Evening Analysis on June 22 Bitcoin's recent market performance is showing a downward trend, accompanied by short-term rebound signals. In the short term, the current market is in a critical range between a flat top and a flat bottom pattern, and there is a possibility for a further rebound to test the resistance level at 103362.6. However, with MA7 and MA30 still showing a downward trend, the rebound potential may be limited, and the overall weak pattern has not changed. The US airstrikes on Iran have triggered a risk aversion sentiment in the market, causing Bitcoin to briefly drop below 101000 before recovering above 102000, showing relatively strong resistance.
Trading Suggestions: Bitcoin can be bought around 101500 to 102000 in the evening, targeting around 103500. Ethereum can be bought around 2220 to 2240, targeting around 2330.
6.22 Morning Analysis The market remained weak over the weekend, with a drop in the early hours followed by a lackluster rebound. However, it seems that the continuation is not as promising as expected. The fundamental basis of the bull market has not changed, and it is difficult for the price of cryptocurrencies to experience continuous large declines. In the short term, the low point from the early hours can be viewed as support, and a rebound shouldn't be a problem.
Recommended Actions Bitcoin currently at 102,900, directly buy, target 103,500 Ethereum currently at 2,290, directly buy, target 2,350
ETH Teasing with Solid Evidence In this wave, the one-hour K-line for ETH has been oscillating between 2500-2600 Now this line is closing around 2550, having risen less than 1 point, indicating that traders are still probing each other The seven-day line at 2546 and the thirty-day line at 2521 are both turning upwards, showing short-term momentum for further upward movement Either wait for a breakout with volume above the 2600 resistance level to chase, or just stay flat
In this game of investment consultation, to put it simply, the key to making money in the long term is that when others run out of bullets, you still have plenty of bullets to pick up bargains.
Evening Analysis on June 20 In the short term, from a four-hour perspective, Bitcoin is predicted to fluctuate around the B central range. If it confirms and holds the key resistance level of 105800 in the early morning, there may be further opportunities for an increase; if it falls below this level, attention needs to be paid to the support level to determine whether it will shift to a corrective trend. Suggested actions: For Bitcoin, the current price is around 105900-106200, with a target of around 104800-105100. For Ethereum, the current price is around 2549-2559, with a target of around 2530-2520.
June 20 Morning Analysis Bitcoin has been experiencing continuous range fluctuations in the past two days, forming a 'red three soldiers' pattern. The KDJ indicator is rebounding from a low position, and the volume is shrinking, indicating signs of a tentative rebound in the short term. However, there is significant resistance above, and it is crucial to pay attention to the breakthrough or breakdown of key points. In the short term, there is a continued tendency to maintain an upward trend in fluctuations. Until the upper resistance of 1060k is broken, all interventions should rely on the upward pressure for rebounds. The short-term target is to pay attention to the situation of breaking 1033k, and if broken, watch the lower level of 1018k.
Evening Analysis on June 19 In the afternoon, the large pancake continues to maintain a range-bound oscillation, reaching a high of 105175 before oscillating downward. The second pancake reached a low of 2512 and then began to oscillate, with a high of 2543, currently around 2533. From the current perspective, a top divergence in RSI is appearing on the daily level. If the price breaks below the key support at 103200, it may trigger an accelerated decline to 100000. The EMA on the four-hour level has formed a dense resistance band at 105300, suppressing price rebounds. The parabolic reversal indicator continues to remain above the candlestick, confirming a change in short-term upward trend. In the evening, Jia Ming suggests maintaining a strategy of buying low after reaching the high of the range.
The pancake has pumped nearly 100% from its low, many people thought it was over, but in fact—this is just the halfway drumbeat. This wave of correction is about 25%, not small, but in previous bull markets, it is considered a regular shakeout. Looking back, this kind of "mid-stage rest" after each big rise has ultimately become a stepping stone for new highs to explode.
6.19 Midday Analysis: Bitcoin today pay attention to the position of 104410. As long as it holds above this position, it will aim for the top of the consolidation zone at 105475. If it breaks above, then look at the nearby positions of 106740-107745-108900. If it cannot break the top today, it will still pull back on a smaller scale. If it breaks 104410, it will aim for the bottom of the consolidation zone at 103445. If it doesn't break, it will still rebound.
