贪婪是罪—盲目是蠢
致力于研究事件合约的各种策略。事件合约是有规律可寻的，欢迎来探讨——要期散期思思散期武思林
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#事件合约 , I will post an advanced version of the Bollinger Bands strategy, continuing from the previous article - open a position when it reaches the position, but what if it exceeds the target point? Many people will double their investment when they see that it exceeds the target point, and they will continue to double their investment (double their investment twice in a row). I will do the same when I get too excited. But from a rational point of view, this is not advisable. For example, I initially invested 5U, and I would invest 10U when it exceeds the target point, and 20U when it exceeds it again (I am already too excited at this time, and I usually only double my investment once 😂). I have won three consecutive games and lost three consecutive games. I also made a profit in the last one, and lost in the first two. But in the end, I will regret it and feel that I am too excited. Losing three consecutive games is the most uncomfortable (because it is a double investment at this time, and losing so much at one time has exceeded my psychological limit), but if I only double my investment once, even if I lose both, it is within my tolerance range.
So let me talk about how to double my investment. The standard I set for myself is to open a position when it reaches the target point, and double my investment once when it exceeds the target point by about 5 points. For Bitcoin, if the price exceeds the target price by about 100 times, bet once (my own trading strategy, for reference only)
So let me talk about how to double my investment. The standard I set for myself is to open a position when it reaches the target point, and double my investment once when it exceeds the target point by about 5 points. For Bitcoin, if the price exceeds the target price by about 100 times, bet once (my own trading strategy, for reference only)
#事件合约 sees that fans still can't quite understand our Bollinger Band strategy. I am now posting a detailed tutorial (with practical results).
First, select boll (Bollinger Bands) in the indicators. We mainly play 10-minute predictions, so we look at the 15-minute Bollinger Bands. Open a short position when it reaches the upper band and open a long position when it reaches the lower band, which corresponds to the □ in the image (the selected trend is downward, so it rarely touches the upper band; the touches are all on the lower band; the same applies for an upward trend). If it touches the ○ in the image (the solid line frequently breaks through the lower band), it indicates an expansion of the decline (or increase), and the lower band (upper band) has lost its support function. Stop trading and wait for the market to stabilize before proceeding.
First, select boll (Bollinger Bands) in the indicators. We mainly play 10-minute predictions, so we look at the 15-minute Bollinger Bands. Open a short position when it reaches the upper band and open a long position when it reaches the lower band, which corresponds to the □ in the image (the selected trend is downward, so it rarely touches the upper band; the touches are all on the lower band; the same applies for an upward trend). If it touches the ○ in the image (the solid line frequently breaks through the lower band), it indicates an expansion of the decline (or increase), and the lower band (upper band) has lost its support function. Stop trading and wait for the market to stabilize before proceeding.
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#事件合约 sees that fans still can't quite understand our Bollinger Band strategy. I am now posting a detailed tutorial (with practical results).
First, select boll (Bollinger Bands) in the indicators. We mainly play 10-minute predictions, so we look at the 15-minute Bollinger Bands. Open a short position when it reaches the upper band and open a long position when it reaches the lower band, which corresponds to the □ in the image (the selected trend is downward, so it rarely touches the upper band; the touches are all on the lower band; the same applies for an upward trend). If it touches the ○ in the image (the solid line frequently breaks through the lower band), it indicates an expansion of the decline (or increase), and the lower band (upper band) has lost its support function. Stop trading and wait for the market to stabilize before proceeding.
First, select boll (Bollinger Bands) in the indicators. We mainly play 10-minute predictions, so we look at the 15-minute Bollinger Bands. Open a short position when it reaches the upper band and open a long position when it reaches the lower band, which corresponds to the □ in the image (the selected trend is downward, so it rarely touches the upper band; the touches are all on the lower band; the same applies for an upward trend). If it touches the ○ in the image (the solid line frequently breaks through the lower band), it indicates an expansion of the decline (or increase), and the lower band (upper band) has lost its support function. Stop trading and wait for the market to stabilize before proceeding.
