Btc林一

今天看到一篇很优秀的文章，分享给大家！
这边文章从历史数据的角度出发，让人深思。
然后加点我自己的看法，如果降息点阵图改变，最终的降息次数增加，降息幅度增加。那么至少再降息前后对于币圈是重大利好的。因为降息会导致传统投资行业的资金出逃，例如银行，例如保险。这部分资金避险不一定会投入到币圈，还有可能是金银，石油等。但即便如此会短暂照成币的真实上涨（因为市场情绪会带动）。但是经济衰退如果得到印证，那对币圈必然也是毁灭性的打击，一天两天可能看不出来什么，但是泡沫破裂的那天也有可能是大饼腰斩的到来。#非农就业数据来袭 #美国当周失业金人数

9.6 Afternoon Analysis and Trading Suggestions
After the release of the non-farm data, the overnight market showed a trend of rising first and then falling. From the current market situation, the support level below is very strong. The big coin has bounced back up after several touches to the support area, and the upward momentum is stable. The weekend market will likely be dominated by fluctuations. Given that the overall upward trend has not been affected, we continue to maintain a bullish outlook.

Trading Suggestions:
Buy near the big coin $BTC 110500, targets looking at around 111700-112500
Buy near the auntie $ETH 4250, targets looking at around 4320-4360 #美联储降息预期

This is important! If interest rates are lowered later, it may ultimately become a delayed rate cut, suggesting 110000 to hold at #美国当周失业金人数

The "Dumb Method" with a 95% Win Rate in the Crypto Market
Are you like this too:
❌ Obsessed with various complex indicators, getting more confused the more you look
❌ Frequent trading, mindset exploding, instead losing money
❌ Staying up late to monitor the market, your health deteriorating and your account not seeing any gains
In fact, making money really doesn’t have to be that exhausting!
We a group of "lazy people", rely on a set of extremely simple strategies to stabilize the win rate above 95%, and it doesn't take time or brainpower👇 Why do "dumb people" earn more steadily?
> Most people in the crypto market lose because they are "too smart"—always trying to catch the top and bottom, high-frequency trading, but instead being misled by emotions and getting slapped by the market.
> The methods we use:
✅ Don’t guess the direction
✅ Don’t chase rising prices or sell on falls
✅ Don’t look at complex indicators
✅ Spend only 10 minutes a day
Caregiver-level operational steps (recommended to save and review repeatedly)
1⃣️ Only choose one indicator: EMA moving average
▪️ Settings: EMA21 + EMA55
▪️ Logic: EMA21 represents short-term trends, EMA55 represents medium to long-term—buy when the golden cross occurs, sell when the death cross occurs.
▪️ Don’t look at others! Don’t look at others! Don’t look at others!
2️⃣ Only enter the market at key positions
▪️ Observe the 4-hour candlestick chart
▪️ EMA21 crossing above EMA55 + candlestick closes bullish → Enter long
▪️ EMA21 crossing below EMA55 + candlestick closes bearish → Enter short
▪️ Don’t open positions in the middle, avoid being slapped in a volatile market!
3️⃣ Be firm with stop-loss
▪️ Place stop-loss at the high/low of the previous 4-hour candlestick
▪️ Loss not exceeding 5% of the principal
▪️ Don’t hold losing trades! Don’t gamble!
4️⃣ "Rolling position" to increase—core of profit running
▪️ Open the first position with 5% of funds
▪️ Increase position by 5% after 5% profit
▪️ Continue to increase after another 5% profit
▪️ Until a trend reversal signal appears (EMA crosses again)
▪️ This way you can preserve base profits and maximize gains!
Mindset reminders:
- Don’t seek to profit on every trade, missing out is better than making a mistake
- Trade a maximum of 1-2 times a day, refuse frequent trading
- Trust the system, stick to execution, time will reward you
✅ Summary:
Dumb method ≠ No brains
Instead, it simplifies, rules, and disciplines the complex market
Suitable for ordinary people who don’t want to exhaust themselves and don’t want to be bound by emotions
If you also feel that watching the market all day is too exhausting and still losing money
Why not try this "lazy person strategy"
👉 Follow me for more valuable content to share slowly～#非农就业数据来袭 #小白必知 #加密货币 #区块链

The points I recognized will not deviate; when I arrived, it was exactly as I envisioned. #非农就业数据来袭

Another victory today, welcoming a three-game winning streak! On this road, there is no success that comes easily, nor are there surprises that come without effort. As long as you keep up with the rhythm, you can do it too! #美国当周失业金人数

Today is a double!
No need to show off, what needs to happen will naturally happen. #非农就业数据来袭

