季知节谈币

The current price of the pancake is 105699, go long directly, watch the breakout point, pay attention to 106500#加密市场反弹 $BTC $XRP

In the tumultuous game of the capital market, the divergence between bulls and bears has intensified. The bulls are waiting for a breakout, the bears have already positioned themselves in advance, while the hesitant are passively observing. Traders with real execution power never wait for the market to clarify; instead, they seek optimal solutions amidst uncertainty. The bearish outlook we previously suggested has been validated, with precise timing, and the current strategy continues.
　　From the current market perspective, every upward charge is constrained by significant resistance above, making effective breakthroughs impossible in the short term, causing the market to repeatedly return to a fluctuating range. Technically, the structure shows that while the highs are gradually flattening and the lows are continuously rising, it has not directly turned bearish. However, the ongoing convergence of the range indicates that a trend shift is imminent. Combining this with the judgment of a larger trend, the current market still operates with a weak bias, and rebounds are mostly technical corrections, with heavy pressure above, where bears may initiate a new round of downward movement at any time.
Short position on Bitcoin at 105000-105500, with the target initially looking at around 104000; if it breaks down, it may extend to around 103500; short position on Ethereum at 2410-2430, with the target around 2350.

Morning consolidation with both bulls and bears lacking strength. Currently, the price ratio has slightly rebounded. The short position has seized the opportunity to layout accordingly and is still present in the market. The rhythm of the market is completely in line with our previous predictions, and the bearish volume has slightly increased. This operation fully demonstrates that the existence of pullbacks is necessary. Ethereum is synchronously progressing, and the short volume has increased, operating around 2392. As long as we strictly execute according to the principles and avoid chasing highs and cutting losses, while not entering blindly, true strength lies within the rhythm.
From the current trend, yesterday’s daily line closed with a medium to large bullish candle. Although the rebound strength is strong, the high point did not break through the mid-track resistance and failed to stabilize above the previous high. Overall, at a large scale, it still belongs to a corrective rebound nature and has not changed the oscillation pattern. At present, the price ratio has once again faced resistance after reaching the previous high point area, and the K-line has gradually turned bearish, indicating a short-term need for a pullback correction. On the four-hour level, the price ratio rebounded from around 98000 to 106000, forming a complete V-shaped rebound structure with sufficient wave space released. Currently, after the price ratio pulls back, it has weakened again, and we need to pay close attention to whether the 106500 line can be effectively broken. If it breaks above, it is expected to further open up a rebound space to 110000; if it meets resistance again, it means the market is still in a retracement channel, and the short-term rhythm should still focus on shorting in line with the trend.
Bitcoin short at 105000-105500, target down to around 103000; Ethereum short at 2400-2430, short-term target 2300. Overall, maintain the strategy framework of 'breaking upwards to go long, pressured to go short', keep up with the rhythm, control the positions, and the real trading will naturally be smooth.

The morning trading shows a weak consolidation, and the price ratio has slightly rebounded. The short position has seized the opportunity to layout, and is still in the market. The market rhythm completely aligns with our previous predictions, and the bearish volume has slightly increased. This operation fully demonstrates that a pullback is necessary. The Ethereum side is progressing simultaneously, with bearish volume increasing, currently trading around 2392. As long as we strictly follow the principles of timing, avoiding chasing highs and killing lows, and not entering the market blindly, the true strength lies within the rhythm.
From the current trend, yesterday's daily line closed with a medium to large bullish candle. Although the rebound is strong, the high has not broken through the mid-band resistance or stabilized above the previous high. Overall, on a larger scale, it still belongs to a corrective rebound, which has not changed the oscillation pattern. Currently, the price ratio has once again faced resistance after reaching the previous high area, and the candlestick has gradually turned bearish, indicating a short-term need for a pullback correction. On the four-hour level, the price ratio rebounded from around 98000 to 106000, forming a complete V-shaped rebound structure, with sufficient release of wave space. Currently, the price ratio has weakened again after a pullback, and we need to pay close attention to whether the 106500 line can effectively break through. If it breaks upward, further upward rebound space up to 110000 is expected; if it faces resistance again, it means the market is still in a pullback channel, and the short-term rhythm should continue to focus on short positions.
Short position on Bitcoin at 105000-105500, with a target down to around 103000; short position on Ethereum at 2400-2430, with a short-term target of 2300. Overall, maintain the strategy framework of 'breaking upward and going long, facing pressure and going short,' keeping up with the rhythm and controlling the levels, making real trading naturally smooth.

