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Список тезисов из выступления Джерома Пауэлла😐 Кратко: ФРС занимает выжидательную позицию перед корректировкой ставок. • Экономика стабильна, несмотря на повышенную неопределенность. • Достигнута практически полная занятость при низкой безработице. • Инфляция существенно снизилась, но пока превышает целевые 2%. • Сильный рынок труда сократил демографические различия в доходах и занятости. • С начала года ставка остается неизменной из-за ситуации с занятостью и инфляцией. • Политика формируется на основе макроданных, изменяющихся перспектив и оценки рисков. • ФРС учитывает риски с обеих сторон двойного мандата. • Повышение тарифов подтолкнет инфляцию и негативно скажется на экономической активности. • Воздействие тарифов зависит от их окончательного размера. • Тарифные ожидания достигли максимума в апреле и затем снизились. • Влияние политики Трампа на экономику пока неопределенно. • Главная задача — не допустить превращения разового роста цен в хроническую инфляцию. • Долгосрочные инфляционные ожидания соответствуют 2% цели. • Без ценовой стабильности невозможны длительные периоды благоприятной ситуации на рынке труда.

Список тезисов из выступления Джерома Пауэлла

😐 Кратко: ФРС занимает выжидательную позицию перед корректировкой ставок.
• Экономика стабильна, несмотря на повышенную неопределенность.
• Достигнута практически полная занятость при низкой безработице.
• Инфляция существенно снизилась, но пока превышает целевые 2%.
• Сильный рынок труда сократил демографические различия в доходах и занятости.
• С начала года ставка остается неизменной из-за ситуации с занятостью и инфляцией.
• Политика формируется на основе макроданных, изменяющихся перспектив и оценки рисков.
• ФРС учитывает риски с обеих сторон двойного мандата.
• Повышение тарифов подтолкнет инфляцию и негативно скажется на экономической активности.
• Воздействие тарифов зависит от их окончательного размера.
• Тарифные ожидания достигли максимума в апреле и затем снизились.
• Влияние политики Трампа на экономику пока неопределенно.
• Главная задача — не допустить превращения разового роста цен в хроническую инфляцию.
• Долгосрочные инфляционные ожидания соответствуют 2% цели.
• Без ценовой стабильности невозможны длительные периоды благоприятной ситуации на рынке труда.
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Israel did indeed attack Iran during the ceasefire, Israeli outlets report. According to their information, Israel did not return all the fighters, as Trump stated, but still decided to strike one target in Iran, despite the declared ceasefire. Two explosions were heard north of Tehran. According to Axios, today the U.S. president asked Netanyahu not to strike Iran, but the Israeli prime minister agreed only to reduce the scale of the attack. Earlier, Iran launched one missile at Israel. Trump suggested that this happened accidentally.#IsraelIranConflict
Israel did indeed attack Iran during the ceasefire, Israeli outlets report.

According to their information, Israel did not return all the fighters, as Trump stated, but still decided to strike one target in Iran, despite the declared ceasefire. Two explosions were heard north of Tehran.

According to Axios, today the U.S. president asked Netanyahu not to strike Iran, but the Israeli prime minister agreed only to reduce the scale of the attack.

Earlier, Iran launched one missile at Israel. Trump suggested that this happened accidentally.#IsraelIranConflict
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Bullish
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Israel will focus on the 'destruction' of Hamas after the announcement of a ceasefire with Iran, said Finance Minister and far-right leader Bezalel Smotrich. 'We achieved a crushing victory in the campaign against Iran, which will be honorably recorded in the annals of the history of the State of Israel. We have eliminated the immediate threat to existence... and dealt a serious blow to the Iranian regime of the ayatollahs, including destroying dozens of targets in Tehran in one night. Now [we turn] with all our strength to Gaza to complete the task: to destroy Hamas and bring back our hostages, as well as to ensure, with God's help, many years of security and strength for the people of Israel,' said the far-right leader.#IsraelIranConflict $ETH {spot}(ETHUSDT)
Israel will focus on the 'destruction' of Hamas after the announcement of a ceasefire with Iran, said Finance Minister and far-right leader Bezalel Smotrich.