Ethereum today pay attention to the position of 2515. As long as it holds above this position, it will aim for the top of the consolidation zone at 2547. If it breaks above, then look at the nearby positions of 2582-2617-2656.
From the daily chart, DOGE is approaching the tip of the triangle and is currently retesting the lower support. Historical experience shows that trends often continue in the direction of the breakout after a symmetrical triangle breakout: an upward breakout is a bullish signal, while a downward breakout indicates a correction.
It is worth noting that $0.169, as the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level, forms a key dividing line — the price needs to stabilize above $0.168, otherwise it faces the risk of a decline.
Morning Analysis on 6.19 The Federal Reserve did not cut interest rates as expected, and US stocks are closed today, focusing on short positions during the day. The short position strategies provided yesterday morning and afternoon captured three to four waves of short trades, and I entered another position at midnight, currently showing slight profits. The daily Bollinger Bands are starting to trend down; although a bullish candle was formed, it began to drop near the MA5. Both KDJ and MACD are showing death crosses pointing down, and trading volume is increasing. With the US stock market closed, we will still focus on short positions today! Key resistance levels to watch are 1062k, 1077k, 1090k, and 1100k, while key support levels are 1045k, 1033k, 1020k, 1010k, and 1000k.
The 1-hour outlook for RESOLV today seems a bit precarious, with the current price at 0.21465, plunging 4.99%, with a volatility of 2.61%. The K-line is oscillating downward, and the pressure from the cap is evident.
Indicators show that the MACD double line is swaying around the zero axis, and the momentum is almost gone. The J value of KDJ has dropped to 13.89, entering the oversold zone. It should have rebounded, but the 21.8M trading volume has collapsed, and there is no external consultation capital to buy at the bottom. The operator is likely in control of the market.
Do not be careless in the current situation, the short-term is leaning towards downward pressure. Keep a close eye on the trading volume and lower support. If the support is broken, stop losses should be implemented. If it doesn't break, wait for a rebound. At this stage, avoid going all in; caution is the best strategy.
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6.18 Afternoon Strategy In the short term, the overall trend remains upward, but the momentum is slowing down. The short-term moving average (MA7) has begun to flatten, indicating that short-term momentum is weakening.
Suggestions: Short-term investors can pay attention to the performance near the key resistance level of 105468.6. Once the price breaks through, consider adding positions in the direction of the trend; if the price is blocked at this level and shows a clear reversal signal, it is recommended to take profits on the higher positions. Medium-term investors should hold onto their positions and pay attention to the changes in moving averages and momentum indicators for further direction guidance. You can buy the second contract around 2540 to 2560, with a target near 2450. Real-time trading should primarily rely on real-time tracking guidance.
6.18 Morning Thoughts: Currently, the market sentiment remains in a fluctuating downward (bearish) trend, but both BTC and ETH are approaching key daily support levels. Whether there will be a rebound is still unclear, and we may choose to observe from the sidelines. The current signs are increasingly leaning towards a 3-wave adjustment, during which repeated ups and downs can easily deplete the principal. At this time, trading frequency should be reduced, and participation should wait until the market shows a clear trend.
Today's Focus: The ETH daily line closing situation, observe whether the 2470 position can hold. This is the daily life support during the pullback, and as of yesterday, it has already pulled back 4 times, effectively reaching 2 times. The more times this pullback occurs, the more unfavorable it becomes. Today, focus on observing BTC in the area of 1061k-1067k above, and watch the performance of the four-hour K-line at this position, noting the strength of the rebound.
From a technical indicator perspective, the 4-hour MACD histogram has turned from red to green, and the fast and slow lines remain below the zero axis. The MACD histogram turning from red to green indicates that the rebound strength in the market is limited, and the bullish momentum is gradually weakening; the fast and slow lines being below the zero axis indicates that the overall trend is weak, and the market is still in a state of oscillation and adjustment. However, it is worth noting that the lows are continuously rising, which shows that the bulls are still trying to accumulate strength. If the key support level of the current bottom formation is not broken, the market will continue to rise.
Evening operation suggestion: For Bitcoin, around 104800-105300, target at 107500, and after breaking, aim for 108500.