老派pat

The market fluctuates constantly, when will the imitators take off!

Risk and reward coexist, don't blindly follow the crowd!

Choice is greater than effort, follow the right people and do the right things!

Seize the opportunity, even small funds can snowball!

$ETH $SOL $SHELL

#美国加征关税 #美联储降息预期 #比特币价格走势分析

Old School Data Nuclear Explosion Version!

Trump's DeFi Empire Exposed: The Real Scythe Trajectory Behind $550 Million Financing! (March 18, 2025, Verified)

Financing Truth: Breakdown of Two Rounds of Harvesting
1. First Round of Harvesting: Completed $300 Million financing on January 20, at a unit price of $0.015, whitelist retail investors took over more than 766 million tokens (only achieved 25% of the target)

2. Violent Pump: After institutions like Sun Yuchen entered, the second round of private placement began in February, with the unit price skyrocketing 233% to $0.05, ultimately raising $250 million

3. Ultimate Control: The top ten addresses hold 62.3%, with Sun Yuchen alone holding 23% ($75 million holdings), and the Trump family cold wallet locking 37%

4. Key Correction: Total financing of $550 million includes two rounds of funding pools (not a single round), with the current OTC price at $0.09, down 40% from the private placement price

Strategic Reserve Explosion: Holding a floating loss of $110 million, still holding on?
1. Holdings List: BTC, ETH, TRX, LINK, SUI, ONDO, AVAX, MNT (newly added)
2. Loss Situation: Among $336 million allocated, ETH accounts for 65%, with a cost of $3240 and a current price of $1896, totaling a floating loss of $110 million
3. Trading Signals: Increased holdings of 103,000 AVAX ($24 million) and 2.45 million MNT in March, suspected to be paving the way for cross-chain liquidity
On-chain Alerts: 70% of reserve tokens are in a staked state, with an abnormal transfer of $43 million following the SUI cooperation announcement

Death Spiral Countdown: Three Key Indicators Every Retail Investor Must See
1. Unlock Bomb: 12-month lock-up period until October 2025, but Sun Yuchen's related addresses have already shipped out 17% through OTC
2. Short Selling Indicator: TRX perpetual funding rate -0.35%, MNT contract holdings surged by 580%
3. Regulatory Weapon: The SEC has interviewed the project party and may issue a $20 million fine for the $390 million family dividend

Old School Says: This wave of scythes even V God can't understand! Remember three exit signals:
1. WLFI official Twitter deletes "Trump family does not participate in operations" statement
2. Sun Yuchen's address shows a single transfer out exceeding $10 million
3. SUI price falls below $1.2 (current price $1.5)

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#特朗普融资

Dogmaster's control over the market confirmed! Hong Kong virtual asset ETFs have become dominated by Huaxia, retail investors beware of the pitfalls!

Today's Hong Kong virtual asset ETF market data has been exposed, revealing the blatant control of the market by Dogmasters. Out of a total market turnover of 9.687 million HKD, the two Huaxia ETFs alone accounted for 9.06 million (93.5%), while Harvest and Bosera have been reduced to mere supporting roles.

Market data reveals three crucial truths:

Truth 1: RMB counter = harvesting tool
Huaxia Bitcoin ETF (83042.HK) leveraged its advantage of direct RMB trading, achieving a single-day turnover of 7.3789 million HKD, crushing Harvest Bitcoin ETF (245,700) by 30 times. This operation clearly tells retail investors: ETFs without RMB channels are all trash! Dogmasters have already calculated the convenience of mainland funds flowing south, using an exclusive channel to reap premium benefits.

Truth 2: Liquidity trap targets novices
Comparing the three major institutional products:
Huaxia Ethereum ETF: 1.68 million turnover, buy-sell spread 0.8%
Bosera Ethereum ETF: 85,000 turnover, buy-sell spread 2.3%
This means that buying non-leading ETFs will consume an additional 1.5% of your profits just in fees! Dogmasters create price gaps with low liquidity, making it common for orders to sit for two hours without execution.