The Bitcoin dropped to 99547, which is our target level of 99600, but it failed to drop further and instead rebounded from the bottom. Currently, the price has risen to 106000 and is facing pressure at this high point, in a phase of oscillation and adjustment. Although there is a significant rebound space, exceeding 6000 points, it has not broken through further. Ethereum is developing in sync, facing pressure at the 2450 line after the rise.
From the current trend, on the daily chart, Bitcoin's breakout of the 106000 mark will face pressure near 106500, which is the mid-track resistance, so we can pay attention to this position and consider chasing long after a breakthrough. However, currently, around 106000 and below still remains a good entry point for bears. In terms of operation, we still recommend flexibly adjusting based on small-scale structures, primarily focusing on short-term high short adjustments.
Bitcoin can be shorted in the range of 105900-106500, with a target near 104000. Ethereum can be shorted in the range of 2430-2450, with a target near 2360.

With the market reaching this position, we can say that our rhythm today has been clearly grasped. We anticipated the rebound target in advance during the day, repeatedly providing the current price for orders, and all rhythm prompts throughout the day were achieved. Especially in the evening, we indicated a pullback with multiple positions; although it did not rise to the target range, we entered the market at 100917 during the price pullback and exited at 102447, earning 1530 points, with the direction being precise and accurate, once again validating our keen market capture ability. To be honest, this kind of market is exclusive to friends who excel at rhythm control; when it’s time to rebound, we rebound; when it’s time to short, we short. We never cling to battles, only earning what we should earn. Looking back at the entire day, from fluctuating upward to the U.S. stock market driving the rebound, and then to the evening high point retreating, the entire rhythm forms a complete loop. It must be said that those who can see, speak, and dare to act are always the ones who benefit from the main forces.
From the current trend and the four-hour structure, the overall situation remains in a weak rebound phase of consolidation after a decline. 102600 constitutes a phase resistance level. After several attempts to rise without success, it has turned into a bearish consolidation. The evening candlestick has clearly shown a long upper shadow bearish line, forming a top signal. The middle track pressure has not been broken, and the rebound's sustainability is weak, indicating that the upward movement is still corrective in nature. Looking at the hourly chart, it has once again fallen below 101000, returning to the lower edge of the consolidation range. The market momentum shows a typical rhythm of 'weak high + smooth pullback', continuing to advance in a bearish pattern. The situation with Ethereum is similar; after touching the peak of 2317, it quickly fell, currently maintaining a weak position around 2214, with poor momentum coordination and limited rebound space, still inclined to view it as a process of consolidation and decline after the peak of the rebound.
For Bitcoin, short positions at 100900-101500, aggressive traders can enter directly, with a target around 99600, and if it breaks, we look to 981. For Ethereum, short positions at 2250-2220, looking down towards around 2170, with a break targeting 2111.

The bulls are expected to increase in volume, the current price of Bitcoin is 101,963, directly entering with multiple orders, paying attention to 102,700,024,515,352,195,194,211,532,996,896,540,317

In the afternoon, we again provide ideas and hints to continue watching for the continuation of the bulls. The market shows slow fluctuations, and the bulls are nearing the end of their volume increase. Ultimately, after rebounding to 102155, it weakens again, and the price ratio returns to operate below the middle track. The K-line pattern shows a clear 'high probe and low close' structure, confirming that short-term rebound momentum is weakening. The bears are trying to take control of the rhythm, but the momentum aspect has not been realized and has not yet succeeded. The short-term support below still focuses on the 100800-100000 area. Once it effectively breaks down, it will open up a new round of downward space, and a reversal may be considered. Regarding Ethereum, similarly, after rebounding to around 2277 in the afternoon, it faced downward pressure again. Currently, the K-line has fallen back to around 2250 for consolidation, forming a top bearish pattern in the short term. The support level focuses on the previous low range of 2215-2190, with the overall trend being weaker than Bitcoin.
Bitcoin Long at 100800-100400, with a target near 102700. Ethereum Long at 2230-2220, with a target near 2290.

