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New strategies after the decline in airdrop cost-effectiveness
The day before yesterday, I successfully claimed an airdrop using my accumulated 250 points, with a threshold of 242 points. I immediately listed it for sale that day and ultimately netted 50U.
In the afternoon, the platform offered another 5U airdrop, with the same threshold of 242 points. I just happened to have enough points and successfully claimed it again. Looking back at the entire month of June, so far I have participated in two new projects and successfully claimed one airdrop, totaling an income of 240U. After deducting the cost of new listings this month, which is 120U, I still netted 120U. Although this is somewhat 'diminished' compared to the large returns from airdrops in the past, even small gains are worthwhile, especially under the premise of manageable risks. Market changes: reduced returns and increased risks. However, the market volatility in recent days has made me realize that airdrops are not 'guaranteed profits'. Just a couple of days ago, two tokens that were being farmed suddenly plummeted by 60%, and many watched helplessly as the money they earned from airdrops disappeared. Some lamented in the group: 'After two months of hard work, I lost even my principal.' This also indicates that although airdrops seem to have low entry barriers, once you hit a landmine, the risks are not lower than those of new listings. Platform adjustments: Higher point threshold, changed gameplay. The current biggest problem is that while the airdrop threshold has increased, the cost-effectiveness has decreased. For example, airdrops that previously yielded hundreds of U for 240 points might now only be worth 50U, leading many to choose to give up. Binance has also noticed this phenomenon and recently introduced a new rule:
In the afternoon, the platform offered another 5U airdrop, with the same threshold of 242 points. I just happened to have enough points and successfully claimed it again. Looking back at the entire month of June, so far I have participated in two new projects and successfully claimed one airdrop, totaling an income of 240U. After deducting the cost of new listings this month, which is 120U, I still netted 120U. Although this is somewhat 'diminished' compared to the large returns from airdrops in the past, even small gains are worthwhile, especially under the premise of manageable risks. Market changes: reduced returns and increased risks. However, the market volatility in recent days has made me realize that airdrops are not 'guaranteed profits'. Just a couple of days ago, two tokens that were being farmed suddenly plummeted by 60%, and many watched helplessly as the money they earned from airdrops disappeared. Some lamented in the group: 'After two months of hard work, I lost even my principal.' This also indicates that although airdrops seem to have low entry barriers, once you hit a landmine, the risks are not lower than those of new listings. Platform adjustments: Higher point threshold, changed gameplay. The current biggest problem is that while the airdrop threshold has increased, the cost-effectiveness has decreased. For example, airdrops that previously yielded hundreds of U for 240 points might now only be worth 50U, leading many to choose to give up. Binance has also noticed this phenomenon and recently introduced a new rule:
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BNB New Listing Qualification - Points Express, Linked to Airdrops and New Listings
The rules for the 12th TGE are set, with a minimum of 45 points. An airdrop is scheduled for the 28th.
Several scoring strategies are as follows 🔔
Minimum Guarantee Strategy (60 points) Balance > 100u + Alpha trading volume per day > 8u = 4 points per day
Advanced Strategy (90 points) Balance > 100u + Alpha trading volume per day > 32u = 6 points per day 👍🏻 Balance > 1000u + Alpha trading volume per day > 16u = 6 points per day Balance > 10000u + Alpha trading volume per day > 8u = 6 points per day
High-level Strategy (105 points) Balance > 100u + Alpha trading volume per day > 64u = 7 points per day 🎉 Balance > 1000u + Alpha trading volume per day > 32u = 7 points per day 🎉🎉🐶 Balance > 10000u + Alpha trading volume per day > 16u = 7 points per day
Several scoring strategies are as follows 🔔
Minimum Guarantee Strategy (60 points) Balance > 100u + Alpha trading volume per day > 8u = 4 points per day
Advanced Strategy (90 points) Balance > 100u + Alpha trading volume per day > 32u = 6 points per day 👍🏻 Balance > 1000u + Alpha trading volume per day > 16u = 6 points per day Balance > 10000u + Alpha trading volume per day > 8u = 6 points per day
High-level Strategy (105 points) Balance > 100u + Alpha trading volume per day > 64u = 7 points per day 🎉 Balance > 1000u + Alpha trading volume per day > 32u = 7 points per day 🎉🎉🐶 Balance > 10000u + Alpha trading volume per day > 16u = 7 points per day
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High-Risk VC Coin Summary
In the chart, those over three times have been marked in red, everyone needs to pay extra attention
LINK AVAX SUI HBAR ONDO TAO S(FTM) JUP
MOVE OM KAIA JTO FLR all belong to quite high towers (only tokens over five times are filtered here)
(LINK and AVAX may need to be excluded here as they have already proven themselves in the previous round)#币安Alpha上新 $OM
In the chart, those over three times have been marked in red, everyone needs to pay extra attention
LINK AVAX SUI HBAR ONDO TAO S(FTM) JUP
MOVE OM KAIA JTO FLR all belong to quite high towers (only tokens over five times are filtered here)
(LINK and AVAX may need to be excluded here as they have already proven themselves in the previous round)#币安Alpha上新 $OM
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The results of the Federal Reserve meeting tonight (March 20, 2025, at 2 AM) can be summarized in three points regarding their impact on cryptocurrencies:
1. Is money becoming expensive or cheap? Interest rate policy determines the rise and fall of the crypto market.
If the Federal Reserve says, "inflation is too high, we won't lower interest rates for now" (maintaining high rates), then the cost of money in people's hands increases, possibly leading to a sell-off of high-risk assets like Bitcoin, which may cause prices to drop in the short term.
