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In the realm of altcoins, it is predicted that the market for altcoins in the next 1-2 months will be more about survival and self-rescue for project teams, as most altcoins have already returned to their starting points.
Currently, strong assets are in a rebound phase, clearly waiting for a clear signal from Bitcoin. At present, players at all levels of the cryptocurrency pyramid are cautiously observing, reluctant to act easily. Whether there will be a small season of strong altcoin sectors is expected to be revealed in early June.

However, the difficulty of selecting altcoins should not be underestimated. In previous bull markets, it often ended up with one dominant player, and the first choice for bottom-fishing in the secondary market remains BTC (Ethereum may also have the potential to overtake in this wave, with purchases of ENA, LDO, ENS, etc.).

In the DeFi sector, noteworthy tokens include UNI and BANANA.

New projects listed on Binance usually experience a rise followed by a drop, and those with a strong risk appetite can consider short-term trades.

In the AI sector, TAO and WLD are also worth paying attention to.

All of these can be added to the watchlist. If Bitcoin weakens, choose those altcoins that are performing strong and have risen first; during deep declines, focus on strong VC coins, avoiding chasing the weak. There may also be opportunities similar to this wave of AI16Z with several times the lows appearing.

If Bitcoin strengthens directly without retracing, look for the coins among the top 10 by trading volume that have the smallest increase as buy points for supplementary gains, and analyze based on subsequent conditions. Do not let FOMO affect you; once the market begins to move, there will be many opportunities, and timing is the key.

May Market Outlook: Analysis of the Most Promising Alpha Tracks with Hundredfold Potential

If the market experiences explosive growth in May, the following tracks are most likely to generate excess returns (Alpha) opportunities:
1. AI + MCP (Modular Computing Protocol), representative projects: DARK, DARK, SKYAI
Logic: The AI track remains the strongest area in the current rebound, with leading projects like $VIRTUAL reaching all-time highs and attracting significant capital attention.
2. RWA (Real World Assets), representative projects: ONDO, ONDO, TRU, $PENDLE
Logic: The RWA track benefits from traditional financial capital entering the market, possessing long-term growth potential, especially for stable income asset protocols.
3. New Forces in the BTC Ecosystem, representative projects: ODINDOG, ODINDOG, METHAN, $BUTANE
Logic: With the resurgence of interest in the Bitcoin ecosystem (such as Runes, Layer 2, etc.), new projects may experience explosive growth.

#空投发现指南 #币安Alpha上新

Today let's talk about what truly valuable assets exist in the crypto world!

To be honest, there are countless cryptocurrencies, but very few truly qualify as digital assets. In my opinion, only BTC, ETH, and BNB really count, while UNI and SOL/SUI can barely be considered half a player!

Why do I say UNI is half a player? It still can't generate interest or dividends, but you see more and more people trading spot on the chain. I dare to bet it will eventually catch up to BNB! Just because it’s lagging now doesn’t mean it won’t in the future; as long as the trend is right, UNI is a potential stock.

Now let's talk about other coins. The interest generated from staking and mining is, to be blunt, just “sugar” sprinkled by the project parties, and it doesn’t count as passive income at all! A truly good asset must meet two conditions: first, it must keep rising, and second, it must either generate money or serve as a “money-making tool.”

BTC needs no further explanation; it’s the hard currency of the crypto world, inherently possessing invisible earning properties, and its status is as stable as a mountain. ETH is the ecological “fuel”; without it, on-chain activities can't function. BNB is even more incredible, equivalent to “subordinate equity” in Binance. When Binance makes money, it buys back BNB, and if you want to participate in Binance's good projects, you can't get in without BNB!

Remember, buying these coins is not about getting rich overnight; it’s about gradually becoming wealthy. If you don’t understand other coins and just buy blindly, following what others say, there’s a 90% chance you’ll lose everything. But BTC and ETH are different; holding them relies on real skills! Once you understand, you’ll only regret not buying more!

#阿布扎比稳定币 #币安Alpha上新 #特朗普就职百日

If you don't accept it, you can't go on. Alpaca is completely a harvesting ground for the big players, and it's pitiful for retail investors holding on, waiting for a crash! The final madness; at this point, the rise and fall are no longer related to the fees. The market manipulation completely depends on the mood of the big players. If there are more people on one side, they will act on that side.

#币安Alpha上新 #亚利桑那比特币储备

The path of Linea's disruption has not been smooth sailing, and the controversies and solutions it faces are equally worth pondering.