The midday rhythm continues to track accurately. We suggest that Bitcoin (大饼) should first look for a rebound continuation to test the 103,000 area. The actual market also rose as expected, testing the high point reaching 102,155, and then slightly consolidated and oscillated above the middle track. During midday, we also provided the current price for a long position at 101,136, and finally exited the trade near 1,020 after the rebound. From this morning's pullback to this round of rebound, we have shared our ideas in advance, capturing the rhythm, with strategies consistently succeeding, naturally boosting our confidence. During this high-level and grinding oscillation period, being able to maintain rhythm and hold onto profits gives us an edge over others.
From the current trend, the hourly chart has continuously formed small bullish candlestick bodies, establishing a short-term bullish engulfing pattern, with a slight upward shift in focus, reflecting that short-term buying is still dominant. After a quick rise following a high-level pullback, a typical upward continuation structure has formed. It is currently stabilizing around 101,800, consolidating with the middle track turning upward, indicating a willingness to further test the upper levels. The Bollinger Bands are slightly narrowing, with resistance above to be watched in the 102,700-103,000 range. If a breakout occurs with increased volume, it may further open up space. Ethereum (以太) is also oscillating upward, currently holding steady at 2,220, with a slightly stronger trend and a gradually stabilizing structure, presenting another opportunity to challenge the upper high point of 2,290.
Bitcoin long positions from 101,300 to 100,800, targeting around 102,700. Ethereum long positions from 2,230 to 2,220, targeting around 2,290.

Midday market price reminder 101136 to enter, currently there is about 900 points of space, can exit once, then re-position, looking up to 102700#加密市场回调 $BTC $ETH

Current market fluctuations are slow, there is still room for short-term bullish volume, Bitcoin is currently priced at 101136, enter long positions directly, watch for a rebound, focus on 101600#加密市场回调 $BTC $ETH

Today's market continued the morning's stop-loss recovery rhythm, and has currently oscillated back above 101200, completing a phase of low-level repair trend. Ethereum is developing in sync, overall, after yesterday's deep correction released bearish sentiment, the short-term market has entered a rhythm of repair and consolidation, the market rhythm has slowed down, and market sentiment has slightly warmed. The short-selling approach in the morning rebounded to the entry range after the price comparison, with Bitcoin entering at 101433, waiting to exit at 108565, locking in profits.
　　From the current trend, on the hourly chart, the current price comparison shows a small but strong continuity, reflecting that short-term buying pressure is still present. The lower shadow line is gradually rising, indicating that the market has initially formed a phase bottom support. The current K-line is testing the previous high, briefly stabilizing above the middle track; if the subsequent closing is solid, there is hope for further impact on the previous high of the 102900-103000 area. However, there is still considerable selling pressure above, with the middle track and around 103300 forming a short-term boundary between bulls and bears, which has not yet effectively broken through, still considered as a range oscillation recovery market. In the short term, a rebound can be expected.
　　Bitcoin long at 100400-100800, targeting around 102700; Ethereum long around 2220, targeting around 2280.