However, Barclays Bank predicts there will be two rate cuts this year (0.25% in June and September). If the Federal Reserve hints at a rate cut tonight, the crypto market may rebound directly, like a feast after a long hunger.
2. Is the economy going to collapse? The crypto market may become a safe haven.
Currently, there is a 36% chance of a recession in the US, with negative GDP growth in the first quarter. Fund managers are already frantically selling US stocks (reducing positions at record levels). If the Federal Reserve admits the economy is struggling, these individuals may invest some of their money in the crypto market, especially in Bitcoin, often referred to as "digital gold," which could move inversely to US stock trends.
3. One word from Powell can shake the crypto market.
Pay close attention to Powell's speech tonight:
If he says, "Tariff policies will keep prices rising," then the narrative of Bitcoin as an inflation hedge becomes appealing, and large institutions may increase their positions.
If he states, "The unemployment rate is too high, we need to cut rates," the crypto market may rally alongside US stocks; if he doesn't mention employment issues, prices are likely to continue fluctuating.
The most likely scenario:
Short-term volatility will be severe, with Bitcoin fluctuating by 10% in either direction being normal. For those trading contracts, be cautious of liquidation risks.
Smaller coins (altcoins) may polarize; coins related to DeFi and Layer 2, which are linked to capital flow, are likely to experience greater volatility.
If the Federal Reserve's statements are ambiguous, the market will go crazier, and trading volumes in futures and options may skyrocket.
In simple terms: If the Federal Reserve is dovish (expectations of easing), it will be positive for the crypto market; if hawkish (continuing to tighten), it will be negative. The worse the economy, the more likely the crypto market will be treated as a casino or safe haven. It's best for ordinary people not to gamble on news and to wait for results before taking action. $BTC
#美国加征关税
1. Is money becoming expensive or cheap? Interest rate policy determines the rise and fall of the crypto market.
If the Federal Reserve says, "inflation is too high, we won't lower interest rates for now" (maintaining high rates), then the cost of money in people's hands increases, possibly leading to a sell-off of high-risk assets like Bitcoin, which may cause prices to drop in the short term.
However, Barclays Bank predicts there will be two rate cuts this year (0.25% in June and September). If the Federal Reserve hints at a rate cut tonight, the crypto market may rebound directly, like a feast after a long hunger.
2. Is the economy going to collapse? The crypto market may become a safe haven.
Currently, there is a 36% chance of a recession in the US, with negative GDP growth in the first quarter. Fund managers are already frantically selling US stocks (reducing positions at record levels). If the Federal Reserve admits the economy is struggling, these individuals may invest some of their money in the crypto market, especially in Bitcoin, often referred to as "digital gold," which could move inversely to US stock trends.
3. One word from Powell can shake the crypto market.
Pay close attention to Powell's speech tonight:
If he says, "Tariff policies will keep prices rising," then the narrative of Bitcoin as an inflation hedge becomes appealing, and large institutions may increase their positions.
If he states, "The unemployment rate is too high, we need to cut rates," the crypto market may rally alongside US stocks; if he doesn't mention employment issues, prices are likely to continue fluctuating.
The most likely scenario:
Short-term volatility will be severe, with Bitcoin fluctuating by 10% in either direction being normal. For those trading contracts, be cautious of liquidation risks.
Smaller coins (altcoins) may polarize; coins related to DeFi and Layer 2, which are linked to capital flow, are likely to experience greater volatility.
If the Federal Reserve's statements are ambiguous, the market will go crazier, and trading volumes in futures and options may skyrocket.
In simple terms: If the Federal Reserve is dovish (expectations of easing), it will be positive for the crypto market; if hawkish (continuing to tighten), it will be negative. The worse the economy, the more likely the crypto market will be treated as a casino or safe haven. It's best for ordinary people not to gamble on news and to wait for results before taking action. $BTC
#美国加征关税
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Next week will be a nuclear-level data week! Bitcoin's "super week" game: 100,000 charge or 70,000 callback?
Global central banks and the crypto market's choices amid the data storm
1. Global central banks’ “serial bombardment”: policy game reconstructs market liquidity expectations
Federal Reserve interest rate decision (2:00 am, March 20, Beijing time)
The market generally expects the Fed to keep interest rates unchanged at 4.25%-4.5%, but the focus is on the latest "dot plot" and Powell's statement. Current CME data shows that the probability of a rate cut in March is only 2%, and the probability of a rate cut in May has also dropped to 27.7%. Analysis points out that the Fed is facing a "dilemma": if Trump's tariff policy pushes up inflation (consumers' long-term inflation expectations have soared to 3.9%, the largest increase in 30 years), it may be forced to delay rate cuts; if the risk of economic recession increases, it will need to ease in advance. This policy ambiguity may exacerbate market volatility, and Bitcoin may become a risk hedging tool.