1. Centralization Risks and Decentralization Commitments
The Velocore vulnerability incident in January 2025, where the Linea team unilaterally suspended the Sequencer, sparked community criticism of "pseudo-decentralization." In response, Linea has pledged to gradually achieve Sequencer decentralization by 2025 and introduce a staking mechanism to enhance network resilience.
2. Technological Iteration and Ecological Competition
In the face of airdrop first-mover advantages from competitors like ZKsync and Scroll, Linea needs to accelerate the expansion of token utility (such as staking and Gas payments) to retain users. At the same time, its open-source strategy (Apache 2.0 license) is expected to attract more developers to fork and optimize the network.
3. Long-term Vision: Ethereum's "Network Nation"
ConsenSys CEO Joseph Lubin proposed that Linea is one of the infrastructures for building a "decentralized network nation." By integrating zero-knowledge proofs, identity verification, and cross-chain interoperability, Linea may become the preferred L2 platform for large-scale Web3 applications.

#Strategy增持比特币 #币安Alpha上新 #特朗普税改

Whales secretly accumulate 120 million $DOGE! Musk is silent, where is the 'Painting Door Trap' of the Doge organization?

The Doge organization’s painting door, retail investors filling the pit—DOGE is playing dead with reduced volume on the hourly level, hovering around 0.19 as a battleground for bulls and bears!

1. News aspect: Musk is hiding, whales are hedging!
Today, Musk continues to play dead on Twitter, and without the 'master's call', DOGE's price is stuck around 0.193. However, on-chain data reveals a big scoop—a certain whale swept up 120 million DOGE in the early morning, with a cost basis at 0.185, then placed a sell order for 80 million at 0.195. On the surface, everything seems calm, but the Doge organization has long set up a 'double kill' situation, just waiting for retail investors to follow the trend and face liquidation!

2. Technical aspect: Three indicators are collectively playing dead!
1. MACD: Lying dead below the zero axis, both bulls and bears are playing dead, DIFF (-0.00061) and DEA (-0.00062) are stuck below the zero axis, and the MACD bar (0.043) is as thin as a mosquito's leg. This indicates that both sides have completely flattened out, and the Doge organization has even saved the effort to draw K-lines. Remember the mantra: "MACD sticking to the zero axis, sideways grinding bald."
2. Moving average system: MA5 is being rubbed down by MA10, with MA5 (148 million) trading volume being outpaced by MA10 (193 million) by three blocks, indicating that the selling pressure in the past 10 hours has been harsher than in the last 5 hours. Even more painful is that the actual trading volume is only 20.15 million, which is not even enough for the Doge organization's tip—this market is energy-draining on the upswing and money-losing on the downswing, only able to play the 'painting door' to annoy people.
3. Trading volume: Shrinkage of 86%, the Doge organization is waiting for retail investors to cut losses, with an actual trading volume of 20.15 million, nearly 86% less than the estimated 142 million, down to a hair compared to last week. But the whale's buy order of 120 million is placed at 0.185, clearly waiting for retail investors to cut losses before buying the dip.
Remember! Extreme shrinkage means either becoming rich or going to zero. I am Tang Seng, supported by a top team, serving only those with ambition and vision!

#DOGE #空投发现指南 #Strategy增持比特币 #加密市场反弹

How long can the liquidity and positive sentiment in the market last? What other effects do interest rate cut expectations have?

Overly focusing on interest rate cuts is somewhat misguided. People tend to apply the experiences from 2008-2019 — when quantitative easing was introduced, the Federal Reserve printed money weekly, and buying assets guaranteed profits, which has become a reflex in the financial markets. However, the rules of the game have changed. Once the market realizes that quantitative easing means inflation, which can impact election results, the policy toolbox must be updated. The actions taken by Yellen at the end of 2022 are a typical example — although not nominal QE, it created liquidity in some form, driving stocks, cryptocurrencies, and gold to surge in the following 18-24 months, until Trump's inauguration.

Now, people are still waiting for Powell to cut interest rates or restart QE, which is completely missing the point.
The U.S. Treasury is currently implementing a bond repurchase plan, which, while not as straightforward as QE, essentially provides leverage for Treasury bond buyers. As government deficits expand, trillions of dollars in new debt will flood the market, indicating that liquidity is still being injected, just under a different guise. If one waits for the traditional QE signal to enter the market, they may find that prices have already risen.

The data that truly needs attention is volatility, especially the bond market volatility index (MOVE). When this index breaks 140, policymakers must intervene: for example, on April 8, when it touched 172 during trading, JPMorgan CEO Dimon immediately criticized Trump's tariff policy on television, leading Trump to change course; after MOVE surpassed 140 in September 2022, Yellen quickly adjusted the bond issuance structure, and the market rebounded in response. History repeatedly proves that as the leverage in the financial system rises, the intervention threshold for policymakers is lowering.

