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CME currently shows a 100% probability that the FED will lower interest rates in the September meeting.

- 98.8% leaning towards a decrease of 0.25%
- 2.2% leaning towards a decrease of 0.5%

🚨 ONLY MORE THAN 1 WEEK LEFT! 🚨

The crypto market is at a golden moment: the Fed is preparing to cut interest rates – a huge boost for the flow of money into risky assets like Bitcoin and Altcoin.

📉 Lower interest rates = weaker USD
📈 Huge capital will flock to Crypto

⏰ Countdown: only more than 7 days left!
👉 Those who hesitate will miss the explosive growth opportunity right in front of them.

🔥 This is no longer the time to "observe". This is the time to TAKE ACTION.
Buy today, hold your position tight before the FOMO wave begins.

#Bitcoin #Altcoin #RateCut #CryptoBullRun2025

📊 U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) for August Surprise
• Non-Farm Payrolls: 22K (forecast 75K, previous 79K) → Much lower than expected, indicating a significant cooling in the labor market.
• Private Non-Farm Payrolls: 38K (forecast 75K, previous 77K) → Considerably weaker, reinforcing signals of employment decline.
• Unemployment Rate: 4.3% (forecast 4.3%, previous 4.2%) → Higher than the previous rate, indicating increasing labor market pressures.
• U6 Unemployment Rate: 8.1% (previous 7.9%) → The group of part-time workers and the unemployed has also increased.
• Average Hourly Earnings: 0.3% MoM and 3.7% YoY → In line with forecasts, not creating significant inflationary pressure.
• Labor Force Participation Rate: 62.3% (previous 62.2%) → Slightly increased, indicating more people returning to the labor market.

💡 Implications for the market:
• Weaker-than-expected NFP data suggests the Fed has more reason to cut interest rates soon.
• The USD may face downward pressure, while gold, stocks, and crypto benefit.
• BTC and risk assets may respond positively due to expectations of loose monetary policy.

🚀 In summary: The U.S. labor market is cooling significantly, opening opportunities for the Fed to lower interest rates. This is positive news for Bitcoin sentiment and the crypto market.

📊 US Labor Data for August – Today's Market Focus

7:30 PM (VN time), a series of important indicators from the US will be announced:
• Non-farm Payroll (NFP): forecasted +75K (previously +73K).
• Private Non-farm Payroll: forecasted +75K (previously +83K).
• Unemployment Rate: forecasted 4.3% (up from 4.2% last period).
• Average Hourly Earnings (MoM): forecasted 0.3%.
• Hourly Earnings (YoY): forecasted 3.7% (down from 3.9%).
• Labor Force Participation & U6 Unemployment Rate will also be closely monitored.

⸻

🔥 Implications for the Market
• Low NFP / higher unemployment than forecast → indicates a weakening labor market, giving the Fed more reason to cut interest rates sooner → typically positive news for Bitcoin & crypto.
• Slowing hourly earnings (3.7% vs 3.9%) → reduces inflationary pressure → supports expectations for monetary policy easing.
• Conversely, if NFP is unexpectedly high or unemployment drops significantly, the Fed may maintain a “higher for longer” policy → creating short-term adjustment pressure on BTC.

⸻

💡 Market Scenarios
• Weaker data than forecast: USD drops, bond yields fall, BTC may spike.
• Stronger data than forecast: USD rises, gold & BTC may face short-term sell-offs.
• “Mixed” data: BTC experiences strong two-way volatility, difficult to predict.

⸻

📌 Conclusion
Tonight, BTC will be directly influenced by US labor data. Investors need to manage risks closely, as volatility may be very high right after 7:30 PM.

#BTC #Crypto #NFP #Binance

📊 The recently released economic data from the US
• ADP Non-Farm Employment Change (August): 54K < forecast 73K (weaker, labor slowing down).
• Initial unemployment claims: 237K > forecast (unemployment rising).
• Non-Farm Productivity (Q2): 3.3% > forecast 2.8% (positive, labor costs controlled).
• Unit labor costs (Q2): 1.0% < forecast 1.2% (cooling inflationary pressure).
• Trade balance (July): -78.3B < forecast -77.0B (deficit increasing).
• Continuing unemployment claims: 1.94M ≈ forecast (stable).

🔎 Market impact:
• Weak job growth (ADP much lower than last month: 54K compared to 106K) indicates a cooling labor market → reinforces expectations that the Fed may cut rates sooner.
• Strong labor productivity and declining labor costs → reduce inflationary pressure, supporting the trend towards monetary easing.
• However, the increasing trade deficit could be a downside for the USD.

