Francox44

$BNB
🕯 A little motivation and encouragement for all those on the journey towards profitability in this great profession called Trading. 🔥

⚡️ It is a long path, full of obstacles, ups and downs... But if you are consistent, disciplined, and have that ambition to study every day, it’s just a matter of time. 🥰🤝

Steps from 2025 - 2027:

1- Pressure (Tariff war, etc).
2- Poor performances, “bad” data.
3- Rate cuts (More than expected).
4- Initial rebounds (Mostly discounted).
5- QE (Printing).
6- Very strong increases (Euphoria).
7- Inflation, labor cooling, debt crisis, Bubble (Reality check).
8- Fed countermeasures.
9- Historical global crisis (Collapse).

#FollowTheLeadTrader

The probability that the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates at its next meeting on March 18-19, 2025, is very low.

According to current market expectations and statements from Fed officials, there is only about a 3% chance of a rate cut at this meeting.

Instead, markets are more focused on a possible rate cut occurring in June 2025, depending on economic data, particularly inflation and employment figures.

The Fed has been cautious, waiting for more signals before adjusting rates.

As for the probability that the Fed will keep rates unchanged, it is currently very high, over 97%, which means the Fed is expected to maintain the current rate of 4.25% to 4.50% for now.

However, stay tuned for Jerome Powell's press conference after the decision on March 19, as his statements could provide clues about future rate cuts, possibly in May or June 2025.

🕯 These days, if you're trading cryptocurrencies, you are also trading stocks. What are you saying? I'll explain it to you. 😂👇🏻

📉 There are seasons where Bitcoin and traditional stocks move together with almost every tick. This is not unusual in times of uncertainty... 🥶

💡 As a general rule, Bitcoin leads the decline, then it would trade 1:1, and finally it also leads the recovery. Pay attention. 😜👌🏻
#CryptoCPIWatch

$ETH
🔥 The sentiment towards Altcoins has been steadily decreasing after each bull run... 🤔

📊 This is something we have been discussing and warning about for years, that we are literally in the same cycle as the .com Bubble with this type of asset. We would be surprised if more than 10 projects returned to their previous highs... 🥶❄️

📊Good CPI data.

⚡Lower than expected ✔️

As I mentioned, we will probably see a strong rebound of the S&P 500 and Crypto.

For now, let's talk about rebounds, not bottoms. Step by step.🙏
#CryptoCPIWatch

📅Investing Economic Calendar: Regarding the economic calendar, today we have CPI data.

CPI: This is a way to measure changes in inflation trends in the U.S. A lower reading than expected should be taken as positive/bullish for the stock market and cryptocurrencies, while a higher reading than expected should be taken as negative and bearish for the stock market and cryptocurrencies.

Crude Oil Inventory from the EIA: This indicator measures weekly changes in the barrels of crude stored in the U.S. This data should not affect cryptocurrencies.

#MastertheMarket

$BTC

💰Current price: $82,500

📉Sentiment: Bearish

💜Market fear and greed: 34 points (Fear)

💥Expected volatility: Very High

⚠️Main support: $80,000

🚨Main resistance: $84,600

🗣️Summary of what to expect today: Bitcoin has been slowly recovering in the last few hours, but the momentum has been slowing down, as much of the market seems to be waiting for the most important data of the week: the CPI. If the results come out unexpectedly, we could see a significant increase in volatility.

Currently, Bitcoin is in a decision zone. Key supports are at $81,500, where the 50-hour moving average and the 0.236 Fibonacci level converge. If this level breaks, the next support would be at $80,000, and a drop below both could bring us back to the critical zone of $76,600, the lowest recorded earlier this week.

On the resistance side, the level of $84,600 will be key, as it has been the target for much of the week. Additionally, in this zone is the 200-hour moving average, which could act as resistance, as Bitcoin has been below it since last Friday.

If Bitcoin manages to surpass $84,600 and then confirms this level as support, we could talk about a more significant recovery and it could mark a trend change in the short term, as long as no news breaks the market obviously.

