At 02:00 AM tonight, the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision will be officially announced, and the market has now entered the "forward-looking game" stage. Currently, it seems highly probable that interest rates will remain unchanged; the focus is not on whether to raise rates, but rather on what Powell will say afterwards and how the dot plot will be drawn.
The key point is: the market generally expects the number of interest rate cuts this year to be revised down from 2 to 1. If this hawkish signal is confirmed, it will likely be bearish for the crypto market in the short term, dampening risk asset sentiment, and there may be a pullback and fluctuation in the prices of Bitcoin and Ethereum. Conversely, if Powell delivers dovish remarks, maintains the two rate cuts, or expresses a more accommodative stance, then the market could see a direct boost.
In terms of operations, it is advised to control risk positions in advance, maintain flexibility, avoid chasing highs and getting too attached to positions, and wait for the unfolding of events at dawn, then follow the market feedback accordingly. Remember, these key macro events often do not depend on direction, but rather on reaction speed and rhythm judgment. Keep a close eye on the dot plot, press conference, and the first wave of market fluctuations; opportunities are coming soon.