💡 For Bitcoin & Crypto:
• The cooling employment and inflation data raise expectations that the Fed may pivot dovish → USD may weaken, yields may decline → BTC and altcoins benefit.

📌 US data is about to be released & Potential impact on BTC

Today the market is awaiting a series of important data at 19:15 – 19:30 (VN time):
• ADP Non-Farm Employment Change (Private non-farm employment change – August)
• Initial & continuing unemployment claims
• Non-farm productivity (Q2)
• Unit labor costs (Q2)
• Trade balance (July)
• Exports & imports of goods (July)

💡 Implications for Bitcoin and crypto:
• If employment & productivity are stronger than expected → the US economy is “hot”, Fed has reason to maintain a tight policy → USD rises, which may create short-term pressure on BTC.
• If employment & labor costs weaken, unemployment rises → expectations of the Fed cutting interest rates soon → risk money benefits, supporting BTC and Altcoin.
• Large trade deficit → pressure on USD, which may indirectly support alternative assets like gold & BTC.

⚡️ With the market strongly leaning towards the scenario of the Fed lowering interest rates in September, any signs of weakness in labor and trade could become a “catalyst” for BTC to surge.

👉 What do you think BTC will react after tonight's data?

#Bitcoin #CryptoNews #FOMC #USD

📊 The probability of a rate cut in the Fed meeting on 17/09/2025 is almost certain!

According to the CME FedWatch tool, the market is pricing in:
• 🔻 99.7% chance the Fed will lower interest rates to 400–425 bps
• 🔸 Only 0.3% chance of maintaining the current level of 425–450 bps

This indicates that investors are almost unanimous that the rate-cutting cycle will continue.

💡 Impact on the crypto market:
• Lower capital costs → easier cash flow, favorable for risk assets.
• Bitcoin & Altcoin may benefit as investors seek safe havens in expectation of a weakening USD.

The Federal Reserve will hold a press conference to discuss topics including cryptocurrency stablecoins, tokenization, and AI. 🇺🇸

The major financial regulatory agencies in the US are the SEC (Securities and Exchange Commission) and the CFTC (Commodity Futures Trading Commission), which just issued a joint announcement that US law does not prevent regulated exchanges (such as stock exchanges or futures exchanges) from listing crypto transactions, even when there is leverage or margin.

🚨 BREAKING: The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates surges!

The recently announced U.S. job data was weaker than expected (Job Openings only 7.181M, lower than the expected 7.380M). Immediately, the CME market reacted strongly:

📊 CME FedWatch shows that at the meeting on 17/9/2025:
• 93.7% probability the Fed will lower interest rates to 400–425 bps
• Only 6.3% believe the Fed will maintain the level at 425–450 bps

➡️ This means investors are almost certain the Fed will cut interest rates in September.

Impact on the Crypto market
• Lower interest rates → more abundant liquidity
• Weaker USD → money flows more easily into risk assets like Bitcoin and Altcoin
• BTC could benefit significantly in the short term if the “risk-on” sentiment returns.

⸻

🔥 Do you think BTC will break out strongly ahead of the September FOMC meeting?

#BTC #Fed #CME #Binance

The data in the image shows the number of job openings in the United States:
• Actual: 7.181 million
• Forecast: 7.380 million
• Previously: 7.357 million

➡️ This means the number of newly announced jobs is lower than both expectations and the previous period → the U.S. labor market is weakening.

⸻

Impact on Bitcoin (BTC)

1. Impact on Fed's interest rate expectations
• A weakening labor market often leads the Fed to loosen monetary policy earlier (or slow down the rate of interest rate increases).
• Investors expect interest rates to decrease → USD weakens, capital flows towards risk assets (gold, securities, crypto).

2. Short-term impact
• This news is often viewed positively by the crypto market for BTC, as capital costs are lower and liquidity expectations increase.
• However, if the data is too bad → investors worry about recession, which may cause risk-off (liquidation of risk assets, BTC also faces pressure).

3. Scenario with BTC
• Positive (base case): BTC tends to be supported, with short-term price increases due to expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates soon.

📅 Economic Calendar Week 1–5/9/2025

Next week, traders should pay special attention to the employment reports from the US – a factor that could shape Fed expectations:

🔹 2/9: Eurozone CPI & US Manufacturing PMI.
🔹 3/9: JOLTS – US Job Openings data.
🔹 4/9: ADP, Unemployment Claims & US Services PMI.
🔹 5/9: Nonfarm Payroll (NFP), Unemployment Rate, Average Hourly Earnings.