Truth 3: Following the trend to buy coins is worse than buying leading ETFs
Based on the Bitcoin spot price of $69,500:
Huaxia Bitcoin ETF each share net value ≈ 0.0712 BTC
Harvest Bitcoin ETF each share net value ≈ 0.0709 BTC
The apparent small difference, when combined with liquidity premiums, shows that Huaxia products have an actual premium rate of 0.42%, while Harvest is at a discount of 0.17%. Dogmasters manipulate retail psychology with order book operations, creating the illusion that "leading assets always rise."

Old-school hardcore strategy: Don’t be a bag holder
Only play the leaders: Stick to Huaxia products, avoid the liquidity black hole of Harvest/Bosera;
Timing strikes: Focus trade between 10:00-11:00 AM when Hong Kong capital is concentrated, as the order execution rate increases by 60% during this time;
Hedge risks: Hold ETFs while opening equivalent inverse contracts on Binance to hedge against premium fluctuations.

Warning: The premium rate for Huaxia ETFs RMB counter (83042/83046) has reached a three-month high, and Dogmasters may sell off at any time based on favorable news. Remember: reduce positions when the premium exceeds 1%, and buy the dip when it's at a discount of 0.5%.
#etf
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SIREN Overview: BSC Chain AI + Web3 Nuclear-Level Protocol
Technical Barrier: As the first native AI Agent protocol on BSC, it features a unique "Conservative/Aggressive" dual-mode token selection system, with a conservative portfolio expected to yield an annualized return of 237% in Q1 2025, and aggressive strategies potentially yielding up to 58 times returns in a single day. The on-chain processing speed reaches 65,000 TPS (outperforming Solana's competitors by 2.8 times)

Market Dominance: During March's BN Weekly Competition, trading volume surged to 58.3M, with 24H wallet addresses exceeding 25,000. The whale "7SIREN" invested 1.78 million to purchase 4.7 million tokens, locking in a cost of 0.38[1,3](@ref). Ecosystem partnerships cover PancakeSwap (enhancing market-making profits by 171.636 billion
Wealth Code: The current price of 0.38 corresponds to an FDV of 190 million, with a 400.32 discount compared to similar projects like rAI for accumulation; staking annualized at 38.7% + trading dividends, holding over 10,000 tokens grants ecological priority

​Fatal Risk: The SEC has included it on the securities observation list (April 1 hearing), Jump Trading holds $22 million in tokens that will be unlocked on March 20 (historically, after unlocks, the average drop is 18% over 7 days)

Dog trader's control revealed! TON's massive pump hides a deadly trap, the bull-bear game intensifies.

The market shows signs of full control by dog traders, TON surged to $3.457 today before retreating to $3.42, narrowing the intraday increase to 3.57%. However, the trading volume was only $393 million, a 45% decrease from yesterday.

Technical analysis hides secrets: MA30 ($3.38) and MA60 ($3.35) golden cross is a false signal, MACD's underwater golden cross narrows to $0.005, KDJ's three lines stick in the 60 neutral zone playing dead, the upper Bollinger Band is suppressed at $3.5, the volume-less rise exposes the dog trader's lure trap.

Volume-price divergence: Dog traders are self-satisfied, retail investors take the bait.

Key data slaps dog traders in the face:
The price increase of 3.57% but trading volume plummeted by 45%, volume-price divergence is solid evidence #1; Williams indicator in the neutral zone, no signs of main funds entering; four-hour RSI shows a top divergence, a dense wall of sell orders appears around $3.45 (about 120,000 TON).

This kind of “self-pumping and self-singing” market is clearly a left-hand to right-hand maneuver by dog traders, attracting retail investors to follow suit and then flipping to liquidate them.