The non-farm data at 20:30 tonight is not just an economic indicator, but may also be an important reference for the Federal Reserve's next steps.
：
1. Pay attention to the deviation between the actual data and expectations;
2. Watch for subsequent comments from Federal Reserve officials and the White House;
3. Be wary of the possibility of rising market volatility, especially the interconnected reactions between foreign exchange, U.S. stocks, and crypto assets.
Regardless of the data outcome, tonight could become an important turning point for the macro trading logic in the second half of 2024. #非农就业数据来袭

Today's first victory! $BTC
Others make decisions like blindfolded archery, while I set strategies with a built-in scope, hitting the target every time. #非农就业数据来袭

On the evening of 9.5, the ideas for the big pie and the second pie
Important things need to be said three times, the monthly non-farm data is coming! I won't say much about the shipping situation. Because there are many stone plates, I am only recruiting three spots here, starting from 5000 oil, at most two waves to double, advance layout for non-farm. There are still two hours left, making money requires running, I can wait for you, but shipping won't wait for you!
Operation suggestion:
Big pie $BTC buy on pullback near 112000, target near 113000.
Second pie $ETH buy on pullback near 4380, target near 4440. #非农就业数据来袭

This table is full of tough people! All big shots in the cryptocurrency world, all born after 2000. The youngest among them is 20 years old.
20-year-old Liangxi posted a screenshot of his account on Twitter: on February 25, he shorted Ethereum and made 1.1 million USDT in half an hour. He won the Hebei championship in "Honor of Kings" at the age of 15, and at 18, he traded Bitcoin with 100x leverage, turning 2000 yuan into 40 million in a month, earning the title of "Contract God" in the crypto world.
Zohar from Fuzhou, Fujian, entered the market even earlier. He lost all his 3000 yuan pocket money buying Bitcoin in high school, and after dropping out of college, he invested in NFTs, with daily profits multiplying dozens of times. He is currently a dropout from the Chinese University of Hong Kong, while holding the titles of "co-founder of a certain art DAO" and "Web3 investor."
These people have a common point - they originally came from wealthy families. Meepo, a miner born after 2000 from Meizhou, Guangdong, used an old computer given by his family to mine Bitcoin in middle school, and later his parents directly bought him a professional mining machine. Xiao Yu from Loudi, Hunan, invested his 10,000 yuan scholarship entirely in Trump coins, losing it all in half an hour, but he said, "My family still has two sets of demolition houses."
Their way of playing with coins is quite wild. Zhang Qiang, a trader born after 2000 from Ganzhou, Jiangxi, specifically targets "celebrity coins." When Trump was elected, he bought Trump coins with 10x leverage, resulting in the price plummeting from 83 dollars to 37 dollars, with 7200 yuan instantly evaporating. He said, "Just consider it tuition; the profit from my dad's factory in a month is enough for me to play ten times."
Recently, cryptocurrency lawyers often mention another name: Yang Qichao. This college student born after 2000 issued BFF coins in 2022, withdrawing liquidity within 24 seconds, resulting in investors losing 50,000 USDT. In February this year, a court in Henan sentenced him to four and a half years in prison, becoming the first case in China to be criminally charged for withdrawing liquidity.
These young people all hold thousands of Bitcoins. Based on the current market value, each of them is worth at least 230 million yuan. Liangxi recently predicted that Ethereum would fall below 1000 dollars, and his Twitter comment section is filled with followers, with someone commenting: "After completing this deal, I can also go back home and build a villa." #加密市场回调

Federal Reserve Board member Cook strikes back: From Harvard to the Federal Reserve, Trump's tactics are the same!

Federal Reserve Board member Cook stated that this week's federal court ruling in favor of Harvard University supported her claim: Trump attempted to fire her under the guise of so-called mortgage fraud, merely a pretext to mask his true motive.

Cook stated in court documents submitted to the Washington court on Thursday evening that the allegations of mortgage fraud against her concealed Trump's true purpose—controlling the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates.

She cited a federal judge's ruling that determined Trump used the anti-Semitism issue on Harvard's campus as a "smokescreen," when in fact it was targeting the university due to deep-seated ideological differences.

Cook presented this argument in the documents to support her request for a temporary order to prevent Trump from firing her. U.S. District Judge Jia Cobb is expected to make a ruling on her request soon.

The ruling referenced by Cook was made in the lawsuit filed by Harvard University against Trump for canceling billions of dollars in research funding.

Cook believes that the ruling in the Harvard case revealed Trump's "obvious two-step strategy": to first make ideologically driven statements, and then claim in court that his actions had legitimate motives.

The White House did not immediately respond to the request for comment.