💜 Market sentiment: The sentiment left behind extreme fear again and returned to fear zones, at 34 points. We have been in areas of low confidence for a month.

📈Tradingdifferent Map: Analyzing the liquidation map of Bitcoin, we observe a significant concentration at $84,100 and another more distant one at $87,200. On the lower end, the largest accumulations are at $75,300 and $73,800.
$BTC

Soon, if it is not already, we will see a strong rebound of the S&P 500.

An approximately +5%, followed by the rest of the markets (crypto included).

We have to be careful with it. Many will take the opportunity to exit the markets.

At first, I am not going to believe it.
#BinanceAlphaAlert

📊Analysis of $BTC on a Weekly Scale

We know that:

🔸 Bitcoin is consolidating the next level of its bullish trend between 80-107k$~

🔸 In its consolidation, it is deviating below the range, liquidating leveraged traders before resuming its bullish trend.

🔸 These structures repeat throughout the movement of $BTC; they are the famous "Power of three" (Po3).

🔸 Altcoins suffer because dominance remains quite high; we need it to decrease to see strong upward rebounds.

💡Conclusion: Overall, altcoins are creating their lows; seeing how the entire market is, we believe that Q3-Q4 of 2025 will be bullish.

#USStocksPlunge

📊 Report: Bitcoin ETF Sales

🔴 Strong sales in Bitcoin ETFs have generated a panic sentiment in the market, driving the price to the $80K zone.

🪙 Altcoins at the bottom phase: After declines of -50% to -70%, many altcoins seem to be forming their floor.

📉 Bitcoin could still drop a bit more, but the bottom should be near. We are experiencing a bear market in altcoins within a bull market in Bitcoin.

✅ Clear strategy: Do not sell in panic and continue averaging as much as possible.

💎 Patience and long-term vision.💪🏽
$BTC

🕯 The Crypto market is back at "Extreme Fear" levels, which we haven't approached in nearly 2 years... ⚡️

💥 Historically, it has always been a good time for long-term accumulation buying, but... We already know what is happening "behind the scenes"... 🤔
#USStocksPlunge

🚨 We have an interesting week ahead, on Wednesday we will see new data on the CPI in the US... 🥶

✔️ We want the inflation rate to go down, so that the Federal Reserve can start a more flexible regime as soon as possible. But I don’t know if that will be possible yet... 🤔🔥
#TheBitcoinAct

⚠️ Most Asian countries are taking advantage of the benefits of USDT... Meanwhile, in Europe, the use of USDT is being banned as much as possible because "they can't control it". 😅

🔥 This is the reality of the world that awaits us in the coming years, with Europe being repression and persecution, while Asia is becoming Economic Freedom. Incredible... 🫡
#USStocksPlunge

📊 One of the biggest analysts on Wall Street, very bearish in recent years, has stated that the recession is imminent and that the S&P 500 could fall to as low as 4,200 points... 🤔

💥 From experience, when the so-called "experts" start commenting on these kinds of things, something unexpected or "weird" tends to happen in the market. We'll see... 🥶❄️
#TheBitcoinAct

📅Investing Economic Calendar: Regarding the economic calendar, today there are job openings surveys for the month of January.

JOLTs Job Openings Surveys: The JOLTs surveys measure how many job openings are available and are an important indicator for understanding how the labor market is performing. If the results are worse than expected, it is usually a negative signal for the markets, as it indicates that companies are hiring less, which may reflect a weaker economy; however, if the results are bad, it could also put pressure to lower interest rates.

#TradingAnalysis101

$BTC

💰Current price: $81,700

📉Sentiment: Bearish

💜Market fear and greed: 24 points (Extreme fear)

💥Expected volatility: Very High

⚠️Main support: $80,000

🚨Main resistance: $84,600

🗣️Summary of what to expect today: In the last hours, Bitcoin has shown a slight recovery after yesterday's drop. The price has managed to surpass the 0.236 Fibonacci resistance, coinciding with the crossing of the 200-period moving average on the 1-hour chart. For now, the resistances do not seem to exert significant pressure, but be careful as the RSI approaches the overbought zone. If the price fails to surpass $83,500, a hidden bearish divergence could occur. However, if for some reason it surpasses the next resistance at $84,600, it would invalidate that divergence.