Trump, as a "volatility maker," is precisely a positive factor for Bitcoin. He often employs the strategy of "maximum pressure - testing reactions - quick pivot," and this unpredictability is exactly the nourishment that the crypto market loves. We do not need to predict policy direction; as long as volatility rises, we can make money — because a highly leveraged financial system cannot withstand severe fluctuations.

#特朗普税改 #AI概念币领跑 #Strategy增持比特币

Japanese 'female teacher' Yua Mikami is also launching a token? Token name: $MIKAMI
Issuing chain: Solana
Issuing time: April 30, 11:00 AM (Beijing time)
Token distribution: 50% core holders (locked until 2069), 20% public sale, 15% liquidity, 10% community incentives, 5% marketing
Fan base: 17.5 million fans across all platforms (approximately 8.2 million on X)
Another wave of celebrity coins is coming, and this time it's Yua Mikami's turn. Tens of millions of fans, a compelling narrative, locked until 2069... But to be honest, I have lost interest in this type of coin. It's not about disliking anyone, but I've seen it too many times: the project goes live for an hour, and the whole internet is buzzing; three days later, the hype fades, and it starts to return to zero. A week later, only 'believers' with profile pictures are talking to themselves in the group. Celebrities bring not certainty, but a bubble of traffic.

#空投发现指南 #ProSharesTrustXRPETF #AI概念币领跑

Is it clear whether VC can play?

This VC background is often just an additional reason for FOMO, and those with a bit of vision will raise the stakes before investing further, while those without vision won't spend a dime. Some people jump in and invest right away; previously, there was a certain MVB project that was self-released, invested in, and yet didn't admit it was self-released, coming from a background of many VCs.

In this round, I haven't seen any VCs with vision; in the previous round, the VCs on BSC and Sui were quite visionary, at least most people were able to make money. Waiting for this wave of slightly more visionary VCs to take action again.

#加密市场反弹 #阿布扎比稳定币

Recently, many people have been talking about when altcoins will explode

In fact, the market has not yet reached a full reversal.
The rise and fall of altcoins is not random; they will go through four stages: turning point, testing, unilateral movement, and acceleration. Most altcoins are still in the first stage, like AXL, JUP, INJ, and CHZ, where the direction hasn't even been determined. Rushing in at this time can easily make one a victim.

Coins like BCH, RAY, and XRP have begun to test the upper resistance levels, but it's still uncertain whether they can break through.
Very few coins have truly entered a phase of unilateral growth. Although coins like SUI, FART, and TRUMP have surged, who would dare to invest heavily?
As for the acceleration phase, it is currently not visible in the market. Many people stare at the K-line every day, fearing they might miss the opportunity to get rich, but the reality is that the overall market sentiment has not yet reached a consensus, and the price structure has not completed a true support conversion.
At this time, one should not chase rising prices or sell off in panic but instead calm down, look for those undervalued high-odds coins, and wait for the market to provide clear signals.
The trends in altcoins do not appear out of thin air; they come in stages. The market is still early, so don't be misled by short-term fluctuations.

#特朗普税改 #Strategy增持比特币

Discuss the reasons for ALPACA's flash crash: A wave of short selling triggered by expectations of the exchange delisting, resulting in a surge in contract positions. The market makers took the opportunity to go long and drive up prices, harvesting funds through spot price differences and a 2% hourly fee. They also utilized the automatic liquidation mechanism of the delisting (which does not require handling exit liquidity) to arbitrage in a high plateau. Yesterday, Binance suddenly adjusted the maximum leverage (effective from 14:30). Although the adjustment was less than the previous ACT incident, it precisely triggered a long-short squeeze, causing ALPACA to plummet 40% in an instant — a small rule change became the catalyst for the crash.

#Strategy增持比特币

The scariest trap in cryptocurrency trading is — you think you're catching the bottom, but you're actually handing the knife to the whales!