Earlier this week, Cook told the judge that Trump's allegations against her were "copy-paste" in nature, alluding to similar accusations Trump made against prominent Democratic critics.

On Thursday, U.S. government lawyers again urged the judge to dismiss Cook's request to prevent her dismissal during the lawsuit, reinforcing the arguments made at last week's hearing. Hours before the legal filing, reports emerged that the Justice Department had launched a criminal investigation into Cook.

The U.S. government argues that the fraud allegations first raised by Federal Housing Finance Agency Director Calabria constitute sufficient "grounds" under U.S. law for Trump to fire her.

The Justice Department emphasized in Thursday's documents that the judge cannot "question" Trump's judgment regarding the grounds for dismissal, and again dismissed the notion that the alleged dismissal was merely a pretext for controlling the Federal Reserve and lowering interest rates. "Her only 'evidence' is that the president has criticized the Federal Reserve's policies," the document states, "but mere policy disagreements do not mean the president therefore fired Cook." #美联储降息预期 #美国当周失业金人数

My strategy accuracy is like satellite positioning, hitting the target without error! Stepping out 1400 points $BTC

$ETH On schedule, give time time, let the past be the past! #非农就业数据来袭

Last night, several data points for the U.S. in August were actually quite good: ADP employment growth was below expectations, and initial jobless claims were slightly higher than expected, both indicating that the labor market is cooling down, further strengthening expectations for interest rate cuts.

Afterwards, the U.S. August S&P Global Services PMI was slightly below expectations but above the expansion line, while the ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI was above expectations (with the employment index contracting for three consecutive months, the services price index slightly below expectations, and the orders index far exceeding expectations), indicating that the economic fundamentals are fine and consumer services remain resilient.

This is close to what was previously described as the best-case scenario: the economy is fine, labor is slowing down, and prices are not very strong. This drove U.S. stocks overall up last night, with the Russell 2000 leading the gains. Due to Nasdaq regulations, the cryptocurrency market was directly hit.

Of course, the most important thing is today's non-farm payrolls and the CPI data in the middle of the month. As previously discussed, it would be best for tonight's non-farm payrolls to be close to expectations (a small deviation from expectations, whether in line, slightly low, or slightly high, is acceptable);

Far below expectations could lead to a greater expectation for interest rate cuts, but the market would have to endure small shocks caused by recession concerns;

Far above expectations would naturally be the worst for the market, and the path for interest rate cuts would have to change. #非农就业数据来袭 #美联储降息预期

9.5 Midday Bitcoin Ethereum Strategy Analysis
The 4-hour chart has broken through the previous adjustment range, forming a strong upward step. Relying on the lower band of the Bollinger Bands as the critical point for the rise, it has bottomed out and rebounded, consolidating and correcting while releasing upward momentum. Currently, the rising trend line and the middle band support have moved up the critical point. The short-term chart shows an upward trend. Before losing the middle band, maintain the strategy of buying on dips.
Bitcoin $BTC 110700 long-term view at 112500 with a stop at 108500
Ethereum $ETH 4300 long-term view at 4475
Stop at 4220#非农就业数据来袭

The legal team of U.S. President Trump submitted new documents to the court, providing new legal arguments for Trump's removal of Federal Reserve Board member Lisa Cook. The documents emphasize that Cook's claim of being dismissed due to policy disagreements lacks factual support, and the court should not intervene in the president's judgment regarding the reasons for dismissal. Just hours ago, several media outlets reported that the Department of Justice has launched a criminal investigation into Cook, pointing to potential false statements in her mortgage application.

The case is in a heated phase, involving both the boundaries of presidential power in the U.S. and the independence of Federal Reserve policy.

On the same day, Trump’s nominee for Federal Reserve Board member Stephen Miran appeared at the Senate nomination hearing. (First Financial Daily) #非农就业数据来袭 #美联储降息预期 #美国当周失业金人数

Operational suggestions were already provided in the early hours. How many friends have kept up with the pace? #非农就业数据来袭

9.5 Morning Analysis
From an overall perspective, the four-hour chart shows a long upper shadow. Although there is a strong rebound, it has not continued to break the high effectively, indicating a trend of bullish momentum being exhausted. Currently, the lower band of the Bollinger Bands is gradually recovering upwards, and the price action is rebounding with the middle band acting as resistance. Therefore, we need to monitor the breakout situation of the middle band for the day's rhythm. If it holds, we will focus on the rebound; if it breaks, we will follow the trend.
Bitcoin is trading around 110900-111000, looking at 112000.
Ethereum is trading around 4290-4300, looking at 4400#美联储降息预期 .