JOLTS Job Openings indicate the number of job vacancies currently available in the U.S. within a specific month.
• It reflects the health of the labor market: the higher the number of opportunities, the greater the demand for hiring, indicating that the economy is growing well.
• Conversely, a significant decrease in the figures often signals weakening labor demand, possibly due to an economic slowdown.

Impact
• This is one of the indicators that the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) is interested in to assess the heat of the labor market.
• If job opportunities are high, the Fed may be concerned about inflationary pressures (due to rising wages), thereby keeping interest rates high for longer → which could put pressure on the stock and crypto markets.
• If job opportunities decrease significantly, the market typically expects the Fed to loosen monetary policy → often supporting stocks and crypto.

At the last moment, the probability of a rate cut is at 91.8% in the FOMC meeting on July 19

🔥 Currently, the FedWatch Tools indicate that the probability of a rate cut is at 91.8%.

🗓 From this point, we have only 14 days until the FOMC meeting to decide on the interest rate, which can be seen as almost a final rate, my friends!

The queue for participating in ETH Staking has surged to its highest level in two years as institutions accumulate

On Tuesday, the queue for participating in Ethereum Staking reached its highest level since September 2023, with on-chain data showing that 860,369 ETH, worth approximately $3.7 billion, is waiting to be staked.

The Everstake Staking protocol stated: "To be honest, this is quite impressive, as we haven't seen a queue this large since 2023 when the Shanghai Upgrade allowed withdrawals."

🚨 Top Governments by Bitcoin Holdings – July 31, 2025 🚨

Several countries are holding huge amounts of BTC, making Bitcoin a part of their national financial strategy 💹:

🇺🇸 USA – 198,022 BTC (~23.5 billion USD)
🇨🇳 China – 190,000 BTC (~22.5 billion USD)
🇬🇧 UK – 61,245 BTC (~7.3 billion USD)
🇺🇦 Ukraine – 46,351 BTC (~5.5 billion USD)
🇰🇵 North Korea – 13,562 BTC (~1.6 billion USD)
🇧🇹 Bhutan – 11,286 BTC (~1.3 billion USD)
🇸🇻 El Salvador – 6,257 BTC (~741 million USD)
🇻🇪 Venezuela – 240 BTC (~28 million USD)
🇫🇮 Finland – 90 BTC (~11 million USD)

💡 Notably, the USA announced plans to establish a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve starting in March 2025, aimed at managing BTC seized under federal authority.

👉 This indicates: Bitcoin is not just a personal investment asset, but is gradually becoming a strategic asset for nations. 🌍

Các ETF có deadline cuối vào tháng 10/2025
• Canary Solana ETF – Final deadline: 10/12/25
• 21Shares Solana ETF – Final deadline: 10/12/25
• Bitwise Solana ETF – Final deadline: 10/12/25
• Franklin Solana ETF – Final deadline: 10/12/25
• Fidelity Solana ETF – Final deadline: 10/12/25
• Invesco Galaxy Solana ETF – Final deadline: 10/12/25
• Canary XRP ETF – Final deadline: 10/19/25
• Bitwise XRP ETF – Final deadline: 10/19/25
• Wisdomtree XRP Fund – Final deadline: 10/19/25
• CoinShares XRP ETF – Final deadline: 10/19/25
• Franklin XRP ETF – Final deadline: 10/19/25

Ether Machine has raised 150,000 ETH (654 million USD) before listing on Nasdaq, with the participation of veteran Jeffrey Burns on the board.

The company plans to hold over 2 billion USD in ETH and 367 million USD in fiat to drive asset growth. Backed by Citibank, a new funding round worth 500 million USD will begin on September 3, highlighting the growing confidence in crypto treasuries.

SharpLink purchases an additional 39.008 ETH

Currently holding 837.230 ETH as of now, the value of ETH is ~$3.6 billion

USD1 STABLECOIN LAUNCHED ON SOLANA, A ROADMAP FOR WLFI?

Just before the launch of WLFI, World Liberty Financial officially deployed the USD1 stablecoin on Solana.

USD1 is backed 1:1 with USD, having minted 100M tokens to enhance liquidity for the WLFI system. The current market cap stands at $2.63B, becoming a "latecomer" stablecoin but strongly backed.