1. Global central banks’ “serial bombardment”: policy game reconstructs market liquidity expectations
Federal Reserve interest rate decision (2:00 am, March 20, Beijing time)
The market generally expects the Fed to keep interest rates unchanged at 4.25%-4.5%, but the focus is on the latest "dot plot" and Powell's statement. Current CME data shows that the probability of a rate cut in March is only 2%, and the probability of a rate cut in May has also dropped to 27.7%. Analysis points out that the Fed is facing a "dilemma": if Trump's tariff policy pushes up inflation (consumers' long-term inflation expectations have soared to 3.9%, the largest increase in 30 years), it may be forced to delay rate cuts; if the risk of economic recession increases, it will need to ease in advance. This policy ambiguity may exacerbate market volatility, and Bitcoin may become a risk hedging tool.
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📉📈 Bitcoin Q2 Trend Outlook (2025): Analysis of Triple Technical Reversal Signals - Defense of Support at $82,000 vs Daily Rebound Formation
#加密市场观察
I. Current market status analysis (March 9, 2025)
Short-term trend
From March 1 to March 9, 2025, the price dropped from $86,071 to $82,800, down about 3.8%, showing signs of a short-term pullback.
Trading volume has gradually decreased over the past three days (from 138K to 53K), selling pressure has weakened.
Key support level
$82,237 (March 9 low) becomes a key support level.
If it breaks down, it may test the psychological level of $80,000.
Technical indicator signals
RSI (assuming parameter 14) approaches the 30 oversold area, indicating short-term rebound demand.
Although the MACD histogram is negative, the green bars are gradually shortening, indicating weakening bearish momentum.
I. Current market status analysis (March 9, 2025)
Short-term trend
From March 1 to March 9, 2025, the price dropped from $86,071 to $82,800, down about 3.8%, showing signs of a short-term pullback.
Trading volume has gradually decreased over the past three days (from 138K to 53K), selling pressure has weakened.
Key support level
$82,237 (March 9 low) becomes a key support level.
If it breaks down, it may test the psychological level of $80,000.
Technical indicator signals
RSI (assuming parameter 14) approaches the 30 oversold area, indicating short-term rebound demand.
Although the MACD histogram is negative, the green bars are gradually shortening, indicating weakening bearish momentum.
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How to become a master of endless profit?
Open positions in two directions for the ants
Whichever is correct, release that one
The secret is given to you, go try it out
#Infini遭攻击
Open positions in two directions for the ants
Whichever is correct, release that one
The secret is given to you, go try it out
#Infini遭攻击
See original
99% of retail investors lose money in short-term trading, mainly due to the following reasons:
1. Emotional Trading
Short-term trading requires decision-making in a very short time frame, and retail investors are easily influenced by market sentiment, chasing highs and cutting losses, lacking calm reflection and systematic strategies. When market conditions fluctuate rapidly, fear and greed often lead retail investors to make wrong decisions.
2. Lack of Systematic Strategies
Short-term trading demands a high degree of strategizing and discipline, but many retail investors do not have systematic trading strategies and often rely on intuition and trending operations, which makes it easy to lose direction amidst volatility. In addition, short-term trading itself requires strong technical analysis skills, but most retail investors lack professional knowledge and practice.
3. High Costs
Short-term trading frequently involves entering and exiting the market, and each trade incurs fees, commissions, and taxes. These trading costs can significantly erode profits for retail investors over time, making it difficult to achieve substantial returns.
4. Information Asymmetry
Retail investors lag behind professional institutions in terms of the speed and quality of market information. Short-term trading has a high demand for timely information, and retail investors often find themselves at an information disadvantage, possibly entering the market before a trend forms or following up only after institutions have profited, leading to losses.
5. Lack of Patience, Easily Follow Trends
Short-term trading requires immense patience.
1. Emotional Trading
Short-term trading requires decision-making in a very short time frame, and retail investors are easily influenced by market sentiment, chasing highs and cutting losses, lacking calm reflection and systematic strategies. When market conditions fluctuate rapidly, fear and greed often lead retail investors to make wrong decisions.
2. Lack of Systematic Strategies
Short-term trading demands a high degree of strategizing and discipline, but many retail investors do not have systematic trading strategies and often rely on intuition and trending operations, which makes it easy to lose direction amidst volatility. In addition, short-term trading itself requires strong technical analysis skills, but most retail investors lack professional knowledge and practice.
3. High Costs
Short-term trading frequently involves entering and exiting the market, and each trade incurs fees, commissions, and taxes. These trading costs can significantly erode profits for retail investors over time, making it difficult to achieve substantial returns.
4. Information Asymmetry
Retail investors lag behind professional institutions in terms of the speed and quality of market information. Short-term trading has a high demand for timely information, and retail investors often find themselves at an information disadvantage, possibly entering the market before a trend forms or following up only after institutions have profited, leading to losses.
5. Lack of Patience, Easily Follow Trends
Short-term trading requires immense patience.
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