According to the analysis presented in yesterday's video, a strong move above $83,000 and the consolidation of this level as support could be interpreted as a first indication of short-term recovery, while the loss of support at $76,500 could lead to bearish continuation.

This week is being very sensitive to any macroeconomic news and what happens with the traditional stock market. For now, the futures of the SP500 and Nasdaq are almost neutral.

💜 Market sentiment: Market sentiment remains stable in extreme fear, at 24 points. There is still no clear recovery in the market.

📈Tradingdifferent map: Looking at the Bitcoin map, we continue to see a large amount of liquidations at the bottom of the chart. The most relevant areas are $75,300 and $74,000.

At the top of the chart, we find that most liquidations are at $82,100 and $84,000.
$BTC

📅 Investing Economic Calendar: Regarding the economic calendar, there are many relevant data today, but the most important will be the unemployment rate and the monetary policy report.

Federal Reserve Monetary Policy Report: Here the Fed explains how it views the economy and gives hints about whether it will raise or lower interest rates. A calmer tone is pleasing to investors because it means less upward pressure on rates. An aggressive tone indicates that rates may continue to rise.

Non-Farm Payrolls: Indicate how many jobs are created in most sectors, excluding agriculture. A very high number sometimes scares the market because it could influence rates. A more moderate figure is usually better received.

Unemployment Rate: The unemployment rate is a measure of the percentage of the total workforce that is unemployed but actively seeking employment and willing to work in the U.S. A high percentage indicates weakness in the labor market, which should be taken as bearish for stocks and cryptos. A low percentage is a positive indicator for the labor market in the U.S. and should be taken as positive for stocks and cryptos.

Average Hourly Earnings: Shows how much average wages are rising. If they grow too much, there could be more inflation, and they might maintain rates or even raise them in an extreme case, something that usually does not please the markets. If wages increase less than expected, it eases inflationary concerns a bit.

Lagarde's Appearance: Her statements are often an important indicator for European markets, as they can provide hints about possible changes in interest rates and economic policy. This data can affect the Euro/Dollar pair, but not cryptos.

#BitcoinPolicyShift

$BTC

💰Current price: 89,100$

📉Sentiment: Bearish

💜Market fear and greed: 34 points (Fear)

💥Expected volatility: Extreme

⚠️Main support: 85,600$

🚨Main resistance: 91,600$

🗣️Summary of what to expect today: Bitcoin managed to maintain support at 85,600$, staying within the range between 91,600$ and 86,000$. However, the strongest market reaction could occur this afternoon with the impact of the event at the White House.

Currently, the 200 moving average on the 1H chart is acting as support around 87,000$, followed by 85,600$, which withstood the drop after the announcement that there will be no new purchases by the U.S. National Reserve for now. If both levels are lost, the price could break its current structure and open up space for a deeper pullback down to 82,700$.

On the resistance side, the 50 moving average on the 1H chart has been an obstacle at 89,600$. Further up, the golden pocket at 91,600$ is again the key barrier to overcome. If all prior resistances are surpassed, the most important wall as we have seen in recent newsletters is at 94,600$.

The daily MACD remains bullish, which is positive in the medium term, although it currently shows hidden bearish divergence.

Today is a day full of fundamentals, as data on interest rates is published, Powell speaks, unemployment figures in the U.S. are revealed, and the crypto event takes place, along with Trump's speech.

💜 Market sentiment: Market sentiment has left extreme fear behind and we are now at 34 points. Confidence is returning, but still far from anything euphoric.

📈Different Trading Map: Looking at the Bitcoin map, a significant part is located at the top of the chart between 93,000$ and 95,000$. On the lower side, we encounter a lesser concentration at 84,000$, but be aware that we also have a large accumulation zone at 80,000$.