'We achieved a crushing victory in the campaign against Iran, which will be honorably recorded in the annals of the history of the State of Israel. We have eliminated the immediate threat to existence... and dealt a serious blow to the Iranian regime of the ayatollahs, including destroying dozens of targets in Tehran in one night. Now [we turn] with all our strength to Gaza to complete the task: to destroy Hamas and bring back our hostages, as well as to ensure, with God's help, many years of security and strength for the people of Israel,' said the far-right leader.#IsraelIranConflict $ETH
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Bullish
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The war is "over"; now we can criticize the head of the Federal Reserve again: ""It's too late!" Jerome Powell will speak in Congress today, explaining why he is not lowering the rate. Europe has lowered the rate 10 times, we have not once. There is no inflation, the economy is strong, the rate should be 2-3 points lower, which would save the U.S. $800 billion a year. If the economy worsens, the rate can be raised. Congress needs to deal with this stubborn and incompetent man. His mistakes will be costly. Federal Reserve, act! Let's make America great again!"
The war is "over"; now we can criticize the head of the Federal Reserve again:
""It's too late!" Jerome Powell will speak in Congress today, explaining why he is not lowering the rate. Europe has lowered the rate 10 times, we have not once. There is no inflation, the economy is strong, the rate should be 2-3 points lower, which would save the U.S. $800 billion a year. If the economy worsens, the rate can be raised. Congress needs to deal with this stubborn and incompetent man. His mistakes will be costly. Federal Reserve, act! Let's make America great again!"
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Bullish
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Сеть Midnight от Cardano проведет аирдроп токенов $NIGHT в июле. ↔️ Cardano опубликовала whitepaper о предстоящем аирдропе токена NIGHT для приватной сети Midnight Network, который начнется в июле 2025 года. Общий объем эмиссии составит 24 миллиарда токенов, которые будут распределены между восемью блокчейнами: XRP Ledger, Bitcoin, Solana, Cardano, Avalanche, BNB Chain, Ethereum и Basic Attention Token. Право на получение токенов имеют пользователи, державшие на момент снимка 11 июня не менее $100 в нативных токенах любой из этих сетей. Держатели $ADA {spot}(ADAUSDT) получат 50% от общего предложения токенов.#SwingTradingStrategy
Сеть Midnight от Cardano проведет аирдроп токенов $NIGHT в июле.

↔️ Cardano опубликовала whitepaper о предстоящем аирдропе токена NIGHT для приватной сети Midnight Network, который начнется в июле 2025 года. Общий объем эмиссии составит 24 миллиарда токенов, которые будут распределены между восемью блокчейнами: XRP Ledger, Bitcoin, Solana, Cardano, Avalanche, BNB Chain, Ethereum и Basic Attention Token. Право на получение токенов имеют пользователи, державшие на момент снимка 11 июня не менее $100 в нативных токенах любой из этих сетей. Держатели $ADA
получат 50% от общего предложения токенов.#SwingTradingStrategy
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Market SituationGOOD MORNING: Fear and greed index: 65 Bitcoin dominance: 65.30% Altseason index: 14 Total cryptocurrency market capitalization: $3.19 trillion Inflow into BTC ETF: $350.6 million Inflow into ETH ETF: $100.7 million Liquidations in the last 24 hours: $470.45 million (of which shorts — $356.80 million) 🔳 Grayscale completed a 45-day comment period for the Solana ETF on June 23 — the SEC may approve the product at any moment. For other applicants (21Shares, Bitwise, VanEck, Canary), the period will end on June 27, and for Franklin and Fidelity — on July 28.