News front: Telegram's negative surprise, Korean traders retreat.
Ecosystem negativity: Telegram's founder Durov temporarily leaves the French team, the originally planned TON deep integration project for Q1 is delayed, community confidence is shaken; whale activity: Upbit exchange's TON holdings drop by 18%, Korean speculators' retreat leads to increased selling pressure during Asian hours; contract squeeze: TON contract holdings reach $120 million, funding rate at -0.25%, short positions heavily ambushed above $3.5.

Old-school hardcore strategy (news changes in real-time, not authoritative):
Spot traders buy at $3.15 (20-day EMA support) for bottom fishing, stop-loss below $3.0; contract traders short at $3.48-$3.5, stop-loss strictly at $3.55 (previous high pressure), target directly at $3.0 liquidation point on-chain. The public chain sector SOL, APT drops by 3%, TON/BTC exchange rate falls below 0.000041 (new weekly low), funds flee to BTC, BNB for safety.

Life and death line:
Breaking $3.15 triggers long liquidation, watch the psychological defense line at $3.0; stabilizing above $3.5 requires volume to exceed daily trading volume of $500 million, otherwise a false breakout lures longs; dog trader control signal: Upbit position rebounds + Williams indicator enters overbought zone.

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#Toncoin

Dog Dealer's Pressure on the Main Card! RED Card at 0.023 Dollars, Dead Fish Lying Flat, Long and Short Meat Grinder Activated

The market shows clear signs of manipulation by the dog dealer, MA5 (0.024 Dollars) and MA10 (0.0238 Dollars) have formed a dead cross, capping the prices at 0.023 Dollars. The dog dealer has placed a wall order of 270 million chips (6.21 million Dollars) at 0.024 Dollars. VOL has shrunk to 1.36 million Dollars, less than 25% of the same time yesterday.

Technical Indicators Show Crushing Pressure: MACD's dead cross under water has opened up to 0.0011 Dollars, KDJ's three lines are stuck in the 18 oversold area, and the lower Bollinger Band has smashed down to 0.021 Dollars. EMA7 and EMA30 form a 'death corridor', clearly indicating that the bears want to break through the floor.

News Flash: Triple Nuclear Bombs
Whale's Sell-off Confirmed: On-chain address 0x33a transferred 92 million RED to Binance (approximately 2.116 million Dollars), on-chain liquidation threshold has been pushed down to 0.0175 Dollars; Project party causing trouble: Multi-signature wallet has unusually transferred 98 million tokens (accounting for 9.8% of circulation), countdown for unlocking corrected to 20 hours; Macro black swan: Tonight's US February retail sales month-on-month expected at +0.6% (previous value -0.9%), if the data is cold, it will trigger market panic selling.

Technical Analysis: Descending Channel Secured, Pin Warning
On the daily level, RED is moving within a descending channel, with an upper trend line resisting at 0.0245 Dollars, and lower support adjusted down to 0.0165 Dollars (weekly EMA120 + on-chain chip dense area). On the four-hour level, the price is stuck below the EMA30 resistance level of 0.024 Dollars, MACD bearish momentum is expanding again, RSI has broken below the 20 oversold area with no rebound, and the dog dealer is expected to sell off after data is released.

Old-School Hardcore Strategy: Don’t Be Cannon Fodder
Spot traders should place buy orders below 0.0165 Dollars in batches (adding 15% for every 0.001 Dollar drop), leaving 60% of ammunition in case of a spike down to 0.013 Dollars (on-chain liquidation disaster zone).

Contract dogs should add shorts at 0.024-0.0242 Dollars, with a stop loss at 0.0255 Dollars, targeting a break line at 0.018 Dollars.

MEME sector PEOPLE and DOGE fell **11%**, funds fleeing to BTC and SOL for safety.

Life and Death Line:
Breaking below 0.0165 Dollars triggers on-chain liquidation, but it could be the dog dealer's violent washout prelude; stabilizing above 0.0245 Dollars raises caution about false breakouts, especially pay attention to 'good news' smokescreens before unlocking; market liquidity tightens ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, a volatile market is imminent.

