidation Levels
📊 Current Market Dynamics
Most traders pay attention to headlines, but smart traders know where the real market drivers are: liquidation levels.
Long/Short Distribution Imbalance: This chart reveals a significant long/short distribution imbalance for several alternative coins.
🔍 Key Analysis
SOL & ETH: The liquidation trends for these two coins are heavily skewed towards the bears, which could lead to a **short squeeze** phenomenon once prices rise, causing a rapid price increase. SAND & AGLD: These two coins show an extreme bullish dominance, which could lead to severe market fragility and potential liquidations if prices fall.
⚠️ Trading Advice
Monitor Liquidation Levels: Understanding these key levels helps you predict market volatility. Prepare Before Trading: Make sure to check these important areas before making trading decisions to seize potential opportunities.

$BTC Dominance Market Analysis
📊 Current Status
If the dominance of $BTC continues to change, we will welcome a few days of fun altcoin trading.
📈 Trend Analysis
Trend Channel: The current trend of $BTC dominance shows a certain channel pattern, continuing to oscillate. This pattern usually indicates impending price fluctuations. Short-term Trading Opportunities: Once there is a noticeable change in dominance, it may lead to capital flowing into other cryptocurrencies, activating trading enthusiasm for smaller market cap coins.
⚠️ Trading Advice
Monitor Dominance Ratio: Closely monitor changes in $BTC dominance as a reference for trading decisions. Be Flexible: If the market experiences fluctuations, quickly adjust strategies to seize short-term trading opportunities.

A #Ethereum ICO whale has just deposited all 2,000 $ETH ($5.16 million) into #Binance — — Yesterday, he woke up from a 10-year slumber! The whale received ETH at Genesis (July 30, 2015) at a price of about $0.31 each, when it was worth only $620. This means a profit of $5.1 million and a return of 8,226 times.

#Bitcoin Daily Chart $BTC Technical Analysis Bullish Triangle Flag, Target Price 148,000 USD

Binance Alpha has made strategic mistakes under competitive anxiety. Watching OKX capture territory in the Web3 DEX and wallet space, they felt their on-chain trading share being eroded and became anxious. Alpha was originally designed well — giving project parties a testing period, users an observation period, and themselves a risk control period.

But Binance clearly overestimated its risk control capabilities and underestimated the 'malice' of market participants. In a rush to regain market share, they forcibly transformed Alpha from an 'observation platform' into a 'main battlefield'. To put it simply, was Alpha originally not meant to create a better Binance, but to build a new on-chain 'Binance'?

What's worse is that Binance idealized the market environment too much when designing the Alpha mechanism. The 'win-win' model envisioned by Binance sounds beautiful: project parties test the market through Alpha, users gain returns by increasing volume, and the platform earns fees? This logic sounds great, but it is based on a fatal assumption — that everyone will 'follow the script'. What’s the reality? In this fragile small token market, any artificially created enthusiasm is a false prosperity that can be easily pierced.

Binance seems to have forgotten that while the Alpha platform provides convenience, it also creates a perfect 'hunting ground' for malicious operators — after all, with Binance's endorsement increasing credibility, an incentive mechanism gathering retail funds, and ample liquidity available for harvesting, everything is in place.

With this combination of punches, Alpha — originally a 'risk isolation' observation area — has become a breeding ground for large holders' 'precise harvesting'.

Ultimately, the entire incident exposed the structural defects of the current market ecology, where every participant is pursuing short-term profit maximization: project parties want to quickly exit liquidity cashing out, large holders want precise arbitrage, trading platforms want to increase trading volume and income, and retail investors always want to grab excess returns. Everyone is calculating their own small accounts, resulting in a 'perfect' multi-party game failure.

However, since this incident occurred on the Binance platform, the world's largest exchange, it should have been the 'stabilizing force' for the entire industry, but instead became the main stage for this harvesting drama.

Binance's Alpha strategy essentially guarantees others' harvesting actions with its own brand reputation. Wanting market share, wanting trading volume, wanting fee income.