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#事件合约 , today I want to share some indicators that are quite good for playing event contracts, besides the Bollinger Bands, which I have posted about before (see below). You can observe the golden cross and death cross of indicators like MACD, KDJ, and Vol for trading. When there's a golden cross, buy long; when there's a death cross, sell short. For a 10-minute play, watching the 3-minute and 5-minute charts is sufficient. Taking buying long as an example, when a golden cross appears on the 3-minute chart, place a long order, and when a golden cross appears on the 5-minute chart, place another long order. (Note: These indicators are very sensitive, so be sure to wait until the golden cross is fully formed before buying; don’t rush in just because it seems like it's about to form, as many times it can actually be a false signal.) The same applies to the death cross. My personal testing shows a win rate of over 60%. However, due to the frequent false signals from these indicators, I don't use them much anymore. But for friends without much skill, they can still be useful, as they have been proven effective through personal testing, which is definitely better than gambling without any knowledge. 😂
#事件合约 Today, I would like to share my thoughts on hedging with event contracts. What is hedging? It is not simply opening a long position at a low point and then opening a short position after the price rises, which would be considered a double gain. Hedging refers to the situation where, after opening your first position, you find that the market trend is contrary to your position, and at that point, you open another position that aligns with the market trend. However, the outcome? There is a 70% probability that both positions will be lost, a 20% chance of one gaining and one losing (losing a small amount but maintaining the principal), and only a 10% chance of both positions being profitable.
When is it suitable to open a hedge? Based on my practical experience, some people like to watch for golden crosses and death crosses of vol, MACD, and KDJ to play event contracts, but due to the sensitivity of these indicators, there often occur false signals, and in such cases, considering a hedge is an option. If a golden cross appears, open a long position; if a death cross appears, open a short position, and if you find it's a false signal, simply hedge. This approach may have a slightly higher win rate compared to random hedging, but it is still quite limited, and there remains a high probability of losing both positions.
Therefore, I actually do not recommend opening a hedge, as the risk-reward ratio is too poor, and the probability of successful hedging is far lower than the probability of losing both positions. Of course, I might hedge when I am overly confident, but from a rational perspective, it is certainly not advisable.
When is it suitable to open a hedge? Based on my practical experience, some people like to watch for golden crosses and death crosses of vol, MACD, and KDJ to play event contracts, but due to the sensitivity of these indicators, there often occur false signals, and in such cases, considering a hedge is an option. If a golden cross appears, open a long position; if a death cross appears, open a short position, and if you find it's a false signal, simply hedge. This approach may have a slightly higher win rate compared to random hedging, but it is still quite limited, and there remains a high probability of losing both positions.
Therefore, I actually do not recommend opening a hedge, as the risk-reward ratio is too poor, and the probability of successful hedging is far lower than the probability of losing both positions. Of course, I might hedge when I am overly confident, but from a rational perspective, it is certainly not advisable.
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#事件合约 wants to put some pressure on himself and insists on posting about profits every day. If he doesn't post (you don't have to ask, it means he lost 😂). The last time the win rate was low it was because he got knocked out multiple times and it affected his mindset. This time the win rate is low because the liquidity is too poor over the weekend, and it's been moving sideways.
🤑 Stop shifting the blame, greed makes you a novice, and you're still not admitting it.
🤑 Stop shifting the blame, greed makes you a novice, and you're still not admitting it.
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The win rate of #事件合约 is a bit low, but today was too frustrating, got killed multiple times. I can't let go of the remaining kills, so I left them in the comments section. Also, the most important thing is the repost content below, I hope everyone takes a look. Treat the record as a bit of fun. 😂
#事件合约 I often place the wrong order, changing a 10-minute order into a one-day order, without any hints at all. I now want to know if this is an isolated incident or a common phenomenon. Have other friends encountered this problem? Please feel free to leave a message.
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#事件合约 I often place the wrong order, changing a 10-minute order into a one-day order, without any hints at all. I now want to know if this is an isolated incident or a common phenomenon. Have other friends encountered this problem? Please feel free to leave a message.
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The Bollinger Band trading method, #事件合约 #布林带战法 , is suitable for both new and experienced players engaging in event contracts. I am now planning to set a small goal — 1k followers, 200 likes, 200 comments, or 100 shares. As long as one of these is achieved, I will reveal my limited edition Bollinger Band trading method (some fans say my method doesn't have a very high win rate, but isn't that normal? I can't teach my disciples and starve myself, right? 😂). I encourage everyone to participate actively!
I don't have any images to share, so I'll just show today's performance. I focus on win rate; I only occasionally invest a bit more when I get overly excited, but generally, it's around 50 at most, so the profit isn't very high.
I don't have any images to share, so I'll just show today's performance. I focus on win rate; I only occasionally invest a bit more when I get overly excited, but generally, it's around 50 at most, so the profit isn't very high.