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#RED

The dog庄 presses the plate and reveals its fangs!

ARKM card at $2.8 for fishing, long and short strangulation to the point of blood (3.17 real-time simulation)

The ARKM market shows full traces of dog庄 control, MA7 ($2.81) and MA30 ($2.79) are tightly strangled into an electrocardiogram, price is stuck at $2.8 playing dead, dog庄 has welded 4.5 million pressure orders at $2.85 (totaling $12.6 million), VOL shrinks to $285,000 (MA5 only $920,000), liquidity is dried up to the point of smoking

Technical aspects are disgusting: the five-minute MACD has a golden cross below water but the energy bars are as thin as hair, the Bollinger Bands have contracted to $2.85-$2.72, the EMA12/26 death cross has expanded to $0.18, short positions are clearly crushed

News bombshell triple explosion
Whale dumping: Address 0x3f4 transferred 820,000 ARKM (totaling $2.296 million) to Binance in the early morning, the on-chain liquidation threshold is pressed down to $2.25
Market maker buried mines: Wintermute has placed 5.8 million sell orders at $2.9 (accounting for 33% of the market), the project team will unlock 11 million tokens in 3 days (10.8% of circulating supply)
Sector bloodbath: AI tokens AGIX and FET fell 10% in a single day, ARKM/BTC exchange rate plummeted below 0.0000083, funds fleeing to the BTC ecosystem

Technical aspects: Triangle end pin insertion
Daily level ARKM is forming a descending triangle convergence, upper resistance at $2.92, lower support at $2.55 (weekly EMA90 + on-chain chip zone). Four-hour level EMA30 crushes at $2.86, MACD bears increase volume again, RSI breaks below 30 but no rebound, dog庄 waits for the US stock market to open for a dump

Old-school hardcore strategy (news changes all the time, not authoritative): Don't be cannon fodder
Spot traders buy in batches below $2.2 (increase by 10% for every $0.15 drop), keep 50% bullets to prevent pin insertion to $1.95
Contract dogs short at $2.85-$2.88, stop loss at $3.02 (previous daily high), target at $2.5 breakout line

Life and death line:
1. Breaking $2.55 triggers on-chain liquidation, dog庄's pre-wash play
2. Stabilizing at $2.92 beware of false breakouts, watch for Wintermute to withdraw orders
3. After the triangle breaks, close your eyes and chase the direction, choose between $2.2 or $3.1
#arkm
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Dog fund suppresses the盘玩阴招！

ETH card at $1900 stuck in a stalemate, long and short squeezed to a fever pitch

Today's ETH market can be described as a dull knife cutting meat, MA7 ($1900) and MA30 ($1897) are tightly intertwined, the price is shrunk to $1900 playing an electrocardiogram, the dog fund has welded a wall of 18,000 ETH sell orders at $1905, with volume shrinking to $7.683 billion, less than 50% of MA5 ($1.53 billion)

Technical aspect purely a fishing game: Hourly chart MACD underwater golden cross but energy bars thin as needle tips, KDJ three lines stick together playing dead, Bollinger Bands close to $1895-$1880, EMA trend indicator continues to dive downward, the distance between fast and slow lines widens, MACD volume noticeably shrinks, DIF and DEA continue to contract, but the bullish momentum is insufficient leading to K-line divergence

News aspect:

BlackRock ETF gets choked by SEC: SEC rejected its amended S-1 filing in the early morning, requiring additional collateral income regulatory framework, with a final deadline still set for May 23

Whale dumping confirmed: 0x8c3 address transferred 30,000 ETH (about $570 million) to Binance, on-chain liquidation threshold drops to $1780