$ZKJ and $KOGE were both manipulated and plummeted, waking up a large number of retail investors who were brushing trading volume on the Binance Alpha platform from their dreams. Originally trying to earn airdrop "interest" by brushing some trading volume, they ended up losing even their principal. What exactly happened behind this? Who should take the blame for this disaster? I will try to analyze it deeply:

1) Let's first talk about what exactly happened? Binance launched the Alpha platform for brushing trading volume to speculate on airdrops. ZKJ and KOGE, as popular projects, were listed on Alpha, and a large number of retail investors crazily brushed volume in anticipation of airdrops.

However, just as the Alpha event was in full swing and retail funds were pouring in, a certain whale withdrew about 3.6 million USD worth of tokens from OKX and directly started dumping them in the market. ZKJ first collapsed, and due to the high correlation with KOGE, KOGE passively followed the decline. Retail investors, seeing the plummet, began to panic sell, further accelerating the collapse cycle. In the end, those users who were "diligently" brushing volume on Binance Alpha waiting for airdrops not only did not receive any returns but also lost all their principal.

2) Who should take the blame in this "evil process"?

The project party might say: We didn't let the whale dump, this is market behavior, but for a TGE valued at 2B, the liquidity could actually be manipulated by a few whales, which is simply unbelievable;

The dumping whale might say: It's my money, I can handle it freely, losing money is deserved, but knowing that such a precise timing would cause a chain collapse, one must question their intentions;

The Binance Alpha platform might also say: We are just providing a trading platform, users bear their own risks, but without Binance's platform endorsement, how would users dare to invest heavily? Now that something has happened, how can we possibly wash our hands of it;

You see, it seems that every stakeholder in this chain of interests has a reason to distance themselves, and only retail investors are left in confusion: Why has this hot Alpha Summer ended before it even began? Where is my principal?

3) So where does the problem lie? In my view, it superficially appears to be a random market risk, but in reality, it is a premeditated systematic harvesting:

The project party "designed" a correlation trap, the whale chose the precise "timing" to strike, Binance provided a "legal" harvesting platform, while retail investors bore all the losses.

Walmart Amazon Follow-up
ByteDance and Tencent, how far is Baidu?

This week's $BTC futures market liquidation liquidity historical map is more detailed:

Besides the unusual phenomenon of rapid pullback caused by high liquidity "to clear or not to clear" last week, there is nothing particularly noteworthy to mention;

The price labels marked on the right side are all key positions that I believe are worth making trading decisions;

For example, red represents a plan to short, while blue represents a plan to go long; before reaching these two positions:

No further price targets should be considered.

All units please pay attention ⚠️ Net closing! Net closing! Net closing! Please respond upon receipt!

Today's joke: $ZKJ $KOGE

Village Head: Kid, how much U are you making today?
Me: 200U!
Village Head: Kid, you are promising, looks like there's big money today?
Me: No, Village Head, I'm saying your principal is still 200U!
Village Head: …
Me: Village Head, Village Head, wake up, someone come, the Village Head has fainted...

Weekend shocking news, such a rich person actually buys wallets on Douyin... there are just too many factors.

Hardware wallets must be purchased through official channels, and be sure to confirm the seal is intact before opening.

A few days ago
Silly Brother returned to the village to help the villagers get rich, teaching them how to brush alpha step by step.
Today my mom called and said: The door panels at home have all been taken down by the villagers.
What should I do? It's quite urgent.

💥Breaking:

President Trump says the U.S. may intervene in the Iran-Israel conflict - ABC

Bullish 🚨 Whales bought over 200,000 in the last 3 days $ETH

A Hell of a Joke👹

—— The total airdrop value of all projects on Binance Alpha so far is less than the market value that $ZKJ has lost today

2 billion market value > 377 million market value, an 81% disappearance of market value only takes 1️⃣ day, this is the crypto circle #MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC #特朗普比特币金库 #美国加征关税 #卡尔达诺稳定币提案 #以色列伊朗冲突

Breaking News🚨Michael Saylor has just announced he will buy more #BITCOIN

Bullish 🚨 #BITCOIN whales have just increased their long positions to $255 million 👀$BTC