Before April 9, all the 'experts' online were fancy dodging flying knives:
4100 knife warrior: '60% win rate is enough!' Result: knee shot.
3000 knife warrior: '70% probability is stable!' Cut in half on the spot.
2600 knife half-sage: '80% winning chance all in!' Suffered a knee chop.
2300 knife prophet: '90% solid bottom is here!' The whale turned and stabbed at 2000.
1800 knife supreme: 'This time is definitely the real bottom!' The next second fell below 1600, crying in the toilet.
1500 knife phoenix: 'I’ve bet my coffin money!' The whale precisely cut down to 1380.
The funniest part is — the 'experts' who built positions at 2600 and caught the bottom at 1500 mocked each other, only to be treated as meat on the chopping board by the whales! Even more bizarre, the 'top-level retail investors' who survived the crash now collectively fantasize that '$BTC must drop to the shoe sole to find the bottom,' especially a certain streamer’s anatomy joke:
'110,000 is the tip of the hair, 90,000 is the neck, 70,000 is the waist, it must drop to the sole to consider the bear market over!' This isn’t trading at all? It’s clearly orthopedic outpatient teaching!
The truth is — the whale's sickle never plays anatomy; it only plays psychology!
When you think 'it absolutely can't drop any further,' the slaughter knife at 1380 is already at your neck; when the whole internet is shouting for a drop to 800, the whale turns around and blows up all the short positions.
Remember: in the world of cryptocurrency trading, all 'certainty' is a death knell for retail investors!

#特朗普暂停新关税 #空投发现指南 #美股财报周来袭

Chives' Life-Saving Rules!

Don't go all in! Betting everything at once? It can wipe you out in minutes!
Take profits! The gains you have in hand are real money, don't be greedy for the last penny!
Stay away from scam coins! Among the small coins that surge suddenly, 9 out of 10 are traps!

#ProSharesTrustXRPETF #空投发现指南

On April 22, Bitcoin's rally triggered nearly $300 million in short liquidations, making it the largest single-day short liquidation event since the beginning of this bull market. However, from the price trend, BTC only rose from $87,000 to $94,000, which is not a remarkable overall increase, reflecting that the bearish sentiment in the market remains strong, and most people still lean towards being bearish.

At this point, if BTC does not choose to pull back and continues to surge directly, breaking through the $100,000 mark in the short term will be very difficult. This round of increases lacks obvious funding support and does not have strong positive news to accompany it, so the possibility of sustained momentum is relatively low.

The ideal trend would be for BTC to actively adjust and consolidate in the next one to two weeks, pulling back to around $85,000, completing a sufficient turnover of chips, and building momentum for subsequent bullish activity. If the trend is healthy, it is expected to welcome a new wave of small peaks in June and challenge the key target of $110,000.

#币安Alpha上新 #特朗普暂停新关税 #ProSharesTrustXRPETF

Is there any progress in the tariff negotiations? What is the market's reaction?

The good news is that there has been some movement in the tariff negotiations! South Korea and India have already started talking, and Japan and the U.S. plan to continue discussions at the end of April or early May. What about the highly anticipated U.S.-China negotiations? Although Trump hasn't made any significant noise, this week the village's finance minister and central bank governor will go to the U.S. to attend the World Bank and IMF meetings, so there might be some low-level communication. However, don't expect U.S.-China negotiations to be like those with other countries; the long-term trend of U.S.-China relations is decoupling, and the market is already psychologically prepared for that. Therefore, it's not a big problem if there are no agreements in the short term, but as long as there is some small progress, market sentiment can improve a bit. Other countries, like South Korea, won't reach an agreement overnight either, and the fastest it could happen would be in July.

This means that the tariff negotiations are a protracted battle, and there won't be any major breakthroughs in the short term, but as long as there is some small progress, it can stabilize market sentiment.

#币安上线INIT #以太坊的未来 #币安Alpha积分

It is expected that Bitcoin will maintain a wide fluctuation between $80,000 and $100,000 before the interest rate cut in June, with a potential deep correction below $85,000 in May, forming the last buying opportunity. After the interest rate cut, it will break through the previous high, initiating a bull market that will last until July 2025 (target $150,000), followed by a retracement to the $100,000 range in August. In September, the final round of increases will begin, with the peak expected in October. Supported by U.S. policies, the likelihood of the next bear market dropping below $50,000 is low.

Ethereum has performed weakly in this cycle; after the interest rate cut, it will move in conjunction with Bitcoin but with a lag in growth, expected to peak in October 2025.

Altcoins are showing divergence: strong sectors such as AI, Meme, L1, and RWA are expected to break previous highs, while weak coins may hit new lows following BTC's correction. It is recommended to liquidate ETH and altcoins for Bitcoin when a peak signal appears in September 2025, retaining 50% cash for the next cycle layout. Current focus should be on monitoring the extent of the May correction and the breakout momentum after the interest rate cut, to seize sector rotation opportunities.

#币安Alpha上新 #币安HODLer空投SIGN