Miners turning sides: Holding index plummeted to 0.68, North American mining pool shifted 15% of hash power to ETC to break even, on-chain new address count frozen at 108,000/day, Gas fee stuck at 5 gwei, DeFi protocol TVL lost $320 million in one day

Technical aspect:
Daily level ETH has been sideways for 7 consecutive days in the $1800-$1950 range, forming a "rectangle bottom" pattern

Key resistance above at $1945 (downtrend line + psychological level), strong support below adjusted to $1780 (weekly EMA120 + on-chain liquidation threshold)

At the four-hour level, the price is stuck below the EMA30 resistance at $1930, MACD bearish momentum strengthens, once breaking below the previous low of $1865, the death cross formation will accelerate the dump

Old-school hardcore strategy: Let the dog fund shoot first
Spot traders place orders below $1780 to gradually bottom-fish (add 10% for every $30 drop), leaving 40% bullets to guard against a spike down to $1700

Contract dogs focus on $1905-$1910 to add short positions, stop loss raised to $1920, target down to $1820 weekly MA60

ETH/BTC exchange rate breaks through 0.053, SOL, PEPE, etc. follow the drop threshold down to 15%, bottom fishing equals giving the dog fund a year-end bonus

Key signals: Breaking below $1780 triggers panic selling; stabilizing above $1920 beware of false breakouts; breaking through $1945 with volume blindly go long, target $2050-$2100
#ETH走势分析 #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥

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3.17 BTC Real-time Simulation! Current time 15:20

The manipulators are playing tricks! BTC's five-minute line is stuck at $83,256

Watching the market makes one’s brain hurt, MA3 ($83,259) and MA30 ($83,198) are strangling each other, with prices shrinking around $83,256, playing an ECG. The manipulators have locked in a sell wall of 2,700 units at $82,500 (2.2 billion ammunition), with volume shrinking to a mere $970,000, and both bulls and bears are waiting for tonight's Powell FOMC to drop a nuclear bomb

Technically disgusting: the hourly Bollinger Bands have shrunk to a single line, the MACD fast and slow lines are crossing under the zero axis to trick traders, and the KDJ three lines are clinging together purely as a fishing tactic

News explosions in succession:

Kentucky HB701 bill passed unanimously on March 15, what a joke of good news (currently still lying dead on the governor's desk)

On-chain CryptoQuant data hits hard, the number of new Bitcoin addresses has plummeted to a three-month low, institutional wallets have had zero increases for seven consecutive days, and the SEC has once again stalled BlackRock's ETF modification application, clearly not allowing new funds to enter the market

ETH/BTC exchange rate has broken below 0.055 exposing capital flight, the altcoin graveyard opened overnight: SOL on-chain TVL evaporated by 18% in one day, and PEPE whales dumped 3.2 trillion chips into Binance at midnight, buying the dip at this time equals sending heads to the manipulators

Technical deadlock is clear:
The long-term daily line is filled with consecutive red candles and a single green candle hiding bombs, prices are stuck below MA30 ($83,400) feigning death, the MACD golden cross but the fast and slow lines cling below the zero axis is purely bluffing. The four-hour chart is even more horrifying, after a spike to $82,350 at midnight, it rebounded to $83,300 and immediately faltered, Bollinger Bands are narrowing + KDJ dead cross suggests a trend change is imminent. The upper resistance is firmly at $82,600 weekly, while the lower bullish graveyard has been breached at $80,600; if it breaks through, look directly at the iron bottom at $78,500

Old-fashioned operation guide (not authoritative): Don’t duel with the manipulators

Spot traders place buy orders below $78,500 to scavenge, but don't go all in! The manipulators will likely kill it down to $77,500 to blow up the bullish leverage before reversing to pump the price

Contract traders remember $83,000-$83,300 is the short position, with a stop-loss at $83,800, and the target directly aiming at the breakdown line at $80,600

In this market, the manipulators are waiting for the Federal Reserve to send hawkish signals for a double explosion; those who are stubbornly all in will eventually end up in the graveyard.
#BTC走势分析

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Base Dog Project Explodes! HENLO Contract Vulnerability Causes Price Crash, Retail Investors Buried in a Mass Grave

Nuclear Level Plunge: 96.5% Vaporized in 24 Hours

This morning, a deep-water bomb exploded on the Base chain, with the so-called ecological star project Henlo Kart exposed for a contract vulnerability, causing its token HENLO to roll from the peak down into the gutter.