Market Situation

GOOD MORNING:
Fear and greed index: 65
Bitcoin dominance: 65.30%
Altseason index: 14
Total cryptocurrency market capitalization: $3.19 trillion
Inflow into BTC ETF: $350.6 million
Inflow into ETH ETF: $100.7 million

Liquidations in the last 24 hours: $470.45 million (of which shorts — $356.80 million)

🔳 Grayscale completed a 45-day comment period for the Solana ETF on June 23 — the SEC may approve the product at any moment. For other applicants (21Shares, Bitwise, VanEck, Canary), the period will end on June 27, and for Franklin and Fidelity — on July 28.
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Bullish
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Israel has officially confirmed the ceasefire. In a statement from the government, it was noted that last night Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu convened the cabinet along with the Minister of Defense, the Chief of Staff, and the head of Mossad to report that 'Israel has achieved all the goals of the operation and even more'. 'Israel has eliminated a dual immediate existential threat — both in the nuclear field and in the area of ballistic missiles. In addition, the Israel Defense Forces have achieved full control over the airspace of Tehran, inflicted serious damage on military leadership, and destroyed dozens of objects of the central Iranian government. Israel thanks President Trump and the United States for their defensive support and participation in eliminating the Iranian nuclear threat. In light of achieving the goals of the operation and in full coordination with President Trump, Israel agreed to the president's proposal for a bilateral ceasefire. Israel will respond firmly to any violation of the ceasefire,' the government stated. $BTC {spot}(BTCUSDT) #IsraelIranConflict
Israel has officially confirmed the ceasefire.

In a statement from the government, it was noted that last night Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu convened the cabinet along with the Minister of Defense, the Chief of Staff, and the head of Mossad to report that 'Israel has achieved all the goals of the operation and even more'.

'Israel has eliminated a dual immediate existential threat — both in the nuclear field and in the area of ballistic missiles. In addition, the Israel Defense Forces have achieved full control over the airspace of Tehran, inflicted serious damage on military leadership, and destroyed dozens of objects of the central Iranian government. Israel thanks President Trump and the United States for their defensive support and participation in eliminating the Iranian nuclear threat. In light of achieving the goals of the operation and in full coordination with President Trump, Israel agreed to the president's proposal for a bilateral ceasefire. Israel will respond firmly to any violation of the ceasefire,' the government stated.
$BTC
#IsraelIranConflict
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Iran struck back at the Americans after the USA's attack.So, Iran struck back at the Americans after the USA attacked its nuclear facilities. Now everything depends on the response from the USA. Iran's strike was limited in nature. According to preliminary information, it did not cause significant damage. Moreover, the Iranians had warned Qatar and the USA in advance about it. So, it was more of a demonstrative act to show some kind of 'retaliation' rather than an intention to actually inflict significant damage on the Americans.

Iran struck back at the Americans after the USA's attack.

So, Iran struck back at the Americans after the USA attacked its nuclear facilities.
Now everything depends on the response from the USA. Iran's strike was limited in nature. According to preliminary information, it did not cause significant damage. Moreover, the Iranians had warned Qatar and the USA in advance about it. So, it was more of a demonstrative act to show some kind of 'retaliation' rather than an intention to actually inflict significant damage on the Americans.
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Why is everyone shouting about the situation in the Persian Gulf?The Hormuz Strait is currently the most important and vulnerable point of the global economy. Why is everyone shouting about the situation in the Persian Gulf? Even China is ready to send its planes into Iranian airspace, and oil could soar to $90. 🤓 Let's figure it out! 🛢 20% of all the world's oil passes through the Hormuz Strait, which is only 33 km wide—this is more than through the Panama and Suez Canals combined.

Why is everyone shouting about the situation in the Persian Gulf?