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After #BCH 4 hours, the neckline broke, and it consolidated for 2 four-hour candles. Then it retested the neckline and broke through it. I thought it would form a triple top or a rounded top, but the outcome did not meet my expectations; in the end, it only formed an M top. After breaking below the neckline again, I decisively jumped in on the right side, but since I mainly play event contracts and I'm not very confident in my contract trading skills, I didn't post any reminders. However, I believe that anyone paying attention to this coin should, probably, possibly see the breakdown of the neckline and jump in, right? 😂
#BCH Four-hour M head and shoulders line has broken, still not short? Short at the current price, stop loss at 384, conservative traders wait for the close
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#事件合约 Today, I would like to share my thoughts on hedging with event contracts. What is hedging? It is not simply opening a long position at a low point and then opening a short position after the price rises, which would be considered a double gain. Hedging refers to the situation where, after opening your first position, you find that the market trend is contrary to your position, and at that point, you open another position that aligns with the market trend. However, the outcome? There is a 70% probability that both positions will be lost, a 20% chance of one gaining and one losing (losing a small amount but maintaining the principal), and only a 10% chance of both positions being profitable.
When is it suitable to open a hedge? Based on my practical experience, some people like to watch for golden crosses and death crosses of vol, MACD, and KDJ to play event contracts, but due to the sensitivity of these indicators, there often occur false signals, and in such cases, considering a hedge is an option. If a golden cross appears, open a long position; if a death cross appears, open a short position, and if you find it's a false signal, simply hedge. This approach may have a slightly higher win rate compared to random hedging, but it is still quite limited, and there remains a high probability of losing both positions.
Therefore, I actually do not recommend opening a hedge, as the risk-reward ratio is too poor, and the probability of successful hedging is far lower than the probability of losing both positions. Of course, I might hedge when I am overly confident, but from a rational perspective, it is certainly not advisable.
When is it suitable to open a hedge? Based on my practical experience, some people like to watch for golden crosses and death crosses of vol, MACD, and KDJ to play event contracts, but due to the sensitivity of these indicators, there often occur false signals, and in such cases, considering a hedge is an option. If a golden cross appears, open a long position; if a death cross appears, open a short position, and if you find it's a false signal, simply hedge. This approach may have a slightly higher win rate compared to random hedging, but it is still quite limited, and there remains a high probability of losing both positions.
Therefore, I actually do not recommend opening a hedge, as the risk-reward ratio is too poor, and the probability of successful hedging is far lower than the probability of losing both positions. Of course, I might hedge when I am overly confident, but from a rational perspective, it is certainly not advisable.
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The most important things when playing event contracts on #事件合约 are two points: first, strictly adhere to your own trading system; second, control your emotions well, especially the urge to recover losses quickly after consecutive losses, which is the hardest to control. I have also found myself deeply trapped in this. So I won't say whether I recommend beginners to play this; I can only say that I do not recommend it for those who have poor emotional control.
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This rolling warehouse has been done for several days, but due to being muted by the square, it can only be posted now. — The rise of 5U's victory, who dares to underestimate 5U's victory.
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I see many friends in the square who have lost a lot playing event contracts, but I want to say this is not pure gambling; there are methods and techniques involved. I have noticed that many of my fans jump into the cryptocurrency world without understanding anything, but everyone who enters this circle knows it's not easy to navigate. I feel that my Bollinger Bands strategy is the simplest and easiest to learn, and it's the most suitable for beginners. Everyone can refer to it: #事件合约 .
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I have seen a lot of messages from fans recently, but I have been muted, so I can't respond. I was put in a little black room, just released, and here to explain to the fans again😂
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#带单大神 #事件合约 The post from early this morning was reported by some jerk, so let’s post it again 😂. I have officially started taking orders. My fans trust me a lot, and the atmosphere in the group is quite good. It's rare to meet a group of like-minded friends like this. Let’s improve and grow together. I hope that years from now we can realize the name of our group, sitting together reminiscing about now. Let’s set sail on this big ship called career — my dear fans.
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The road ahead is bumpy, good things take time, but the future is promising. However, I've added too many friends and have been restricted, so I can't reply to your messages. Let's see if I can get unblocked tomorrow 😂
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I have seen many fans saying they can't see the contact information. I sent it, but it was blocked. What do you all think we should do? Leave a message in the comments 😂
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#事件合约 , today was the first time bringing powder, the result can't be said to be bad, I can only say it was particularly good 😂
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