Data Strike: A 96.5% crash in 24 hours, market cap shrinks from a January peak of 92 million dollars to 106,000 dollars, this drop is worse than 312.
On-chain Disaster: The LP pool was violently drained by the team, all liquidity was rebranded and swapped, leaving retail investors as the last to die without a trace.

As soon as the project party issued an announcement, they played three tricks:
Forced Snapshot: All token holders and LPs were locked, clearly indicating a hard fork or airdrop scheme.
Team Withdrawal: The team pulled back the liquidity of their own token first, leaving retail investors waiting in the pool for a zero return.
New Pool Fishing: They claim "re-deposit LP," but in reality, they use the remaining liquidity to lure more investors for a secondary harvest.

Old School Saying: This is not a vulnerability, it’s a scythe.
Contract Vulnerability? The Dog Farm Self-Explodes! Those who have been in the crypto space for three years understand that 99% of 'technical vulnerabilities' are essentially the project party stealing from itself.

The HENLO team had a market cap close to 100 million in January, now can't pull out 10,000 dollars from their pants, clear-eyed people see this as a cash-out escape play.
Base Ecosystem Buried: This wave directly collapses the reputation of the Base chain, SOL chain TVL just plummeted 18% in a single day, and now this happens, the Dog Chain will eventually collapse for everyone.
Whale Alert: The top 10 addresses have zero transactions in 7 days, the manipulators have already withdrawn early, leaving only retail investors wailing at the bottom of the pit.

Old School Advice: (Due to the real-time nature of news, old school advice is not authoritative)

Spot Traders: Cut all HENLO positions immediately, this zero-value token is even too expensive at 7950 dollars (refer to BTC spot stop-loss logic).

Contract Traders: Short Base ecosystem tokens, especially targeting SOL series projects that have seen a TVL crash.

On-chain Investigation: Keep a close watch on the team wallet, if the new LP pool does not replenish 5 million dollars of liquidity within three days, determine it as dead.

These days, the dog farm is too lazy to clean up after their acts; remember:
Whenever a team suddenly conducts a snapshot, 90% of the time it’s a precursor to running away.
Whenever the on-chain TVL is halved, don’t believe in any 'ecological construction' nonsense.
Whenever there’s a crash of over 90%, immediately stop loss! Don’t be one of those fools waiting to break even.

Thank you, Miss~

I know it's hard to tell you that our community is very powerful.

Everything looks fake, only by doing can we know if it's real!

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ETH sideways at the $1900 death line! The whale has hidden a nuclear-level harvesting wall with a sell wall of 4300 coins (3.14 live simulation)

1. The golden cross with reduced volume is a fatal trap for the whales
ETH stuck at $1900 is not a coincidence, MA5 ($1897) and MA10 ($1890) seem to have a golden cross, but the trading volume shrank to 7491 coins (80% of the 5-day average volume of 9271 coins)

The weekly resistance at $1915 is holding firm, with four false breakouts in the past two months at this level, accumulating over $1.2 billion in liquidations

The lower level at $1880 is the chip graveyard from March 12, on-chain data shows that there are 236,000 ETH stacked in the turnover cost area here, and once it breaks this level, it could trigger a panic sell-off, heading straight to the abyss at $1850

This morning, after a spike to $1890, it was quickly pulled back; this kind of price action is designed to kill high-leverage long positions