The Hormuz Strait is currently the most important and vulnerable point of the global economy.
Why is everyone shouting about the situation in the Persian Gulf? Even China is ready to send its planes into Iranian airspace, and oil could soar to $90.
🤓 Let's figure it out!
🛢 20% of all the world's oil passes through the Hormuz Strait, which is only 33 km wide—this is more than through the Panama and Suez Canals combined.
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Bullish
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Fresh weekly CoinShares report on flows in crypto investment products: 🔼 Total capital inflow amounted to $1.23 billion. 🟡 Bitcoin: despite the market correction, a solid inflow of $1.1 billion has been recorded — investors are actively buying on the dip. 🟣 Ethereum demonstrates positive flows for the ninth consecutive week: over the last 7 days +$124 million, and the total inflow for the entire series reached $2.2 billion. This is the longest series of inflows since mid-2021.$ETH {spot}(ETHUSDT) 🧑‍⚕️ Analysts at Swissblock reported the activation of a bottom signal: 🟠 The previous case was on April 7, after which the market showed a strong rise: - BTC increased by 30% over 3 weeks - Altcoins gained from 50% to 120% 📉 The Aggregated Impulse indicator, tracking the top 350 digital assets, currently shows that only 8% of altcoins are in the negative zone. However, a historical bottom is formed when this indicator reaches 15–25% — meaning the market could still correct. 📈 After the momentum reaches its minimum and drops to 0%, analysts expect Ethereum and altcoins to lead the growth.$BTC #MarketPullback #USNationalDebt
Fresh weekly CoinShares report on flows in crypto investment products:

🔼 Total capital inflow amounted to $1.23 billion.

🟡 Bitcoin: despite the market correction, a solid inflow of $1.1 billion has been recorded — investors are actively buying on the dip.

🟣 Ethereum demonstrates positive flows for the ninth consecutive week: over the last 7 days +$124 million, and the total inflow for the entire series reached $2.2 billion. This is the longest series of inflows since mid-2021.$ETH

🧑‍⚕️ Analysts at Swissblock reported the activation of a bottom signal:
🟠 The previous case was on April 7, after which the market showed a strong rise:

- BTC increased by 30% over 3 weeks

- Altcoins gained from 50% to 120%

📉 The Aggregated Impulse indicator, tracking the top 350 digital assets, currently shows that only 8% of altcoins are in the negative zone. However, a historical bottom is formed when this indicator reaches 15–25% — meaning the market could still correct.

📈 After the momentum reaches its minimum and drops to 0%, analysts expect Ethereum and altcoins to lead the growth.$BTC
#MarketPullback #USNationalDebt
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Bullish
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The USA has the technical capability to disconnect Europe from the internet, writes Politico. Europe has a "fatal vulnerability" due to its "almost complete dependence on American cloud service providers," which are the "lifeblood of the Internet." Only three American giants — Amazon, Microsoft, and Google — account for more than two-thirds of the EU market. Some commentators in Europe have long argued that due to this dependence, American agencies can spy on the confidential data of Europeans. And now there are "real concerns" that the USA may use its technological dominance as a weapon to exert influence abroad. "I don't know (if Trump will disconnect cloud services in Europe - Ed.) But I never expected the USA to threaten to take Greenland. That's crazier than shutting down the cloud," says the CEO of the Austrian cloud company Anexia. #Tramp #Politics
The USA has the technical capability to disconnect Europe from the internet, writes Politico.

Europe has a "fatal vulnerability" due to its "almost complete dependence on American cloud service providers," which are the "lifeblood of the Internet." Only three American giants — Amazon, Microsoft, and Google — account for more than two-thirds of the EU market.

Some commentators in Europe have long argued that due to this dependence, American agencies can spy on the confidential data of Europeans. And now there are "real concerns" that the USA may use its technological dominance as a weapon to exert influence abroad.

"I don't know (if Trump will disconnect cloud services in Europe - Ed.) But I never expected the USA to threaten to take Greenland. That's crazier than shutting down the cloud," says the CEO of the Austrian cloud company Anexia.
#Tramp #Politics
My Assets Distribution
WLD
JUP
Others
25.30%
23.88%
50.82%
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Bullish
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Iran-supported militias are preparing to attack US bases in Iraq and possibly in Syria in response to US strikes on Iran. This is reported by the New York Times, citing US intelligence officials. "But for now, the groups are being restrained, and Iraqi authorities are doing everything they can to discourage the militias from taking action," a US representative said on Sunday," writes NYT.
Iran-supported militias are preparing to attack US bases in Iraq and possibly in Syria in response to US strikes on Iran.