Last night's market trend explored the previous low as expected, with a minimum drop to the 98115 area stabilizing, a decline of nearly 5000 points. It then rebounded quickly, reaching a peak of 10988 for a brief moment. The short-term rebound has recovered more than half of the drop, showing considerable strength. Our bearish rhythm prediction has once again been accurately fulfilled, providing ample opportunities for continuation, and the current price short position at 99489 has also been directly reached. Ethereum has also synchronized with a rebound at 2111, currently returning to around 2227, showing significant recovery.
From the current trend, the four-hour line has shown a strong bullish candlestick with high volume recovery, closing with a long lower shadow, indicating effective short-term support below. On the hourly line, the large bullish candlestick this morning was strong, but it has encountered resistance near the mid-line pressure, showing slight retracement, reflecting that selling pressure still exists above. Overall, the current structure has not effectively broken through the mid-line resistance; the rebound is still a technical correction, and the trend has not completely strengthened. If it cannot stabilize in the 101300-102000 area, it will still return to oscillate within the downward channel. Ethereum has a synchronized structure, with the rebound facing resistance at the mid-line, and a short-term tendency to oscillate near the upper side.
Bitcoin short at 101300-101800, looking at around 99700.
Ethereum short at 2200-2210, looking at around 2270.

Bearish strong volume, current price of Bitcoin 99498, short positions enter directly, focus on 98400#比特币跌破十万美元 $BTC $ETH

A brief review of this week: the market fluctuated greatly during the week. Bitcoin surged strongly from the 104400 level, reaching a high of 108900, and then fell into high-level consolidation. Over the weekend, it was suddenly pressured by hawkish comments from the Federal Reserve, leading to a plunge in US stocks, and the price ratio also dropped, stabilizing after hitting a low of 100800. The market experienced intense fluctuations, but the rhythm was always under our control—this week, Bitcoin accumulated a total of 26015 points, while Ethereum gained 1086 points, bringing a satisfactory end to the week.
From the current trend, the weekly line has consecutively formed doji candles for multiple weeks, with the market maintaining a high-level consolidation range. This week, the candlestick once again closed in the red, reflecting that the selling pressure above remains heavy. Since Bitcoin stood above the 100,000 mark, the weekly line has frequently shown long upper shadows, indicating a lack of strength in upward movement, and the trend has not made a substantial breakthrough, maintaining a weak consolidation pattern. However, there is always an opportunity for a change in rhythm, and it is expected that next week will continue the structure of this week, with a potential technical rebound in the first half of the week, followed by a revisit to the support zone. In terms of operations, it is recommended to maintain a low long mindset, paying attention to the support range of 100800 to 102500, and avoid blindly chasing highs; short-term responses still need to be flexible.
In the financial market, no one can accurately predict the future, but we can control the present, stabilize our mindset, and see the direction clearly. Time will provide the answer. #加密市场回调 $BTC $ETH

Yesterday, Bitcoin once again showcased a rhythm of probing the bottom and rebounding. During the session, it quickly dipped to a low of 100789 before stabilizing. Subsequently, the bulls made efforts to rebound, reaching a peak of 103940, but were unable to effectively hold that level, and after a high surge, it retreated to around 102500 for consolidation. Ethereum's performance was largely synchronous, probing to around 2213 before a slight rebound, currently operating around the 2280 level. Overall, the market continues the repair rhythm following the weekend's sharp fluctuations, with the short-term still in a bearish consolidation structure.
From the hourly chart, Bitcoin has formed a short-term bottoming signal near 100789, with K-lines continuously producing lower shadows, but the overall rebound strength is relatively mild and has not yet formed a trend reversal. Currently, it is still constrained by the middle track pressure, showing a weak rebound trend in the short term. The upper high of 103000 constitutes short-term resistance, and the price maintains oscillation and consolidation between the previous high and mid-range areas, indicating that the overall focus has not effectively shifted upward, which also signifies that bearish pressure still exists. If it cannot break through the 103800-104000 area in the short term, there is still a possibility of retesting previous lows or even breaking down. Overall, the current trend leans more towards a technical rebound after a decline, the structure remains unchanged, and the rebound space is limited.
Bitcoin short at 103000-103300, target near 101000. Ethereum short at 2290-2315, target near 2200.