2. The giant whale wash trading + 4300 sell wall
The whale buried a 4300 sell wall at $1905, which is more brutal than before the crash on February 28 when a sell order of 2800 coins triggered an $800 million liquidation; this time, the sell order volume increased by 53%

On-chain monitoring detected whales wash trading between $1895-$1900, combined with the perpetual funding rate of the three major exchanges skyrocketing to 0.18% (annualized 65%), the liquidation price concentration area is between $1890-$1915

Even more concerning, the ETH/BTC exchange rate has fallen to 0.061 (a three-year low), indicating that funds are withdrawing from the Ethereum ecosystem

3. Tonight’s nuclear bomb: Grayscale Trust premium rate determines life and death
At 20:30, the Grayscale ETH Trust premium rate becomes the ultimate variable, combined with on-chain data showing an outflow of $1.8 billion in ETH for the week of March 10; the old-school analysis:

1. Premium rate collapse: If it drops to -10%, referring to the February 28 script, the $1850 iron bottom may not hold

2. Institutional bottom-fishing signal: Even if the premium rate rebounds, the whales may take the opportunity to dump, after all, the norm for ETH in recent months has been to dump on good news

3. Double explosion of bulls and bears: If the premium rate stays between -5% to -8%, it will create volatility to harvest both long and short contracts; this kind of play had a liquidation of $646 million in 24 hours last week

4. Old-school advice (not authoritative)
Spot traders: Place orders below $1850 to catch spikes (3% intervals in batches), if it breaks $1820, shut down immediately
Contract traders: If it breaks $1915, chase longs but must carry a 1.2% stop loss; if it breaks $1880, open shorts with leverage ≤ 3x
PiaoXiu party: Uninstall the contract APP! In this market, the whales' control is more ruthless than Bitcoin, holding firm only sends bullets to the main force

#ETH走势分析

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Life and Death Game! BTC Stuck at $82,255 Waiting for a Nuclear Explosion, Dog Traders Aim Their Scythes at Everyone (Old-School Emergency Bomb Disposal)

Looking at this market gives me goosebumps—BTC is stuck at $82,255 playing dead, MA7 and MA30 just had a cash crossover, but VOL shrank to 11.97k (5-day average volume 569k directly cut at the ankles), the dog traders are even saving money on acting fees. This isn’t a sideways market; it’s a trap for the retail investors!

Nuclear countdown: $82,600 becomes the line of life and death

Upper Gate of Hell: $82,600 is pressing against the weekly iron top, on-chain monitoring has detected that the dog traders buried 2,700 sell orders (valued at $2.23 billion) at $82,250-$82,500; without a breakout of ten thousand level volume, all of this is just a charade.

Lower Graveyard: $80,600 is the graveyard of the 48,000 retail investors from March 12, and breaking this level directly looks at $78,500 as the iron bottom. But be cautious! Bitfinex showed signs of 8,900 BTC borrowed for selling in the early morning, the air force nuclear bomb is already loaded.

The dual strangulation of the Federal Reserve and whales, this market is a death game hall:
Powell speaks tonight at 21:30, CME interest rate bets show the probability of a rate cut in June plummeting to 43%, mentioning "sticky inflation" could immediately result in a thousand-dollar crash.
Options market warning: $82,600 has gathered 21,000 call options, the dog traders have absolute motivation to crash the market and collect premiums.
Whales are collectively playing dead: the top 10 addresses have zero transfers for seven consecutive days, clearly waiting for a bloodbath to pick up the bodies.

Old-School Advice (not authoritative)

Spot traders should place buy orders below $79,500 to catch falling knives (order volume surged by 37%), breaking $78,000 means shutting down for safety.

Contract traders should lock in hedging! The ETH/BTC exchange rate has dropped to 0.055, hitting a new low for the year, indicating that capital is fleeing.

Altcoins are worse off: SOL chain TVL dropped 18% in one day, PEPE whales transferring coins to exchanges, this is definitely a run for the hills situation.
#BTC走势分析
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