This is reported by the New York Times, citing US intelligence officials.

"But for now, the groups are being restrained, and Iraqi authorities are doing everything they can to discourage the militias from taking action," a US representative said on Sunday," writes NYT.
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Bearish
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Oil from the Strait of Hormuz supplies: 5% of the total oil supply to America, 50% of the total oil supply to China. Iran paralyzes its ally China by blocking the Hormuz Strait. + The Strait of Hormuz is the only maritime outlet for oil-producing countries such as Kuwait, Qatar, Bahrain, and a large portion of Saudi Arabia's production. Meanwhile, ships are already turning around. 🆕 The Iranian parliament states that it will not cease nuclear activities. 🆕 According to JP Morgan estimates, closing the Hormuz Strait could raise oil prices to $120-$130 per barrel. #IsraelIranConflict #MarketPullback $BTC {spot}(BTCUSDT)
Oil from the Strait of Hormuz supplies: 5% of the total oil supply to America, 50% of the total oil supply to China. Iran paralyzes its ally China by blocking the Hormuz Strait. + The Strait of Hormuz is the only maritime outlet for oil-producing countries such as Kuwait, Qatar, Bahrain, and a large portion of Saudi Arabia's production. Meanwhile, ships are already turning around.
🆕 The Iranian parliament states that it will not cease nuclear activities.
🆕 According to JP Morgan estimates, closing the Hormuz Strait could raise oil prices to $120-$130 per barrel. #IsraelIranConflict #MarketPullback $BTC
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My 30 Days' PNL
2025-05-24~2025-06-22
+$101.64
+285.79%
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Monday, June 23 USA – Flash PMI (preliminary Purchasing Managers' Index) — 15:45 CEST C98 – unlock $244.09k (0.57% of turnover) $TRAC – launch of mainnet DKG v8.1.X $MANTA – AMA session with development plans $GLM – release of Marketplace Explorer $ZIL – launch of Zilliqa v2.0 on Mainnet Gas / Neo X – update in testnet --- 🔶 Tuesday, June 24 Gods Unchained – launch of the Guardians of Elderym collection USA – speech by J. Powell — 16:00 CEST --- 🔷 Wednesday, June 25 USA – repeat speech by J. Powell — 16:00 CEST Celo – major update Isthmus GTAI – unlock $225.64k (3.75% of turnover) VENOM – unlock $1.69 million (0.50%) ALT – unlock $3.43 million (2.87%) $DG – closure of its order DEX on L2 $CORE – hard fork Theseus --- 🔸 Thursday, June 26 USA GDP (QoQ) — 14:30 CEST Initial jobless claims — 14:30 CEST VOXEL – unlock $49.26k (0.42%) BLAST – unlock $25.15 million (35.08%) Coinbase – delisting tokens: $MOBILE, $RNDR, $RBN, $SYN $GMRT – release of Death Stranding 2: On the Beach --- 🔹 Friday, June 27 USA – PCE Index (personal consumption expenditures inflation) — 14:30 CEST YGG – unlock $1.02 million (1.23%) AB – update AB Connect --- 🟣 Saturday, June 28 TRIBL – unlock $33.91k (7.83% of turnover)
Monday, June 23

USA – Flash PMI (preliminary Purchasing Managers' Index) — 15:45 CEST

C98 – unlock $244.09k (0.57% of turnover)

$TRAC – launch of mainnet DKG v8.1.X

$MANTA
– AMA session with development plans

$GLM – release of Marketplace Explorer

$ZIL – launch of Zilliqa v2.0 on Mainnet

Gas / Neo X – update in testnet

---

🔶 Tuesday, June 24

Gods Unchained – launch of the Guardians of Elderym collection

USA – speech by J. Powell — 16:00 CEST

---

🔷 Wednesday, June 25

USA – repeat speech by J. Powell — 16:00 CEST

Celo – major update Isthmus

GTAI – unlock $225.64k (3.75% of turnover)