Weekend market sentiment has clearly cooled, and the volume rhythm has been interrupted. After a deep adjustment in the early hours, Bitcoin has gradually stabilized and is currently trading in the 103300-103900 range, temporarily halting its decline. Ethereum is following a similar pattern, experiencing a rebound after hitting a low, and is currently consolidating in the 2410-2450 range. Although there hasn't been a substantial upward volume, the support below has been validated, and the market is undergoing a staged repair after the pullback in the early hours.
　　From the current chart, Bitcoin's hourly chart has initially formed a 'low-level oscillation recovery' correction structure. However, the key resistance at the previous high of 103900 has not been effectively broken, and the short-term trend still leans toward a strong corrective oscillation. In the four-hour chart, the previous low candlestick has formed a clear 'bullish engulfing doji' combination, providing some potential for short-term upward continuation, but as there hasn't been a volume release accompanying it, this is still insufficient to confirm the release of mid-term upward momentum. Therefore, expectations should be controlled, and the rhythm should be maintained. If the market breaks through the 103900 resistance with increased volume, it is likely to open up further rebound space.
　　Buy Bitcoin in the 103000-103300 range, targeting around 104500, and for Ethereum, lay out long positions in the 2410-2390 range, targeting towards 2480. #美国国债 $BTC $ETH

The intraday market is nearing its end, with today's trading showing a general trend of stability followed by a rise and then a sharp decline. During the day session, the market maintained a narrow range of fluctuations, with the price fluctuating around the 104500 level. In the afternoon, the market suddenly surged, quickly breaking through the 105000 barrier, reaching a high of 106486, forming a short-term peak, and then underwent horizontal consolidation until the evening when the market experienced violent fluctuations, causing the price to rapidly drop back, currently hitting a low of 102255. Overall, the day's trend exhibited a 'rise - peak - decline' roller coaster rhythm. Both long and short positions were actively traded in the market, with the evening short positions being particularly prominent, entering at 105920 and exiting at 103948, securing a profit of 1972 points. The strategy was made public and transparent in advance, with timely strategies emphasizing flexibility and adaptability as the essence of trading.
From the current trend, after the big rise to the 106486 level, several small upward candles failed to sustain the gains, followed by a rapid drop accompanied by increased volume, with several large bearish candles erasing previous gains, dropping to a low of 102255, which is a typical pattern of a volume-driven sell-off. Overall, a strong resistance has formed around 106000, and after failing to break through the upward attempts, a large bearish candle emerged, creating a standard structure of 'failed peak + engulfing'. The current candlestick has a slightly long lower shadow, indicating short-term signs of a bottoming out, but the rebound potential is limited, and market sentiment has not yet recovered, with short-term risks of further declines still present. This is currently a 'weak rebound phase after a decline', and one should avoid blindly entering long positions. It is recommended to maintain a bearish outlook in the short term.
Short positions on the big pancake at 103800-104200, targeting around 102000. Short positions on Ethereum at 2400-2460, targeting around 2350.

#加密概念美股 $BTC $ETH Evening 105920 Current Price Short Position, has now secured 700 points of space, only holding the position can maintain the strength

The afternoon Bitcoin continues its strong trend, breaking through the previous consolidation platform, reaching a peak of around 106500. From the current technical performance, the volume and price are synchronously cooperating, and the bullish momentum is continuously being released, laying a solid foundation for further upward attacks. Although there has been a short-term price adjustment, the overall rhythm remains in a consolidation pattern, with the key support level having moved up to around 105000, indicating that market buying is stable. Since a strong correction cannot be expected, the short-term bullish dominance will continue.
From the current trend, on the four-hour chart, three consecutive retracement candlesticks have not fallen below the middle track support, followed by a quick recovery with a long lower shadow rebound candlestick, reflecting the active intervention of bottom-fishing forces below. On the hourly chart, the candlestick quickly recovers after testing 105500, further indicating that buying is very active above 105000. In addition, the overall center of gravity of the current candlestick is continuously rising, and there has been no breakout bearish candlestick, forming a typical "platform consolidation + oscillation buildup" structure. If there is a subsequent breakout with a volume-positive candlestick that breaks through 106500, it will open up further upward attack space towards 107500.
Buy Bitcoin at 105500-105000, target around 107500; Buy Ethereum at 2540-2510, target around 2610 near #波段交易策略 $BTC $ETH .