VENOM – unlock $1.69 million (0.50%)

ALT – unlock $3.43 million (2.87%)

$DG – closure of its order DEX on L2

$CORE – hard fork Theseus

---

🔸 Thursday, June 26

USA

GDP (QoQ) — 14:30 CEST

Initial jobless claims — 14:30 CEST

VOXEL – unlock $49.26k (0.42%)

BLAST – unlock $25.15 million (35.08%)

Coinbase – delisting tokens: $MOBILE, $RNDR, $RBN, $SYN

$GMRT – release of Death Stranding 2: On the Beach

---

🔹 Friday, June 27

USA – PCE Index (personal consumption expenditures inflation) — 14:30 CEST

YGG – unlock $1.02 million (1.23%)

AB – update AB Connect

---

🟣 Saturday, June 28

TRIBL – unlock $33.91k (7.83% of turnover)
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The USA struck Iran. Scenarios for the development of events 1. Iran responds to the attack by striking American targets in the Middle East, blocking the Strait of Hormuz, and the USA gets drawn into war. 2. Tehran takes a pause and does not respond to the initial attack, seeking to avoid full-scale US involvement in the war, but exchanges of strikes between Israel and Iran will continue. However, if American strikes are repeated, the Iranians will be forced to respond in any case. 3. The USA and Israel announce the end of attacks on Iran, declaring that "all objectives have been achieved, all nuclear facilities have been destroyed." Iran also ceases attacks on Israel. It is possible that this is the scenario Trump considers ideal. But it is unknown whether Netanyahu and Iran see it the same way. They may have completely different plans for the future.#IsraelIranConflict
The USA struck Iran. Scenarios for the development of events

1. Iran responds to the attack by striking American targets in the Middle East, blocking the Strait of Hormuz, and the USA gets drawn into war.

2. Tehran takes a pause and does not respond to the initial attack, seeking to avoid full-scale US involvement in the war, but exchanges of strikes between Israel and Iran will continue. However, if American strikes are repeated, the Iranians will be forced to respond in any case.

3. The USA and Israel announce the end of attacks on Iran, declaring that "all objectives have been achieved, all nuclear facilities have been destroyed." Iran also ceases attacks on Israel. It is possible that this is the scenario Trump considers ideal. But it is unknown whether Netanyahu and Iran see it the same way. They may have completely different plans for the future.#IsraelIranConflict
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The USA attacked three nuclear sites in Iran – Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan, Trump stated. "All planes have already left Iranian airspace. A full payload was dropped on the main target – Fordow," Trump said. Let us remind you, just the day before yesterday he said that he would decide whether to attack Iran within two weeks. However, even then, a number of media outlets and experts believed that such statements could be an attempt to deceive Iran and dull its vigilance, while, in fact, an attack was being prepared for the weekend. And that is exactly what happened. Now the question is - will Iran respond to the Americans, and if so, how?
The USA attacked three nuclear sites in Iran – Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan, Trump stated.

"All planes have already left Iranian airspace. A full payload was dropped on the main target – Fordow," Trump said.

Let us remind you, just the day before yesterday he said that he would decide whether to attack Iran within two weeks. However, even then, a number of media outlets and experts believed that such statements could be an attempt to deceive Iran and dull its vigilance, while, in fact, an attack was being prepared for the weekend. And that is exactly what happened.

Now the question is - will Iran respond to the Americans, and if so, how?
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ARK Invest, led by Cathie Wood, sharply reduced its stake in Circle, selling 1.25 million shares worth $243 million in a week amid a nearly 250% rise in stock value after the company went public. On June 20 alone, 609,175 shares were sold for $146.2 million.$USDC #USNationalDebt {spot}(USDCUSDT)
ARK Invest, led by Cathie Wood, sharply reduced its stake in Circle, selling 1.25 million shares worth $243 million in a week amid a nearly 250% rise in stock value after the company went public. On June 20 alone, 609,175 shares were sold for $146.2 million.$USDC
#USNationalDebt
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